Personal Income and Outlays, February 2023
Please consider the BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for February 2023.
- Personal income increased $72.9 billion (0.3 percent)
- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $27.9 billion (0.2 percent)
- The PCE price index increased 0.3 percent.
- Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index also increased 0.3 percent
- Real Disposable Personal Income (DPI) increased 0.2 percent in February
- Real PCE decreased 0.1 percent; goods and services each decreased 0.1 percent
- Real Personal Income Less Transfer Payments was flat
Real means inflation adjusted by the PCE price index not the CPI.
The NBER, factors Real PCE and Real PILT into its recession decision process.
Real PCE Three Ways
Real PCE Notes
- Real PCE fell 0.1 percent
- Real PCE Goods fell 0.1 percent
- Real PCE Services fell 0.1 percent
Real spending on services had its first decline in 13 months. The Fed will be pleased with that item.
January PCE had a strong jump due to tax decrease. It did not carry over into February. For discussion of the January surge please see Explaining a Huge Inflationary Jump in Disposable Personal Income
Personal Income Percent Change From Previous Month
Personal Income Six Ways
- DPI is personal income after taxes.
- Real DPI means inflation adjusted.
- PCTR stands for Personal Current Transfer Receipts
Transfer payments are income for which no current service has been performed.
PCTR includes Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and Food Stamps.
This post originated at MishTalk.Com.
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