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Question of the Day: Why Does the Fed Value Its Gold at $35 Per Ounce?

At $35 per ounce the Fed values its gold at $11.037 billion. What’s the gold really worth and why the low valuation?

The Fed’s gold marked to market at current price of $1984 per ounce. Calculation explained below.

Question of the Day

The Fed has no oil to revalue but it does have gold. How much?

Fed’s Balance Sheet in Millions of Dollars

Fed’s balance sheet from the New York Fed, annotations by Mish

The price of gold at the time I created the lead chart was $1,984 per ounce. The lead chart shows the math involved to revalue the gold at that price.

The gold on the Fed’s balance sheet is worth about $625.6 billion. The Fed’s current balance sheet is $7.815 trillion so even revalued gold would be a tiny percent of the Fed’s assets.

Percentage of Fed’s Balance Sheet

  • Current: (11,037 / 7,814,991) * 100 = 0.14 Percent
  • Revalued: 625,640 / (7,814,991 – 11,037 + 625,640) * 100 = 7.42 Percent

Why Does the Fed Value Its Gold at $35 Per Ounce?

One pragmatic reason might be the Fed wants to avoid wild and random swings in the value of its balance sheet.

But the correct answer pertains to the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 as explained by Federal Reserve History.

Signed by President Franklin D. Roosevelt in January 1934, the Act was the culmination of Roosevelt’s controversial gold program. Among other things, the Act transferred ownership of all monetary gold in the United States to the US Treasury and prohibited the Treasury and financial institutions from redeeming dollars for gold.

Roosevelt’s gold program, which began in 1933, first restricted the private use of gold, requiring businesses like the Columbus firm to apply to the Fed for gold bars. The Gold Reserve Act of 1934 was the culmination of this program; President Roosevelt signed the Act on January 30, 1934.

Section 2 of the act transferred ownership of all monetary gold in the United States to the US Treasury. Monetary gold included all coins and bullion held by individuals and institutions, including the Federal Reserve. In return, individuals and institutions received currency at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold. This rate reduced the gold value of the dollar to 59 percent of the value set by the Gold Act of 1900, which equaled $20.67 per ounce. That rate had prevailed until the spring of 1933, when the Roosevelt administration began its campaign to devalue the dollar.

Sections 5 and 6 of the act prohibited the Treasury and financial institutions from redeeming dollars for gold, inverting the system that had prevailed in the United States since the nineteenth century. Under that system, the government converted paper currency to gold coins, whenever citizens desired to do so. Now, the government converted gold into dollars, regardless of whether citizens wanted to engage in the exchange.

Section 12 of the act authorized the president to establish the gold value of the dollar by proclamation. The president did this the day after he signed the act. 

As an agent for the Treasury, the Federal Reserve executed Treasury policies, which included supplying dental manufacturing companies with gold to make false teeth.

Today, you might ask, do dentists still get gold from the Federal Reserve? No is the answer. The provisions of the Gold Reserve Act of 1934 applied to the stock of monetary gold in the United States at that time. The preponderance of that gold remains the property of the Treasury, although much of it physically resides in the vaults of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Theft of Property

Confiscation of gold at a price set by Roosevelt is nothing but legalized theft. For this, Roosevelt is revered. I suggest he should have been put in prison.

Not Enough Gold Buyers Left?!

Discussion of gold inspired a bunch of absurd Tweets including this gem: “There are not enough gold buyers left.

Will the Fed Revalue Gold?

Siding With CEO Technician

Nonetheless, let’s assume I am wrong.

Questions Abound

  1. On what authority?
  2. Why?
  3. What good would it do?
  4. At what price?

The Fed does not seem to have authority to do do.

Since legality has not stopped the Fed before, another question comes into play: Does the Fed want its balance sheet to wildly fluctuate every day based on the price of gold?

That lead to why, and what good would it do? The answer to the latter is nothing.

At What Price?

This is where it gets interesting.

If the Fed set the valuation at the market valuation, then please note it would not be the Fed setting the price of gold. Rather it will be the market setting the price of gold, not the Fed.

If the Fed puts any other price than the market price the market will not go along.

Either way, the Fed will not be setting any price just as CEO Technician stated “Gold is a global market and cannot be revalued by one Central Bank.”

A Good Story or Obvious Hype?

Maguire says the Fed will be “forced” to revalue gold as soon as one other central bank does.

That is meaningless hype because the market, not central banks, sets the price of gold. The irony in this silliness is that even if the Fed did what Maguire suggests, it would accomplish virtually nothing!

The madness doesn’t stop there.

Nonsensical Idea of the Day


The central bank sells the gold to itself and pockets $1900 profit to balance their books.

If you are looking for humor, Twitter is the place to find it.

Other gold-related ridiculousness surfaced on Twitter including a gold-backed yuan and a gold-backed-BRICS currency.

I have discussed this before, but since resurfaced again, let’s review an idea posted in July.

Huge! It’s Official!

“It’s official. RT (Russia sponsored TV) says the new BRICS-currency will be gold backed.”

What a hoot.

Gold-Backed Yuan Silliness

Let’s go back even further. In 2017, talk surfaced of a gold-backed petro-yuan fueled by an inane CNBC report.

I mocked the idea in Gold-Backed Petro-Yuan Silliness

A few months later, that idea crashed. My follow-up article was Petroyuan’s Crash at Birth

Seven years later, we have nearly the same discussion.

Undaunted by the failures of prior ridiculous proclamations, the story has since morphed into “HUGE” nonsense about a gold-backed BRICS currency.

Gold Backed BRIC Silliness

On July 7, 2023 I mocked the “HUGE” hype in More Gold Backed BRIC Currency Silliness on Dethroning the Dollar

Expect to be underwhelmed, but expect more hype anyway. Hype is sexy. So is predicting the collapse of the dollar.

The BRICS conference, at which the official announcement was expected, came and went with no mention at all of a gold-backed BRICS currency.

What Would it Take for a BRIC-Based Currency to Succeed?

People spreading these preposterous ideas never bother to look at key questions such as What Would it Take for a BRIC-Based Currency to Succeed?

I list six conditions, none of which are in place for a BRICS-backed currency to get widespread use.

However, as a sanction-avoidance measure, at a much smaller scale, a BRICS-backed currency could have a bit of success.

Will this stop the silly hype? Of course not. Preaching the death of the dollar or the rise of the yuan always generates clicks.

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Mish

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38 Comments
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Sunriver
Sunriver
2 years ago

The FED values worthless FIAT (1s and 0s if you like).

Please keep Gold out of the FEDs extremely red balance sheet.

Counter
Counter
2 years ago

Thieves is right. “Since legality has not stopped the Fed before” – classic. They are not stupid, they know and continue to do it.

Most commercial banks that have operated in the US over the past century are gone. Compared to an all time high of 30,456 banks in 1921, total US banks fell to 4,135 in 2022, down 86%. Getting rid of the competition.

When the US rescinded its promise to allow the exchange of US dollars into gold at a set exchange rate, the dollar fell and to maintain military hegemony, US leaders felt this fall had to be stopped. The solution was found in the importing needs of countries like Germany and Japan: most of their energy was imported. The US dollar was thus transformed from the gold-backed dollar into the oil-backed dollar, known as the “petro-dollar”.

US troops were deployed in the largest oil producing country, Saudi Arabia, and a deal was made that its government and royal family would be supported by the US, in exchange for the promise to sell oil only against the US dollar, and invest 80% of the resulting abundance in US dollar reserves in Saudi Arabia back into US Treasuries, thus funding the government budget deficit, and with it, the US foreign wars.

Germany and Japan now needed US dollars, in order to be able to buy the energy needed to operate their economies. Of course, some alternatives were explored, namely Germany gradually began to import gas from the Soviet Union, which always delivered reliably.

The other step to underpin the US dollar was to engineer a massive hike in the oil price, which would essentially transfer vast resources from manufacturing powerhouses Germany and Japan to Saudi Arabia and the United States. For this, Henry Kissinger had to arm-twist the Saudis to quadruple the oil price, which happened in January 1974. To divert the attention from the true sequence and cause of these events, as outlined here, and instead spread the narrative that the driving force of events was the OPEC oil embargo, central banks in the sphere of influence of the Federal Reserve, which included the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Bundesbank, had simultaneously set out in 1971 and 1972 to massively expand the money supply by encouraging a grotesque expansion in bank credit, for property speculation and consumption.

This caused the inflation of the 1970s, despite the dominant official narrative that the inflation was the result of a war and its subsequent energy embargo. (Like Henry Kissinger’s visit to China, also this scenario has recurred half a century later: it was not the Russian military operation to defend the newly formed Republics on Ukraine’s borders that caused the inflation of 2021 and 2022, but the massive expansion in bank credit, coordinated by the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and ECB and implemented in March 2020).

Small banks lend to small business

What is needed next is (for China to champion) the establishment of many small local banks in developing countries, just as Deng Xiaoping did at home to launch the rapid rise of the Chinese economy. This would be the ultimate alternative to the Washington-based wrong-headed “Development Economics”, which considers banks unimportant and presses countries to instead focus on stock market development, despite the fact that stock markets do not result in economic growth, but instead fuel US and UK-style casino capitalism.

China’s vast economy has benefitted greatly by abandoning the old Soviet-era mono-bank system of central planning and introducing decentralisation of economic decision-making, delegated to hundreds of thousands of loan officers working for thousands of small local banks evaluating the loan applications of millions of small firms and micro-businesses. This creates a strong and large middle-class, which means inequality declines and the country can prosper, thanks to the strong purchasing power of the average citizen – while the Washington “Development Economics” has presided over an ever-growing disparity between many very poor people and a small elite of extremely rich beneficiaries.

Washington’s “development economics” is actually designed to prevent development 12 September 2023 Richard Werner

RedQueenRace
RedQueenRace
2 years ago

Reading through the comments it appears there is confusion on this issue.

1) The Fed owns no gold. The gold is the property of the US Treasury,

2) The gold certificates are not a claim on the Treasury’s gold. They were issued in exchange for dollar credits to the Treasury’s Account. This balances the accounting. The Fed assumes a liability of “x” dollars. This is offset by a gold certificate asset of “x” dollars.

3) The gold represented by the certificates is collateral for the “money” the Fed provided to the Treasury in exchange for those certificates.

Alexis
Alexis
2 years ago

The Federal Reserve (the Fed) values its gold at $35 per ounce based on a historical standard that has not been updated to reflect current market prices. This valuation is tied to the historical price of gold under the Bretton Woods system, which was established in 1944.

Under the Bretton Woods system, currencies were pegged to the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar was pegged to gold at a fixed rate of $35 per ounce. This system effectively created a gold standard, where the value of the dollar was directly linked to a specific amount of gold. However, in 1971, President Richard Nixon ended the direct convertibility of the U.S. dollar to gold, marking the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the transition to a fiat currency system, where currencies are not backed by a physical commodity like gold.

Despite the end of the gold standard, the Federal Reserve continues to value its gold holdings at the historical price of $35 per ounce for accounting purposes. This valuation is largely symbolic and does not reflect the current market value of gold. The market value of gold has significantly increased since the 1970s and fluctuates based on supply and demand, geopolitical factors, inflation rates, and other economic variables.

In summary, the $35 per ounce valuation is a historical artifact from the Bretton Woods era and does not represent the actual market value of the Fed’s gold reserves. The continued use of this valuation is more about maintaining consistency in historical financial reporting than reflecting current economic realities.

Jon Myers
Jon Myers
2 years ago

If gold is irrelevant, as Mish implies, then why does it trade at all, much less at $1900 an ounce and why has it tracked and correlated with money supply (US) so extremely well? We don’t know, evidently, what gold is, but we know what it is not and it is not irrelevant.

Ken Kniel
Ken Kniel
2 years ago

Mish, I am a bit confused we just proved the Fed does not care or worry about gold. And they actually own gold? What others asset do they own?

I certainly will take 0.5 tons off there hands for $35 an ounce.

The real reason is if they priced it at the market then they would be admitting that they have devalued the dollar by $35 ÷ $1974 = ± 0.018

So under their leadership your dollar is now worth less than 2 cents. MONEY?

Jake J
Jake J
2 years ago
Reply to  Ken Kniel

Off “there” hands? LOL

PM Bug
PM Bug
2 years ago

Somewhat related:

https://www.gainesvillecoins.com/blog/dutch-central-bank-admits-prepared-new-gold-standard

The comments from the Director of Financial Markets at the Dutch National Bank are surprisingly candid.

Casual Observer
Casual Observer
2 years ago

There’s no shortage of new gold and its another case of derivatives driving up the price of commodities. If we went back to early 1990s regulation on derivatives, we would get massive deflation and a healthy economy almost overnight. The price of everything has been skewed massively by derivatives deregulation.

Micheal Engel
Micheal Engel
2 years ago

Between 1934 until the sixties USD was stronger than gold. European countries
converted gold to dollars. When the dollar deflated it became weaker than gold.
Gold > USD. When European countries asked for their gold the Fed offered them a check for $34/oz.

Ken Kniel
Ken Kniel
2 years ago
Reply to  Micheal Engel

I think that would be called a default.

joedidee
joedidee
2 years ago

IMHO gold ought to be revalued at $1,000,000 per oz
and entire fed govt debt declared null and void with CONGRESS/POTUS/SPOTUS and all heirs responsible
since it has been issued with no intent on paying it back
then we can have NEW CONVENTION OF STATES to determine NEW AMERICA
not cesspool of neocons/rino’s/wokies running this fascist state

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 years ago

When the government requires that you stand in line and give your gold to them at $20.55 per ounce for paper with pictures of old, white dead guys, on it then the jig is up. That is a devaluation.

joedidee
joedidee
2 years ago

I might find some lead for them all

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 years ago

The Fed refuses to be audited. In God we trust, everyone else we audit. Everyday the world just gets a little more unhinged.

s mohanty
s mohanty
2 years ago

If FED is interested, I am willing to buy all of their GOLD certificates @100/oz & help improve their balance sheet.

joedidee
joedidee
2 years ago
Reply to  s mohanty

you and rest of us MAGA conservaties/libertarians

Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago

Javier Milei was elected! Now let’s see what happens when a Libertarian takes over a basket case country.

joedidee
joedidee
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78

boxed in with no place to turn
all decisions wrought with failure

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 years ago

The three best conductors of electricity are gold, silver, and copper. Gold is the only one of those that doesn’t tarnish or corrode. That is why I wired my house with it.

D. Heartland
D. Heartland
2 years ago

A good store of value until you have to cut out the wiring to your refrigerator in order to redeem your gold.

Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago

Same here.
Gold flashing for the roof is much better than copper.

Doug78
Doug78
2 years ago

It kind of shows how go!d has become irrelevant for the Fed and its operations. They don’t even bother to mark it to market.

Scooot
Scooot
2 years ago
Reply to  Doug78

I don’t think they mark to market Treasuries either do they? 🙂

PreCambrian
PreCambrian
2 years ago

I think that “what good would it do” is the best reason/question. They could “set” the price of houses also. Is it going to change anything?

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 years ago

I am a CPA and our motto is “In God we trust, everyone else we audit.”

D. Heartland
D. Heartland
2 years ago

God, from what I would guess, refused to pay a Vig to those Money Changers because his Son HATED them. God taught his Son well. The gig was up, though, when the Cross was erected. A painful moment.

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
2 years ago

When Munchin and bride toured Ft. Knox they gave a big thumbs up after the tour that the gold was there. I guess they were so impressed they forgot to take a phone picture of themselves in the warehouse.

Frilton Miedman
Frilton Miedman
2 years ago

This topic first came to the surface ten years go in the “trillion dollar coin” buzz during the debt ceiling debacle that downgraded the US credit rating for the first time ever.

It has been done before.

If Biden did it, it would obviously skewer the market, treasuries, bonds and gold itself

I wish he would..

Household debt, disparity and real wages are the true concern.

Joss
Joss
2 years ago

What GOLD ? You mean that Stash that hasn’t been seen since the 50s ? Now you see it now you don’t …
The FED will never show it or value it because that would confirm their belief in the importance of GOLD …. And that is something they don’t want do …. So the Public will never know whether it actually exists …. Better to Keep them Guessing … The Myth is POWER !

BTHB
BTHB
2 years ago

I have a question that maybe someone smarter than me can answer. The “official” US gold reserves are claimed to be 8133 tonnes. However, are these 8,133 tonnes of 24 kt, i.e., 99.99% pure, or is it 8,133 tonnes of 22 kt, or 91.67% pure? The difference is 677.5 metric tonnes, so not an inconsiderable amount, even for the US Gumment…

PreCambrian
PreCambrian
2 years ago
Reply to  BTHB

Pure gold. They make the 22kt gold for some coinage from 24kt gold.

Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
2 years ago
Reply to  BTHB

Depends on long tonnes or short tons?
Intermediate tons?

Jack
Jack
2 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker

Metric tons

Jake J
Jake J
2 years ago
Reply to  BTHB

The answer is that your question is irrelevant. A “tonne” is a metric ton, i.e., 1,000 kilos. A “ton” is 2,000 lbs. According to the information Mish gave, the Fed carries its gold at its cost of $35 an ounce, and values it at $11.037 billion, which translates to 315,342,857.14 ounces.

In tons, it would be 9,854.464. In tonnes, it would be 8,932.82. (I’m sure there’s rounding, so use what’s to the left of the decimal points.) It doesn’t matter because the Fed uses ounces, not tons or tonnes. Capiche?

Nonplused
Nonplused
2 years ago

I notice most of the gold is in certificates and drawing rights. Might that have something to do with it? What does the Fed get if they ask for delivery?

RedQueenRace
RedQueenRace
2 years ago
Reply to  Nonplused

The certificates confer no right of redemption.

Jake J
Jake J
2 years ago

Surely you’ve heard of the “lower of cost or market” method of valuing inventories on balance sheets. Investors (especially in takeovers) will adjust. I realize how much you despise the Fed, but I’m not seeing an LBO in the offing.

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