The 10 Most Positive Things That Might Happen in 2024

A close friend told me that my articles are generally too gloomy. He asked me to put together a list of ten good things that could happen in 2024.

Ten Positive Things That Could Happen

  1. The war in Ukraine ends
  2. The war in Gaza ends
  3. AI leads to to amazing medical advances
  4. Battery advances reduce the cost of producing batteries by 50 percent and increase the milage per charge by 50 percent.
  5. Huge rare earth deposits discovered in the US and Canada with mine permits quickly granted.
  6. Mexico agrees to refine the rare earths avoiding NIMBYism and environmental concerns in the US and Canada, which reduces global dependence on China.
  7. Republicans and Democrats come up with a compromise solution to the border crisis that works, is quickly adopted, and pleases nearly everyone.
  8. Huge advance in desalination techniques provides cheaper ways of converting salt water to fresh water.
  9. New cures discovered for several types of cancer reducing or ending the need for chemotherapy.
  10. President Javier Milei’s Libertarian economic plan and government worker reduction in Argentina is a huge success.

Points #1, #2, and #10 have some controversial elements.

Eventually, the war in Ukraine will end, but the most likely way is a settlement that causes some loss of territory to Ukraine. A similar setup applies to Gaza.

Regarding point #10, socialists are probably not rooting for Milei. I believe the other 7 things would be welcome by at least 99 percent of the people.

Things Considered But Discarded

  • Neither Trump nor Biden is a presidential nominee. This could be a good thing, but who would the replacements be? Besides, over half the nation might not agree that it’s a good thing.
  • China gives up on uniting with Taiwan. That would certainly be a good thing but I find that too outrageous to consider possible.
  • Doctors finding many ways of wrapping brains on metal trays to keep us from the heat.

It’s Good New Week

The Lesson of 1975 for Today’s Pessimists

Wall Street Journal writer Andy Kessler writes The Lesson of 1975 for Today’s Pessimists

Intel had invented microprocessors only four years earlier. Memory for computers cost maybe a half penny a bit. Eight kilobytes ran around $300. Your current 256-gigabyte iPhone would have cost more than $10 billion. My high school had just installed a clanky Teletype machine with a paper-tape punch and reader and a 110-baud modem to dial into the district’s computer. In the first of many flips, I showed teachers how to use it.

I remember seeing an ad in 1976 in Byte magazine, the bible for homebrew enthusiasts, for a $666 Apple computer. It was more of a circuit board and looked limited. My friends and I were already on our way to starting our own company, MicroTek, to sell our home computers. We were all in, until our parents said we had to go to college.

But here’s the thing: Peering through the thick smoldering smog of the ’70s, you could barely make out the dawn of this new era of opportunity. Amid fears of Paul Ehrlich’s “population bomb” and global cooling, 50 years of amazing innovation and invention were about to begin.

Back then, multimillion-dollar mainframe computers with punched cards and dot-matrix printouts ran corporations. Minicomputers cost tens of thousands of dollars and sat in scientific labs. My homebrew machine cost me $700, funded by several years of various jobs including slinging Stewart’s Root Beer. That was a lot of money. Minimum wage was $2.10.

AI will usher in knowledgeable and friendly automated customer service any day now. But there is so much else on the innovation horizon: osmotic energy, geothermal, nuclear fusion, autonomous farming, photonic computing, human longevity. Plus all the stuff in research labs we haven’t heard of yet, let alone invented and brought to market. Remember that generative AI spent a long time incubating in labs and has been out only a year. Critics dismissed mRNA until it could provide rapid-response vaccines.

I had not seen that article when I came up with my list. I ruled out fusion. It won’t happen in 2024.

The above link is a free link if you wish to read the whole article.

Happy New Year!

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Cocoa
Cocoa
4 months ago

I am surprised Mish is not an RFK Jr supporter. RFK has been a big proponent of free markets, not bailing out private equity, supporting small business, getting the hell out of foreign shenanigans and a big environmentalist. Mish takes a lot of neat photos of national parks and nature.

Truthseeker
Truthseeker
4 months ago
Reply to  Cocoa

Lipstick on a pig!

Truthseeker
Truthseeker
4 months ago

I’m hoping Trump picks Larry Elder as his running mate, wins the election, and has a fatal heart attack. Larry Elder, an extremely successful black conservative who embraces traditional values, tells black people to stop talking about racism, start talking about personal responsibility, actually loves America! As POTUS he would have the potential to totally destroy the Democratic Party. Democrats manage to keep blacks all stirred up full of hate, promise reparations to keep them voting Democratic. Elder is the only person I can think of who could unite and begin to heal the nation. Just a Hail Mary dream of mine I guess. Are my comments postable?

notaname
notaname
4 months ago
Reply to  Truthseeker

He’ll sell more balm (relief factor)! Unfortunately, he’s a talking head (aka huckster….). Many more AA’s with substance available to Trump. Keep thinking…

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
4 months ago

wrapping brains on metal trays to keep us from the heat”

Christoball
Christoball
4 months ago

ABBA finally reunites and saves music.

RonJ
RonJ
4 months ago

“Critics dismissed mRNA until it could provide rapid-response vaccines.”

Breaking the safety rules under an OTA contract made that possible, nothing more. A regular vaccine could have been produced just as fast by ignoring safety regulations under OTA. KTLA News had a story on singer Celine Dion last week, who is still suffering from Stiff Person Syndrome, which is one of the 1,100 adverse events associated with the mRNA Covid shots. Singer Justin Beiber hasn’t been seen in public since he had Ramsay Hunt syndrome last year, after a booster.

Critics are still dismissing the mRNA shots, for good reason.

Last edited 4 months ago by RonJ
Hank
Hank
4 months ago

I hope fauci is the FIRST person tried at Nuremberg for crimes against humanity. And then 1000s of others are detained for trial

I hope for a VERY deep recession bordering on depression

I hope for constant citizen riots against government and oligarchs

I hope the US alphabet agencies get disbanded and perma wars end because of it. Along with the end of unconstitutional actions against private citizens

I hope for term limits that INCLUDES lobbyists and government staffers

I hope for single issue spending bills and the DEATH of omnibus pork bills

I hope GOP McDaniel and Graham both get fired

I hope border states put national guard on the border and give ROE that allows firing on illegal criminals crossing the US border

I hope a balanced budget ammendment becomes law and demands a complete shut down once the budget is spent for the balance of the fiscal year

I hope for peace on earth among all nations. F war

Alex
Alex
4 months ago

Let’s hope and pray for peace. Man is so technically advanced yet so politically backwards. Let’s hope for wiser leaders. To paraphrase the Beetles, “they can’t no worse.”

Felix
Felix
4 months ago

Good news? There is likely to be a significant breakthrough in one or more of the following areas (in no particular order):

Cheaper production of graphene and similar materials.

Bullet dodged: Bio-hydrocarbons – i.e. producing “oil” without benefit of millions of years of time and without huge quantities of gravity.

Much cheaper robotic hands, arms, legs, and bodies. As such, telepresence becomes a big deal and work continues to untether from location.

Fully automated garbage collection.

Bullet dodged: Only a very few unfortunate bio-sphere locations become colder.

Automated chefs.

Education (on-line, video, and automated tutoring disrupt schooling methods).

Geothermal (usable methods that work outside places like Iceland and Yellowstone)

Entertainment (entertainers move from dystopian-future stories to wonderful-possibility-future stories)

A killer “asteroid” is deflected.

Obligatory political laugh: Neither Donald Trump nor Joe Biden win in 2024.

pmbug
pmbug
4 months ago

Regarding point #8:

link to abcnews.go.com

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago

Why should China give up on reuniting Taiwan? That would be like you cutting your own feet off simply because you don’t like your shoes.

Bryan
Bryan
4 months ago
Reply to  Jock Itsch

Because the trillions in cost and damage would not be worth it for China.

Barb
Barb
4 months ago

I wished all these are true! The Indian nations can make a fortune. Peace on Earth, how much can we wish for. And yes Republicans and Democrats work for the people.

Siliconguy
Siliconguy
4 months ago

The Biden administration is opposed to mining. Large rare earth deposits are already known, but mining is basically banned. Besides mining being intrinsically messy, rare earths are typically found with thorium which is radioactive which freaks out most people.

We could put the thorium in a nuclear reactor, but that also freaks people out.

We also need millions of tons of copper, but Biden shut down copper projects in Alaska and Minnesota. The Left does not like mining. We are supposed to trade cat videos for refined metals or something.

Jake J
Jake J
4 months ago

Solid state batteries won’t come online at acceptable costs for at least another decade.

Siliconguy
Siliconguy
4 months ago
Reply to  Jake J

Right, battery advances will be a few percent at a time. They will stack up, but no step changes.

Jake J
Jake J
4 months ago
Reply to  Siliconguy

I blow hot and cold on solid state EV batteries. I have a long personal history following the sector, and even bought a dinkly little Think City when the company went bankrupt. Got it for 70% off. A curiosity purchase, and I used it as a grocery getter and focal point to research everything about EVs and electricity generation.

Took all kinds of crap 8 or 10 years ago for stating the obvious, which is that the batteries had to get much cheaper, and EVs needed a minimum of a 60 kWh battery to hope to break out of the early adopter niche. Guess what? The new generation EVs have 60-65 kWh batteries and are now viable urban commuter second cars. Who knew?

There has been a steady stream of breakthrough hype that didn’t happen. I hopped back into that end of the pool a few months ago, and saw that Toyota and the Taiwanese battery makers were serious about solid state, so I started doing a 180. Then I saw that Toyota has been announcing solid state for the past six or seven years, and have cooled off a bit.

At best, they’ll start appearing late in this decade and won’t be cost competitive until the mid-’30s at the soonest. If they do appear for the ’29 or ’30 model year, they’ll be virtually handmade and hideously expensive, or that’s what it looks like. The first ones will be hyped to the sky, because America is a marketing machine, but they won’t be mass market.

The promise is exciting, though. If they can pull it off, the energy density and therefore the range will be at least triple; they’ll work in a wider temperature range, eliminating the winter range problem; they will last a LOT longer before degrading; they will be far safer; recharging will be much faster. In short, if solid state batteries can be manufactured at competitive prices, they will solve ALL of the downsides of EVs and ICEVs will quickly disappear, starting with new vehicles.

But that will not, not, NOT happen in 2024, and it might not happen at all. Mish was reaching for optimism on that one. What will actually happen is that the current liquid electrolyte EV batteries will continue to get cheaper, erasing the vehicle price difference between ICEVs and EVs but not solving the other issues. And that almost certainly won’t happen before the ’27 or ’28 model year.

One other thing. It is laughable to imagine that we won’t have enough lithium. It’s a very plentiful metal, and they’re discovering new deposits all the time. Has anyone noticed that the world’s largest lithium deposit was just verified just north of the Oregon-California border? Not only that, but the lithium in the batteries is recyclable, and once EVs are common enough there will be a good business in doing it.

Kids, EVs are cars not causes. That’s been my mantra forever, and it always will be. This is ENTIRELY a set of engineering issues, and nothing else. The political division on these things is just stupid, on both sides. Most people who discuss EVs don’t even begin to know what they are talking about. Yeah, I know: Who cares about facts and details when they can parade their fears, ignorance, and fantasies?

Last edited 4 months ago by Jake J
Vin W
Vin W
4 months ago
Reply to  Jake J

EV market penetration beyond 10% of the US fleet would require copper production to double, for the grid. I don’t see past that wall.

AussiePete56
AussiePete56
4 months ago
Reply to  Jake J

We already have viable solid state battery technology, but they are useful at the moment only for grid storage purposes due to size and weight…

link to youtube.com

Jake J
Jake J
4 months ago

How about the Biden impeachment hearings wind up being so devastatingly factual that the major media have to report the the details?

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago
Reply to  Jake J

They still wouldn’t report it. The evidence is already quite devastating. If President Trump was accused of only 1% of what is known about the Bidens, there would be wall-to-wall 24/7 coverage, mass outrage, demands for action, people in the streets, etc.

Jake J
Jake J
4 months ago
Reply to  Jock Itsch

We shall see. They never wanted to mention Hillary’s emails until they were forced to.

ColoradoAccountant
ColoradoAccountant
4 months ago

I am hopeful that 2024 will show that I did not waste my time reading Strauss and Howe’s ‘Fourth Turning.’

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago

Probably not a waste of time. All things go through cycles. And the past helps us prepare for future possibilities. Though it rarely predicts the future with any precision.

One big issue is timing. With regard to investing, you can be correct in your thesis, but if you are a year early, you end up the fool. If you are two weeks early, you are a genius.

Bayleaf
Bayleaf
4 months ago

The “intelligence” in AI is just an illusion, a magic trick made possible by statistical techniques. It seems intelligent until it doesn’t.

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago
Reply to  Bayleaf

Exactly. AI is just a dumb, mechanical rehashing of existing work. [Although it’s true that much human output is also].

Bayleaf
Bayleaf
4 months ago

This is a list of “will never” happen, not “could” happen

Micheal Engel
Micheal Engel
4 months ago

Your posts are great, just stay in your boundaries. Gloomy articles balance wall street fake optimism.

The Window Cleaner
The Window Cleaner
4 months ago

We transition from economics to Wisdomics by making the economic process of going to the store to buy something a universally participated in and everyday infrastructure for the self actualization of gratitude via a policy of a 50% discount to the consumer all of which discount is rebated back to the merchant granting it to the consumer. You talk about mega-paradigm change, this would probably be the greatest mental and commercial advance humanity has experienced since we went from hunters and gatherers to homesteading, urbanization and agriculture.

shamrockva
shamrockva
4 months ago

Surprised that self-driving not on the list, much more likely to advance in 2024 than a handful of the others.

Breakthrough in fusion would be nice too.

And AI tech might lead to advancements in dozens of areas.

John Tucker
John Tucker
4 months ago

does this mean that you are going to work for Disney now? I may need to cancel my subscription……

rando comment guy
rando comment guy
4 months ago

My Dream List of Good Things for 2024:
#1 Neocons/globalists/marxists in both parties are all removed from power in 2024
#2 The US focuses on its own borders instead of everyone else’s
#3 Balanced Budget Amendment gains massive support
#4 Term Limits gain massive support
#5 The Covid Vaccine fraud is finally exposed and prosecutions commence
#6 Onshoring of US industry accelerates before Taiwan is invaded
#7 Sovereignty, secure borders, sound money, Liberty, and capitalism trump marxism
#8 The US debt load prevents any new foreign interventionism or forever proxy wars
#9 DEI nonsense is jettisoned en masse
#10 Shareholders and customers boycott/reject the tsunami of marxism in business

Last edited 4 months ago by rando comment guy
Bob
Bob
4 months ago

I second all of these comments, especially #5, “The Covid Vaccine fraud is finally exposed and prosecutions commence”.

Harold
Harold
4 months ago
Reply to  Bob

Let’s not forget the near prohibition of treatment vs covid19 in the early days, as we were forced to wait for the promised miracle jabs, rather than using more effective ivermectin and/or chloroquine….

TomS
TomS
4 months ago

Great list, but #10 I’d substitute FJB, Mayorkas & Garland are impeached in the House, while knowing nothing will happen in the Senate but exposing the fraud that Dems are.

Again, great list!

Last edited 4 months ago by TomS
Six000MileYear
Six000MileYear
4 months ago

#2 is an absolute must. No country exists if it has no borders.

#3 #8 A balanced budget Amendment will actually lead to more borrowing. Since borrowing has been used to balance budgets, I would push for a budget amendment where all items are funded with current tax receipts. No more pensions. Borrowing may cover up to 3% of the present budget, but the total debt to revenue ratio can never exceed 10%. The annual budget cannot exceed 2% of revenue collected in the previous year. If debt to revenue ratio is above 5% for 3 years, the following 5 years the government is required to pay off its debt without incurring any more debt.

#6 I think this is starting. I see LOTS of job listings for PLC skills to automate factories.

#7 #9 #10 I think people have finally realized the need to step up and voice opposition to marxism. Corporations have already started disbanding some of the DEI functions in HR as profit margins disappear.

Harold
Harold
4 months ago
Reply to  Six000MileYear

Opposition to Marxism is very difficult when Congress is close to 100% Marxist, as the flood of new laws clearly shows. ?

Bayleaf
Bayleaf
4 months ago

Love it. They are all a long shot. And if they don’t happen, perhaps we can move to Argentina

Ursel Doran
Ursel Doran
4 months ago

“So, while you seem to be listening to the propaganda of the West that Russia and China are the aggressors, open your eyes. Nobody wants peace in Europe or the USA, and you are going to witness World War III, for this is the deliberate objective.”
link to armstrongeconomics.com?

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Ursel Doran

Yes. Better to listen to the propaganda of a self-taught “economist”, self-professed “expert” on everything, convicted felon, and all around huckster and idiot like Martin Armstrong.

PT Barnum was right. There’s a sucker born every minute.

dtj
dtj
4 months ago

#11 – Democracy is saved when Trump is removed from the ballot and Americans preserve their freedom to elect the only candidate on it: Newsome.

Yooj
Yooj
4 months ago

Thanks for the positives. I had been having the same thought that the articles had become relentlessly negative. Really had that thought.

shamrockva
shamrockva
4 months ago
Reply to  Yooj

It’s one of the defining attributes of a perma-bear.

Laura
Laura
4 months ago

Your posts are EXCELLENT! Some are gloomy but backed up by facts. Your posts give me new things to think about. Happy New Year to you and your family!

maya
maya
4 months ago

New cures discovered for several types of cancer reducing or ending the need for chemotherapy.

The cures exist but won’t be adopted. Same dementia. No money in cures

Neil Meliment
Neil Meliment
4 months ago
Reply to  maya

Would you send a few links supporting your position, please?

Siliconguy
Siliconguy
4 months ago
Reply to  maya

Cures discovered, but it will take five to seven years to get approval, just as now.

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago
Reply to  maya

No money in cures? Seriously? I’m sure if I had a cure for cancer I could make money selling it. I’m sure there would be a market…

eighthman
eighthman
4 months ago
Reply to  maya

Goldman Sachs said finding cures for diseases is not a viable business model, some years ago.

Maximus Minimus
Maximus Minimus
4 months ago

I have only one prediction. Elon Musk will invent a vaccine that will boost human IQ by 10% across the board. This vaccine will be sprayed from planes as it will be inhalable.
The beneficial effects will be immediate. The population of third world shyteholes will stop breeding like cockroaches and start responsible family planning. This will stop illegal migration in its track.
The population in the affluent world will stop using central bank printed counterfeit bucks to globe trot collecting useless “experiences”. All will turn to tend their garden, and start reading books.
These combined effects will stop environmental destruction in its track. Electrification will become a public joke. Lithium mines will close for lack of demand.
Oil consumption will drop by half.
The population of the empire will elect smart representatives, warmongers will be laughed out of the house.
The war machine will be called home, reducing its carbon footprint to almost nothing.
COP28 cancelled for lack of interest.
Happy New Year!

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago

What’s 10% of zero?

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago

I applaud your list Mish. Nothing wrong with a little bit of wishful thinking.

I will add to the conversation with a few of my own predictions of what I think will actually happen in 2024; bearing in mind that most predictions are wrong.

2024 Predictions

Economy

Similar to 2023, a year of economic volatility, yet ending up not too far from where we are today.

Military conflicts continue, economies struggle to keep growing, supply chain disruptions continue, interest rates will decline modestly (3-4 cuts in 2024, and 3-4 in 2025), a possible mild recession or period of very slow growth, but no depression, or collapse as many predict over and over and over

Global Warming

2023 will be the warmest year since we began keeping records in 1880. It may also end up as the warmest year in 125k years, though, that is open to debate. 2024 will be warmer than 2023.

Fossil fuel use continues to grow, as will GHG emissions, CO2 levels will increase by another 2.3 to 2.5 ppm in 2024. And yes, we know it’s from fossil fuels, because we can measure the carbon isotopes.

Many people from both sides of this discussion will continue to trot out misinformation and stupidity. Both sides need to wake up. To the deniers out there; global warming is happening; its because of man’s ghg emissions; and its going to keep getting worse and costing us all a lot.

To the optimists who think we can solve this problem with more renewable energy and EVs; you’re living in a fantasy world. Yes, these efforts do make a small difference. However, the net benefit of renewables and EVs is negligible, and after 20 years, they have been able to slow runaway global warming. And they will not solve this problem anytime in the next 100 years either. Maybe in 200 years, assuming society hasn’t collapsed by then.

Investing

Markets will continue to experience a lot of volatility; which is why it is a good idea to trade a portion of your portfolio to take advantage of that volatility. Those who remain out of the market, in t-bills etc, missed a lot of gains in 2023 and will miss the gains in 2024 as well. My decade long theme of overweighting oil stocks remains in place. 2021 and 2022 were huge years for oil stocks; 2023 was flat; I expect many more years of solid returns because the theme hasn’t changed.

Oil companies have changed their strategy to maximize profits, rather than maximize production. Demand for oil will keep growing, while supply will be constrained. Which puts long-term upward pressure on prices and profits.

Of course, the future is hard to predict.

I wish everyone a prosperous and productive New Year!

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

“2023 will be the warmest year since we began keeping records in 1880. ”

So what? Last I checked human beings are tropical species.

And besides, roughly 150 years of data isn’t even a blip in the geological/climate time line. Such a small sample size is meaningless as a prediction tool.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Woodsie Guy

And one of my predictions comes true already.

Thanks. And Happy New Year to you.

Tom Bergerson
Tom Bergerson
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

125k years is also a mere blip and not nearly enough to be informed.

2.4 million years ago, just before the last glaciation and at the dawn of what would become the HUman Species, with the global geologic setup largely the same as today (so ocean currents about where they are now) the earth was MUCH warmer than today, there were temperate forests in Northern Greenland along with megafauna, . Polar bears had not yet evolved as a species and there was no ice in the Arctic at all.

Read my somewhat humorous piece Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems to get a bigger perspective on things
link to bangpath.substack.com

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Tom Bergerson

Thanks. No need for me to read it. And no need for you to try to convince me of anything.

I am insignificant. Because I am not involved in the decision making processes all over the world.

As I keep repeating here, you need to convince the tens of thousands of scientists, the leaders of all the governments, and the corporate leaders all over the world who understand what we are dealing with.

And I will continue to base my investment decisions on what they are doing; and not on whatever you want to believe.

Happy New Year!

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Please…… you clearly buy into the Co2 is causing warming BS. This statement shows it “leaders all over the world who understand what we are dealing with.”. This implies any contrary thinking doesn understand. So stop deflecting and hiding behind your invesment strategy.

I’m perfectly fine with your investment strategy as it makes sense given reality.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Woodsie Guy

Yep. I buy into it. Because it is true. The science is clear. No need for me to “hide”.

That is the reality. I can’t change it. And you can’t change it.

I am also aware that I cannot change what others want to believe. So, believe what you want.

I will also continue to discuss why I am investing heavily in oil stocks. Which is a result of global warming and the world’s response to it. Feel free to take advantage of the stocks I occasionally recommend here. You don’t have to believe in global warming to take advantage of my recommendations.

And I will continue to explain why the world will keep losing the battle to prevent global warming. Something else I cannot change.

Fast bear
Fast bear
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Good lord!
Boomer moronathon! Use your critical thinking brain and stop letting others do it for you. How do you think the world has turned to shit anyway? Here’s a clue:
DO NOT BELIEVE OTHERS unquestioningly.

Read about the Deccan Traps and the Siberian Traps
Siberian traps left the coal signature of Siberian carbon across the entire northern world – having burned through insane coal reserves during the massive continuous eruption. It took around 100k years of continuous massive erupting to raise the temperature about 2 degrees. Add in all the chemicals spewed with it. Sulfur etc.

Deccan traps covered much of the Indian continent thousands of feet deep lava. Is it 5000′? Something like that. The caldera was about half the size of Oregon.

If you take all of the exhaust pipes of every vehicle on earth and the power plant chimneys you’ll get a cumulative exhaust pipe about the size of a Wal Mart parking lot and maybe for good measure add in the store as well. So this exhaust pipe erupts for 50 years and we’re supposed to all die. Nope.

BTW Both traps were caused by asteroid impacts on the opposite sides of the planet.

Then once you read about this? Look into where US temps were recorded over the last 100 or even 150 years. Of course cities were the most obvious locations,

If you only use US rural climate stations (agricultural) and remove the vastly elevated concrete tree less heat sink city temp readings – you’ll instantly see the data is bogus.

Ocean acidification THAT’s fake too. The clams are dissolving. The coral is dying.
Fake fake fake

FAKE SCIENCE
FAKE POLITICIANS
FAKE DEMOCRACY
FAKE HISTORY
It’s all fake

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Fast bear

Lol! It’s all FAKE!

Believe whatever cult conspiracy you want.

My wish for 2024 is an IGNORE button on this blog so I never have to see the sh*t that people like you love to spew.

Happy New Year!

shamrockva
shamrockva
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

I’ll predict 2023 is the warmest year on record and will hold that record for many years. It was an unusually warm year because of El Nino or whatever.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  shamrockva

Yep. El Nino allowed 2023 to surpass 2016 (also an El Nino year) and 2020 (a La Nina year) as the warmest year so far. But El Nino will continue into 2024 as well and along with ever growing emissions will make 2024 the new warmest year. 2024 will hold the record for a few years as the El Nino will eventually end, but continued emissions will result in a new warmest year happening before 2030.

TomS
TomS
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

So far in North GA, it’s been a very dry period since August. Unless things really pickup, our local Lake Allatoona might not fill back up.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  TomS

More weather extremes. Impossible to predict where and how. I hope Lake Allatoona fills back up. Lake Powell and Meade went back up “a little” in 2023.

Fast bear
Fast bear
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Oh I should remind everyone you’re likely fake too.

You’re talking points, syntax and argument construction are exactly what one would expect a paid shill to use.

You speak in absolutes and your retreats are contrite and then you go right back into your scripted dialog. You have much too big of a presence here and you have nothing of real merit to offer – other than government approved talking points.

Real people don’t sound like you.
I’m autistic and I don’t miss much.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Fast bear

“ You have much too big of a presence here and you have nothing of real merit to offer – other than government approved talking points.”

Wow. Thanks for the compliment! You got me! I dominate this blog with my posts, which appear on maybe one thread out of every four. Lol!

“Real people don’t sound like you.”

That’s because I am an AI bot. Or an 11 year old girl with a 250 IQ. Or Kamala Harris. Take your pick.

By the way, I happen to know a fair number of autistic people. And none of them are assholes, like you.

Now, where the heck is that IGNORE button so I never have to see future posts from morons, whether they are autistic, or not.

Jock Itsch
Jock Itsch
4 months ago
Reply to  shamrockva

You don’t need warm weather in order to have the hottest year on record. You just need to control the data, which they do.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  Jock Itsch

Actually, you DO need consistently warmer weather. And that warmer weather is melting glaciers all over the world faster and faster. Which many people notice, no matter what the data says.

Or ask those who have watched houses, roads and infrastructure destroyed by melting permafrost, which had been stable for tens of thousands of years.

Or those who lived on islands or coastal regions who have had to move as the oceans slowly swallowed the land.

None of these things (and many others) is caused by manipulation of data.

And who exactly is “they”?

Or maybe it isn’t a “they”. Maybe it’s the Matrix and we are all batteries?

Or maybe “they” are the Terminators who have come back from the future to make us give up our use of fossil fuels now, and leave more for them later on?

Gotta love cult conspiracies.

TomS
TomS
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Great post, PapaD. Good stuff.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  TomS

Thank you Tom.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Lol! I just read my prediction post from yesterday and realized that I made a significant typing error. Odd that no one mentioned it.

I wrote

“ However, the net benefit of renewables and EVs is negligible, and after 20 years, they have been able to slow runaway global warming.”

Of course it should have been “unable” to slow runaway global warming.

Apologies for the typo. I guess everyone understood what I intended.

Today is the first day markets are open in 2024. Good luck to all! May you all grow your wealth substantially this year!

John Overington
John Overington
4 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

It’s always good to have alternative viewpoints – the trick is to separate the thoughtful from the reactionary. So many responses here remind me of the old saying “better to let people think you are stupid than to open your mouth and prove it.”
You can’t argue fact against insult so I don’t even try. Stay the course, keep up the great posts and respond less to the insulters. The “ignore” button will help but sometimes there’s a nugget out there.

PapaDave
PapaDave
4 months ago

Thank you John. And Happy New Year!

Chris Mason
Chris Mason
4 months ago

Agree with you on the possibilities. Thanks and Happy New Year

Scott
Scott
4 months ago

If I wanted happy talk and something to massage my self-esteem, I’d just stand in Walgreens and read greeting cards for 8 hours a day. Real, factual, honest news and commentary is gonna by nature be uncomfortable. Tell your friend Romper Room is over.

daniel bannister
daniel bannister
4 months ago

The development about desalination in particular may have huge ramifications for desert regions.

The ability to produce incredible quantities of solar power in a desert region, coupled with the new breakthrough on desalination that recently occurred, may well completely change the way the earth looks in 1000 years.

It may well be a much greener place.

Bill Meyer
Bill Meyer
4 months ago

Mike, Love the list but I found myself laughing through it…akin to the 1990’s TV ads for Keystone Light Beer – “Wouldn’t it be great if (insert fantasy)….” Happy new year!

Last edited 4 months ago by Bill Meyer
Rodrigo Silveira
Rodrigo Silveira
4 months ago

Well done, sir! Except of course that you failed to name a good replacement for DJT. I would love to learn your choice and reasoning for it.

KGB
KGB
4 months ago

I am bullish about both wars and don’t want them to end soon. I am also eager to see Chairman Xi squander 100 million single child men in the Taiwan Strait. Feed the fish.

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