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Fed’s Balance Sheet vs the ECB’s Balance Sheet, Who’s Winning the Race?

ECB Balance Sheet Discussion

  • As of November 19, the ECB’s balance sheet reached €8.44 trillion. 
  • Converted to US dollars that’s $9.52 trillion.
  • Pre-Covid, the ECB’s balance sheet was €4.70 Trillion.

This amusing caricature inspired this post.

https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1464831872836325377

Fed’s Balance Sheet 

Fed Balance Sheet Discussion

  • As of November 24, the Fed’s Balance Sheet totaled $8.68 trillion. 
  • Starting April 2021 the Fed was simultaneously doing QE (Balance Sheet Expansion) and Reverse Repos (Balance Sheet Contraction)
  • The current weekly average in Reverse Repos is $1.55 trillion effectively making the true balance sheet total $7.13 trillion. 

ECB vs Fed Balance Sheet Comparison 

  • ECB: €8.44 trillion, $9.52 trillion
  • Fed: $7.13 trillion
  • ECB Expansion Since Start of Pandemic: €3.74 trillion, $4.22 trillion
  • Fed Expansion Since Start of Pandemic: $2.97 trillion

What About Japan and China?

The above numbers from Yardeni are a bit stale and do not account for reverse repos. 

Nonetheless, the chart displays an important idea. 

Grand Total, FED, ECB, BOJ, PBOC

Combined QE Total

Given the numbers are a bit stale, it’s safe to say the combined QE total is now well over $31 trillion.

Congrats Central Bankers!

And also factor in trillions of dollars of stimulus in the US, unknown amounts elsewhere, and a huge supply chain mess everywhere. 

Inflation

Add it all up and you get inflation. 

So why was the price of Thanksgiving up? 

Lets’ see what Elizabeth Warren has to say.

“Americans are paying record high prices for their Thanksgiving turkey while big poultry companies are paying billions in dividends, giving CEOs raises & earning huge profits. These companies are abusing their market power. I’m asking DOJ to investigate.”

What a hoot!

Reader Comments on a New Phase

Reader Eddy commented “We’ve entered a new phase, where politicians are now trying to bully markets with threats of litigation. Oil is too expensive. Meat is too expensive. Profits are forbidden if it means higher prices.”

“It doesn’t take much to get from here to price controls. It’s a very disturbing kind of rhetoric, and it’s a false narrative. But it probably sells well to the younger, progressive wing of the Democratic Party.”

Blue Ribbon Awards

Yesterday, I awarded CNN the Blue Ribbon for the Most Ridiculous Political Opinion of the Month.

The Blue Ribbon for the most ridiculous economic comment for November goes to Elizabeth Warren.

Thanks for Tuning In!

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Mish

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25 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Reader Eddy commented “We’ve entered a new phase, where politicians are
now trying to bully markets with threats of litigation. Oil is too
expensive. Meat is too expensive. Profits are forbidden if it means
higher prices.”
Hey, an open door to a windfall profits tax- on everything.
thimk
thimk
4 years ago
Shame ,shame on you for making a profit , poultry producers. /s   Incidentally  turkey prices where less than 1.00/lb here . 
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
Reply to  thimk
I got a turkey free with rewards program … and there were PLENTY.
With MSM fear mongering I thought we would have to eat hot dogs
thimk
thimk
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
well no shortage of “turkeys” . /s
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
“Who’s Winning the Race?”
Well, I take that as screwing the masses with inflation.
EU cpi Oct (yoy) … 4.1%
US cpi Oct (yoy) … 6.2%
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
@WallStreetSilv
“The ECB money printing continues at a vertical pace”
Gotta love that parabolic curve on the chart.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
“Americans are paying record high prices for their Thanksgiving turkey while big poultry companies are paying billions in dividends, giving CEOs raises & earning huge profits. These companies are abusing their market power. I’m asking DOJ to investigate”
And yet Elizabeth Warren had no problem giving airlines $25 billion bailout in CARES Act – even though that industry in prior 10 years had spent almost $50 billion (96% of free cash flow) on stock buybacks – rather than setting aside some dough for rainy day. 
Where is her outrage THERE!?!
AWC
AWC
4 years ago

 Balance Sheet? Just some lines on a chart intended to make folks believe TPTB know what they are doing. All things considered, the Fed’s only mandate it to print what congress spends and maintain asset prices in the process. It’s all about enhancing cash flow to the Military, Corporate, Financial Complex, and it’s political enablers. Fundamental analysis? Technical analysis? All futile. Buy what Nancy is buying. Buy what Hunter is buying. Buy what B. Gates is buying. Buy what the Fed insiders are buying. 

Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
OT. Oil and energy looking like a dead cat bounce. Nice weather here and my last day off. I’m heading to the lake with the dogs.
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Remember to skip a few flat rocks on the lake, like Opie did on the Andy Griffith Show.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
We’ve entered a new phase, where politicians are now trying to bully markets with threats of litigation. Oil is too expensive. Meat is too expensive. Profits are forbidden if it means higher prices.
It doesn’t take much to get from here to price controls.
It’s a very disturbing kind of rhetoric, and it’s a false narrative. But it probably sells well to the younger, progressive wing of the Democratic Party.
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Do you think the Fed has noticed, after all the Fed’s been trying very hard to achieve these price rises, even they overshoot their 2% target. If they have, they’re not going to halt they’re move to tighter conditions. Or will they just carry on with loose monetary policy and let the politicians continue to take the flak. Which won’t work indefinitely, politicians don’t like taking the blame for anything. 
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Scooot
I think the bubble pops and we have some kind of deflationary event. Just not sure how soon. The Fed has blinders on, and the politicians are clueless. At some point the bug meets the windshield. I’m guessing within 6 months. Hope I have time to get very deleveraged and build some cash.
Got tangible assets?
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
I’m just staying diversified.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Scooot
Do you think a traditional balanced portfolio with a lot of bonds will protect investors in this kind of interest rate environment?  I wonder. 
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
No, I think bonds will go down too, (eventually)  but not so much. They went up with equities so I don’t see why they wouldn’t go down together either. Although, as you know Mish is bullish on bonds with a few others so it’s a difficult call. 
Most of my pension pot is managed by a fund manager, currently it has a very low equity exposure, a large proportion of the fixed income exposure is in indexed linked funds and has been for some time, and most of the rest of the fixed income is in short maturities. It’s positioned very conservatively. I withdrew a chunk in 2019 to buy mainly Gold which is about 15% of the overall pot. I have bought some high yielding irredeemable preference shares recently in good credits, yielding 5.5 to 6% but they’re not that liquid so they’re long time holds. 
Anyway if it all goes pop I just hope to preserve capital, although I’ve no doubt I’ll take a hit of sorts,  rather than make a mint. 
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Buy Hunter Biden artwork. It’s a favor-backed asset.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
And always the appeal is to do something at the Federal level (the worst place to do it because it’s one size fits all). And of course preferably by Presidential decree since it speeds up the decision making process and tramples any rational discussion about the pros/cons of an idea.
It seems more and more that people want the China model where the government is a ‘benevolent dictatorship’ – LOL.
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65

I have wondered whether Mr Powell only got the Presidential nod so he could be the scapegoat. 

Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Scooot
He has to keep the wheels on or pay the price for them falling off. That’s for sure.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
The Democrats are starting to look like Marc Antony at Actium. When they see the Progressive wing start to sail away, they drop everything to follow it.
Mish
Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Excellent comments – I added them to the post and credited you
AWC
AWC
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Price controls? Well, now, I can’t think of any single “Price Control” more relevant to an economic system than the cost of money (Capital). And how is the artificial setting of interest rates by the Fed not the Mother of All Price Controls? An unelected consortium of manipulators and snake oil salesmen? Who flash a glossy colorful Balance Sheet chart in front of Pavlov’s Dogs to get them to salivate?
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  AWC
I can’t think of any single “Price Control” more relevant to an economic system than the cost of money 
I can. The price of a loaf of bread.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Ah, but that bread price is in money. 🙂

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