New Intelligence Report on Wuhan Lab Fuels Debate on Covid-19 Origin

The WSJ reports Intelligence on Sick Staff at Wuhan Lab Fuels Debate on Covid-19 Origin

Three researchers from China’s Wuhan Institute of Virology became sick enough in November 2019 that they sought hospital care, according to a previously undisclosed U.S. intelligence report that could add weight to growing calls for a fuller probe of whether the Covid-19 virus may have escaped from the laboratory.

The details of the reporting go beyond a State Department fact sheet, issued during the final days of the Trump administration, which said that several researchers at the lab, a center for the study of coronaviruses and other pathogens, became sick in autumn 2019 “with symptoms consistent with both Covid-19 and common seasonal illness.”

“The information that we had coming from the various sources was of exquisite quality. It was very precise. What it didn’t tell you was exactly why they got sick,” he [someone familiar with the report] said, referring to the researchers.

Shi Zhengli, the top bat coronavirus expert at WIV, has said the virus didn’t leak from her laboratories. She told the WHO-led team that traveled to Wuhan earlier this year to investigate the origins of the virus that all staff had tested negative for Covid-19 antibodies and there had been no turnover of staff on the coronavirus team.

No Comments From Biden 

Not commenting on the alleged intelligence is problematic.

We’re not going to make pronouncements that prejudge an ongoing WHO study into the source of SARS-CoV-2,” the spokeswoman said. “As a matter of policy we never comment on intelligence issues.

If  US intelligence has facts disputing what Shi Zhengli has to say, then it would be better to see the report than for people to speculate on what it is hiding.

One Biden administration official said that by highlighting data that pointed to the lab leak hypothesis, Trump administration officials had sought “to put spin on the ball.” Several U.S. officials described the intelligence as “circumstantial,” worthy of further exploration but not conclusive on its own.

Asked about the Jan. 15 statement, State Department spokesman Ned Price said: “A fact sheet issued by the previous administration on January 15 did not draw any conclusions regarding the origins of the coronavirus. Rather, it focused on the lack of transparency surrounding the origins.”

In Hunt for Covid-19 Origin, Patient Zero Points to Second Wuhan Market

On February 26, the WSJ reported In Hunt for Covid-19 Origin, Patient Zero Points to Second Wuhan Market

World Health Organization investigators are seeking information about a second food market in the Chinese city of Wuhan after the first officially confirmed Covid-19 case, dubbed patient zero, told them his parents had shopped there.

The putative patient zero met the WHO investigators during their recent four-week visit to Wuhan, and told them that his parents had visited another local community food market, according to three team members.

The investigators’ interest in patient zero’s parents was first reported by CNN in an interview with Peter Daszak, a WHO team member who said the parents had tested negative but Chinese authorities should still trace their contacts at the market. He didn’t respond to requests for comment.

“There is clear evidence of simultaneous transmission of the virus in other places outside the market,” Thea Fischer, a Danish epidemiologist on the WHO team, told reporters in Wuhan. “It seems less likely that the market is the source of the virus epidemic.”

Political Bias

Twitter banned discussion of lab-based origins. 

But now that Biden calls for further look by the WHO into what happened,  Twitter is OK with such discussion.

Trump’s Accusations

In April of 2020, Trump accused China of unleashing the virus. He labeled Covid-19 the “China Virus.”

Is it any wonder China did not want to cooperate with officials?

I doubt they would have cooperated anyway, but pointed allegations do not help scientific investigation.

What We Know

  1. It’s possible the virus came from the lab
  2. It’s possible the virus didn’t come from a lab. 
  3. It’s even possible the virus was accidentally introduced into the lab from the outside. 
  4. The WHO is not credible. 

In short, we do not know much, including what the intelligence reports actually say. 

If the WHO releases another report, why should anyone believe what it says?

And many will doubt denials from China and the WHO even if the denials are true. 

What We May Never Know

  • What Happened

Politics has spoiled any serious investigation attempt.

If the virus did originate in the Wuhan lab, China will do it’s best to suppress that data.

If the WHO again concludes the virus did not not originate in a Chinese Lab, there would be no particular reason to believe the report, even if the report was accurate. 

Meanwhile, the longer it takes to get a credible investigation underway, the less likely the investigation will turn up anything.

It may be too late already, even if the next investigation is an honest one.

Only if China steps up and admits the virus came from the Wuhan lab and supplies the details, will we know what happened. 

Mish

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Casual_Observer
Casual_Observer
4 years ago
At some point it doesn’t matter if it came from a lab. It originally came from humans mixing with animals they shouldn’t have been. Whether it is COVID, SARS, MERS or whatever else may come, it has all happen in the era of global travel which began decades ago. We will go through this until people figure out the hard way that animals and people just don’t mix well. 
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Next door to China:
“Cases in Delhi, where Ivermectin was begun on April 20, dropped from 28,395 to just 2,260 on May 22. This represents an astounding 92% drop. Likewise, cases in Uttar Pradesh have dropped from 37,944 on April 24 to 5,964 on May 22 – a decline of 84%. Uttarakhand is even more rural and located in the Himalayas next to Nepal. Its infections are down 70% with Ivermectin.”
“Meanwhile, Tamil Nadu announced on May 14 they were outlawing Ivermectin in favor of the politically correct Remdesivir. As a result, Tamil Nadu’s cases are up in the same time frame from April 20 to May 22 – 10,986 to 35,873 – more than a tripling.”
 
GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Three Wuhan Lab workers went to the hospital in November 2019 with Covid-like symptoms???? 
No, they did not. Nor is there any evidence that they did.
On the contrary, the 34-person WHO investigatory team scoured 72,000 health records from that period, focused on a few hundred, and concluded that there was no evidence of Covid-19 in Wuhan (or China) prior to December, 2019.
Repeating WaPo’s unsourced (anonymous ‘intelligence’ reports from an agency known for lying) only helps the US delay granting the same access that China granted to WHO investigators.
Why is the US dragging its feet? Because the CDC found Covid-19 in the US long before it was in China, thus agreeing with findings from Italy, Spain, and France. 
Tests of archived Red Cross blood samples taken in the US from December 13, 2019, revealed high levels of antibodies nationwide for the Covid-19 virus–a month earlier than the first confirmed case of Covid-19 in the US on January 19.
Read and weep: “Serologic testing of U.S. blood donations to identify SARS-CoV-2-reactive antibodies: December 2019-January 2020”. Sridhar V Basavaraju, MD, et al.  https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa1785/6012472
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  GodfreeRoberts
The conclusion of the study is:

“These findings suggest that SARS-CoV-2 may have been introduced into the United States prior to 19 January 2020.”

That just says that some people in the US  had already been exposed to Covid before it was officially recognized which is consistent with how pandemics start. The same antibodies were found in people all around the world dating from that same time. Pandemics start small, spread from their point of origin then explode. The paper you cite doesn’t prove your point. 
GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Doug, read the paper. Check its stats.
According to the CDC’s own figures, 4-6 million of us had sufficient Covid-19 antibodies in our systems to qualify for Covid passports. Remember the ‘vaping’ deaths that weren’t from vaping? The care home deaths from a ‘mysterious’ respiratory disease in 2019? The dozens of anecdotes (some lab-verified) of near-death, Covid-like illnesses in 2019?
I argue that it’s been circulating here since as early as 2015. https://johnmenadue.com/who-had-covid-first/
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  GodfreeRoberts

“China is still struggling to deal with the fact that it is held responsible for the “original sin” of the outbreak, which undercuts virtually every effort to salvage its image,” 

“Recent months have shown what a catastrophic impact the pandemic has had for China in international public opinion.”

No doubt in the minds of senior Chinese leadership about the origin of the virus, and sees the focus on reporting possible alternative origins as a propaganda campaign.

Unfortunately, for now Beijing seems more focused on the question of who should carry blame for the disease, than on understanding where it came from.

“What we’re seeing at the moment is indicative of where the Chinese government wants all this to come out – and that place is certainly not an open, accountable effort to determine what went wrong and ensure that it never happens again,” 

GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
William, you’re forgetting a few facts.
Like the sequence of events:
Dec 31, 2019: China warns WHO and CDC of a coronavirus of unknown origin’
Jan 10, 2020: China submits full Covid genomic sequence to WHO and CDC.
Jan 11, 2020: China reports its first Covid-19 death to WHO and CDC.
 
Like China’ unique openness:
China is the only country to permit the WHO to inspect it.
Like China’s uniquely low infection and death rates:
They clearly demonstrate that the disease arrived in November–as the WHO concluded.
Our high infection and death rates suggest that it arrived here much earlier
Webej
Webej
4 years ago
Although zoonotic spillover is prima facie plausible, no corroborating evidence has come to light:
  • No intermediate species, not close variants, no host reservoir, no explanation of how the virus developed and made its way to Wuhan. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, but in this case raises doubts.
  • The people advancing it also have an axe to grind: The big narrative about how humans are encroaching on nature and animal habitats, bringing man and wild animals in proximity, increasing chances of spillover. So we need to protect the ecosystem and fix climate change. Luckily intrepid virologists go to bat caves [speaking of encroachment!] bringing hitherto isolated viruses to their labs and studying/changing them to see how spill-over events could work, giving us humans an edge in developing vaccines beforehand]
The lab accident (virus escape; bat cave researchers being host to (recombinant) virus; gain-of-function research; vaccine vector experimentation) has been characterized as fringe conspiracy disinformation (mere coincidence that Wuhan has China’s only P4 bio-safety lab; the most extensive collection of bat viruses; and US outsourced gain-of-function research on just this kind of virus) because the genetic code of the virus has no signs of human tampering. That last part is a lie however. Virologists have long had the ability to manipulate sequences that are undetectable. In addition, there are many many arguments from the gene sequences that argue for manipulation, including
  • the inserted PRRA polybasic furin cleavage site to cleave S1/S2 protein, codones adapted to human hosts
  • furin cleavage site unique amongst betacoronaviridae
  • almost no changes in the rest of the virus, except the spike (etc)
  • the evolutionary clock (with regard to random synonymous codone coding as well as enzymes) is completely off when compared to related viruses: this strongly indicates splicing.
It is unlikely that direct evidence will be forthcoming, none to corroborate zoonotic escape, and none to unambiguously prove lab escape.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
4 years ago
If we start with the indisputable facts 3 WIV scientists became hospitalized with COVID-like symptoms; then the world should have offered China a face-saving conclusion than the virus was an accidental escape and that a cooperative solution should be worked on.
The past few months I have started dealing with a Chinese tech company. My manager has dealt with them before, and has worked with other Chinese companies. He shared his observations as a way for me to make the most our business relation with them.
1.) In the Chinese culture, it is acceptable and expected that people will lie/cheat in business deals. So it’s no wonder those scientists with COVID symptoms never tested positive.
2.) In the Chinese culture nobody confesses to any mistake, no matter how much factual evidence is presented. This has been going on from day 1 of the virus, and has never changed.
My manager provided no rationale of the origins, but my guess is it’s a survival skill in a communist regime.
GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
If we start with the indisputable facts 3 WIV scientists became hospitalized with COVID-like symptoms??
Those are neither facts nor would they be indisputable if they were. They are anonymous allegations from a completely untrustworthy source. As Caitlin Johnson observed, “In a time of great need the US government is letting its citizens freeze, go broke, get evicted, and die of preventable illnesses, so obviously it’s of paramount importance right now that Americans rise up with one voice and direct their righteous anger at China. I’m developing a special disdain for people who mindlessly regurgitate US anti-China narratives, especially people who are normally skeptical of US government claims. There’s just no excuse for this nonsense. The geostrategic agendas are so obvious, the barefaced liars so familiar, and the facts so readily available for anyone intellectually honest enough to look”.
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  GodfreeRoberts

“There’s just no excuse for this nonsense” or a cover up, since so many lives were destroyed during lockdowns. And people are being forced to take a vaccine for their freedoms.

Interesting how Chinese businesses in the U.S. were shutting down before the mandate was enacted. Insider information from relatives in mainland China ?
But in the weeks leading up to the mandated shutdown, mom-and-pop businesses in Manhattan’s Chinatown had been struggling with a substantial decline in patronage that started around the Chinese New Year on Jan, 25 — just as news emerged of the coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan, China.

Grace Young, a Chinese American award-winning author of https://www.graceyoung.com/cookbooks/ devoted to Chinese cuisine, is documenting the impact of the pandemic in Chinatown’s businesses and restaurants.

Initially, Young, together with videographer https://danielyahn.com/, spoke to business owners on March 15 and found out that about 70% of storefronts had already been shut down

williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber

“In January, Chinese locals were already beginning to shelter in place”

We wanted to continue working with the Chinatown community and asked Grace for ideas.

She immediately suggested going into Chinatown and recording the stories of the mom-and-pop businesses that had been suffering since January. Due to COVID-19, tourism from China had ceased and Chinese locals were already beginning to shelter in place.

GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
I was in Australia in February, by which time the story was all over the news and, as we walked through a mall, my sister ridiculing all the Chinese wearing masks (Australia has a large expat Chinese population).
Of course they were warned by their relatives in China. That’s one reason that the Chinese diaspora worldwide survived the epidemic so much better than the rest of us. They are extremely proactive when it comes to health. Traditional Chinese Medicine is 80% proactive. 
anoop
anoop
4 years ago
“Only if China steps up and admits the virus came from the Wuhan lab and supplies the details, will we know what happened.”
In that case we will never know what happened, because the probability of this happening is exactly 0.
PreviouslyAndaetc.
PreviouslyAndaetc.
4 years ago
Reply to  anoop
Not really, but if they say that it will raise the question of if it is a lie to cover purposeful release of the virus, or for some other similar end.
timot78
timot78
4 years ago
what do Italians say:
W/o a doubt, P. Daszak and Dr. Baric (both US)  conducted Gain of Function research in WIV (funds from NIH).    Why doesn’t FBI interview both researchers? 
Argnne
Argnne
4 years ago
Reply to  njbr
Again poorly written article that lacks the basic understanding of chimeric technology ….. no peer review either … nothing more then one scientists opinion on a subject. Like at the start of the pandemic where cbsnews and other agencies rolled out the US researchers that were working in Wuhan. What did we expect them to say? Sadly not a single person interviewing them had any basic fundamental understanding of science.
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
Hmm, if Trump was so convinced it was the result of the Wuhan’s lab experiments or accident, why didn’t he pursue all leads?  It’s clear that all leads were not followed and too much time was allowed for China to cover tracks.  Trump had a year to do so, and he didn’t.  What does that say…
….President Joe Biden’s call for a 90-day sprint to understand the origins of the coronavirus pandemic came after intelligence officials told the White House they had a raft of still-unexamined evidence [!!!!] that required additional computer analysis that might shed light on the mystery, according to senior administration officials.

The officials declined to describe the new evidence. But the revelation that they are hoping to apply an extraordinary amount of computer power to the question of whether the virus accidentally leaked from a Chinese laboratory suggests that the government may not have exhausted its databases of Chinese communications, the movement of lab workers and the pattern of the outbreak of the disease around the city of Wuhan.

In addition to marshaling scientific resources, Biden’s push is intended to prod American allies and intelligence agencies to mine existing information — such as intercepts, witnesses and biological evidence — as well as hunt for new intelligence to determine whether the Chinese government covered up an accidental leak.

Biden on Thursday committed to making the results of the review public, but he added a caveat: “unless there’s something I’m unaware of.”

His call for the study has both domestic and international political ramifications. It prompted his critics to argue that the president had dismissed the possibility that the lab was the origin until the Chinese government this week rejected allowing further investigation by the World Health Organization. And, administration officials said, the White House hopes U.S. allies will contribute more vigorously to a serious exploration of a theory that, until now, they considered at best unlikely, and at worst a conspiracy theory.

The effort to glean evidence from intercepted communications within China, a notoriously hard target to penetrate, has yielded little. Current and former intelligence officials say they strongly doubt anyone will find an email or a text message or a document that shows evidence of a lab accident.

RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Reply to  njbr
“Hmm, if Trump was so convinced it was the result of the Wuhan’s lab experiments or accident, why didn’t he pursue all leads?”
“Less than 24 hours after CNN threw
Biden under the bus for canceling a State Department effort launched
under Trump to get to the bottom of the origins of COVID-19, the Biden administration has backpedaled – and has ordered the US intelligence community to conduct a 90-day investigation into how the pandemic began.”
Jackula
Jackula
4 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Biden is moving on this because he is being dragged kicking and screaming. Biden halted the investigation when he became president. Obviously powerful interests in this country want to know how the hell this happenned and not just pressure from the CNN piece. The whole thing stinks cause the logical thing for the Dems to have done would have been to blame Trump for restarting funding the gain of function research in Wuhan that the Obama admin canned. This may have been one of Bidens biggest missteps if he did not get a move on with this “investigation”.
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago

Another scandal in the making.

“Michael Capuzzo, a New York Times best-selling author, has just published an article titled “The Drug That Cracked Covid”.The 15-page article chronicles the gargantuan struggle being waged by frontline doctors on all continents to get ivermectin approved as a Covid-19 treatment, as well as the tireless efforts by reporters, media outlets and social media companies to thwart them.”
Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
I have one strong reason for believing it is most likely something created in a lab, something that is on top of the scientific inferences. That one thing is the ongoing intellectual obfuscation. Note in the article above the following “The investigators’ interest in patient zero’s parents was first reported
by CNN in an interview with Peter Daszak, a WHO team member…..”
Really???? All Daszak is, is “a WHO team member”? I have heard him on NPR talking about the impossibility of how it could have come from a lab, as well. Oddly, in neither case does it mention his background:
It would seem that he is the head of the EcoHealth Alliance, who was involved in funding the Wuhan Institute.  Just some “team member”? Unbiased?  I think not. According to this article “..days before the first cases of a novel coronavirus appeared in Wuhan, Daszak was bragging about the success of the Wuhan institute’s researchers in creating more
than 100 new SARS-like coronaviruses capable of infecting humans.”
The other person I have seen strongly defending the impossibility that it came from the lab is a Professor Edward Holmes, from Australia. Here’s an old article about him claiming that it could not have come from a lab, yet it neglects to mention that he co-authored papers with the scientists from the Wuhan Institute:
If these people want to defend the Wuhan Lab, and claim it could not have released SARS-Cov2, that’s fine, but they should give an honest presentation of their background when they do so.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Another OT, but I watched this last night and I think people should see it. It’s a very powerful and moving speech about Antifa, made by journalist Andy Ngo, at Hillsdale College a few days ago. Draw your own conclusions.
PostCambrian
PostCambrian
4 years ago
The most reasonable article that I have read on the subject is this https://nicholaswade.medium.com/origin-of-covid-following-the-clues-6f03564c038
Trump tried to have it both ways. The virus either didn’t exist or was no worse than the flu AND China created the virus. Whether the virus was created by China in the lab or not doesn’t excuse Trump’s pathetic response.
Previous lab leaks (smallpox in UK and anthrax in Russia) were covered up for a significant period of time. 
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  PostCambrian
It’s the best aggregation of the evidence, but it just confirmed what many others have written and described for many months. The money trail to the attempt to discredit the lab leak is the only new part of the story, really. I  already linked to this a few day ago, here. It’s great piece, and it’s a shame the NYT now has this Wokester idiot writing about COVID instead of a real journalist like Wade.
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago

“The WHO is not credible. 

In short, we do not know much, including what the intelligence reports actually say. 

If the WHO releases another report, why should anyone believe what it says?”

“The move in North Dakota is absolutely crazy. It would prohibit masks even in nursing homes.

Mish (March 6 2021)

New COVID-19 death reported in North Dakota; active virus cases continue dropping

Bismarck Tribune staff May 27, 2021 

But those of us who don’t want to get vaccinated, are ostracized and 

ridicule

d !

Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber

I would never ridicule anyone who doesn’t want to get vaccinated. That’s a personal choice. That said, however, I think that Federal payment for Covid treatment should cease immediately. If someone chooses not to get vaccinated, and ends up with a bad case, they should pay for it themselves.

Mike 2112
Mike 2112
4 years ago
Reply to  Carl_R
You’re for coerced injections of an experimental drug.
What color armband do you wear?
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike 2112
“Covid treatment should cease immediately.”
Mike 2112
Mike 2112
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
Yep, that’s coercion.      
Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike 2112
I don’t care it you take a vaccine against pertussis, pneumonia, shingles, the flu, or anything else, either, but if you don’t, and you suffer from the respective disease, I expect you (or your health care company) to pay for the treatment. Freedom is having the freedom to make a choice, and then the responsibility to live with the result.
Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
I did not say “covid treatment should cease immediately”! I say Federal payment for it should cease. The crisis is over. Everything should return to normal.
Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike 2112
I am not for coerced injections. I don’t know how much more clearly I can say it, but people should have a right to choose. What I am for, is goin back to normal in every way. In normal times, we make lots of lifestyle choices, and we pay for the consequences. We can decide to smoke, but we may have medical bills if we do. We can choose to skydive, but we may have expenses if we do. Why should Covid be any different?
The crisis is over. It’s time to get back to normal.
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Reply to  Carl_R
The drug companies have immunity from liability for any damage caused by their vaccines. Who is going to pay for that?
Denninger wrote about one of the blood clotting victims who spent a few weeks in the hospital to save her life. The bill was apparently some $500,000, according to him. He said he didn’t know whether or not insurance was going to pay for any of that.
Apparently one of the commonalities among Covid patients who died, was a severe vitamin D deficiency. I take vitamin D supplements and have been even before Covid. Turned out that Fauci was taking 8,000-9,000 IU’s a day during flu season. He never got Covid. Neither have i.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
500K $  !? My gowd,  this only happens in your crazy nation I guess ?  My 92 old mom spent 5 days in hospital with mild Covid related symthoms, the  invoice was, what I thought, a impressive  3k euro almost entirely paid by state health security….Once upon a time the United States USED TO BE  the greatest nation on earth …. That s obvious…. 
LM2022
LM2022
4 years ago
In all this I once again blame Trump.  If he had just said we’ve got to listen to the experts and then stepped out of the way he probably would have been re-elected in spite of it all.  Instead he claimed Covid was a hoax by his political enemies, a China virus, little more than cold that could be cured by injecting lights on drinking bleach.  Naturally he got Covid (no word on if he drank bleach).   His political enemies got trolled into responding and thus everything got politicized.  At this point, even if we got an accurate picture of what happened in Wuhan and the origins of the virus, no one would believe it.
ajc1970
ajc1970
4 years ago
Reply to  LM2022
“His political enemies got trolled into responding and thus everything got politicized.”
omg dude, you blame his enemies’ illogical reactions on him?
“You made me make poor choices, I had no choice but to diametrically oppose you at every step.”
Man up on your bad decisions.
LM2022
LM2022
4 years ago
Reply to  ajc1970
What bad decisions?  I didn’t get Covid unlike Trump.  I listened to the medical experts and yes, I got vaccinated.  My point stands, It’s Trump that politicized Covid response and through his incompetence lead to half a million deaths.  Yes, members of the media and democrats overreacted, no one denies that. If he had kept his mouth shut he’d probably be president today.
Mike 2112
Mike 2112
4 years ago
Reply to  LM2022
The first official case in China was Nov 17th 2019. That means covid was certainly circulating prior to that day.
There were 8.5 million arrivals form Chinese airports in 2018. That’s 23K a day.
The lockdowns would have to have occurred in Dec to even have a chance at slowing the spread, but even then it’s unlikely to have worked as witnessed in so many places that locked down only to see the cases rise as soon as they reopened.
PPl have to congregate to get supplies of food, medicine, healthcare, etc. Unless you have enough PPE and N95 masks to go around the virus will still spread. Maybe you can slow down the spread but that also slows down natural immunity from developing which still leads the population vulnerable to the spread.
GodfreeRoberts
GodfreeRoberts
4 years ago
Reply to  Mike 2112
The first official case in China was Nov 17th 2019??
What is most intriguing about the WHO report is not what it discloses but what it rules out.
The team scrutinized 76,253 records of cases of respiratory conditions by 233 health institutions in Wuhan in October and November, before the outbreak in late 2019.
Although 92 cases were considered to be compatible with SARS-CoV-2 infection after review,” the scientists concluded that “none was in fact due to SARS-CoV-2 infection.”
Based on data, the team “considered unlikely that any substantial transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infection was occurring in Wuhan during those two months.”
Many early cases were linked with the Huanan Seafood market, but “a similar number of cases were associated with other markets and some were not associated with any markets.”
In light of facts, the team concluded that current evidence makes possible “no firm conclusion about the role of the Huanan market in the origin of the outbreak, or how the infection was introduced into the market.”
ajc1970
ajc1970
4 years ago
The real story:
“Twitter banned discussion of lab-based origins…  The WHO is not credible “

The biggest social media platforms “fact checked” these stories out of existence and the big state-sponsored organizations are beholden to the states that sponsor them (duh).

Yet ordinary citizens trust Facebook, Twitter, etc and their fact checking, and refer to the world’s WHOs, CDCs, etc as “the experts” that we should trust.
Argnne
Argnne
4 years ago

So, we have 2 options for how this occurred. One, transferred across species. No real evidence to support when and how this happened. It’s the natural story that would result in perhaps the most minimalistic response from other countries. 

Option 2 is that either intentionally or unintentionally was released from a weapons lab. So, let’s look at this deeper. Covid-19 has implanted within its backbone very carefully crafted poly-basic furan sequences, these are important in that increases the affinity for human ACE receptors. This is well known scientifically and the technology to do these insertions have existed for decades.  Also important to note is that very similar work was being done with US support (Dansk et la) at wuhan with NIH/NAISD support. This is easy to prove as there are at least half a dozen “Nature” publications on this work with other similar coronaviruses. So, to summarize a virus comes out of Wuhan that naturally would take millions of years to evolve the affinity for human cells or the group of wuhan while performing gain of function research had a lab accident. Some times the simplest answer is the easiest answer. Have multiple pHd’s in related fields so happy to address peoples questions but please let’s work on facts and scientific evidence not emotions or broad media based speculation.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Argnne
Thank you. 
“So, let’s look at this deeper. Covid-19 has implanted within its backbone very carefully crafted poly-basic furan sequences, these are important in that increases the affinity for human ACE receptors. This is well known scientifically and the technology to do these insertions have existed for decades.  Also important to note is that very similar work was being done with US support (Dansk et la) at wuhan with NIH/NAISD support. This is easy to prove as there are at least half a dozen “Nature” publications on this work with other similar coronaviruses. So, to summarize a virus comes out of Wuhan that naturally would take millions of years to evolve the affinity for human cells or the group of wuhan while performing gain of function research had a lab accident.”
My understanding is that there are 2 such structures that look like insertions? Is this the current view? If so, one might assume that one might have occurred naturally, but that the odds of two of them showing up at the same time in nature are so low as to approach the zero bound. Do you concur with this view, or not, and if not why?
This is far from the only evidence. ALL the evidence is circumstantial. Because the physical and archival evidence was destroyed. I think it’s fair to say that this is not the way it would have been handled in the West. It might be forgiven that the labs were scrubbed , but the records? Gimme a break.
But beyond that rather suspicious behavior, there is much more.
If this pandemic HAD occurred naturally, it most likely would have occurred somewhere within reasonable distance of wild bat habitat. Nobody ever showed the slightest trace of evidence that ANY wet market in Wuhan sold bats, much less the particular species that the Wuhan scientists are known to have traveled hundreds of miles to acquire for their studies. 
We also know that SARS outbreaks did actually occur as a result of lab leaks on at least two occasions previously in the past…..in 2004.
I read at least one story that tried to show how the virus might have spread in Wuhan by looking at the Wuhan public transportation system. Although it was far from conclusive, it  did show a possible “trail of breadcrumbs” that seemed to point not at the Virology Institute, but at the other lab, the military lab across town. 
Several people of interest, including a Chines doctor who initially raised concern about the outbreak, before the Chinese authorities officially owned it, have disappeared. A grad student that some speculated might have been patient zero also disappeared and it was alleged that her records were altered and expunged…but not before some journalists had archived them.
ALL the MSM US stories I read last year that tried to refute the lab leak idea were pure crap. They contained NO evidence at all. Just “experts say it could not have happened” stories with some virologist’s unsupported opinion. Never any credible reasons for those opinions that began to explain the  weird stuff, like the possible insertions. We call that kind of argument an “appeal to authority”. It’s known as the poorest kind of argument for anything. It’s the scientific equivalent of “I’m your mother and I said so, that’s why.”
Now we know that a guy, an American corporate player who was up to his armpits in raising money for this research, actually paid to create a social media campaign to discredit the lab leak last year.
So many very suspicious things happened that have to be completely ignored to swallow the silly story of natural species-jumping…..that only someone who wants to suspend their belief for some reason would fail to acknowledge them.
There are plenty of people who are willing to do that. Without getting emotional at all, I can tell you that they happen to be  the SAME people who call Antifa “mostly peaceful protesters” and BLM Critical Race Theory communist bullshit a campaign for equal rights. I know, because I’ve spent a lot to time talking  to people like that, and I understand the source of their delusions and the way they’ve been persuaded by social media to abandon common sense. 
But not me. I believe you can use  Occam’s Razor here with no trouble at all, to make a very credible argument that the Chinese have engaged in a massive cover-up, aided and abetted by Americans with a lot to lose if the truth is known.
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
My point exactly…
People without a shred of specific knowledge have opinions.
@Eddie_T is positing that US big money was behind the Wuhan lab doing gain-in-function research on the virus for the purposes of making a fortune on vaccines.
And the basis of his special knowledge is…what?
You know, it is really odd how many steps back people have taken in rationality in an era where every bit of knowledge is avaible to them, and they choose to rely on the silliest, most lurid speculation as fact.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  njbr
Don’t misquote me. I said it was the most likely scenario. Period. I can make a whole laundry list of credible facts that support that, but instead, why don’t you just list one reason why I might be wrong?….and then I’ll list a reason to support my POV, and we can see who runs out of credible evidence  first.
You’re terribly attached to your Woke liberal bias, btw. Anybody who reads you can see that. You’ve done nothing but cast aspersions on my ability to think critically. How about you show me with real evidence, instead of essentially just implying that I’m some kind of wildly speculative conspiracy theorist. I’m a doctor. I have some rudimentary understanding of science, and although I was born on a Friday, it wasn’t last Friday.
I’v followed this story since day one. I strongly suspected a lab leak some time before Trump opened his stupid mouth on the subject. Nothing I’ve read or seen, and I’ve read and seen just about everything there is to see that’s been written or otherwise disseminated on this subject.
What are your credentials? 
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
My credentials with respect to genetics and virology and the manipulation of viruses is exactly the same as yours.
But I’m not as an eager consumer of internet conspiracy theories.
Conspiracy theories may give you the comfort of an answer that support youir prejudices, but there are bad things that happen in this world for no good reason.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  njbr
I read that Forbes article when it came out.
It is not the least bit persuasive in its arguments, and it comes from a source that I regard as a poisoned well. Forbes is 51% controlled by a huge Chinese mega-conglomerate….I tried to find out who the principals are myself and I was not successful. Maybe you know and trust them? I don’t. Who are they?  Enlighten me if you will.
The article greatly oversimplifies and glosses over the molecular genetics, and completely ignores what someone else already pointed out in a comment here today……, that Zhengli’s lab had been been (for several years)  publishing  article after article that (ironically) demonstrate EXACTLY how (and why)  this chimeric virus might  have come into being. 
He makes a big point about the claim that Zenghli was studying some OTHER virus and so therefore couldn’t have leaked a virus she didn’t have. No proof is offered, but even if she didn’t have it, that doesn’t mean the military lab might not have had it. And what happened to the records?  
I’’m not any kind of eager consumer of Internet conspiracy theories either. Why do you keep trying to insinuate that I am? Because I disagree with your accepted narrative?
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  njbr
On the contrary we do have hard evidence of US financing of the Wuhan lab through the EcoHealth Alliance based in New York. That’s one source and there are others. Some dots are being linked. Don’t know where it will lead though. This comes by Senate investigations. US and other health companies have used China for testing certain medicines because Chinese regulations are more lax and there is less oversight. There is for the moment no evidence that the US financed gain-of-function research in Wuhan but as we all know, money is fungible.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
The solid physical evidence was destroyed, as well as much archival evidence….and of course whatever the military lab might have had going one is a state secret that will never come out. ONLY circumstantial evidence is left. But it clearly points to a lab leak. Anybody who can’t see that is being willfully blind.
I have no reason to believe that the US Senate or any other political body has any incentive to tell the truth here, and I can see a big incentive (money) to sweep it under the rug. So expect more  lies to be piled on to the existing pile of lies, and for the whole stinking mess to be pushed off the page of history the way trolls push the truth off a web page by posting mountains of spam.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
OT, the dollar reversal is confirmed and it’s in a new daily cycle…..just barely, after fooling around all week…according to my chart anyway. I haven’t read any of my mentors’ charts yet. I slept in. Watching the USD is like watching grass grow, compared to stocks or even gold. I expect a weak, left translated cycle or a failed cycle..so the up-leg probably won’t last long. I expect gold to really surge when the dollar turns back down. 
The last time I went long on GDX, my stop got taken out by just a fraction….this time I plan to set a wider stop. Waiting and watching here. As long as the dollar has any upside momentum, I expect gold to stay rangebound or go down. A good upside dollar move here will correct gold and create a good entry.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
At noon Texas time the dollar is already showing signs of a failing cycle, although one has to one has to be careful, because the DXY has a habit of marching right up to the cliff, and then turning back around. The level I’m watching is where the swing low occurred, which is roughly 88.5. If we fall below that, I’m a buyer of gold and/or the miners.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
You are playing a crazy game if you ask me ; you either believe in gold or you don’t….I could ve sold a plain vanilla gold position with a 150k profit last year , but I didn t….Why would I do that anyway , the way things are evolving even a child or my dog can see that  the global  financial system WILL collapse eventually… But hey Eddie, never mind,  keep on playing anyway if yer bored, for that seems to be the case for a person with a supposedly rather solid financial position….  
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
What I would REALLY like to know is WHY China hardly had any Covid deaths, at least officially, and why at present they seem to be doing great,at least officially, while in the meantime C19 is, at least officially, said to be still wreaking havoc in other parts of the world, even despite a advanced vaccination campaign(UK) .  And what about the official EU agency(EudraVigilance) controlling C19 vaccines(and other new medicines) registering 12000 vaccine deaths and 600K cases of  very serious side effects….What the f is this all about I keep on wondering …    
LM2022
LM2022
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Simple, 1.  they didn’t report their actual covid deaths, or 2. general incompetence.  You can’t report what you don’t count.  Does anyone believe India, a country with 1.4 billion people, has only had 325K deaths?
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Because they are an authoritaian state they absolutely minimized the bad data AND did a strict lock-down enforced by police and military and stopped all movement in and out of affected areas.  But they took it extremely seriously (not just a case of the sniffles). 
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago

What We Know

It’s possible the virus came from the lab……..and there is a MOUNTAIN of circumstantial evidence for this, that anybody with a rudimentary understanding of virology and reasonable critical thinking skills can see.

It’s possible the virus didn’t come from a lab. But there is not one shred of credible evidence for this, and the arguments that were made early on to defend the POV were made by people who might have had culpability. The arguments being made now are even more pathetic….like this one. https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/new-york-times-covid-reporter-says-its-racist-discuss-wuhan-lab-leak-theory

It’s even possible the virus was accidentally introduced into the lab from the outside. But highly unlikely, because of geography and bat habitat.

The WHO is not credible. Because The WHO is a weak, political organization beholden to China.

The only smoking gun here is the very obvious (and successful) move by the Chinese military to destroy whatever physical and archival evidence that might have made a real investigation possible…..and  the disappearance and possible imprisonment of honest Chinese people involved who might have shed some light on what really happened.

This pandemic was most likely the result of a phenomenon that involved American corporate money chasing big bucks in vaccine and/or other virus related gain-of-function research that was farmed out to China to keep it cheap and behind doors far from prying eyes in the US.

Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
“I have now asked the Intelligence Community to redouble their efforts to collect and analyze information that could bring us closer to a definitive conclusion, and to report back to me in 90 days,” Biden said.
Translation:
“I’m shocked!  Shocked I tell you!  Round up the usual suspects.”
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
“Your winnings, sir.”
“Oh, thank you very much.”
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
We have maybe the largest bioweapon labs in the world. Their job is to counter biological and chemical attacks. We also have three very large intelligence agencies who are also probably the largest in the world. I would say that a year ago they already had a pretty good idea where Covid came from and how it came about. The argument that it was OK to say that Covid didn’t come out a lab a year ago  because at the time there was no evidence and then say that since we now have evidence so it OK to say it came out of a lab doesn’t hold water. It was a partisan issue then as it is now. There was lots of evidence but it didn’t fit the narrative or more accurately the fiction peddled by the opposition at the time. 
njbr
njbr
4 years ago
The waters are so muddied and politicized that there will be no final consensus.
“Intelligence leaks” have many reasons, and a prime one is swaying opinion for political purposes (a nice slice of yellowcake for anyone?)
The scientific consensus is that it is possible, but not probable.  People have jumped from “possible” to “probable”  to “certainty” without doing the necessary work.
Review some of the detailed scientific analysis of why it is probably not a lab creation any you will quickly realize that the determination will be made at a very high level of specific scientific expertise that very few people will be able to understand without days and days of briefing and concentration on specific obscure details. 
But all of that can be negated in the public sphere by such determined know-nothings as our present day “influencers”.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
At this point, I don’t think it matters much to anyone except people that need a bad guy to shriek about.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Correct. Although if it is somehow natural in origin scientists may want to know that for future possible outbreaks (ie things we should be working on research wise). If it’s lab oriented in origin then there was no way to possibly have forseen this outbreak and thus little to do research wise to prevent a future similar one since bio-weapons are a totally different animal.
Many of course would also demand reparations from China. But that’s clearly going nowhere. After WWI we’ve seen what reparations did to Germany and the result a couple of decades later is not something we want to have happen again.
ajc1970
ajc1970
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
That they created the virus (if they indeed did)… we should accept that we’ve done things in history that could have ended the same way.
That they covered up whatever truth we don’t know… I expect that of the Chinese government.
I don’t care so much about those things.
I’m more worried about social media and MSM colluding to suppress information in order to effect the elections.  Like most everybody else, I hate Trump, but the guy had plenty of legit things to criticize without the need of the 4th establishment doing a hatchet job on him.  What the media did is bigger than the one man they did it to.
I’m also blown away that Americans trust MSM, social media, and large state-sponsored organizations like WHO.  It’s a sad state of affairs.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  ajc1970
Look at their readership and viewership. Cat videos have audiences 10 times larger than they. People are not as stupid as the media experts who believe that we are in a post-truth society and that they can “make” truth. They confuse cinema with reality and reality always wins.
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
“At this point, I don’t think it matters much to anyone except people that need a bad guy to shriek about.”
Wrong. This is about trusting the “Science”. How can I trust the science when everyone involved is lying to me ?
The Emergency Use Authorization process is different than an FDA approval or clearance. Under an EUA, in an emergency, the FDA makes a product available to the public based on the best available evidence, without waiting for all the evidence that would be needed for FDA approval or clearance.
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
The vaccines are being bought by governments around the world in advance bulk orders. Those profit figures, therefore, come overwhelmingly from sales to public authorities.  Governments also massively subsidised the vaccines’ development. So the public sector is paying twice over: first to fund research, next to buy the results at inflated prices.
BioNTech/Pfizer: estimated $4 billion profit
Moderna: estimated $8 billion profit
Oxford/AstraZeneca: unknown profit, after forecast sales of $6.4 billion in 2021
williamuber
williamuber
4 years ago
Reply to  williamuber
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threeblindmice
threeblindmice
4 years ago
This story underscores one of the main reasons that social and trad media should not be gatekeepers against “misinformation”.  They simply cannot be trusted to inform the public.  Social media, in particular, suppressed dissemination of potential truths because their Trump-hatred blinded them to the plausibility of the lab-origin hypothesis because it has (gasp) been uttered by the orange one.  Therefore it clearly had to be false.  Another such example of suppression is the now infamous Hunter Biden laptop story.  In fact, I keep a bullet point list of retractions and false stories by the media.  My rule:  if the story’s conclusion aligns with the favored narrative of the media outlet presenting it, the the reader is required to verify the underlying facts independently before accepting the story’s conclusion.  

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