Despite 7.5% Inflation, 0.50% is the New “High Yield” Interest Rate for Savers

Data from NerdWallet, chart by Mish 

A few days ago we were informed by our bank that fees on out checking account would rise to $25 a month unless we kept a minimum of $10,000 a month in the account. 

I started looking around for the best rates for any account. Even on savings accounts, the best generally available rate is around 0.50%. 

I did not look much closer so there could be hidden gotchas at those rates. 

NerdWallet notes the national average is 0.06% APY on savings accounts.

Bank of America Deposit Rates

Chart courtesy of Bank of America (BofA)

The above chart is from Bank of America as of February 9, 2022. 

The annual interest rates paid on new and existing accounts is 0.01% up to $99,999 and 0.02% for higher balances. Platinum and Diamond honor accounts get 0.04%. 

BofA refers to this as ” Preferred Rewards Tiers” clearly using the word “rewards” quite loosely.

Implied Message

The Bank of America implied message speaks loud and clear: 

  • Please take your money elsewhere unless you are happy with nothing.
  • Unless you want to borrow money, we really can’t be bothered.

Result of Fed QE 

This “please go away” behavior is one artifact of the massive amount of QE the Fed is still pumping. 

This has been going on for a long time. 

On August 23, 2021 Bloomberg reported Fed’s Ability to Set Rates Floor Is Weakening on Cash Deluge, emphasis mine.

The pressure pushing down overnight rates toward zero is proving a major headache for money-market funds. It hampers their ability to invest profitably, and can lead to further disruptions as they begin to waive fees to avoid passing on negative rates to shareholders. A number of firms including Vanguard Group shut down prime money-market funds last year after struggling to cover operating costs in the low-interest-rate environment.

QE applies downward pressure on rates. 

The Fed’s balance sheet is roughly $8.9 trillion dollars and still expanding despite soaring inflation. 

Breaking the Buck

The Fed started paying non-banks interest on reserves or the money market funds or yields would have gone negative and the money market funds would have then been forced to charge interest (not pay interest) on deposits.

The 1-month T-Bill rates has been about 0.03%. That is not enough money for Money Market funds to stay in business.

The Fed pays 0.15% interest on reserves. However, only banks get that 0.15%. Money Market Mutual Funds don’t, and many of them closed. 

To prevent breaking the buck (money markets charging interest on deposits), the Fed recently started paying non-banks 0.05%.

It’s interesting that BofA can make 0.15% on reserves while only paying 0.01% to 0.04% and it still does not want the deposits. Alternatively, so many people will gladly take nothing so why should BofA pay more.

Fed’s Policies Have Crucified Savers

The Fed’s policies rewarded the speculators and crucified the savers, especially the poor. 

The Fed Chair, currently Jerome Powell, meets twice a year with Congress. Tough questions never come up. 

 Sweet Deal for Banks

The Fed currently pays banks 0.15% interest on reserves.

With QE at $8.9 trillion dollars, banks annually collect $13,350,000,000 interest annually on free money the Fed crammed down their throats. 

This has been going since former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke lobbied Congress for the right to pay banks money on excess reserves. The Fed then reduced the reserve requirement to zero, making all reserves excess reserves, now simply called reserves.

I suspect interest the Fed pays on reserves will rise in March, possibly to 0.40% or higher when it hikes in March. On a double hike by 50 basis points, the Fed might pas as much as 0.60% interest on reserves.

Since the Fed has no intention of winding down its balance sheet, the 0.40% interest rate would allow banks to collect $35,600,000,000 a year in “free” money. 

It’s not really free, of course. You and I (taxpayers) foot this bill.

CPI Highest in 40 Years

Despite collecting next to nothing on deposits note that the CPI rose another 0.6% in January, at a year-over-year clip of 7.5%.

For discussion, please see CPI Jumps Most Since February 1982, Up at Least 0.5% 9 Out of Eleven Months

Will Savings Account Rates Rise in March?

The Fed will hike rates in March to the 0.25%-0.50% range or the 0.50%-0.75% range from the current 0.00%-0.25% range.

Q: Will savings account rates rise with Fed hikes?
A: Don’t necessarily count on it. 

Banks don’t really lend from deposits or from bank reserves or QE the Fed forced down their throats. 

That said rates may go up a bit, but less than the amount the Fed pays on reserves. 

The Fed Uncertainty Principle and a Big Swift Kick in the Pants

Does the Fed follow the market’s lead? Most believe so, but it’s not quite that simple.

For discussion of how much the Fed will hike in June, please see The Fed Uncertainty Principle and a Big Swift Kick in the Pants

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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28 Comments
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Jackula
Jackula
4 years ago
Financial repression at it’s worst
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
This is the first article I’ve seen in awhile about looming defaults in real estate:
A Wave of Bankruptcies and Foreclosures Appears to be Building
Siliconguy
Siliconguy
4 years ago
“The Bank of America implied message speaks loud and clear: 
  • Please take your money elsewhere unless you are happy with nothing.
  • Unless you want to borrow money, we really can’t be bothered.”  
Way back in 1984 I got the same message from BOA. Given I was in the Navy at the time and was therefore a small customer, it was obvious they had no use for small customers. 
Some things do remain the same.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
I’ve posted this before, but if you live in the US, consider US Government I-Bonds which are currently paying 7.12%.
Yes, you are limited to 10K purchase a year per tax payer (so a husband and wife and get 20K, if you have your underage kids at least file even a pointless return you can purchase 10K in their name for a college fund etc).
If you have a really large nest egg (half million and up in assets you can use for stocks/bonds/bank accounts etc) you obviously can only partially benefit from this but then many people in that situation are paying someone to professionally manage their money or are actively doing it themselves.
Mish
Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
I would put $1M if I could, alas it was only $20K
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Mish
They wouldn’t return 7% if amounts were not capped. We would get hyperinflation if they did  
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Well, hyperinflation could be the ultimate outcome.  The immediate effect would be a collapse of the corporate and junk bond markets, followed by the stock market and other asset markets.   
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
The way it works since the Emergency Financial Reform Act of 2006, the chances of hyperinflation are greatly reduced, while the possibility of a deflationary collapse based on credit defaults is greatly increased. We have high inflation now because we printed money outright during the pandemic. If that does not continue, we will not have a hyperinflation, just high “garden variety” inflation. If the MMT idiots start running the FED then we should work about hyperinflation.
As it stands, the problem with the money is not over-printing, it is over-leveraging.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
What’s interesting about I-Bonds is that it seems different parts of the government have different opinions on what inflation really is since they are paying 7% while others *cough* the Fed *cough* claim inflation is only about 3%. So it’s clear different government entities have different opinions when you’d think they’d all say the same thing.
Bronco
Bronco
4 years ago
“With QE at $8.9 trillion dollars, banks annually collect $13,350,000,000 interest annually on free money the Fed crammed down their throats.”
This is fiscal policy.  Which Federal Reserve should not conduct.  Federal Reserve remits (after taking out expenses) income from balance sheet to US Treasury.   Giving money to banks lowers remittance to US Treasury.  Back door bailout / hand out to commercial banks at taxpayer’s expense.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
“The Fed’s balance sheet is roughly $8.9 trillion dollars and still expanding despite soaring inflation.”
Now, try the same balance sheet ‘marked to market.’
shamrock
shamrock
4 years ago
This an example of why inflation “gooses” the economy?  If you think you might need a car, tv, computer, washer dryer, get it now.  Also, load up on a year or two worth of household supplies like detergents, canned goods, coffee, sugar, etc.  Why park your cash at 0% and wait to buy stuff later at much higher prices?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
Reply to  shamrock
Why would anyone ‘loan’ their money with interest rates at 0% when inflation is headed to double digits? (The interest rate is the price of money, which says what about the Fed’s malfeasance?)
Expectations do indeed affect demand; however, Inflation doesn’t ‘goose’ anything unless interest rates are suppressed artificially.
shamrock
shamrock
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Interest rates are suppressed.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Inside knowlege acquisition 
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
“The Fed Chair, currently Jerome Powell, meets twice a year with Congress. Tough questions never come up.”
Dr. Malone said that pharma companies don’t check for things they don’t want to know the answer to.
Apparently congress doesn’t ask questions about what they don’t want to know the answer to, as well.
Don’t open a can of worms and you won’t see them.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
— Upton Sinclair
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Debt owed long term at negative real rates can build wealth. With rising rates, this equation is changing, and this credit will dry up. That’s why I was so anxious last year to lock in long term obligations against my rapidly appreciating assets. Smart people, a lot of them, did the same thing.
But for the people who can’t or don’t understand the need to build inflation resistant asset portfolios, the new paradigm will lead to greater and greater ONEROUS debt, the kind of debt that takes and takes and keeps on taking. Not surprisingly, new credit card rates are rising, and brushing against 20%. Banks have no problem lending money, even to people with shaky credit, on accounts that charge 20% and compound the unpaid balances daily. Kaching!
The average interest rate for current credit card accounts and new card offers
Average APR for new credit card offers19.55%
Average APR for all current card accounts14.51%
Average APR for all accounts that accrue interest16.44%
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Debt owed long term at negative real rates is a WEALTH TRANSFER.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
It IS a transfer, from  the bank depositors making no return, to  low rate borrowers. I’m one of those people making nothing on my bank deposits, too. We all are.
So you have choice to make….be a victim and bitch about it, or use credit to lever up, buying some asset that has a chance of beating inflation. Some people can’t handle the risk….but I have a hard time understanding why, when the alternative is a 100% chance of losing 3-7% of your net worth every year sitting in cash.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Correct about the wealth transfer.
It seems have happened roughly around the time banks stopping holding loans on the books and started selling them to MBS’s. At that point, it no longer made sense to have depositors at the bank since from the banks point of view, they are a liability (ie they have to return the cash on demand) and not required to make loans (since those loans are packaged out). Once loans were packaged out, banks had no reason to pay interest on accounts since the money being held wasn’t generating any income for the bank (via loan interest).
It’s been a long time since I kept more than a couple months worth liquid cash in my bank account. Everything else is invested in some form. I wonder how many people actually keep large sums of cash in the bank these days. FDIC only guarantees 100K or so which means it’s a bit crazy to keep anything more than that in an account (and I’m sure most of us think 100K is WAY more than needed).
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Damn!  I can’t remember the last time I paid interest on a credit card balance.  Maybe 30 years ago?
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Inflation in my househodl is running at about 20%. Combine that with resumption of all kinds of activities in 2021 and the bank balance is at it lowest point since the great recession. At the going rate we will be out of money by the end of 2022. We are part of the 20% that make up 70% of consumer spending. I can’t imagine it’s much different in most households with similar makeup. The party is going to end in 2022.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Switch to a credit union.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
And the theft continues until the serfs wake up.
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
the serfs never wake up.  ever.  it’s always a fight of the top 3 to 5% in every civilization.   but they might get the serfs to storm the bank gates………..
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Serfs will wake up when they wake up on empty stomach, but not a minute sooner. It’s a brutal fact of sociology, and the 101 in schoolbook of ruling class. The exception being war.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
The wealth “earned” by the purely leeching classes that the The Fed handed America to has to come from somewhere.
Someone has to create it. Then have it redistributed away from them, by way of debasement, and to the negative-value-add leeches that The Fed as set up to enrich and empower.
It sure ain’t the illiterate leeches themselves; “running Hedge Funds” and sitting on the couch while “their home” goes  Up, up, up; who are creating any of it.

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