Kiss GM’s Bolt Goodbye, GM Looks to Electric Pickup Trucks Instead

GM Kills Off Chevy Bolt EV, Puts Spotlight on Trucks

The Wall Street Journal reports GM Raises 2023 Profit Outlook, Kills Off Chevy Bolt EV

General Motors Co. GM raised its full-year profit outlook for the year, citing consumers’ willingness to spend big on high-end models, even as the Detroit auto maker tightens its own belt.

GM said it plans to end production of the Chevy Bolt at the year’s end, after troubles with battery fires and sluggish sales for the model that helped kick off the auto maker’s push into the technology.

GM’s decision to unplug the Bolt—while expected by analysts—ends a troubled run for the model, which had become a black eye for the car company after battery fires and costly recalls dented its early push into electric vehicles.

The small SUV, which was introduced in 2016, uses an older battery configuration that GM is retiring. GM said it would retool its Bolt factory to make electric pickup trucks.

GM to Retire the Chevy Bolt EV to Make Way for Electric Pickups

Bloomberg chimes in with GM to Retire the Chevy Bolt EV to Make Way for Electric Pickups

 General Motors Co. will end the seven-year run of the Chevrolet Bolt compact EV and its Bolt EUV stablemate as the company converts a plant in Orion, Michigan, to produce large electric trucks.

GM will make the move by year-end as the automaker reconfigures its sole Bolt plant to begin building battery-powered versions of its Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra full-sized pickups. 

Bolt owners are very loyal to GM, though some were turned off when the car was plagued by a rare defect that led to battery fires. That forced GM to recall every one of the 142,000 vehicles that were made. While owners waited for a new battery, they had to severely limit the charge on the battery and, as a result, how far they could drive.

GM Reaction to Raised Profit Outlook

GM Daily Chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com, annotations by Mish

The market reaction to GM’s increased profit guidance was a big thud. What a messy chart. Let’s step back to a weekly view.

GM Weekly Chart 

GM Weekly Chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com, annotations by Mish

Bear Flag

That’s one hell of a bear flag and it appears to be breaking in the expected direction. 

GM will retool for electric trucks whether the market wants them or not. 

Tesla’s electric truck is supposed to start delivery this summer. 

Tesla Cybertruck Now Coming Summer 2023, Volume Production in 2024

In January, MotorTrend reported Tesla Cybertruck Now Coming Summer 2023, Volume Production in 2024

If you are one of the many would-be Tesla Cybertruck buyers anxiously waiting for your pickup truck to be built, your patience is still a ways away from being rewarded. Production of the electric truck should begin this summer, but don’t get too excited about the timing because the numbers will be small, Tesla CEO Elon Musk told investors on a call to report fourth-quarter 2022 earnings.

Early Models Are on the Road Now

In the above video from a couple months ago Craig Fuller at Founder/CEO of FreightWaves, American Shipper chimes in with his take. 

In one clip of the video, musk promised delivery in 2019. The semi has finally arrived. 

Missing from the delivery announcement to Pepsi in December of 2022 were economics, a million mile guarantee, and autopilot announced in 2017.

Craig Fuller “The Tesla Semi to Pepsi, was actually a different sort of experience [to the 2017 hype]. It felt like they were dialing it in. They had promised these things and were going to deliver them but it just didn’t feel like it had the hype that we had a couple years ago.” 

The truck was supposed to have a 500-mile range at maximum weight at highway speeds. 

Fuller: “There are some initial reports that it cannot handle the weight or the distance that was initially promised. And so it’s more of a wait and see.”

Frito-Lay is a subsidiary of Pepsi. Fuller notes the weight difference between delivering potato chips and cans of pop. 

Pepsi is rumored to pay about $180,000 per vehicle. The current assumptions are the actual price will be double that of diesel. 

It’s an interesting video. Inquiring minds will want to give it a play. 

Tesla Daily Chart 

Tesla daily chart courtesy of StockCharts.Com, annotations by Mish

Tesla is a Technical Analysis Gap Lover’s Paradise, What’s Going On?

Technically speaking, Tesla has an active island reversal plus three open gaps on the daily chart. 

Cathie Wood has a $2,000 price target by 2027, 

I find Wood’s target preposterous. For discussion, please see Tesla is a Technical Analysis Gap Lover’s Paradise, What’s Going On?

Like it or not, and despite cost differentials, electric vehicles are coming. Do we have the minerals? The infrastructure? 

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
2 years ago
GM had tried electric cars back in the 90s–the EV1 was a 1990 concept car that made it into production from 1996-1999, and stopped after problems became insurmountable. At the time, electric cars were NOT profitable–the market simply was not there for GM to reach breakeven given its cost structure, and battery technology at the time. Lead acid and NiMH batteries could not cut it. BTW, in 2017 Musk said the Tesla cars were started as a result of GM cancelling the EV1 program.
After that experience, GM was convinced the
automotive future lay in fuel-cell technology (proton exchange membrane) . It was clean, readily available, with the same advantages as
combutsion engines, and one big disadvantage. The problem was using
hydrogen safely when it was highly explosive… (delivering for
distribution, storage, etc)
Only now are GMs hydrogen-powered vehicles and generators coming to market. It will be interesting to see what happens.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Hydrogen won’t happen other than as a tiny experimental niche.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
There will be giant ships, lighter than air, providing intercontinental travel and shipping.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Hindenburg II
prumbly
prumbly
2 years ago
Who would have guessed that there would be problems selling people inferior technologies (EVs) at much higher prices? Well, duh!!!
I wouldn’t call myself an environmentalist but I am opposed to EVs on environmental grounds. They are horribly polluting. The fact that most of this pollution happens in third-world countries doesn’t make it OK.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  prumbly
The technology isn’t inferior. It’s superior. EVs way outperform ICE engines. And the only reason some cost way more is because dealerships are charging way over MSRP. Demand is far greater than supply. Once supply catches up to demand, prices will go way down.
You can buy a Tesla model 3 for $40k. If you add in the $7500 credit, it costs $32,500. Not expensive.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
$32,500 for a car is needlessly expensive.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
The average new car costs more than that. Look it up.
PeterEV
PeterEV
2 years ago
@Papa Dave
World Natural Gas production is forecast to peak around 2050 according to Exxon. CNG is a stop gap.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  PeterEV
Ah yes, the ol’ “peak oil” again. LOL
PeterEV
PeterEV
2 years ago
@HippyDippy
We are in the midst of development. I view your comments like saying the airplanes in the 1920’s can cross the Atlantic. The airports aren’t there. The safety is not there. etc.
I drive electric and LOVE IT!!! My pack could have been made of Lithium Iron Phosphate (no rare earths). In fact a lot of companies are trying to find ways of not using rare earths. Telsa motors are being made without rare earths.
All your comments are a Red Herring and maybe justified in some cases but that justification is fleeting.
Siliconguy
Siliconguy
2 years ago
Reply to  PeterEV
Cobalt is not a rare earth.
As for the vehicles, electric commuter cars make a great deal of sense. Electric pickups much less so, except for the case of local delivery applications. Pulling even a modest RV through the mountains, forget it, especially where there is nowhere to recharge.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Siliconguy
EVs have their pluses and minuses, and a BIG minus is when they are used for towing or hauling. Especially uphill, and especially in cold weather. In those cases, range becomes a joke. I see these claims of how much an electric pickup can tow. The claims are based on the superior torque of electric motors. No question, they’ll get moving. Now just watch how far they can tow X thousands of pounds. The reports on the Ford F-150 Lightning are utterly DEVASTATING, not to mention their completely f’ed up software that requires an on-air connection for recharging and doesn’t even work half the time.
Ford grabbed a bazooka, aimed it at both feet, and pulled the trigger. You should see what people are saying. I am very well versed in pickups, owning a one-ton diesel Ram 3500 and living in the countryside. I have yet to see an electric pickup that will get ‘er done in the countryside. It’s going to be a long time until I see an electric truck in the parking lot of a rodeo, with a horse trailer in back. Same goes for an electric pickup pulling an RV. Notice that none of them dares enter the heavy-duty market. GM is making a gigantic mistake to sh*tcan the Bolt in favor of electric pickups.
The energy density of a battery is <5% of diesel or gas. Same goes for electric long-haul semitrucks. Anyone who says otherwise doesn’t know s*it from shinola about trucks. An electric semi simply will not cut it through the Great Plains in February, or even July. Mark my words.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Few expect electric cars and trucks will take over completely thermal engines just as the jet didn’t eliminate propeller aircraft. In some conditions thermal is better than electric and vise versa.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Most pickup owners aren’t hauling a heavy load hundreds of miles up and down hills. Most are normal home owners who like driving a truck or a blue collar worker hauling light materials to a job. There will be some holdouts who will try to keep their ICE pickups as long as possible, but the vast majority will switch to an EV without much fuss.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Have you priced them? Nah, you’re rich. Who cares how much they cost?
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Siliconguy
Regenerative braking – just recharge on the way down 😉
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
I’m sure you know that you get a lot less from regen going downhill than you used going up.
prumbly
prumbly
2 years ago
Reply to  PeterEV
“We are in the midst of development”. Didn’t you say the same thing when Betamax came out?
PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago

Batteries will continue to improve. Electric will dominate over time. But its still a couple of decades away before EVs are the majority of vehicles on the road.

In the meantime, plug-in hybrids that can drive 30 miles on a full charge and then switch to gas are a good option for many consumers. Since over 95% of all trips are less than 30 miles.
And CNG for transport trucks is a lower emission option compared to diesel. Particularly since North America is blessed with a lot of natural gas. At this point only 175k transport and delivery trucks use CNG in the US but I expect that number to grow.
I mentioned earlier that Tourmaline is building 20 CNG stations in Alberta Canada for transports and hopes to expand this over time. Not a game changer by any means but a small step in the right direction.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Range is a big issue with CNG. It’s not a suitable fuel for long-distance driving.
PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Not according to this. And not all transport vehicles are long haul.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Your source isn’t exactly an independent one. I did some clicking, and I think CNG semis don’t sell very well for the following reasons:
1. They cost 40% more than diesel trucks, and the payback from cheaper fuel isn’t fast enough to overcome the differential.
2. CNG is tougher on engine components, especially fuel injectors, so they have higher maintenance costs
3) There aren’t many technicians trained in CNG maintenance
4) CNG is less energy-dense, so the fuel tanks have to be bigger to achieve equivalent range. A diesel truck with a 300-gallon fuel tank (actually, two 150-gallon tanks is how it works) has a theoretical range of 2,000 miles. CNG range with the biggest tanks is 600-700 miles. And that’s overstated: as a CNG tank is drawn down the pressure is reduced, so the last one-third of a CNG tank is often inaccessible.
5) CNG isn’t as readily available as diesel.

https://measuringstuff.com/range-of-a-semi-truck-how-far-can-it-go-on-full-tanks/

I have a friend who’s a long-haul trucker, and I haven’t yet asked him about diesel v CNG, but I could. Knowing him, I think I’m going to hear all of the reasons above to not have a CNG truck. I’m not against CNG, but only being objective. I think California is going to mandate CNG, and it’ll be interesting to see how that works out.

PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb

Don’t care. I’m not going to waste time on this. Its simply an expanding niche. Like electric transport. It will be used where appropriate. I didn’t say it would replace ALL diesel trucks. Just some of them.

JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
You don’t care because you are afraid to care. Facts scare the sh*t out of you. Dream on, Democrat. LOL
PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Still don’t care. Believe what you want. I will now hit the IGNORE button on you for wasting my time. So I won’t have to see any more of your posts. Bye.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Bye, and good riddance. LOL
Quagmire46
Quagmire46
2 years ago
I love how the people in this video seem to assume the production of electricity can be made pollution free. What bunk!
If we had vast resources of hydro dams or geothermal, maybe … just maybe. News flash: WE DON’T.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  Quagmire46

Ever notice that big flaming ball in the sky?

Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
I was looking for it last night and couldn’t find it.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
If he lives in Seattle he has never seen it.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Quagmire46
I don’t care about CO2, but on a U.S.-wide basis, an EV is responsible for about 60% of the CO2 output of a gasser. I researched this quite a while back, and the numbers still hold as a back-of-the-envelope estimate. The balance has titled a bit more toward EVs as natural gas has replaced coal in a growing share of power plants, and wind and solar have grown.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
There’s effectively no way to make a value-for-money case for BEVs. So GM does what the rest do: Focus on selling oversized, overpriced vanity pieces to the Fed Welfare classes.
Sad thing is, were it NOT for the silly promotion of pointless behemoths to look-at-me’s, there could possibly be a meaningful niche for BEVs as 2nd car genuine city vehicles. Below a certain size, ICE powertrains start noticeably encroaching on interior space, function ad even price, in ways much easier to work around in electric vehicles. Doubly so in electric vehicles purpose built for short trips at low, stop-n-go speeds. Just look at Birds ad other kick scooters, for a farthest corner case.
But all this goes out the window, when aspiring purveyors of such vehicles, has to compete with vanity seeking Musk groupies on infinitely printed up Fed welfare, for every ingredient and component going into the things.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
The newest generation of EV sedans will go for ~200 miles on a charge, using 80% of the battery’s capacity. More in some places and in warm weather, less in the dead of winter. This makes BEVs viable urban commuter vehicles.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
2 years ago
GM is also replacing AppleCar with GoogleCar infotainment system. Apple is by far the most popular brand of smartphone, and it would seem that someone with an Appl product would want a car with an Apple interface for 100% compatibility.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
Once you have entered the Apple universe (by whatever device) you can checkout any time you like but you can never leave.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
The only interface I need between my phone and car is an 1/8” Jack for audio
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
2 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
Just to be clear, Android outsells Apple by an enormous margin so Android is the worlds most popular smartphone O/S.
That’s what matters and why it’s smart to change to GoogleCar from AppleCar.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
The Bolt EUV is/was in heavy demand. It’s hard to find one and dealers were charging $5k over msrp. The problem is GM loses money on them. The big 3 auto makers only make money off full sized pickups and SUV equivalents. Everything else loses money.
Tesla and a few Chinese auto makers have figured out how to make a profit off EVs. No one else has. All the others are way behind, heavily in debt, and have little chance of being able to compete over the next decade. VW has finally figured this out and is trying to catch up. Most of the others are in denial. If the best Chinese companies setup retail outlets across the US, the big 3 would go under. There’s no way they could compete.
jivefive98
jivefive98
2 years ago
News flash for everyone even remotely considering buying an electric vehicle: #1 buying a dedicated electric vehicle (no gasoline, like the Bolt or any Tesla) is dumb, dumb, dumb for this time in history, when gasoline as backup is available, driving plans change constantly, recharging takes between 30 mins and 8 hours (not the 2 minutes a gasoline fill-up takes), and running out of electricity with no backup energy source (like a gasoline engine on a Volt) is just stupid, and #2 if there was ever the biggest lie in history, it will be the range that an electric vehicle can maybe, kinda, sorta go. The two biggest users of KwHs/electricity in your house is A/C and heat (by a mile). Which do you think gets turned up by humans “suffering” inside their freezing and sweltering vehicles, using up the electricity a lot faster? BOTH! It is gonna take years to get the population used to the idea of driving electric vehicles. Dont buy dedicateds, and all range forecasts are lies!
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  jivefive98
Range forecasts have been proven accurate by countless users. And buying a hybrid is dumb. You’ll have all the issues that a ICE car and electric car have. Much better to buy an EV.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Toyota has a golden opportunity to stick a 60-70 kWh battery into the Prius C. Honda missed with the Clarity. Toyota is the world’s smartest car maker, so they’re the ones to watch. Ram is a possibility for pickups, because at least the battery begins to be big enough. But it’s still too small, so that won’t cut it either. People who think electric pickups can cut it are people who don’t know anything about them.

A couple quibbles.

1. A sedan EV with the 60-70 kWh batteries works as an urban commuter vehicle.

2. A gasser takes 5 minutes to fill, not 2 minutes.

JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
When Tesla picked a camera system rather than LIDAR for “self driving,” they sealed their fate on that feature. Their “cyber truck” will sell some, but it’ll be a failure as a pickup. Elon Musk doesn’t know anything about pickup trucks, and it shows.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Range forecasts have been accurate. We shall see if that continues.
Matt3
Matt3
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
As long as the weather is good. For pick ups, the point of the truck is to haul stuff. My mileage is way down pulling a trailer so I assume my range will also drop making it just too painful as a useful truck
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Matt3
The EPA estimates are midpoints. If you drive in Florida or California on flat ground and aren’t towing or hauling, you’ll do better. If it’s January in Chicago, you’ll do worse. If you’re towing an RV uphill, good luck. The latter is one big reason why electric pickups are going to be a tough sell. Same goes for electric semitrucks. At the same time, the numbers do show that the latest generation of BEVs are viable urban commuter vehicles. Also, once a BEV is driven faster than about 45 mph, fuel economy drops.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  jivefive98
I’m going to wait until someone can fill me up in 5 minutes from a can of electricity when I run out on the road.
Quagmire46
Quagmire46
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
I wonder if they will sell all electric jumper cables capable of doing just that.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
If only there were an instrument in the car that could tell you how far you have left to go…
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Or if I have enough to get there 😉
prumbly
prumbly
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Don’t gas cars also have such an instrument. And yet…
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
That will not happen. Probably never, but certainly not in the foreseeable future. Not only would the electric line to the charger or charging station have to be VERY high capacity, but fast charging to that degree would kill battery life.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Sorry to see the Bolt go. GM was just starting to get it right. Electric pickups are going to be a much tougher row to hoe, given how most of them are used. For confrmation, do a search on Ford Lightning problems. I thought it’d be a flop, and said so from the beginning, but the result has been even worse than I thought. Electric semis simply are not viable inter-city vehicles and can never be with lithium-ion technology. The batteries lack the requisite energy density to make it happen. At most, they’ll be used on a very limited, short-haul basis as rolling corporate virtue signalers. I say all this as someone who has owned an EV for 11 years, and who knows the details. Given that this is social media, and attention spans are minimal, I won’t do the brain dump.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
2 years ago
Reply to  JackWebb
Congrats, you EV battery lasted 11 years and still going?
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Yeah, the battery is fine, but the car is a Think which makes it an orphan. Bad PCU board. Might just be a fuse, but it’s been too cold to work on it. Two versions of the board; whether I can fix it depends on which gen it is. The car’s been an in-town grocery getter.
Portlander2
Portlander2
2 years ago
GM’s termination of the Bolt is so typical. It joins the EV-1, the Saturn, and the Volt to the GM graveyard. Even with Federal incentives, GM can’t make a success of a new product because it can’t persevere. It’s not a technology-driven company, but MBA-driven. The engineers in that company must be sorely disappointed (and now thoroughly demorlized), the CFO delighted. It shows that Detroit really doesn’t have its heart on succeeding in the EV mass market space. Electric trucks? Is that the answer? Or maybe importing them from its Chinese EV subsidiary? Pathetic!
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
2 years ago
Reply to  Portlander2
Bob Lutz said it years ago in Car Guys vs. Bean Counters. BY 2008-9, he almost had GM headed in the right direction, until Obama f^(ked it up.
JackWebb
JackWebb
2 years ago
Reply to  Portlander2
The EV-1 was a joke. Used lead-acid batteries. It was barely even a concept car. The pesky details weighed very heavily against that experiment. Only when lithium-ion was developed were EVs going to be viable, and then only for urban commuter cars.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
2 years ago
Do we have the minerals? No. Do we have the infrastructure? No. Does everyone, including those pushing them, know this? Yes. What with the incredible mix of absolute madness coming from everywhere, it seems that we will own nothing whether we like it or not. And so, the slaves love their masters even more.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
Do you know what you’re talking about? No.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Love how you couldn’t point to anything I said as being wrong. Because I’m not.

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