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Here’s My Number One Investment Idea For 2023

Soul in the Game

To give you more time to ponder investment ideas for 2023, here’s a book review of Vitaliy Katsenelson’s latest book, Soul in the Game. Here are a few snips.

Warren Buffett says that he tap dances to work. He goes to work not because he cannot wait to earn another billion – he is giving the bulk of his money away, anyway – but because he loves investing. He is an artisan; investing is his art and craft.

This is how I strive to lead my life. Just as important, it’s how I want my kids to lead their lives, too.

Love what you do. See art in it. Own it. Have pride in it. Hold sacred taboos. Be a student of life, for life. Focus, and strive for continuous improvement. Be a net positive for society. If you do all this, you may or may not have the fattest bank account, but you are guaranteed a fulfilling and meaningful life. It’s that simple: Have soul in the game!

Vitaliy sent me an advance copy with a message to me that he had never written a non-investment book before. 

After reading the book I told Vitaliy that he was mistaken. His book was very much about investing, investing in life. 

Please read the book. You will enjoy it and learn something from it.

My Number One Investment Idea for 2023

Invest in yourself, your family, and your friends. Invest in life. If you need to lose weight, do it.

Spend more quality time with your friends, family, and loved ones. 

Get out of the echo chamber. I lost a lot of readers these past two years because I criticized things Trump did or said. I lost more when I criticized Biden. 

But if all you are doing is seeking out your own opinion, stop seeking, you already have it. 

Entertain the other side. If you have grudges, they won’t do you any good, so let them go. 

Invest in life. 

Happy New Year.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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45 Comments
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Oldest Most Voted
Kick'n
Kick'n
3 years ago
Well Mish you have gained people too, like myself. A friend suggested I read your blog many years ago. I wish I had listened to him then. I don’t read all of your posts but for the last couple of years I have found you to be fair and honest. Doesn’t mean I think you’re always right but neither am I. Everyone has an opinion and it’s actually important to know them. Finding an unbiased platform on which to express them is no easy feat. But you have done well, and your platform is probably the best I’ve seen on the net…
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
3 years ago
Most people do themselves a disservice with their daily opinion intake. That’s clear. Read more of what you disagree with if you want to challenge your thinking, strengthen your theories, and understand what makes the other side think how they do. It can only help in discourse, and in personal growth.
Liked much of what you said Trump did wrong, but glad you’re not talking about him much any longer. Voted blue but agree with a lot of your criticisms of Biden. Hold them all to account, that’s just being a good citizen.
Article on Tim Cook the other day, his ‘big four words’ are “Do what you love.” Much the same message. Good luck to all in 2023, may you have a reverse ARKK year.
Counter
Counter
3 years ago
Buffett gets bailouts. As with Gates he has no intention of giving his money away. Good way to protect it though
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
3 years ago
awesome advice mish. thanks. i’ve been attending colleges for most of the past 44 years. community college to ivy league and state universities in about five states. for exactly the reason you outline. i view trading stocks and FX and bonds as a fun hobby, too. same with my r/e trading over the decades from depressions, to bubbles. the more beat up the house is, the better. i wake up each day smiling and singing and tap dancing………..life in the rich world in past 75 years, is so spectacularly awesome.
desertsteve
desertsteve
3 years ago
My favorite post of the year Mish. I read your blog for one reason only, to get a different take/perspective on economics.
We can never lose by investing in ourselves physically and mentally.
Cheers to 2023!
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
3 years ago
Reply to  desertsteve
Hear hear!
dhyanba
dhyanba
3 years ago
Hello Mish, I saw this coming as far back as 2006 — wrote this in my book https://aryadharma.world/articles/figured_out/ Investing in people is the most valuable investment a person can make.

To invest in people you don’t need huge amounts of money.

In fact to invest in people, you don’t need any money at all.

To invest in people you need the consistent practice of True Love, Dharma, SEVA (Selfless Sacrifice) and the things I have figured out.

The first people to invest in are your true family and true friends.

Your true family and true friends are not attracted to your wealth, they are attracted to you. They will be the only ones standing by you when you no longer have your wealth.

Your true family is not just your blood family, they are just products of your Karma.

From my personal experience, your blood family usually shows you fish love.

Your true family and true friends give you true love, not fish love.

Refer to my article on what “Real Wealth” is.

The goal of “Real Wealth” is to become immortal. It is to never die. This is the ultimate goal of the Sanathan Dharma. This is the “Real Wealth”.

To be remembered and loved for millenniums like Lord Ram, Jesus and the Sakyamuni.

As the saying goes:

If you live in the hearts of those who we love, is to never die.

This wealth does not come from just earning huge amounts of money.

This wealth can only be developed by the consistent practice of True Love, Dharma, SEVA (Selfless Sacrifice) and the things I have figured out.

It would be an honour and would be glad to send you signed copies of my books https://aryadharma.world/index/book/ and https://artofrealwealth.com/book-ebook/
Both books are available for free PDF download from the above links and at minimum base prices in the kindle store since they dont allow free ebooks.
Cabreado
Cabreado
3 years ago
Been reading since your original blog, and finally had to register for this one, simply to say…
Bravo, Mish.
atryingshepherd
atryingshepherd
3 years ago
Unequivocally a perfect #1 investment idea. I’d be interested in place & show as well.
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
“Invest in yourself, your family, and your friends. Invest in life. If you need to lose weight, do it.
Spend more quality time with your friends, family and loved ones.
Get out of the echo chamber. I lost a lot of readers these past two years because I criticized things Trump did or said. I lost more when I criticized Biden.”
Completely agree Mish. Better to look to the future and the opportunities it provides, rather than endlessly complaining about the past or about things we have no control over.
Better to ignore the partisan political hacks, and cult conspiracy kooks. Or block them so you never have to see another one of their negative posts again. They are simply a waste of your precious time.
Invest in yourself. That will pay far greater dividends in your life than any politician ever will.
Invest in both your health and your wealth.
And thank you Mish for this blog. I plan to spend less time on my comments here in 2023. Quality not quantity. And I plan on blocking even more of the political and cult complainers. I don’t want to waste my precious time on them.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
3 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Cut and paste?
Or just paste twice?
PapaDave
PapaDave
3 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Copy and paste. Accidentally typed my initial response in the wrong thread. So I copied it to the proper thread.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
LCP
LCP
3 years ago
Sound advice. Thanks and Happy New Year!
Corvinus
Corvinus
3 years ago
Indeed.
CRZYHUN
CRZYHUN
3 years ago
Tempus fugit. Smell the flowers etc.
Miles doing the song…
Happy new year and hope for a creation not war.
Mouse
Mouse
3 years ago
We have too much central planning to be happy.
It doesn’t matter if that central planning is the Federal Reserve, or the covid nazis, or the eco-terrorists, or the bureaucrat micro-managed healthcare system (you and your doctor can’t do what you want with your body, you must obey with profit motivated “guidelines”), or the indoctrination camp mislabeled “public education”.
You must dedicate at least 30% and as much as 50% of your income, from your own labor, to making the most inept and most corrupt members of society happy. You can try to live on what’s left.
For 2023 and beyond… learn how to solve your own problems. If you are able, try to help your family. If you are able, offer (do not insist) on helping your immediate neighbor if they want help (not people across the country or across the world). But for God’s sake, stop thinking the government can or should solve every problem. The evidence is overwhelming that they can’t (are not able), and most of them are too corrupt with massive conflicts of interest.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
I have long held the opinion that life is about learning in all of its aspects; that the highest calling is that of a true teacher. I have been fortunate to know some of them–people with the ability to guide you to go beyond the limits of your mind. A few contribute here, but finding them requires open and critical thinking, and the desire to share knowledge and experiences.
Mouse
Mouse
3 years ago
Temperatures outside my house just hit 33F degrees… its global warming!
Everyone stop reading Mish, get in your private jets and fly around the world telling other people to lower their standards of living. Then order your chef to prepare a lobster lunch.
If other people can afford to heat their homes or fill their gas tanks, how can you say you are progressive?
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Mouse
You’re the one calling people progressive, and making up other stories. Maybe take a look at the possibility your miserable situation is your own fault, instead of trying to blame imaginary people for it.
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
3 years ago
The most important thing you have in life is your health, physically and mentally. Agreed, take whatever steps needed to ensure your health.
Personally I always reflect at year end on the year passed and the coming year.
One should be grateful for what one has in life.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Probably your wisest post ever. Thanks.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
Denninger slams any and all politicians, including Trump, and i still read his diatribes every day, even though i was some time ago treated to his ban hammer. I have never blocked any commenter here, over their opinions. Some complain about off topic subjects, but i just skip a story if not interested.
The sentiment of this story is uplifting, but it now feels like i am living Orwell’s 1984 and it hangs over everything like a dark cloud.
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
“Some complain about off topic subjects, but i just skip a story if not interested.:
Some are not capable of just skipping a story if not interested. They must control the agenda and anything against their echo chamber is not allowed.
I know I dont have to say who the multiple alias scam artist is who insists on censoring any thoughts outside his echo chamber.
GaryL
GaryL
3 years ago
Excellent investment idea! Have a great year.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
3 years ago
See John Cochrane: “The Federal Reserve does not even pretend to control money supply, especially inside money”.
If you can’t define the variables, you can’t apply the math. And if you can’t apply the math, you know nothing about the variables.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
Reply to  Salmo Trutta
My graduate studies were in control systems. Quite simply put, it is mathematically impossible to control 2 linearly independent outputs (employment and inflation) with a single control input (interest rates). The Fed needs to spend time this year investing in itself.
Mish
Mish
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
This is correct. I have made that claim many times but you stated it far better.
Mouse
Mouse
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
Central economic planning is a dumb idea that always fails. Central banks are no exception.
Portlander2
Portlander2
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
As you point out, this is (strictly speaking) only true mathematically if the two outputs are functionally independent.
However, employment, inflation and myriad other economic variables are always functionally interdependent. There are many feedback loops. It’s not just linear input-output. Being a system involving unpredictable humans in non-linear chaos, these functional relationships are probably morphing all the time. While we don’t understand this organism very well, there are certain macro phenomena we can fairly reliably predict.
Here’s a thought experiment: keep raising interest rates higher and higher. Eventually, by changing this one input, employment AND inflation WILL fall (the Fed’s goal of “cooling off” the economy) because, beyond a certain level, interest rates dominate everything else, as Volcker demonstrated in the ’80’s. A tipping point is reached when all other functional relationships and feedbacks amplify the signal in reverse, in a doom loop.
The trick is to avoid a crash–i.e. more unemployment (“demand destruction”) than the Fed wants. But with one input–interest rates–the Fed simply doesn’t have the requisite fine control to do that, because tipping points in a chaotic system are inherently hard to control. I would say (unlike you) it should be mathematically possible for the reasons stated above. But it’s probably not practically possible, usually, with our limited knowledge. Maybe eventually, with quantum AI computing or something, it may become possible! One can always hope. Maybe, then, we won’t need the Fed anymore, just a good algorithm. Maybe, by then, we won’t need politicians anymore, either.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
3 years ago
Reply to  Portlander2
Volcker’s reign was a myth. Volcker: ““The immediate consequence of so many
Americans paying off their credit cards was a sharp drop in bank deposits and
the money supply.” – Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government
Volcker drained legal reserves in Feb. Mar. & Apr. in 1980 at the same time the distributed lag effect of money flows hit. Volcker then unleashed them at a 17% annualized rate.
Portlander2
Portlander2
3 years ago
Reply to  Salmo Trutta
I believe most economists agree that the recession of 1980 was due to Volcker raising interest rates and the lingering effects of the 1979 energy crisis; and the second recession 6 months later was basically a continuation of the first. In the 1980 and 1981-83 recessions, loss of jobs and reduced inflation (the two outputs) followed a big increase in the interest rate (the single input) just as my thought experiment posited.
I do not praise this approach, but I’m not sure what alternative Volcker had given the tools available. Manufacturing employment never regained its 1979 peak. These were traumatic recessions to many workers and had deep long-term effects. The collateral damage, particularly to families, was incalculable. But it’s basically a truism: if you raise interest rates enough, you can effectively kill the economy (jobs), and the resultant demand destruction WILL bring down inflation (CPI).
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
3 years ago
Reply to  Portlander2
When you have enough relationships that are non-linear and randomly related they are usually lumped together as “noise.”
You can’t go wrong by adding another unknown constant to the end of the equation.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
It’s much worse.
Those 2 outputs are anything but linear.
One might say their correlation has a high random coefficient.
Makes me think of making plans according to “the state of the cat in the box.”
But the Fed keeps acting on their shibboleths notwithstanding.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
3 years ago
My number one concern for 2023 is the Federal Deficit rising when the FED is tightening. Is this time different?
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
3 years ago
Mishes’ commitment keeps me motivated, and his search for ideas. Ever heard of Richard Dennis and the turtles?

See:
Hedge Fund
Market Wizards: How Winning Traders Win by Jack D. Schwager
Market Wizards, Updated: Interviews With Top Traders by Jack D. Schwager
The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America’s Top Traders by Jack D.
Schwager

How about “Welles Wilder who founded the Delta Society International. His purpose was to share his discovered “secret of the perfect order behind the markets”. This order, the Delta Phenomenon, is the basis of all market movement relative to time?”
How about Daneric’s Elliott Waves? – who is extremely bearish?
I always liked reading Joseph Granville even though he became out of touch.
OldJarhead
OldJarhead
3 years ago
You can’t please everyone, but you can continue to call ’em like you see ’em, and thanks for that. That is much more valuable, to me at least. My family have spent time and money improving our lives and our surroundings. Our relationships, infrastructure, knowledge, and hopefully resilience.
twh64
twh64
3 years ago
Thanks Mish. For always being independent, honest, unselfish, etc, etc. Was unceremoniously ‘retired’ from my job in Nov that I cared for with my ‘soul’. Your advice, in general, and for 2023, in particular, is always helpful for me. Respect, Tom
Portlander2
Portlander2
3 years ago
Reply to  twh64
Tom–I’ve been in that place once. It happened to me, as with you, in November. The holidays are hard when this happens. My only advice (for what it’s worth) is to just hang in there and know that life is not always fair but has a way of taking turns for the better. Also: stay in touch with your friends. You don’t have to carry this weight alone. Oftentimes they are the ones that lead you to the next big thing.
atryingshepherd
atryingshepherd
3 years ago
Reply to  twh64

I felt this same sting earlier this year and was stunned at how gutted I was. Portlander2’s advice is spot on. Reconnect and improve the relationships with those close to you. But it’s okay to lie on the couch and watch StarTrek reruns for a while. Find someone to talk with, ideally someone who you know has gone through it. It’s okay to hurt.

prumbly
prumbly
3 years ago
StarTrek reruns could push someone right over the edge. Better to watch “Falling Down” or “The Equalizer”.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Just don’t forget the currency is love, else the harvest will be naught.
Avery
Avery
3 years ago
Anything to keep one away from The Big Pharma / Healthcare Industrial Death Machine Complex is a huge win!
Unplugging the big news media / entertainment corpse is next.
Supporting small independent stores and service providers.
PreCambrian
PreCambrian
3 years ago
People that love life are not automatically against one side or the other. They love to learn.
And while you (Mish) fall much to the “right” of my general philosophy, I read your postings because you usually have well thought out reasons for your opinions.
Thanks for the advice.
wmjack50
wmjack50
3 years ago
Life is short –Love your Creator and Love your fellow beings —be thankful
Bohm-Bawerk
Bohm-Bawerk
3 years ago
Excellent advice Mish.
The ‘pursuit of happiness’ is always a challenge and needs constant attention but every once in a while I think we can catch it.

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