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Oops, Manchin Now Denounces the Democrats’ Wealth Tax On Billionaires

Second Thoughts? 

On October 25, Fortune reported Manchin said to support wealth tax to fund Biden’s big spending package

I recall similar statements in numerous other media outlets. Perhaps the reports were false or perhaps Manchin had second thoughts possibly due to concerns over the legality of the idea. 

Manchin Now Denounces the Democrats’ Wealth Tax On Billionaires

Regardless, of why, Manchin now says Billionaires’ Tax is Divisive

The billionaires tax, officially unveiled early Wednesday morning, may have died before the ink was dry on its 107-page text. Mr. Manchin, speaking with reporters, said, “I don’t like the connotation that we’re targeting different people.” People, he added, that “contributed to society” and “create a lot of jobs and invest a lot of money and give a lot to philanthropic pursuits.” “It’s time that we all pull together and row together,” he said.

The proposed tax would almost certainly face court challenges, but given the blockade on more conventional tax rate increases imposed by Senator Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, Democrats have few other options for financing their domestic agenda. Finance Committee aides expressed surprise at Mr. Manchin’s position, insisting that he had expressed at least mild support to the committee’s chairman, Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon.

For people like the Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, the Amazon founder Jeff Bezos and the Tesla founder Elon Musk, that hit would be enormous, since the initial value of their stocks was zero. They would have five years to pay that sum.

The plan already faced resistance from some House Democrats who worry that it may not be feasible and could be vulnerable to legal and constitutional challenges. 

Surprise, Surprise, Surprise

No one can possibly be more surprised than House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. 

We probably will have a wealth tax,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) said Sunday on CNN.

Unconstitutional Measure

I covered the constitutionality of the idea at great length in a series of posts, the latest being Digging Further Into the Question “Is Taxing Unrealized Gains Constitutional?”

My conclusion: Prior Supreme court cases indicate the measure is likely unconstitutional. 

However, Senator, especially Elizabeth Warren “just don’t give a damn when the constitution gets in the way of their own personal preference to have an illegal wealth tax.”

My Comment

Elon Musk Comment

Eventually, they run out of other people’s money and then they come for you.

Back to the Drawing Board

So now, it’s back to the drawing board. Democrats have a self-imposed deadline of October 31 for a reconciliation bill.

Before that, they had deadlines of September 30 and September 1. 

Meanwhile I note the following.

  • No Agreement on Amount
  • No Agreement on Taxes
  • No Agreement on Climate 
  • No Agreement on Duration 

Also note that Senator Kyrsten Sinema approves a wealth tax but not a hike in corporate taxes while Manchin supports a corporate tax hike but much smaller than Biden wants.

Warren Seeks “Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax” of 15% On About 200 Companies

Finally, please note that Senator Elizabeth Warren seeks “Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax” of 15% On About 200 Companies.

How does a tax that targets 200 technology companies jive with Manchin’s statement “I don’t like the connotation that we’re targeting different people.”

Well, it doesn’t.

Second Thoughts on Second Thoughts

The tag team of Manchin and Sinema have managed to kill every Democrat proposal to date. Is it remotely possible this is on purpose? 

Regardless, Manchin clearly does not fit in, and I have the perfect solution. 

Dear Joe, Quit the Party

Manchin threatens to leave the party. Or does he? Here are the rumors and denials.

Senator Joe Manchin Threatens to Leave the Democratic Party, Then Denies It

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Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
4 years ago
I agree the bill as it stands does target billionaires. To survive a Constitutional challenge, the bill needs to be rewritten to apply to ALL people who have investment capital gains AND increases in net asset values based on the closing price for the year on unsold securities outside of a retirement account.
Cocoa
Cocoa
4 years ago
You can’t pay taxes on something you haven’t gotten a final $ price on. The best course of action is to create a sliding scale of cap gains taxes. Short term cap gains should be 75% as it’s not investment, just playing the ponies. Long term cap gains needs to be raised as well, and depending on your overall holdings could be increased higher and higher. The tax on income is minor since most CEO’s get a small salary for all their options.
To increase liquidity and target super billionaires, one could target their % of holdings in the company. If you own more than 1%-and sell-60% scalp on longterm cap http://gains.Like Zuch owne a high % of FB. If he sells, and has that much control, he gets zapped. Then his % ownership falls and next time it’s less and less
xbizo
xbizo
4 years ago
Reply to  Cocoa
higher capital gains taxes will lock up assets for more generations than they do now.  Transactions will dry up and total tax revenue fall if capital gain taxes are raised substantially.  Best thing to do is to have cap gain tax at death on all real estate.
ysohio
ysohio
4 years ago
Mish –
Pet bugaboo > “How does a tax that targets 200 technology companies jive with Manchin’s statement
I don’t know, Manchin might be jiving, but not sure whether his position actually jibes with the billionaire tax or not
Jive refers to either jazz music, dancing, or nonsense talk)
Jibe, a nautical term, but it’s most often used to mean agree or to be in accord. 
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Manchin looks like Joe Theisman.
Manchin is ideal for republicans. A democrat with republican values. He never would have been elected with liberal values. He knows his days would be numbered if he backed anything bad for West Virginia. He’s kind of the like the mirror equivalent of Maryland Governor Larry Hogan. A left leaning republican in a heavily blue state.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Left and right have lost their meaning in today’s America.  We live in an America where the “left-wing” Sanders is to the *right* of Angela Merkel of the German conservative party.  
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
Where did I write Manchin is left-leaning?
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Sorry, I corrected my mis-impression of what you wrote.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
“that “contributed to society” and “create a lot of jobs and invest a lot of money and give a lot to philanthropic pursuits.””
OK Kids, remember this:
In proper Newspeak, The Fed handing you loot stolen fro others, is now referred to as you “contributing to society.”
And when you then waste the loot on frivolous spending on anything from capital wasting virtue signaling to blowjobs by ghetto girls in exchange for handbags, you then “create lot of jobs.”
And furthermore: When you send your dilettante offspring to pet dark ones on Instagram, you “give a lot to philanthropic pursuits.”
It will be on the final. If you get it wrong, all manners of clueless and pliantly useful idiots will regurgitate nonsense about how you are “jealous” or something.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  StukiMoi
The technology companies made their wealth by creating needed or wanted technology and selling the technology. They didn’t get bailed out by the FED. They aren’t financial institutions.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
The Fed engineered the series of asset bubbles that the tech company bigwigs immensely benefited from.   
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway
So anyone who benefitted in any way by FED actions is open game for taxation?
They benefitted along with everyone else, but they are profitable because they produce products in demand. Not because of FED actions.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn

The extent of their profits is because of Fed actions.   I know a founder of a tech company that went public in the early 90s.  How much money did he make?   A few tens of millions.   How much do these guys make?   It is in the billions, even tens of billions.”Everyone else” did NOT benefit from the Fed actions.   All they got was higher prices as home-buyers and higher rents as renters, among a lot of other costs that went up.   

Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
If they don’t tax them, they’re gonna tax me. The money is already spent.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Noone should be open game for taxation.
Government arbitrarily enriching people via The Fed, does not justify the same government equally arbitrarily robbing people via the IRS.
Instead: End The Fed, which is he root of the arbitrariness. And also and crucially, is nothing whatsoever else. It serves no positive at all, whatsoever. Never did, never will. Full stop. Then, to at least make an attempt to recover some of what has been stolen, bring Gold back to $20/oz. Or $1/gram, since we live in a more interconnected world now, and the rest tend to stuggle with Americanese. That will clear up and reverse the failed theft experiment at a macro level.
Then, going forward, no tax on any activity. Not incomes, not sales. If people want a government to help protect their stuff, they can pay for that protection via taxes on property. If they don’t, they can pay for sandbags and ammo. Both are perfectly compatible with fundamental tenets of freedom. Something having tax feeders spy on what you buy or do for others in exchange for what, will never be.
Do that, and the whole “problem” of “wealth discrepancies” blah, blah disappears virtually overnight. And economic growth, good jobs and something resembling a free country, returns. Don’t do that, and the best those stuck in this dystopia can hope for, is to eventually be rescued by The Taliban.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
You mean all 5 of them? After all, the vast, vast majority of “billionaires” did not write Pagerank. Nor Facebook. Nor E.T. Nor much of anything else. Instead they “earned” their fortunes the (by now) old-fashioned way: by having The Fed steal it from others via debasement hence asset pumping, then hand it to them in exchange for nothing.
Even among the dozen or so who may have created something in return for their wealth; the vast, vast majority of their “worth” again arise from little to nothing more than Fed printing. It’s not as if Zuckerberg would be starving either way, but there would certainly be a zero or three lopped from the back of his “net worth,” if the institution of undifferentiated theft and nothing but known as The Fed did not exist to do it’s redistribution.
Of course, relatively speaking, since the rest of the “billionaire” clowns would then have nothing; Zuck would be, relatively speaking, even wealthier, compared to his current peer group. which is not the case for the half literate morons on “Wall Street”, none of whom ever did anything productive in return for the loot the Fed handed them. And that’s where 90+% of the “billionaires” come from. Page, Brin, Zuckerberg and Spielberg being little more than Red Herrings employed to fool the gullible into believing creating things is still how you get rich in Dystopia.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
AMT is still the way to go. No billionaire should pay a lower tax rate than any of their employees. A federal property tax on properties valued at over $10M would work. The Dems need to grow a pair and be more creative. They couldn’t sell cheese to a rat the way they are operating. 
astroboy
astroboy
4 years ago
Manchin and Sinema sound like pretty reasonable people. Any chance of a new centrist party emerging? The current situation is insane.  The Dems are completely off the rails, and I can’t say I’m sympathetic to a lot of the right wing GOP. This is a democratic republic, after all, we all have to play well with others for it to work. 
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  astroboy
A centrist party in the West European sense would be considered a “far left” party in American political media, given where the Overton Window is right now.    
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  astroboy
The republicans have become the centrist party. Used to be democrats, but that all changed after the 2016 election. The democrats are now what the republicans were in the 90s. Want wars and have the corporate backing.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Well, the Republicans can *position* themselves to be the centrist party because the DONORcrats are so far out to the right.   Donald Trump ran to the *left* of HR Clinton on trade deals, jobs and foreign wars.   He would not have been able to do that against someone like Sanders but against HRC, it was a piece of cake because she is such a huge corporate stooge.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
The republicans have become the trump party. No ideas, just straight butthurt.
dbannist
dbannist
4 years ago
OT, anyone following the Australian bond market?
Chaos at the moment when the central bank didn’t buy any.

Rates rose .25 in a few minutes (doubling rates).  Very strange.  Nice pop for gold though.

KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  dbannist
What a surprise that normal investors actually want to make money on their investments. The idea that bonds yields are low because of a flee to safety instead of central banks not caring about making money was always nonsense.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Well, if any proof was needed that the DONORcrat Party is an effing right-wing party fully owned by corporations, here it is.  

And Manchin and Sinema are not the only ones, there are at least a dozen such DONORcrats lurking behind, maybe more.  These two are just the “rotating villains” of this season.   

How big is this villanous bunch?   Well, how about as far back as Feinstein, who described “Medicare For All” as a “government takeover of health care”?   

Irondoor
Irondoor
4 years ago
Apparently, Manchin and Sinema have both grown a pair. Now the question is, can that keep Schumer and Nancy from grabbing them and giving them a hard squeeze? For the time being, Chuckie, Nancy, and the Squad have been neutered. Old Joe is still wandering aroung looking for Corn Pop.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  Irondoor
The last Democrat who did anything like giving his fellow Democrats’ nuts a hard squeeze, was LBJ.    But this is not your father’s Democratic Party, let alone your grandfather’s.   This is the DONORcrat Party of BJ Clinton, HR Clinton, Oscama, Biden, Schumer, Pelosi et al.     Their job is to figure out how to do right-wing things while getting the media to project them as the “left” wing.
Business Man
Business Man
4 years ago
These folks are walking a tightrope.  At some point, someone is going to get a cancer diagnosis and have to take a leave of absence.  Someone might have a heart attack.  Someone might have a scandal and have to step down.  The President’s ticker might run out of “ticks.”  The Speaker may have a nasty fall.  Many of the people in the Democrat party are not spring chickens.  Then, if there is a market crash, or some economic shock (other than this little problem we currently have with supply chains and a work force that refuses to work) this thing is in the toilet.
Tick tock.  
Cocoa
Cocoa
4 years ago
Progressives cannot get anything done. It’s all my-way-or-the-highway politics which leads to absolute failure(much like what Trump experienced on his side.) Chaos,mediocrity, incompetence with hyper-polarized elected class=corporations basically running the entire country/world. This is what both Soros and Koch Brothers pay for all the time. 
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  Cocoa
Well, that is because they are a small component of the Corporate Party (D).   This time around, they have put up some resistance because the majorities are razor-thin that even a small group of 5-10 House members and 1-2 Senate members can have a say.   But eventually, they are going to be rolled over by the dominant right-wingers (euphemistically called “moderates”) in the party.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Manchin and Sinema are to be congratulated for not getting steamrolled. One could wish for a few more moderates in the entire Democratic Party, but two is better than none.
whirlaway
whirlaway
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T

There are several right-wingers in the DONORcrat Party.   It always so happens that just the right number of them show up to gum up the works.  And every time it is a different person or group of persons, so the party itself can claim to be pro-labor, pro-student, pro-family, pro-women and what not.    Check out Glenn Greenwald’s article about “rotating villains”.

Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
“or perhaps Manchin had second thoughts possibly due to concerns over the legality of the idea.”
or keeping a close eye on Virginia Governor’s race polling.
I’m getting a strong vibe that Ds will not enjoy mid terms … Manchin aware.  Totally.
thimk
thimk
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Good point ,  Throw in a couple of quarters of flat lined GDP , no amount of mid term ballet harvesting will spare the d’s . 
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
You don’t think the Black Queer Communist Reparations candidate will carry Virginia?
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Thankfully saner minds prevailed this time.
The longer this plays out the better as it most likely means no new spending which is exactly what the country needs.
Mish
Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
“Thankfully saner minds prevailed this time.”
Indeed, quite shocking
Carl_R
Carl_R
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
If Trump hadn’t sabotaged the two Georgia Senate races, we wouldn’t even be having this discussion, but yes, it’s what we need, albeit unexpected. It could come to an end at any time, though.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Carl_R
Waiting for him to speak on Monday and Tuesday about races across the country. Getting my popcorn ready. 
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
The party finally is coming to grips with what the compromiser in chief said all along. Did they really thing a senator, VP and now president who cut deals most of his life wouldnt cut another one. 

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