No Trump Comeback
One of the reasons I dismissed a big Trump comeback was belief that investigations into his finances and election dealings would turn criminal.
It’s now happened.
The Probe of Trump Organization Finances is Now a Criminal Investigation.
“We have informed the Trump Organization that our investigation into the organization is no longer purely civil in nature,” said Fabien Levy, a spokesman for the attorney general’s office. “We are now actively investigating the Trump Organization in a criminal capacity, along with the Manhattan DA.”
The Manhattan district attorney’s office is conducting an investigation into possible bank fraud and other potential crimes. Separately, the top local prosecutor in the Atlanta area is probing whether Mr. Trump improperly tried to influence election officials last year.
Don’t Overestimate Trump!
A close friend keeps telling me “Don’t underestimate Trump!” I believe he has things backwards.
The curious thing is people, especially pollsters, underestimated Trump for two years before the 2016 election.
They underestimated him for four years in his presidency.
They mostly underestimated him in the 2020 election. Then suddenly, after his defeat, people dramatically overestimated his chances in court.
Then Trump did the unforgivable leading up to and during the Capital riots.
Yet, now that he is essentially a washed up has been with dwindling influence, people fear he might run again in 2024 and win.
Dwindling Influence
Trump’s influence is by no means gone. The ousting of Liz Cheney proves that.
But his influence has waned. He lost his audience on Twitter and social media.
Despite hype over a new Trumpian media outlet, where is it?
Now we have an announced criminal investigation.
It’s unlikely to be the only one. As noted, the top local prosecutor in the Atlanta area is probing whether Trump improperly tried to influence election officials.
Time and Money
These investigations will be time and money consuming. They will take a physical toll on Trump as well.
Don’t rule out a conviction.
Regardless, Trump is 74 and an aging dinosaur. He will be 78 at the time of the next election.
Midterms
Trump and the party can continue to be vindictive, but no good can possibly come from it.
Blind loyalty to Trump will not win over the independents and swing voters. And it is independents and swing voters who decided the 2020 election.
Republicans seriously need to get their act together for the midterms or we may see the most Progressive tax and socialist policy push ever.
If Trump does not stand aside, the party needs to push him aside.
Trump is a lost cause.
Mish
Other billionaires aren’t going to like it if Trump is held accountable in that situation, so I presume that he won’t be.
Which is why other 0.1-percenters probably never like to see that argument make it to court. My assumption is that all of them just sign their names on something they haven’t reviewed.
Also, I don’t think Biden will make it through 2024.
If you had to bet one way or the other, even money, are you saying you’d bet that Biden is still president on Jan 19, 2025?
In for a penny in for a pound. At some point going down (the big lie road) you cross the line of opportunist politician and become a seditionist