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The Cost of Food at Home Stabilizes, Away From Home Rose Another 0.4 Percent

The CPI was better than expected but sticky data is problematic.

CPI food at home vs away from home month-over-month from the BLS, chart by Mish

Six CPI Food Categories Month-Over-Month

CPI six food categories month-over-month from the BLS, chart by Mish

Month-Over-Month Food Details

  • Food at Home: +0.0 Percent
  • Food Away from Home: +0.4 Percent
  • Meat, Fish, Poultry, Eggs: +1.6 Percent
  • Dairy: -1.0 Percent
  • Cereals: +0.4 Percent
  • Fruits and Vegetables: -0.5 Percent
  • Nonalcoholic Beverages: +0.0 Percent (the 2.2 was last month)

The price of eggs rose 15.2 percent last month and another 10.4 percent this month.

Food is 13.68 percent of the CPI. Eggs are only 0.2 percent.

CPI Food at Home vs Away from Home Year-Over-Year

CPI Food Categories Year-Over-Year

Food Details Year-Over-Year

  • Food at Home: +1.9 Percent
  • Food Away from Home: +3.7 Percent
  • Meat, Fish, Poultry, Eggs: +7.7 Percent
  • Dairy: +0.8 Percent
  • Cereals: +0.3 Percent
  • Fruits and Vegetables: -0.2 Percent

Food away from home is understated if you include suggested tip rates that are soaring out of sight.

Please get a freezer if you don’t have one and buy what is on sale and store it.

For seniors, Albertsons and Safeway offer 10% off on the first Wednesday of every month, and that is on top of what is on sale. Take advantage. We save hundreds of dollars this way.

The CPI Is a Bit Better than Expected in February on Decline in Gasoline

Yesterday, I commented The CPI Is a Bit Better than Expected in February on Decline in Gasoline

Economists expected a 0.3 percent rise and the BLS reported 0.2 percent, as gasoline prices fell 1 percent and airline fares fell 4 percent.

But shelter rose 0.3 percent, and it is sticky. Gasoline and airline fares aren’t. Moreover, falling gasoline and airline fares go hand in hand with an economic slowdown.

Looking closer at energy, the price of electricity was up 1.0 percent and natural gas 2.5 percent. So this was not at all a great report.

Related Posts

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Beneath a weak headline jobs number, the details are even weaker.

March 10, 2025: Trump and Secretary of Treasury Bessent Discuss the “Detox Recession”

Don’t worry, it’s just a little more pain and inflation disturbance before tariff greatness begins.

March 10, 2025: Hello Automakers, Trump Hikes Canada Steel and Aluminum Tariffs to 50 Percent

If Trump wants to clobber automakers, he sure knows how to do it.

If you are looking for a real hoot, please note Commerce Secretary Lutnick Says Tariffs Can Eliminate the IRS and Balance the Budget

Lutnick: “We’re going to make the External Revenue Service replace the Internal Revenue Service.”

By “External Revenue Service” Howard Lutnick means tariffs.

Hard data shows Lutnick is crazy if he really believes what he says. Please read the post for details.

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Mish

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21 Comments
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Oldest Most Voted
MPO45v2
MPO45v2
1 year ago

Food away from home is understated if you include suggested tip rates that are soaring out of sight.

There was a great article on restaurants (food away from home). Restaurant productivity has skyrocketed after 30 years of being flat. The cause is people shifting away from dining at the restaurants to take out / home delivery.

https://www.americanactionforum.org/daily-dish/a-lesson-from-restaurants-and-productivity/

The restaurants’ productivity growth rates are strongly correlated, however, with reductions in the amount of time their customers spend in the establishments, particularly with a rising share of customers spending 10 minutes or less. The frequency of such ‘take-out’ customers rose considerably during COVID, even at fast food restaurants, and never went back down.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
1 year ago

Blood test : triglycerides, glycohemoglobin (A1C), C- Reactive and homocysteine to check your brain.

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago

I save 20 to 40% when dining at home, simply by not tipping myself for a great home made meal, then there is the UberEatz fee I save as well.

Cocoa
Cocoa
1 year ago

The Inflate or Die crowd loved the pandemic and excuses to expand increases across the board. So terrific, now the US consumer is tapped out for good and record drawdowns in 401k to keep things running. Increasing prices was always the intention of the Biden admin, who colluded with industry to destroy the engine of the US(middle class.) Destroying the supply chain and free commerce started with Biden

Patrick
Patrick
1 year ago

I’ll have the meat and potatoes please. Hold the meat.

babelthuap
babelthuap
1 year ago

Food prices must go much higher. When obesity rates decline entertain lowering them.

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago
Reply to  babelthuap

its not just portion size,its the types of food, even store bought bread contains corn syrup, sugar or artificial sweeteners like sucralose etc.

That saying about shop at the edges of the grocery store is true. Vegetables, nuts, meat, dairy all much better than the frozen foods and prepackaged.

Obesity is a function of hormonal inbalances caused by stress,poor food, bad water,sugar laden beverages, and low physical effort, such as binge watching and gaming.

a life of doritos,twinkies,coca cola and video games/streaming is a path to obesity.

Limey
Limey
1 year ago
Reply to  Gwako Mole

actually obesity is caused by an overactive knife and fork.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
1 year ago

I am addicted to donuts and cakes since birth. I try to avoid cereal and bakery as much as I can. They contain: sugar, emulsifiers, corn syrup, sweeteners, artificial coloring and other chemicals. They are ultra processed food. Hemoglobin transfer oxygen to the heart and the cells. When glucose mate with hemoglobin u get Glycohemoglobin, or AbA1C (A1C blood test).Glucose and insulin inflame blood vessels. If your arteries are semi clogged + AbA1C ==> u inhibit oxygen from your heart and y cells. If u eat the right stuff all week, but on Fri u eat two donuts u scr*d the whole week. Sound radical, but it’s true. Oxygen is more important than visceral fat. Without it u are dead.

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago
Reply to  Michael Engel

fasting a couple days of the week will reset your glucose intolerance. we simply aren’t built for a life of sugar endlessly.

Doughnuts, I used to love them. but the quality has gone to hell. Used to love me a good Amish bakery back in the day. The chain stores etc are shadows of a decent pastry. I can’t complain it makes it much easier to refrain from indulging.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
1 year ago
Reply to  Gwako Mole

Fasting 2 days in a raw have to be supervised, Fasting (no water) Fri/Sat once a week, or a once month, is good enough to cleanse toxicity from your body. When the fasting end drink water with lemon. I flipped from 6/18 to 8/16 to end the day with a third salad and to avoid cheating. 3 salads/day: raw/ steamed crucifiers, lettuce, home made fermented pickles/cabbage with ginger in a jar, tomato, red onion, garlic…Grind 30 times in order to release their enzymes into the saliva network that flow from the mouth to the guts. Don’t kill the good, the bad bacteria and ugly fungi – in your mouth.

Last edited 1 year ago by Michael Engel
Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago
Reply to  Michael Engel

I’ve been fasting 3 days a week for a year. I supervise myself. I’m healthy as an American can be. basically all my bloodwork is normal, though before fasting my sugar wasn’t what it should be.

water,tea, coffee (black),salt water (minerals, electrolytes – celtic sea salt). eat pretty much what I want, the other 4 days of the week.

i’ve lost 45 lbs, another 15 or so to go..

3 day fast gives you glucose intolerance reset, and aptosis/autophagy to clean up your aging cells etc.

if i were going to fast for a week or more i’d consider supervision, but these days its hard to find a doctor you can trust.

your diet sound interesting, you might want to try chewing a clove a couple times a day, it stimulates digestion and has lots of other benefits. The clove from clove trees, not cloves of garlic.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
1 year ago
Reply to  Gwako Mole

I get my heme iron from sardines and mackerels instead of steaks. Stress (cortisol) increases visceral fat. Heart attacks are coming from low risk areas in the veins (80%). I dump 3/5 types of beans, buckwheat, quinoa, potatoes, sweat potato, tomatoes, eggplants, zucchini… in the Instant pot. Basmati rice separately. I don’t save calories. I do kegel for man to strengthen the pelvic floor muscles and my hips. Flexibility exercises at home, 10/15 min jogging on carpet. No gym. 4/8/4 breathing keeps the air flowing. Stay away from Listerine or whitening toothpastes which kill good/bad bacteria..

gerhard
gerhard
1 year ago

Mish: Does your technical analysis tell you anything about where the major indices (S&P, Nasdaq, 10 year treasury yield) are headed over the next 18 months??

Its clear you expect TSLA to drop at least 50% from here if its to reach $140. Not sure how it gets there, but it will be shocking for many if it does.

That doesn’t happen with the rest of the market (even sans the Mag7) going sideways right?

Laura
Laura
1 year ago

Hoping food prices continue to drop now that the price of gas is dropping so transportation costs are less.

peelo
peelo
1 year ago

So good to be here, versus the standard media clickbait, which corresponds to folks at the slightest data blip saying “the sky is falling!” and “it is all the fault of [choose your favorite political demon].”

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago
Reply to  peelo

its not news, its manipulation. it becomes threadbare very quickly if you pay attention. It would be useful to have a balanced nuanced verifiable new source. I’d even pay for such a service if it ever becomes a reality.

but too dangerous for intelligence agencies to have a truly well informed populace. too hard to manipulate them.

Sentient
Sentient
1 year ago

Alright everybody – commence with the dietary recommendations…

rjd1955
rjd1955
1 year ago
Reply to  Sentient

Beer, booze, and donuts.

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
1 year ago
Reply to  rjd1955

in moderation, along with fasting, exercize and throwing away the tv and the smart phone.

Bam_Man
Bam_Man
1 year ago
Reply to  rjd1955

You forgot the red wine.
“Red, red wine…”

Last edited 1 year ago by Bam_Man

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