Price of Food Away From Home Is Rising Fast, at Home Still a Problem

Year-Over-Year Food Prices

  • At Home: 12.4 Percent
  • Away From Home: 8.4 Percent
  • Food and Beverage: 9.2 Percent 

We have not seen anything like this since 1981.

CPI Six Food Categories Year-Over-Year 

Six Food Categories Percent Change From a Year Ago

  • Meat, Poultry, Fish, Eggs: 6.8 Percent
  • Cereals, Bakery: 14.6 Percent
  • Dairy: 12.3 Percent
  • Fruits and Vegetables: 5.3 Percent
  • Beverages: 12.3 Percent 
  • Other Food at Home: 12.4 Percent 

Month-Over-Month 

Please note the cost of eating out has gone up 0.6 percent or more in 18 out of the last 22 months with a minimum rise of 0.3 percent only once. 

Q&A What Can the Fed Do About This?

  • Grow Food?
  • Produce Fertilizer?
  • Make Rain Where Needed?
  • Cure Bird Flu?
  • Lay Eggs?
  • Quit En Masse and Work for McDonalds?

The Fed’s approach is to reduce the cost of labor by causing a recession so that people stop eating out. This will not reduce the price of labor (wages will not go down) nor will it do anything for the cost of food itself.

Well, that’s OK because Senator Elizabeth Warren knows precisely what to do and who to blame.

Warren Calls on Top Five Egg Producers to Explain Recent Egg Price Hikes

On February 16, Senator Warren issued this press release: Warren Calls on Top Five Egg Producers to Explain Recent Egg Price Hikes

Today, United States Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Rep. Katie Porter (D.-Calif.) sent letters to top egg-producing companies calling on them to provide answers about the elevated price of eggs and the extent to which egg producers may be using fears about avian flu and supply shocks as a cover to pad their own profits. In the letters, the lawmakers note that in the midst of record-high egg prices, Cal-Maine, the largest egg producer in the US, announced a 65% increase in profits while reporting no cases of avian flu. They ask the companies to provide transparency about the rationale for increasing egg prices and the financial impact to the companies. The letters were sent to Rose Acre Farms, Cal-Maine Foods, Hillandale Farms, Versova Management and Daybreak Foods. 

Meanwhile, the USDA reported 43.3 million commercial layer hens and one million pullets were depopulated due to highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in 2022. The numbers for market eggs totaled 306 million, down 6% year over year.

When there are cases of HPAI, producers kill the entire flock. 

Cal-Maine had a huge profit precisely because it had no cases of bird flu but the demand for eggs did not decline. 

Is Warren really as economically illiterate as she sounds, or is this another political stunt?

Nothing Tame About the CPI, Just Elation Over Interest Rate Hike Odds

For the rest of the February CPI details, please see Nothing Tame About the CPI, Just Elation Over Interest Rate Hike Odds.

Rent was particularly hot.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Q&A What Can the Fed Do About This?”
Disappear.
$20/oz and no possible bailouts, puts pretty much the entirety of those who currently lives off of Fed transfers; Trasferred from laborers and handed to those, of all ages, who idly lives off so called “assets”, both directly and up to several degrees of separation away; right back in the labor pool by newfound necessity. Which will both lower wages and increase production. By a lot. Guaranteed.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
2 years ago
Time to make heads explode here:
1) disinflation / deflation dead ahead
2) SIVB not a bailout of banks. Plenty more (small / medium) will go TU.
3) Jay Powell doing a good job now (so far). Bernanke left him an unplayable hand with no winning move.
PPI out this morning … consensus +0.3% … actual -0.1%
final demand foods … -2.2% … down 3 months in a row.
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
2 years ago
Roadkill still the same price.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
Rats also.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
With current fuel prices??? Are you going to, literally, RUN them over?
In all fairness: I suppose fuel prices aren’t so bad in the US. In Europe, only 1 percenter Friends of Macron can afford the luxury of going out to run over roadkill the old fashioned way.
RichR
RichR
2 years ago
Your giving Elizabeth Warren to much credit. I really don’t think it’s a political stunt. Who has come out of Harvard who has a real job and understands more than book theory? CEO’s? Well what did Carl Ichan say yesterday about corporate leadership? We have practical Illiterates in government and in the C-suites in this country. God help us we are on an unsustainable path that will only be cured with massive pain on all levels. “The elevator to stability is out of order, you will have to take the stairs one step at a time”. Short duration T-Bills or cash – everything else will suffer! Cash is King just like the late 70’s. Not sure your old enough to remember? I am and have been preparing my kids for year and half and now they know Daddy knows best from experience. I didn’t think we would survive back then, but we will. Those who didn’t protect themselves from the hurricane as Jamie Dimon warned about will get wiped out!!!! Deflationary crash or a Inflationary crash and then a Deflationary crash, That is the only choices for the FED.
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
The new successful moniker on dating websites won’t be “ loves dining and travel “ ……but will be…….“ I can bake a cherry pie”
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
For those with common sense it has always been about cooking and baking.
But I get your drift.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
2 years ago
“February was yet another month of declining real wages, and was the twenty-third month in a row during which growth in average hourly earnings failed to keep up with CPI growth”
“The neutrality of money, also called neutral money, is an economic theory stating that changes in the money supply only affect nominal variables and not real variables.”
How long does it have to be? Or maybe money is not neutral?
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
Oil dropped below support level today.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
Remember what people were saying about oil a year ago?
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Oil is the same price it was 5 years ago. The dollar has highly diluted value compared to 5 years ago. In real terms oil was more expensive 5 years ago. Oil stocks and nations with oil economies are not going to like this.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
A year ago most were predicting $160 and above. No one was saying below $70 in a year.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
It depends on to whom you were listening (reading).
😉
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Well here for example. I never heard anyone say that or just about anywhere else. Pundits and and Seerers were all saying it was going way up and the intelligent ones said nothing.
Christoball
Christoball
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Tony Bennett and i were preaching lower oil and fuel prices.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball
A year ago? Good for you! I remained quiet because I didn’t know which way to go.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
2 years ago
Reply to  Christoball

It’s Gresham’s law: “a
statement of the least cost “principle of substitution” as applied to money:
that a commodity (or service) will be devoted to those uses which are the most
profitable.

In the GFC it was housing, now it’s oil.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Salmo Trutta
Nah, it’s equities.
For a little longer.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
2 years ago
Inflation can only be solved by banning speculation in derivatives by hedge funds. This accounts for about 30-40% of the price of all commodities. The Fed really needs to take money out of the money supply. Raising rates alone won’t do anything. We also need more unemployment so there is less money chasing after everything.
Salmo Trutta
Salmo Trutta
2 years ago
Yes. As FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair complained:
“Sellers of derivatives still have ‘no skin in their game’ & excessive
concentrations”… “a culture, and Congress, that celebrates exploitation
of an unwitting public for the sake of a fast buck” where the bankruptcy code
gives derivative sellers preferential treatment allowing them to take ownership
of their higher-quality assets as collateral before proceedings.”
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Salmo Trutta
Spoken like a man that has never sold corn futures just before the market price soared.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
“Inflation can only be solved by banning speculation in derivatives by hedge funds.”
Since then, noone will start a dredge fund and get around the ban on hedge funds….
Instead of ever more elaborate weirdness: Just look back at before The Fed: There were no Hedge Funds. Hence no speculation by Hedge Funds. Ditto Dredge Funds. Man, Isn’t simply, and without any more ado, solving supposed “problems”, fun?
Bam_Man
Bam_Man
2 years ago
The quality of food (and the overall dining experience) away from home is declining fast.
Luckily my wife is a very good cook.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  Bam_Man
Everything in America, and The West (aside from your wife’s cooking) is declining fast.
That’s all that having a Fed transferring all wealth, hence power; away from competents who create it, and to idiots with no other qualification than closeness to The Fed; will always accomplish.
8dots
8dots
2 years ago
While we are focused on SVB and JP, next week Shi will fly to Putin and offer a peace agreement. Russia and Ukraine might
become Chines proxies. Shi will rule the oil producing countries and EV. China silk road will be reopened. Biden will cut his losses,
escape defeat, and get Nobel Prize for Piece. The world is dissected into two pcs,
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  8dots
Or She flies to Moscow and offers support in exchange for Siberia.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  8dots
Wonder how much money Xi would have to give to Zelensky to make it work. Hard to out pay the US when it comes to foreign policy
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  8dots
Unless it’s just a flash in the pan, the Russkies seem to be lobbing enough Kinzhals to indicate they are reliably assembly line producing them now. No “Iron Dome” anywhere, is within decades of having an answer to those. Even the Russians themselves, wouldn’t know how to deal with them.
Ukraine may be the latest “look over there while I stick my hands in your wallet” pet diversionary project for The DC Gang. But those missiles are easily, and (in relative terms) cheaply if they are really mass producible by now, transferred to Syria. Or heck, can even be traded for Iranian drones under enough duress. Making it unlikely in the extreme, that a negotiated settlement; no doubt accompanied by a healthy dose of facesaving mumbo-jumbo; is not getting likelier by the day.
rktbrkr
rktbrkr
2 years ago
saudi Nat’l bank won’t put more into Creit Suisse, they’re CS #1 investor. CS CEO wouldn’t reply when asked if they would seek gov bailout. That sounds like a YES to me. Hopefully they won’t be able to sucker US taxpayer via US subsidiary but I think I remember stuff like that in 2008.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
2 years ago
Reply to  rktbrkr
Yeah it appears they are going to go under next and need a bailout. But let the European countries do it this time as they did in Cyprus in 2008.
Siliconguy
Siliconguy
2 years ago
It could be worse. Argentina did it again, from Reuters,
SAN FERNANDO, Argentina (Reuters) – Argentina’s annual inflation rate tore past 100% in February, the country’s statistics agency said on Tuesday, the first time it has hit triple figures since a period of hyperinflation in 1991, over three decades ago.
Inflation over 12 months clocked in at 102.5% in the second month of the year, government data showed, with a higher-than-expected 6.6% monthly rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and a 13.1% year-to-date increase.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  Siliconguy
Argentina, wonderful place to visit.
Keep your cash in the hotel safe and change only what you need on a daily basis.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker
Argentinian style Social Democracy with a Nationalistic twist, is what The West has aspired to ever since Peron.
Heck, since even before Peron. Cue universal suffrage, for all those reliably wannabe Evitas dreaming about being handed a Birkin bag by such a gallant “leader.”
8dots
8dots
2 years ago
SCHW weekly : Mar 8 2021 to June 13 2022 lows. Parallel from Mar 8 2021 high.
MPO45v2
MPO45v2
2 years ago
Easy way to deal with inflation is to earn more money. I did a buy/write on PSX today for April expiry, raked in $1500. Gonna order me some nice A5 Japanese Wagyu, 3lbs of NY strip at Costco under $500 right now.
Remember sell covered calls on rallies and sell naked puts on bear plunges and hope to god you’re cleared out before the next margin call.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  MPO45v2
Buy the ribeyes instead, you deserve it.
8dots
8dots
2 years ago
KBE weekly : Mar 22 2021 to July 19 2022 lows. Parallel from : Jun 1 2022 high, for a bungee plunge.
8dots
8dots
2 years ago
Reply to  8dots
And parallel from : Mar 15 2021 high.
8dots
8dots
2 years ago
DIA weekly : there is a line between Jan 2022 and Dec 12 highs. DIA gap lower between Feb 13/18. DIA might try to rise above,
but if it can’t Schwab prices will be a much cheaper bargain.
MikeC711
MikeC711
2 years ago
Remember that Senator Warren was paid $400,000 to teach one class (as a woman of color) then questioned why education was so expensive. So she either has integrity issues or intelligence issues. I suspect the former
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  MikeC711
I think she’s completely phony, but I don’t think she was dumb to take that gig. The people who paid her were the dumb ones.
Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago
Reply to  MikeC711
Caesar:
Let me have men about me that are fat,
Sleek-headed men and such as sleep a-nights.
Yond Cassius has a lean and hungry look,
He thinks too much; such men are dangerous.
Marc Antony:
“Fear him not, Caesar, he’s not dangerous,/ He is a noble Roman, and well given.”
Caesar was right. Antony ends up killing Cassius.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
2 years ago
Reply to  MikeC711
“So she either has integrity issues or intelligence issues. I suspect the former”
They always go hand in hand. Intelligent people don’t have to lower their standards to get by. Only those who can’t otherwise hack it, do.
PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Food, shelter, energy. Basic needs. The lower your income level, the more you have to focus your limited spending on these basic needs. And less on discretionary items.
Price increases for basic needs don’t reduce consumption very much, but they do force some substitution.
So demand for food and energy remain strong, while supplies are constrained for myriad reasons.
There is very little that the Fed or govt can do about this. In addition, I expect food and energy price increases to continue to press higher for the rest of this decade.
MarkraD
MarkraD
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave
Compare 5 to 10 year charts of cattle/beef to hogs/pork, see if you’re confronted with the same question I am.
.
dtj
dtj
2 years ago
I’m old enough to remember when a meal at a casual restaurant and certainly a fast food restaurant cost less than a dollar (pre 1973).
As far as the current price increases being caused by price fixing – they’re ultimately caused by debasing the dollar, even if there is now price fixing being added to the equation.
Pre-Covid, companies went to great lengths to hold down costs and price increases. Once the money started flowing and they realized customers were no longer price sensitive, they had no qualms about raising prices.
MarkraD
MarkraD
2 years ago
Reply to  dtj
“As far as the current price increases being caused by price fixing – they’re ultimately caused by debasing the dollar, even if there is now price fixing being added to the equation.”
Have you seen a DXY chart lately?
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  dtj
The prices are where they are because people continue to pay for this optional experience.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  dtj
McDonald’s hamburger (2 pickles, ketchup, mustard) $0.15.
McDonald’s French fries (just one size) $0.10.
McDonald’s chocolate shake (just one size) $0.19.
MarkraD
MarkraD
2 years ago
Eggs are easily explained with 43 million hens euthanized, that’s over 10% of all layer hens, one season will fix that.
Pork has been dropping, Chicken is almost back to it’s 2019 prices.
That leaves us Beef, which hasn’t stopped soaring despite no shortages, no increase in demand.
This is a cattle rancher, Coy Young, who was forced to sell his ranch to one of the “big 4” beef magnates, he discusses how they manipulate prices to squeeze smaller ranchers into selling to them, while at the same time price fixing to consumers.
There’s no beef shortage, there’s no increased demand for beef, so how do we explain it?
Where Beef is the biggest problem within the biggest source of inflation right now, will rate increases fix this problem?
Maybe allowing 4 companies too much control over a single sector is a bad idea, remember “TBTF”, anyone?.
.
.
worleyeoe
worleyeoe
2 years ago
Reply to  MarkraD
“Chicken is almost back to it’s 2019 prices.”
BS! At the beginning of COVID, Krogers in my area were selling boness chicken breasts for $1.99/lb. They stayed that way until about a year ago, when it went to $2.49 and then $2.99. YTD, chicken hasn’t dropped at all. The price I pay for my deli turkey at Walmart continues to increase. That’s the thing about food inflation. In general, these are mostly permanent increases.
MarkraD
MarkraD
2 years ago
Reply to  worleyeoe
No idea what planet you’re from, but just home from the supermarket and Chicken legs/chicken quarters selling for $180/lb.
A year ago they were wandering around $2.50/$3/lb.
.
MarkraD
MarkraD
2 years ago
Chicken and pork are down a lot, Eggs and beef are the real problem.
43 million layer hens euthanized certainly explains egg prices where the total layers for the U.S. is 400 million, that’s 10%+.
Beef though, makes no sense, I recently stumbled onto a video featuring a cattle rancher, Coy Young, discussing the fact that the U.S. cattle/beef market is controlled by 4 corporations, and, they manipulate cattle prices to bankrupt smaller ranchers into selling to them, while at the same time engaging in price fixing.
This is Coy testifying to the house agriculture committee last year – https://www.c-span.org/video/?c5014907/user-clip-house-agriculture-committee-hearing-april-27
So, where Beef accounts for the only unexplained variable of food that isn’t deflating, do we really think raising rates will fix this?
.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
2 years ago
Looks like SVB bank run was aided by chat rooms on Twitter.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
You have to stop getting your news from CNN. Everything is government propaganda. This is an obvious attack on Musk. Not a news story.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Where do you get your news?
That’s a rhetorical question… the answer is obvious.
KidHorn
KidHorn
2 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
The difference is what I get is news.
Zardoz
Zardoz
2 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
You get the lies you want to hear from Tucker, and you’re ashamed to admit it.
That’s a start. You know better. You just lack the will to act.
HippyDippy
HippyDippy
2 years ago
Tough question on Warren. She can sound intelligent, but While I know she understands how stupid her base is, she doesn’t have to be that smart to fool them. I noticed the biggest areas of increase in the food items were all staples of the Standard American Diet. Aptly named SAD. Those of us who actually eat fruits and veggies are better off in many ways.
As to the solution? Kick the government out of the economy. But the state will have to break everything before that will happen.

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