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Lael Brainard Leaves the Fed to Become Biden’s Economic Advisor, What’s the Impact?

Brainard Gone, Now What?

The Wall Street Journal reports Lael Brainard’s Fed Departure Could Leave Immediate Imprint on Inflation Fight

Ms. Brainard’s move to lead Mr. Biden’s National Economic Council means the Fed will lose an influential top official who has advocated for a marginally less aggressive approach to raising interest rates than Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

While she has publicly backed Mr. Powell in rapidly raising rates over the past year to fight inflation by slowing the economy, Ms. Brainard has at times emphasized different considerations in setting policy, including the risks of lifting rates more than necessary.

She had become one of the Fed’s most persuasive policy “doves,” officials who think high inflation is likely to slow as lingering effects of the pandemic reverse and who want to minimize potential job losses. By contrast, the central bank’s “hawks” more readily embrace stiffer measures to curb inflation.

At the margins, Ms. Brainard’s Fed exit raises the risk of a recession because it could lead the central bank to raise rates more aggressively this spring, said Derek Tang, an economist at the forecasting firm LH Meyer.

“Who is Going to Take on that Mantle?”

It would have taken a lot of effort to write something worse than that fluff analysis.

Sure, Brainard is terrible, but nothing stops Biden from nominating someone even worse.

Which is precisely what I expect.

Powell Replay

To go one further, Elizabeth Warren is highly likely to have a hand in picking the nominee.

This is a replay of the the setup I discussed on December 28, 2021 in Elizabeth Warren May as Well Be President, She Makes All Biden’s Calls

My post was about a WSJ article that was spot on. 

President Biden is considering Sarah Bloom Raskin for a top role at the Federal Reserve as part of a slate of three nominees for central bank board seats, according to people familiar with the matter.

Ms. Raskin’s nomination could mollify progressive Democrats, some of whom opposed Mr. Biden’s decision in November to offer a second term to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a Republican first chosen for the top job by former President Trump. 

Mr. Biden is also considering two economists for other Fed board seats that will soon be vacant: Lisa Cook, a professor of economics and international relations at Michigan State University; and Philip Jefferson, a professor and administrator at Davidson College in North Carolina.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) has signaled to the White House she would support either Ms. Raskin or Richard Cordray, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s first confirmed director, who also has been under consideration for the Fed’s banking-regulator post.

The potential nominations of Ms. Cook and Mr. Jefferson, both Black economists, would help Mr. Biden achieve his promise to improve diversity atop the central bank, which in its 108-year history has had only three Black board members, all of them men. The most recent was former Fed Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson, who left the board in 2006.

Ms. Cook expressed support for programs in Mr. Biden’s economic agenda during a recent Fed conference on gender and the economy. Asked on a Nov. 8 panel to identify three policies that would be most impactful in addressing discrimination and lack of opportunity, Ms. Cook cited child-care and elder-care support, paid family leave and infrastructure. 

Also recall Biden’s Bank Regulatory Nominee Espouses Helicopter Money and Praises the Old USSR

Joe Biden’s nominee for the Comptroller of the Currency Saule Omarova on oil, coal and gas industries: “We want them to go bankrupt if we want to tackle climate change.”

Say what you will about old USSR, there was no gender pay gap there.

Mercy!

Please consider The People’s Ledger by Saule Omarova : How to Democratize Money and Finance the Economy

Click on the link and Download the report. It’s a doozie. She proposes ending banks and giving everyone a direct account at the Fed. 

I am convinced Warren was behind the nomination of Omarova.

Warren Will Push Hard for These Marxists

It is a given that Warren will push for someone on the Fed who is both a Marxist and a climate-change clown. 

Unfortunately, there is a very good chance the nominee is approved this time because Democrats control the Senate with a vote to spare. If there is a single defection, Kamala Harris will cast the tiebreaking vote.

That means the very best we can hope for is someone who is equally bad as Brainard. 

This post originated at MishTalk.Com

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23 Comments
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3 years ago
Kashkari
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Worst administration ever. By far. They appoint people based on how they look. Not on whether or not they’re the most competent for the job. Racism/sexism at the extreme. And they accuse Trump of racism. Whatever they do, they accuse their opponents of doing. How long would a NFL or NBA GM keep their job if they drafted based on looks instead of talent?
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn

Just carrying on from the prior admin. Will Hunter get 2 billion from the Saudis like Jared?

KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Trumps cabinet was far superior to the current one. Not even close.
Do you seriously think what Jared did is even remotely close to what Biden did in Ukraine?
bobcalderone
bobcalderone
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Wow! 2 billion will buy Hunter a mountain of crack
worleyeoe
worleyeoe
3 years ago
Would be nice Trump win term 2 and bring his Schedule F plan to the Fed, JPowell and all.
“We want them to go bankrupt if we want to tackle climate change.”
Sure. Let’s see them all go under in the next 5 years or so and see how that turns out for America.
Robbyrob
Robbyrob
3 years ago
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
A month after Trump left the neo were attacked. Spring fighting need LOL plugged in.
Grattzi
Grattzi
3 years ago
Good news Mish. Lael is married to Kurt Campbell, quite the deep state neocon who is also a Biden advisor on Asia Not sure if nepotism in the WH is a good thing (it is not), but as for the FED, this is a good thing.
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
3 years ago
they are fascists. there are NO marxists in pax dumbphuckistan. FFS mish. you know better. i think.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  vanderlyn
No! They’re the love child of the Boogie Man and Lady Sasquatch!
klausmkl
klausmkl
3 years ago
It doesn’t really matter.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
3 years ago
“That means the very best we can hope for is someone who is equally bad as Brainard.”
Probably, BUT …
what REALLY matters is what happens next few FOMC meetings (March 22/23, May 2/3, June 13/14). Brainard a Federal Reserve Governor. Replacement needs to be nominated by POTUS and confirmed by Senate. I seriously doubt a replacement in place before June meeting … giving Powell better chance to shove thru rate increases if he so chooses.
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
3 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Did you (do you) have any doubt, rates would be raised in March and May? (June is still somewhat of a 50/50 chance.) Brainard’s exit won’t have any effect on the FED’s hikes in the near term.
Rates will be “shoved” up another 50 basis points in 2023…at the least. You knew this though, right?
worleyeoe
worleyeoe
3 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
50 basis points in 2023. Dude, have you seen what’s happening to inflation & treasuries?
We’ll be at 50 by May. Inflation isn’t coming down yet for any other reason than an expected deceleration of the economy and it has nearly zero to do with the FFR rate increases. The lead time for the FFR to really take effect, in general, is 12 – 18 months. This time it may be around 24 months.
A 6% FFR by October is a near certainty, IMO. The only question left to be answered is Bullard’s 7% terminal FFR forecast a real possibility? I say whole heartedly, YES!
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  worleyeoe
Not just yeah… HELL YEAH!
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
3 years ago
Reply to  worleyeoe
6% by October? Another 125 basis points to get to 6%? That’s aggressive.
I’m not saying your estimate is an impossible scenario as Fed 2023 futures do suggest by the slimmest of margins that Four 25pt hikes are very possible.
I do agree with you that “We’ll be at 50 by May.” I also felt another 25 was probable in the second half of the year. So, I’m at 5.50% and you’re at 6% (at a minimum) in calendar 2023.
Last point: With a Presidential election in 2024, the “independent” FED will have to walk a tight line in Q4 2023 and in 2024.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
3 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
Sure, but “probability” on if / how much changes daily. You say 50 bps “in the bag” … maybe, maybe not … things can change quickly – in either direction. A lot of data (and revisions) on deck in the next few months. And if Powell truly wants to break the “fed put” he may well err on high side.
The Chairman strives to get unanimous (one voice) votes on policy, which Powell has been able to achieve so far. Nary a dissent (so far) on tightening regime.
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
3 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
As detailed above in a response to worleyeoe, my 50pt gain (and probably another 25 in 2023) pales to his 125pt guesstimate jump in 2023. You are right however about things changing quickly. The question is, will things change dramatically for the Fed to cease? Currently, Fed Futures have suggested four 25pt hikes are still to occur in 2023. Certainly the latter two hikes are “in play” but we really must admit 50bps are definitely in the bag (March and May).
All of us are however in agreement (I think) that no FED rate reductions are anywhere near.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
This is all so hilarious to me. For one, these problems only exist because slaves need a master. So they’ll keep complying until the end. The best part is that no one can destroy a government better, or faster, than government. These idiots make decisions like this every day. For you trumptards, him too. They all do. The only thing keeping this government together is the slaves demanding to accept anything other than liberty. What a bunch of idiots.
klausmkl
klausmkl
3 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
Whats even more hilarious is the folks thinking they will retire some day.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
3 years ago
Reply to  klausmkl
I also love how Biden’s senility is so bad that he probably has to be reminded he’s president. It’s like the state is justifiably mocking the voters. He’s living proof that it doesn’t matter who you vote for. And the slaves will never learn. For they don’t want to learn. It’s all so Harrison Bergeron. It’s so hilarious.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  HippyDippy
People are afraid of freedom. They don’t know what to do with it, and hate and fear anybody that does. Been that way for as long as there have been people.
Leave them be. They simply can’t function without being told what to do, and we’re born that way.

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