Biden’s Energy Strategy Is Seriously Backfiring Ahead of November Elections

White House Press Secretary tries to defend Biden’s energy policy. Image from Tweet below.

White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre says White House isn’t trying to put oil companies ‘out of business’

There’s a doctored YouTube video showing the Press Secretary walking out after a question by Peter Doocy, White House correspondent for Fox News.

There was no need to doctor it, the clip speaks for itself.

Video Exchange

Peter Doocy: You’re asking oil companies to further lower gas prices. What makes you think that they are going to listen to an administration that is ultimately trying to put them out of business? 

Karine Jean-Pierre: How is the administration trying to put them out of business? 

Peter Doocy: Well, they produce fossil fuels and the president says he wants to end fossil fuels. 

Karine Jean-Pierre: So look. You kind of asked this question yesterday and here’s where we would say US oil production is up and on track to reach a record high next year. ….

Questions Abound

  • If oil production is at a record high, why are high prices the oil industry’s fault? 
  • If oil production is at a record high, what about Biden’s pledge to kill the industry? 

The answer to the first question has to do with refining capacity, regulations and Biden’s threat to kill fossil fuels.

Karine never addressed Doocy’s question. She made a disingenuous reply, never answering the question.

Here’s a third video that explains.

Biden’s Oil Price Machinations

Please consider the WSJ article Biden’s Oil Price Machinations.

Three weeks before Election Day, Mr. Biden is ordering 15 million more barrels released from the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to reduce gasoline prices.

The new releases are a sign of political desperation. Crude price climbed after OPEC+ this month announced a two million barrels a day cut in production. 

The Administration said Wednesday it may continue releases as long as “conditions”—i.e., political conditions—require, but this is unsustainable. The SPR has fallen by about 210 million barrels since last fall. The Administration says the 400 million or so barrels that remain are “more than ready to respond to energy security needs today.” That’s also far from clear.

One reason is that the Administration is fast depleting the medium-sour grade crude in the reserve that is most useful to U.S. refineries. Much of what remains is a light-sweet crude produced from shale, much of which gets exported. Future releases could compete with U.S. shale in the tight global refining market and even discourage investment in shale production.

A true national emergency could also fast deplete the reserve. That’s why previous Presidents performed only three emergency releases: Operation Desert Storm in 1991 (17.3 million barrels), Hurricane Katrina in 2005 (20.8 million), and the Libya oil disruptions in 2011 (30.6 million). Though prices exceeded $90 a barrel from 2011 to 2014, Barack Obama didn’t resort to emergency drawdowns to reduce gas prices.

The Administration now says it plans to encourage “near-term production” by announcing its “intent” to repurchase oil for the reserve when the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil falls to $67 to $72 a barrel. Who knows when this will happen since the Saudis have indicated their intent to keep prices around $90 to $100 a barrel.

We’ve been writing for months that Mr. Biden could deflate oil prices by giving a simple speech declaring an end to his political war on fossil fuels. Instead he resorts to gimmicks like the SPR releases and cozies up to dictators. Hours after OPEC announced its production cut, news leaked that the White House plans to ease sanctions on Venezuela to liberate its oil production.

Markets are smarter than Administration officials think, and so are voters.

Hypocritical Message So Contorted Everyone Can See It 

It’s clear the SPR drawdown is for political purposes. 

It’s equally clear Biden wants to shut down the industry while blaming them for lack of production. Meanwhile, the White House press secretary is bragging about record production.  

The Journal accurately comments voters are smarter than the administration. Independent voters upset over abortion policy are now coming to grips with Democrat policies on energy, education, and inflation. 

Polls Surge to Republicans

538 Election Odds 2022-10-22

How the House Forecast Has Changed 

538 House Election Odds 2022-10-22

How the Senate Forecast Has Changed 

538 Senate Election Odds 2022-10-22

Senate Who’s Ahead 

538 Senate Election Odds by State 2022-10-22

Arizona is a lost cause. Control of the Senate will come down to Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. 

Republicans could easily have won all four but selected weak Trump-backed candidates in all four states instead. 

Despite Trump, the Republicans may pull this off. 

I had Nevada in the Republican column long ago. 538 just recently flipped.

Concern in Pennsylvania is well-founded. Even Republican pollster Trafalgar still has Pennsylvania in the Democrat Column.

Which Polls 538 Pennsylvania 

Momentum is shifting rapidly, but if you are a Trafalgar fan, odds still favor Fetterman IF the election were today. 

But the election is not today.

Which Polls 538 Georgia 

Once again, the Republican, Walker is closing the gap. But once again Trafalgar has the Democrat ahead.

Georgia is more complex because Libertarian Chase Oliver is also on the ballot. He is pulling about 3%. That’s tiny but large enough to tip the scales. 

In Georgia, the winner has to get more than 50% otherwise the top two will square off in a special election. 

As it stands, neither Walker nor Warnock is likely to win a majority. That means there would be a runoff.

PredictIt Senate Odds  

PredictIt does not reflect what betters think would happen now but what will happen on election day, Tuesday, November 8, 2022.

Momentum is clearly in Republican’s favor. The backlash over abortions has shifted to inflation, energy, crime, and education policies.

But even assuming a Nevada Senate flip for Republicans, they still need retain Pennsylvania or flip Georgia to win control. 

Georgia is somewhat of a wildcard. There’s highly likely to be a runoff. Can Walker top 50 percent in a runoff? 

Right now, my guess is yes, if for no other reason than Democrats are increasingly likely to be demoralized after losing control of the House.  

Regardless, Biden will be a lame duck for the next two years other than damage by decree, which could still be substantial as budget-busting student debt cancellation proves.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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Discernment
Discernment
3 years ago
Live now, Dr. Oz is debating Fettermen and once again, as can be easily forecasted, Trump’s chosen candidate is best prepared on the most consequential issues that matter to the people. It’s actually sad and embarrassing how disingenuous, inept and forgetful Dr. Oz has revealed the professional, decades long politician Fettermen to be. PA as I forecasted earlier still goes to Dr. OZ and in large part because of Trump’s endorsement the numbers and enthusiasm behind them will be as usual embarrassing for Fettermen and the above pollsters.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
I can’t believe Fetterman will win. He’s clearly brain damaged. Maybe he’ll recover fully, but there’s a decent chance he won’t. Why would voters risk it?
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“Hypocritical Message So Contorted Everyone Can See It”
When the Gaslight is bright enough…
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Doesn’t matter which party controls the house and senate. We get the same results either way.
For example, Roe V Wade being overturned. The ruling essentially said it’s OK to make abortion legal nationwide. But, it has to be done via legislation. Not the constitution. So why haven’t the democrats tried to pass a Roe v Wade law? Because if they did, people would view the SC ruling as no big deal. They think it helps them at the ballot box if people think republicans have interfered with women’s rights.
It’s the same with assault rifles. Neither party wants to get rid of them. Republicans fear they’ll be primaried if they oppose. Democrats are afraid they’ll lose votes in general elections if there’s no longer a threat. So, no matter what any candidate says, they’ll continue to be readily available.
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Exactly. The DONORcrats just want to project a different image. When it comes to actual policy, they are essentially the same as the Republicans. Take health insurance as another example. Are the DONORcrats really for Medicare For All or even a public option? Of course not. Their track record makes it very clear.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
IMO the ACA wasn’t enacted to fix health care. It was enacted to make sure it never gets fixed. Democrats can say anyone opposed to it wants to kill the elderly and the republicans have no alternative. The republicans have no alternative because they want health care broken too. Both sides get a ton of money from health care companies who want to continue charging 10x what other countries charge.
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Yes. Obolacare aka ACA, was yet another patch in the crazy quilt called the American healthcare “system”.
JeffD
JeffD
3 years ago
The refiners are gouging right now to throw the elections. Mish’s data for California showed that the refiner cost is normally 42 cents, but is now $2.18. Even in past emergencies, it has never spiked like that. So, you could say that the refiners are trying to put the Democrats out of business.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  JeffD
You might be right, but is that any worse than social media companies burying bad news about democratic candidates in past elections? I would say no. Not even close.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
If it’s “news” about a major candidate belonging to a cannibalistic pedophiliac cabal, or any candidate who’s policies don’t favor Putin.
John k
John k
3 years ago
Imo Biden is getting desperate re the house going gop, which would mean laptop etc investigations. Zelensky is accusing Russia of setting off a dirty nuke and/or blowing up the dam that Russia has been defending, and apparently truss gave him underwater drones. So any of these would get msm to say putin did it because he’s losing and desperate. This would affect the midterms as intended.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  John k
I doubt the republicans will investigate anything when they control the house. They’re total wimps. They’ll be called bad things by MSM and that will be enough for them to do nothing. How’s the Durham investigation going? Will they indict anyone significant any time soon?
mrchinup
mrchinup
3 years ago
Trump still lives rent free in Mishs head. I don’t believe those polls. Did you expect anything else? Liberals are all mentally ill, IMO.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Somewhere below is a comment to the effect “…people with no success an any field think they know everything”?
Keeping in mind ‘anonymity’, how do you know enough about anyone on this blog to be able to make such a claim? Even googling a real name, you cannot be sure of what is in their investment portfolio, what else they have done that is not readily available, what books they have written or public lectures, and so on. In fact, the richest person I’ve ever known kept a low profile–yet buildings were named after him, and planes were delayed when he ran late. The smartest person I’ve ever known was a mathematician, who knew more about my field than I did.
Generally,
there are several levels of commenters. I write this based strictly on
their comments. Independent of political position, some people are clearly
intelligent, educated, thoughtful, and critical. Often, this combination leads to broad general knowledge, holistic thinking, and valuable insight. Being opinionated is not unusual. Being opinionated and open-minded–that’s rare. Not bragging is an
important indicator (for me), yet even when they do brag, it helps to read between the lines. While their perspective often differs from mine, they
usually know what they are talking about–meaning there is a high probability they are successful (IMHO).
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Successful traders/investors won’t share their specific secrets, they may talk in broader cyclical terms.
Unsuccessful or inexperienced readily share their secrets.
Politics is 90% immediate personal surroundings, e.g. –
Gun rights to a rural farmer with no law enforcement for twenty miles means something completely different to a City dweller who drives past areas where regular death’s occur from stray bullets.
Healthcare means an entirely different thing to someone diagnosed with terminal illness than someone age 30 employed by a corporation with a great bennies package.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
The word successful is a bit dubious although you circusribed it somewhat meaning a rich set of knowledge, not a rich portfolio of investments, as it will be interpreted by most, I am sure.
Was van Gogh successful in his life? No, he was a failure. However, he is fabulously successful post mortem.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
Biden continues to show signs of dementia every time he speaks in public. In the exam room of public opinion, Biden is too sick to serve the rest of his term.
ajc1970
ajc1970
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
He’ll resign.

Not that Harris will get reelected, but they’ll consider the possibility and he’ll wait until Feb 2023 to resign, so she can do 10 years instead of 6 years.

It’ll do the Party some good, they can then try to wash their hands to everything from 2020-2022
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  ajc1970
I think the democratic party is holding Hunter over Joe. If Joe doesn’t cooperate with party wishes, the DOJ will send Hunter to Jail. There’s more than enough evidence to put him away for years.
NaetG
NaetG
3 years ago
Why has nobody called them out on their lie that oil production is set to hit an all-time high next year? Oil production hit a record high of 13.1 million barrels/day the week ending March 13, 2020, right when the virus really started to hit here. From the week ending April 15, 2022 through the week ending October 14, 2022, oil production has ranged from 11.9 million barrels/day to 12.1 million barrels/day with the exception of one week when it dropped to 11.8 million barrels/day. In the last six months, oil production has been flat. There is absolutely no data that suggests oil production is even rising, much less on pace to hit an all-time high next year. This administration is a lying disgrace!
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  NaetG
They never get called out. Had Trump said that, there would be an army of fact checkers saying he’s lied once again.
GruesomeHarvest
GruesomeHarvest
3 years ago
Drag queen story hour for grade schoolers, a jump of the green energy cliff into “fantasy land”, defund police and decriminalization crime, … The Democrats appear to have a problem with reality and living in a world that obeys physical principles. And Joe Bidden (President moonbeam?) is the perfect front man!
ajc1970
ajc1970
3 years ago
“Georgia is somewhat of a wildcard. There’s highly likely to be a runoff. Can Walker top 50 percent in a runoff? Right now, my guess is yes, if for no other reason than Democrats are increasingly likely to be demoralized after losing control of the House.”

I agree, but the bigger picture is that the Walker/Warnock race will be decided by what happens in Nov and Dec, an entirely different scene than now.

All the stuff pushed out until after the election… EIDL repayments start, student loan repayments restart, no more drawdowns from the strategic reserve, House going to GOP would alleviate independents’ concerns about the Senate going to Dems, Europeans freezing thanks to environmentalists. Anything else? Then there’ll be the surprises.
Both GA GOP Senate candidates in 2020 won in November, only to lose the runoff. Could easily see another case of Nov’s 2nd-place candidate winning in January (whichever one it is)
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  ajc1970
Both candidates are terrible.
ajc1970
ajc1970
3 years ago
AZ ain’t done yet
Yeah, Masters is a poor candidate, but Lake turned out to be an awesome candidate and she may carry Masters across the finish line.
That race is tightening and there is a little time left.
Thiel pretty much declared victory in Ohio (with Vance) and redirected his resources to AZ, basically declaring his opinion on what the “next best chance” is for the GOP
Irondoor
Irondoor
3 years ago
Abortion affects a portion of the population, even though it has an outsized emotional impact. Inflation, fuel prices, shortages, crime, the border affects everyone.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
My friend’s car was robbed of it’s cat converter, while he was pissed, he commented “Well, at least I had a good year, it’s not the money, just the time bringing it to my mechanic”.
RyanL
RyanL
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
It’s unusual to find people that sanguine about such things. If you work for a living your real income is collapsing, and if you are in the market you are getting shellacked. There aren’t many people having a good year.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  RyanL
I’m in the market and I’m up over 50% this year. You just have to invest in the right companies. Oil companies. Both US and Canadian. Third year in a row of great returns.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
I’m up too but nowhere near that much, I’m long/short though, and, here’s your chance to goad me for the jab about that 4 hour video 😉
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Lol! I’m still working through it for the second time. Just focusing on those that piqued my interest.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  RyanL
The vast majority of the market is owned by the minority wealthy, most folks barely notice it. (90% of stocks are owned by the top 10%)
That’s why I mentioned my friend, it was an anecdotal cross view of an average Joe’s concerns.
In his case, the criminal pissed him off, but he’s had a great year and money wasn’t that great a concern, as are most working folks with the fact the there are 10 million unfilled jobs and 3.5% unemployment, companies are offering great wages, small businesses are booming, mine certainly is.
Ryan, how do you not know these things?
Everyone I know is raving about the job market, or bitching how hard it is to hire help …are you inside America?
.
RyanL
RyanL
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
The hard data says wages are driopping. That seems more relevant than the unemployment rate. People generally aren’t thrilled when they are both working and getting poorer. Your average Joe is worse off than a year ago. Obviously you can find a contrary anecdote here and there, and congratulations on doing so.
I raised the market to simply point out that neither the working class or investor class is happy right now. This is of course reflected in recent polling.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  RyanL
“The hard data says…”
I just told you what’s going on, my work is insanely busy, same for my friends, the problem since Covid is finding/hiring help.
Even the “hard data” shows a surplus of 10 million jobs that can’t be filled in the U.S.
Again, what country are you in right now?
.
RyanL
RyanL
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
The hard data also shows declining real incomes. Yes the unemployment rate is low. It was low before covid. That doesn’t matter if you have been working through it all and are losing ground as most people are. Beating a single data point that isn’t really germane is a bad look.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  RyanL
What country are you in?
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
3 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
“Abortion affects a portion of the population,”
There are also rather strict limits to how much importance most women, in practice, place on the the freedom to willy-nilly whack their own children. Or to pay some yahoo to do the whacking for them. Despite braindead progressive (redundant, I know…) indoctrinators’ best efforts to the contrary; it’s still ultimately no different from building a campaign around opposition to the similarly none-of-government’s-business ban on suicide: Formally no doubt the correct position; in any country with government sufficiently limited to have any hope whatsoever of being considered civilised; but unlikely to be top of a 3rd world population of homeless sharecroppers’ mind, come election time.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
They won’t stop with that. They want to end all forms of birth control, to appease their angry Sky Wizard.
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
Inflation is definitely the leading factor but don’t rule out some anti-war D voters deciding to stay home this time. They may not be there in sizable numbers – I’d say that about 90-95 percent of the Dumbocrat voters are happy to enable the warmongers, or are very bloodthirsty themselves – but the number is large enough to make a difference at the margin, resulting in the loss of 15-20 House seats and perhaps 1 or 2 Senate seats.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
You don’t seem to understand American politics, the “Dumbocrats” are the one’s that want Ukraine intervention, left media has been promoting a narrative that the GOP might end Ukraine aid to get D voters riled.
I highly doubt the GOP would, but it makes for a good motivator for votes.
Neither I nor most of my friends are D, but we’re all in agreement over Ukraine, it seems to have aroused some kind of universal disdain.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
“it seems to have aroused some kind of universal disdain….”
Mindlessly cheering for Dear Leader to mind everybody’s business but his own, seem to have a way of effecting that: In pliant, well indoctrinated and subservient populations.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
Trumplings never dissent from the party line, no matter how preposterous it becomes. They are slaves by choice.
Esclaro
Esclaro
3 years ago
Here in Texas it’s interesting to see Abbott’s ads moaning about high crime and inflation. Abbott has been governor for the last eight years so whatever has happened is all his. The quality of life has dropped like a rock during his tenure. Inflation? His energy policies have resulted in huge increases in consumers energy bills. His tax policies have led to gigantic increases in property taxes. His border blockade increased food costs by millions of dollars. Yet Beto is to blame for all this. He will get re-elected for sure but no sane person wants to spend the rest of their life in a never ending traffic jam on I-35.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Esclaro
“..Abbott’s ads moaning about high crime and inflation. Abbott has been governor for the last eight years…”
Reminds me of Perry’s “Texas miracle” on jobs, until the claim was parsed and the median pay for those jobs was well below median. had no healthcare.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
“until the claim was parsed and the median pay for those jobs was well below median. had no healthcare.”
America has been on a 50+ year trajectory: Of going from first world nation of world beating moonlanders; to an, at best, Brazilianised 3rd world totalitarian terror state with an, again at best, ever dwindling number of protected gated communities. There is no way to do that, without median pay and benefits declining. I mean: Going from being rich to being poor; without getting poorer along the way; isn’t exactly the easiest of undertakings, now is it?
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
If you hate America so much, you should seek your fortunes in the new Soviet Union.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Yeah, man! And all those who disagree with the way Putin is running Russia, should seek their new fortunes in North Korea, I suppose? As long as we’re not even trying to make sense, and all…..
Christoball
Christoball
3 years ago
Not sure of the mechanics of the situation but Northern California gas prices have declined one dollar in the last 13 days. Not sure if this pace will continue but my predicted $3 Northern California gas price in December could be as little as 4 weeks away
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
It’s a contrarian opinion, but Biden did nothing to oil companies except some mumbled speeches someone wrote for him.
The reason oil production is not rocketing higer is the rising interest rates. The rock bottom interest rates incentivized investment in unprofitable oil and gas production, and those ventures have gone bust, and absorbed by big oil, which focuses on profitability.
The central banking cabal created the artificial oil boom, and is the reason for the inevitable bust.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Sorry. While low interest rates did encourage some unprofitable oil investments in the past, those days are long gone. Oil companies are not investing today because they do not want to be stuck with stranded assets in the future. It has nothing to do with rising interest rates. Oil companies have not been investing much for close to a decade now. And interest rates were at historically low rates for much of that time. So the present lack of investment has nothing to do with interest rates.
Oil companies are currently only spending a small amount on capex to simply maintain or modestly expand production. They do not have to borrow to do that. It all comes from their enormous cash flow at these high oil prices.
In fact, they are generating so much cash flow that in addition to their modest capex spending they are also paying down or even paying off their existing debts. Some are even debt free now. So with all that cash, they don’t need to borrow.
In addition, rather than use that extra cash flow to expand production, they are instead using it to buy back their own shares because they are still such a bargain at today’s oil prices. It is a telling story when a company believes they can get a better return on their investment by buying their own shares, rather than expanding production.
And finally, they are also using that excess cash flow to reward their shareholders by dramatically increasing dividend payouts.
Some of the oil stocks I own have so much cash flow that they can fund their own modest capex internally, plus pay down debt, plus buy back shares, and increase dividends.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
“Oil companies are not investing today because they do not want to be stuck with stranded assets in the future”
This is absolutely true, the startup costs are too high for a rapid return where oil demand is continuously diminishing.
You’re better off investing in solar or wind, but with solar the tech is changing so fast that the same problem exists, you could invest billions only to learn a new discovery renders your investment moot.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
The largest oil companies are investing in alternatives (wind, solar, hydrogen, carbon capture and sequestration, etc). But not in a very big way yet.
I am starting to dabble in hydrogen and renewable energy companies in a very small way. But I don’t expect to make large renewable investments in the next few years. I still expect oil and gas to do extremely well for many more years.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
True about oil companies and alternatives investment.
As for hydrogen, careful of the hype, most technology that derive hydrogen costs more energy than the hydrogen yields (electrolysis, namely)
There is solar electrolysis, but at the end it’s just more efficient to tap solar for the direct electricity.
One reason I’m hesitant to buy solar, panel technology, there are non-stop breakthrough’s and if you’re in a solar company at the time a story comes out with, say, a new panel that’s 40% efficient, that company could plunge.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Biden’s inflation reduction act provides significant subsidies for hydrogen. That could make the US the world leader in this area of energy storage. Giving US companies a big advantage, and allowing them to scale up faster than foreign competitors. Which is why I am looking for the most likely candidates to benefit.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Nevada – maybe, even probably, a GOP gain.
GA – NO, Walker’s been dropping against Warnock, the GOP would do well to lose that one, that man’s a complete nutjob, a liability….his own son and his mother have spoken out against him, not to mention the abortion thing.
PA is Fetterman’s, OZ tried to capitalize on Fetterman’s stroke and it backfired, Fetterman went so far is to point out what he perceives as a speech impediment resulting from his stroke during an interview last week that was otherwise imperceivable, he sounds fluid & alert, unphased by the stroke.
There have been two polls since that interview, both favor him and one has him up more than before the interview.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
It wasn’t long ago that certain people were adamant that the primary issue was abortion.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Women that would ordinarily stay home for midterms are coming out to vote next month because of the SCOTUS decision.
These races are tight.
Mish
Mish
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
It’s not the primary issue and never was. But it can still tip the election.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Doesn’t matter who wins. Nothing much will change. Both sides spend most of their time and effort undoing what the other side just did. I don’t even vote. Waste of my time. Though I appreciate that we live in a democracy where I have the right to vote. It would really suck to live in N Korea, or Russia. Go USA.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
For me, Russia is a bigger deal than most on the right seem to think, Putin’s pressing for more control over global commodities and economies, there’s rumor a GOP swing will defund U.S. aid to Ukraine.
Putin’s objectives became obvious in 2020 with the way he manipulated global oil prices to damage the U.S. economy, U.S. oil industry.
The notion of him gaining greater control of agriculture and oil, not good.
.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
The US would NEVER manipulate anything.
The far bigger problem is China, a nation with reason to loathe the west (see Opium wars). Biden has pushed Russia and China together, a disastrous strategy for Asia, Europe, and Africa.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
China’s a threat, yes, but a war from 160 years ago ain’t the reason why.
You can badmouth my country all you want, but what I said about Putin stands, he made his intentions obvious in 2020.
I prefer he not have any leverage over the U.S’s wallet, thank you.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Putin cannot gain control of anything. All he can do is disrupt or destroy things. In fact I expect him to disrupt or destroy as much global energy infrastructure as possible, in retaliation for the west turning Russia into N Korea. I do not know when he finally gets taken out, but that won’t change anything for many years anyway. The west is not going to welcome Russia back into the global economy anytime soon. They don’t want to help Russia be able to rebuild their shattered military or their shattered economy.
As far as the GOP goes, I would be surprised if they pulled their support for Ukraine. The only way I can see that happening is if Trump wins the presidency again, he will go back to kissing Putin’s arse.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
“All he can do is disrupt or destroy things.”
That itself is control.
Russia accounts for 12% of global supply, yet in 2020 Putin was able to flood the market in an attempt to bankrupt US oil companies.
Imagine what he’d do with more leverage over food/grains?
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
You give him too much credit. Putin did not flood the market by himself. It was an OPEC+ group effort by 20 countries.
But we are splitting hairs here. Putin can and will disrupt energy and food supplies and that will lead to higher prices as well.
As always, I cannot stop what those in power do, but I can anticipate what they do and attempt to profit from it.
Hence my core position in oil and gas stocks.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Control of rubble..
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD

Being a nutjob is a positive for a modern conservative candidate.

PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
There are many variables in the price of oil; including short-term, mid-term and long-term variables.
Biden is attempting to manipulate prices lower in the short and mid-term. His measures are being offset by OPEC, which is attempting to keep prices higher in the short and mid-term.
Even if Biden announced policies to encourage as much domestic oil production as possible, OPEC could easily offset those policies with more cuts as well. (The US produces 11 Mbpd, OPEC 30 Mbpd, OPEC+ 47Mbpd).
This battle of manipulation between Biden and OPEC is important in the short and mid term. After all, it impacts the election, as you say.
But it has little impact on the long term price of oil. The long term price of oil, and products derived from oil, is based on worldwide supply vs demand. Demand continues to grow. But supply is constrained.
Supply is constrained because of a lack of investment by the entire oil industry all over the world for almost a decade now. Including refineries. Without new refineries, additional oil doesn’t even help, as we can’t produce enough gasoline, diesel, fuel oil etc.
The oil industry has no desire to make these huge long-term investments in refineries or new oil field discovery because they fear that these investments will become stranded assets in a world that is transitioning to renewables.
The world is almost at maximum supply of 100 Mbpd right now. It will be difficult to increase this by much going forward, because of the near decade of under investment. And even with a huge investment right now, it would take many years to increase supply much at all.
For example Saudi announced in May 2022 a multibillion investment to increase their production by 1 Mbpd by 2027. That is 5 years away!
US production is peaking. Unless new fields are found soon, US production is going to begin declining by 2024. No matter who is in the white house. Because the industry is unwilling to make the necessary investments.
And, of course Russian production is now in a steady decline.
And those are your big 3 producing countries in the world.
As long as demand for energy keeps growing, and unless we start building enough renewables to meet that increasing demand, we will continue to need even more oil.
And since there simply is not enough oil available to meet that demand, the upward pressure on prices will continue. Probably for the rest of this decade.
This supply crunch was foretold on this very site by the prophets who are no longer here. I paid attention to them and have profited. I wonder what new prophecies they could enlighten us with now?
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Whether the democrats win or lose, we’re still going to have a bunch of depraved and murderous thieves dictating our economy and morality. Me? I’m cheering for the democrats. They’ve the best chance to piss off everyone to the point where the slaves might actually do something.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
So your hoping for a democrat win in order to inspire civil unrest? Wow.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
He’s referencing modern day Feudalism, “slaves” to debt. .. I think.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Government collapse would lead to civil rest, not unrest. Strange how you think my not accepting their need for me to be their bitch slave is somehow immoral. If you like being their bitch, go for it. As for me, no.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
Mind, nature abhors a vacuum, where one falls, another replaces.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Spoken like a true slave. Rule yourself like a real man/woman. Anything else is slavery and only desired by cowards. We have this disgusting clown world because we have too many spineless defeatist cowards like you. You are the problem.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
Dude, seriously, if the USG fell, there would be a foreign army here in no time, declaring martial law until their new Constitution and governing/policing structure were in place.
I’m sorry, but, you’re an idiot.
.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Another cowardly defeatist statement. Not to mention absolutely idiotic. Name this magical army that has that capability. It doesn’t exist. Much like your balls.
Rbm
Rbm
3 years ago
Well i look at green energy as another form of energy security. I admit it wont work everywhere. But if half our energy was green maybe we would not be bitching about high fossil fuel prices.
As a middle of the road voter i will vote dem before i republican for the foreseeable future. Not because i agree with the policies. I just dont like the republican party insurrection antics worse.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Rbm
Agree, regardless what you think of climate change or politics, the addition to the energy grid’s welcome and makes us less dependent on foreign despots, replaces foreign jobs with domestic, costs less.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Rbm
How do you feel about the French Revolution? Bring on the cake?
BTW, middle of the road would vote independent. Never Democrap.
Rbm
Rbm
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Well if the was an actual third party i would take their policies into consideration when voting. But there is not. Hey who wants competition. .
Irondoor
Irondoor
3 years ago
Reply to  Rbm
90% of fossil fuels produced is used in transportation of people and goods. Many of those goods have a % of their raw materials from hydrocarbons. It doesn’t matter if you support it or not. There is no alternative.
Rbm
Rbm
3 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
I agree take asphalt for example. It would take a major push in technology to replace those products. .
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
What should scare everyone is what other desperate things the Democrats might do between now and election day in order to win.
They clearly know things are not going well and who knows what crazy give away or other things they may attempt in an effort to persuade voters to vote for them.
If Republicans win the senate and house, I imagine the cries from within the party will be very strong for Biden to resign rather than limp along for 2 more years and damage their chances in 2024.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Kamala will destroy any chance for Democraps in 2024. My bet (hope) is Repubs take the House and Senate, and pull a ‘Newt Gingrich’. That is, they won’t impeach Biden if he signs all legislation. Remembered as the worst president, or one of the best, and Hunter doesn’t do 5 years? What will Biden choose?
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Maybe the Dems will try an insurrection too. It almost worked for Trump.
Business Man
Business Man
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
How did it “almost work for Trump?”
Who was charged with insurrection?
Or are we just now conflating the very grave crime of “parading” and taking selfies in the Senate hallways as an organized overthrow of American government?
Dean_70
Dean_70
3 years ago
Cost of energy is set to explode following the election. This administration needs a major distractor with the disastrous headwinds that are mounting. How about pulling into a direct military conflict and blame someone else as the economy implodes? Seems like the highest probability in this environment.
hmk
hmk
3 years ago
Reply to  Dean_70
Like I posted last times I now believe that this is a deliberate attempt to demolish our political and economic system. Part of the great reset.
Rygon64
Rygon64
3 years ago
Reply to  hmk
I agree with these sentiments. The goal is to knock the United States down a peg and bring in a new world wide system. In order to have a new system the the current system must fall. What is happening now is a controlled demolition that will ultimately lead to people begging for a new system to be introduced.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  Dean_70
“Cost of energy is set to explode following the election.”
Not gas, we have one liquefaction plant coming back online in November that adds about 15% to U.S. LNG production, we then have three more completing construction this year.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
I don’t understand what you are saying. Freeport LNG is an export facility. It has been shut for 5 months which means less exports and more natgas for the US. Which is the biggest reason that natgas prices have come down. Once it begins exporting again, and once the other LNG plants are built, that will allow even more exports. Which means less natgas and higher prices in the US.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Freeport’s back up this month, then we have three new plants this year, Freeport being the reason gas prices are plummeting now – the increased supply to the EU.
Nat gas, like oil, is globally priced…
The U.S. has unlimited nat gas, which is why nat gas is usually so cheap, the only reason prices are up is supply constraints to the E.U., Russia being constricted, their prices are linked to ours.
This is why EV’s are so exciting, we evolve from oil to gas (Via electric generation/power plants) for transport fuel and we’re swimming in it.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
I agree. But it is going to take over a decade for EVs to have an impact on oil, gas, and natgas.
There are 280 million vehicles in the US. Only 1% are EVs, or less than 3 million.
Annual US vehicle production is around 9 million. EV production is currently less than 1 million of that.
I am going to make some optimistic assumptions now. Assume through a tremendous effort we increase EV production by 1 million per year, till we reach 8 million per year by 2030. That’s 36 million more by 2030. 39 m in total. Still only 14% of the total fleet.
By 2040, add 80 million more. 42% of the fleet. And finally a significant impact on the use of fossil fuels.
It will happen eventually, but its a long way away.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Global EV sales went from 3 mil in 2020 to 6.6 mil in 2021, currently looking at almost 11 million this year.
EV growth has a “Moore’s law” feel to it right now.
While we do see a lot more EV’s here in the states now, we are the laggards, you’re right about our numbers.
China’s in the lead for EV sales by a far stretch, but most states are already passing bills/budgets for increasing electric and EV charging infrastructure.
The only constraint in the U.S. is infrastructure but now a charge can be taken from a 240V outlet, like an electric dryer or stove does.
I don’t think it’s going to take as long as you think, total EV’s globally now account for almost 10% of all cars, just three years ago they accounted for half that percent.
Mind, energy prices are global, China’s pretty smart for being ahead of us, problem is the oil lobby here has a stranglehold on campaigns/campaign funding, much like big tobacco once did.
Politicians on big oil payrolls will stand in the way of EV growth.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
As always; nothing I can do about it, except recognize the reality and profit from it.
There is a limit to how many EVs can be built per year. Though I admire your optimism.
MarkraD
MarkraD
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
“There is a limit to how many EVs can be built per year. Though I admire your optimism.”
For decades I said that about Moore’s law.
Global EV sales, 3 mil in 2020, 6.6 mil in 2021, 11 mil this year, that’s twice as fast as Moore’s law.
There are now 17 states following California’s gas car ban, I suspect the 2035 deadline is an overestimation, leaving room for stragglers.
At a rate of almost doubling market share each year, we could be living “Red Barchetta” within five years, “tires spitting gravel, I commit my weekly crime”.
.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
Sorry. There are just too many constraints on production to allow it to keep doubling. Production will peak at a rate that matches annual vehicle replacement.
If the average EV lasts 15 years (current estimates) manufacturers will not invest in production facilities that create more than 1/15 of the world vehicle fleet each year. To do so would be a bad investment.
And even with optimal assumptions, it is going to take 8 years minimum to switch over current production facilities to EV from fossil fuel or to build entirely new facilities.
Then there are resource constraints. An EV uses twice as much copper as an ICE vehicle. Never mind the copper needed in the infrastructure needed to support EVs. I sense a great investment opportunity in copper once EV production gets rolling. Because there simply isn’t enough copper available to quickly expand production.
Not to mention lithium and other battery materials.
And here is some bonus info: Even when EVs eventually become the dominant vehicle type on the roads in about 20 years, they will still consume oil.
The market for lubricants, essential to electric cars and wind turbines, is HUGE at 60% the size of the entire edible oil (olive, soybean,etc) market.
Similarly, what do electric cars drive on? Rubber tires and asphalt…both made from…oil.
Irondoor
Irondoor
3 years ago
Reply to  Dean_70
Does this mean my oil & gas investments will pay off?

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