The CBO Projects That by 2043, Deaths Will Exceed Births

Please consider the Congressional Budget Office Demographic Outlook: 2022 to 2052

  • Population. In CBO’s projections, the population increases from 335 million people in 2022 to 369 million people in 2052, expanding by 0.3 percent per year, on average. (In this report, population refers to the Social Security area population—the relevant population for the calculation of Social Security payroll taxes and benefits. The population is also projected to become older, on average, as growth in the number of people age 65 or older outpaces that of younger age groups. 
  • Components of Population Growth. Population growth is projected to slow over the next 30 years. As fertility rates remain below the replacement rate (the fertility rate required for a generation to exactly replace itself in the absence of immigration), population growth is increasingly driven by net immigration flows. 
  • Civilian Noninstitutionalized Population. The civilian noninstitutionalized population grows, in CBO’s projections, from 264 million people in 2022 to 298 million people in 2052. (This measure of the population includes only people age 16 or older. The agency uses it to project the size of the labor force.) The prime working age population (ages 25 to 54) grows at an average annual rate of 0.2 percent over that period, slower than its average over the 1980–2021 period (1.0 percent). 
  • Changes Since Last Year. In CBO’s current projections, the population is smaller and grows more slowly, on average, than CBO projected last year. Fertility rates are expected to be lower than the agency projected last year, reducing the size and growth of the population that is under 24 years old over the 30-year projection period. In addition, as a result of new information about the effects of COVID-19, CBO increased projected mortality rates for people age 65 or older, on average, in the first two decades of the projection period.  

Looking Ahead Demographically 

Aging persons tend to spend less and travel less as the years pass. But they need more health care and it’s expensive.  

Yet, there will be fewer people working and paying taxes to support each retiree.

Neither Social Security nor Medicare was created to withstand the cliff event that’s coming when all the boomers retire. 

Once Boomers are gone from Congress It will be interesting to see what Millennials and Zoomers do with the mess they inherited. 

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

Thanks for Tuning In!

Please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Comments to this post are now closed.

90 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Counter
Counter
3 years ago
Ties in with the Climate Policy Is a Much Greater Threat Than Climate Change article and an increase in mental illness and lower IQ
Demographers debate why people have children in advanced industrial societies where children are net economic costs. From an evolutionary perspective, however, the important question is why some individuals choose not to have children. Recent theoretical developments in evolutionary psychology suggest that more intelligent individuals may be more likely to prefer to remain childless than less intelligent individuals. Analyses of the National Child Development Study show that more intelligent men and women express preference to remain childless early in their reproductive careers, but only more intelligent women (not more intelligent men) are more likely to remain childless by the end of their reproductive careers. Controlling for education and earnings does not at all attenuate the association between childhood general intelligence and lifetime childlessness among women. One-standard-deviation increase in childhood general intelligence (15 IQ points) decreases women’s odds of parenthood by 21-25%. Because women have a greater impact on the average intelligence of future generations, the dysgenic fertility among women is predicted to lead to a decline in the average intelligence of the population in advanced industrial nations.
Intelligence and childlessness
Satoshi Kanazawa
Mental health conditions are increasing worldwide. Mainly because of demographic changes, there has been a 13% rise in mental health conditions and substance use disorders in the last decade (to 2017). Mental health conditions now cause 1 in 5 years lived with disability. Around 20% of the world’s children and adolescents have a mental health condition, with suicide the second leading cause of death among 15-29-year-olds. Approximately one in five people in post-conflict settings have a mental health condition.
WHO

A reverse in the upward trend

You may recall studying a concept known as the Flynn effect, a theory that notes that more access to education and better nutrition than prior generations led to an increase in average IQ in the 20th century. Now, new research is indicating the Flynn effect may be in a reverse trend. Evan Horowitz, director of research communication at FCLT Global, stated, “People are getting dumber. That’s not a judgment; it’s a global fact.”

We are witnessing adverse effects of technology on our productivity and use of time at work, particularly in the form of multitasking. Studies on the negative impacts of multitasking frequently refer to a 20-year-old work by Joshua Rubinstein, Ph.D., David Meyer, Ph.D. and Jeffrey Evans, Ph.D. They often conclude that only 2% of the population can effectively multitask.

Emotional intelligence (EI) has four key components: self-management, self-awareness, social awareness and relationship management. Technical stimuli are challenging each of these. Let’s use the example of technology via video games on developing brains. Technology can create real and perceived stress; it influences all four parts of EI and could lead to the inability to think or function in society. A Psychology Today article suggests that chronic stress is affecting the frontal lobe of children and will lead to issues of focus and the ability to manage emotions effectively, suppress impulses and even complete tasks.

Albert Einstein famously said, “It has become appallingly obvious that our technology has exceeded our humanity.”

Forbes
oee
oee
3 years ago
Women are not baby factories. It is good that the population will decline. It will less stress on the envirnorment. Also, you all claim that Robots are going to take over so what if the population will decline?
jiminy
jiminy
3 years ago
We need more gays, since they don’t reproduce: probably, the population is going gay. Population is out of control, traffic jams, polution, water shortages and global warming. Life on the coasts is almost unbearable because of the overpopulation. If you want more people, enjoy your cricket lunch.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
And yet we are still on track for 10 billion worldwide population by 2050 if projections hold out. Compare that to total world population of around 2 billion in 1900. We are on an exponential growth curve.
Humans reproduce like cockroaches.
Christoball
Christoball
3 years ago
Shrinking populations are a good thing. The Earth is full. Most advanced countries are seeing a low birthrate in response to common sense and economics. Only people from close to the equator think it is a good idea to have more kids than is healthy for the environment or society.
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
Boomers might be phased out, so is oil and natgas. Zoommers don’t like old white people, but they like their houses for half prices.
When the pandemic hit we extracted wealth from our children. When pandemic hit in sequel and cities burnt in fire western Europe extracted wealth, commodities and slave labor from “inferior” people like in India, Africa, America, the sugar islands and China. The masters of the world fought each other for the loots, cannibalized each others until we stopped them in 1945. Now, reverse colonialism.
Carl_R
Carl_R
3 years ago
What is old is new again. The WWII generation is the only generation in history that I am aware of that retired with care and a high standard of living. Prior to that the old were cared for at home, so long as it was convenient or possible, and then warehoused in “a home” until the end. The thing is, it is easy to imagine the next generation slashing SS and Medicare, but I can’t imagine them reducing government pensions. We are a country of two classes now, those that work for government and who take from everyone else, and everyone else.
MPO45
MPO45
3 years ago
2043? Well that’s a mere 20 years away since 2022 is almost over, so if someone is a 60ish boomer today that means 80ish in 2043, right around the time to head to the nursing home so who’ll be cleaning up after boomer’s soiled beds and messes? Clearly, there will be a huge shortage of labor because the CBO report *assumes* people will keep coming to America. I don’t know many young people that love being around old people so who really needs who in 2043?
It’s political season so are we still going to hear that, “We’re gonna build a wall 50 feet tall…..” from republicans while they are secretly trying to pass legislation to get more immigrants in?
Are you guys finally beginning to see the political pattern?
Step 1. Bring up hot button issues: “immigration”
Step 2. Make promises, raise campaign funds
Step 3. Do nothing.
Step 4. Profit
Step 5. Goto Step 1
kansasdude
kansasdude
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
I work as a supervisor in mfg. We have mostly immigrants from Africa and Micronesia. Occasionally I hear they didn’t know all theyd be doing here was work and pay bills. An African told me the other night America no good. Some of them dont even know where they are. A couple of them kept asking me where the ‘big lake’ was at. Finally I realized they were talking about the ocean. Sorry, no ocean in Kansas.
I can only imagine word will get around.
kansasdude
kansasdude
3 years ago
Reply to  kansasdude
We pay better than Amazon, the work is easier, but not very many white people want to work 6 days a week, 10 hours a day. Of course, neither do a lot of the immigrants. It is an extremely toxic work culture. Constant yelling and an outright fight every week or 2. As a supervisor you have to be very careful and watch your back these people are violent. Just this past week a team leader was knocked out cold. He decided to quit. Our turnover rate is terrible.
I think it’s funny that the govt thinks importing these people is the answer. Many of them are beyond lazy, hate work, and will quit at the drop of the hat.
Also, a lot of other mfgs are the same way. The last one I was a supervisor at had a 7 point per year system. The turnover was so bad we had people with over 20 points still working—when they were there that is. LOL
So it’s no suprise to me when I hear about mfg’s crying about not being able to get help. In a lot of the cases, it’s not the company it’s the people. You can feel the energy drain before you even pull into the parking lot.
MPO45
MPO45
3 years ago
Reply to  kansasdude
The Wall Street Journal had an excellent article (sorry PAYWALL) about Pella Iowa. A business there needs more people to expand but people don’t want to move to middle of nowhere so the family/business has spent millions building daycares, restaurants, shopping areas, etc to attract talent.
As I read the article I thought, “wouldn’t it just be cheaper to move the business to where the people are rather than spend tens of millions trying to get people to move there?”
The business has spent millions and only attracted a few hundred people, ultimately their efforts will fail by around 2030 when boomers start retiring en masse.
The irony is if the business succeeds in attracting thousands of people, they will transform their small rural town into a large city. Go figure.
Carl_R
Carl_R
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
There are disadvantages to being in the great plains, such as low unemployment. There are also major advantages, such as friendly people and a strong work ethic. I wouldn’t want to live anywhere else.
SHOfan
SHOfan
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
The Boomers won’t start retiring in 2043. We will be done retiring by then. The youngest Boomers were born in 1964. They will be 79 years old by then. That is contributing why there is an employee shortage now.
kansasdude
kansasdude
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
Thanks. Now for the companies that started local and make attempts im ok with. The ones that move to rural areas ‘on purpose’ in order to exploit people are the ones im laughing at. Years ago it was $10hr and forced overtime. Now it’s $20hr and cant get help. It serves them right.
hmk
hmk
3 years ago
Reply to  kansasdude
I live in MI and we have a relatively large hispanic population and they work. All the landscaping companies have primarily Mexican workers. I keep hearing from the owners its hard to get workers because of immigration restricitions. It would make sense to allow anyone that wants to work and pay taxes come in and find an easy pathway to citizenship. The rules could be simple: work, pay taxes, no law breaking, no collecting free public benefits for a certain amount of time. I believe this would alleviate a lot of the labor shortage issues we are having. It seems like common sense.
Christoball
Christoball
3 years ago
Reply to  hmk
It would be simpler to pay the neighbor kid enough money to mow the lawn. It would be simpler for people to take care of their own yard like generations past. What is it with people being so lazy these days .
kansasdude
kansasdude
3 years ago
Reply to  hmk
I have found the hispanics to be better workers. They wont work where I do. They actually get along. These africans will run you over in the parking lot.
Carl_R
Carl_R
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
Supporting a wall has nothing to do with whether you want immigration or not. Rather it has to do with whether you believe there should be an immigration policy. The simple truth is that you can’t have an immigration policy at all unless you can control your borders. Once you have control of the border, you can say “we want 300,000 immigrants per year”, or whatever, or you can say such things as “we only will accept immigrants with no criminal record”. Personally, I support immigration, and I support a wall where it is appropriate.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
For those who fear population decline, fear not.
There are plenty of places that are run far worse than US/Canada/Europe if that is even possible.
They will always be in need of rescue from their own stupidity, and consequences of base instincts.
LM2022
LM2022
3 years ago
Once Boomers are gone from Congress It will be interesting to see what Millennials and Zoomers do with the mess they inherited.
It will be us Gen Xers that clean up the mess. I wouldn’t trust Millennials or “Zoomers” to run a lemonade stand.
kansasdude
kansasdude
3 years ago
Reply to  LM2022
As a Gen X, I have a difficult time getting along with a lot of the Millennials. Extremely sensitive, take offense to joking around that another genx would think is funny, etc. The Zoomers seem to be easier going with a screw it attitude. I cant say I blame them being born into this mess.
ZZR600
ZZR600
3 years ago
I suspect fertility rates will decline more rapidly than demographers predict. Healthcare in USA is already expensive and lack of paid maternity leave disincentives would me mothers. Add to this purported impact of Covid vaccines on fertility, the next few years will be interesting
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  ZZR600
It is not the cost of healthcare and availability of maternity leave affecting birth rates/demographics. It’s online porn, artificial relationships from social media, decreasing sperm counts….
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
I have a modest proposal. The problem is not the shrinking population but that a shrinking population lowers the GDP and as we all know GDP is the metric by which all leaders swear by and aim to increase no matter what so we should look at ways to increase GDP. Originally I thought that we could just pay people to break windows but we already do that and although it would benefit the glass industry that by itself wouldn’t be enough. Then I thought that we could build cars and then immediately dump them into the ocean. Unfortunately solutions like these two are unsatisfying because they are not self-sustaining and they do not make use of new technology. Finally I hit on the solution. The world is using more and more robots every year and their numbers are increasing at an rapid rate but as populations drop the need for these robots eventually will drop also leading to a drop in GDP. The way to prevent this terrible consequence is to have the robots themselves become consumers and the way to do that is to program them to enjoy consuming and program them to have the ambition to obtain the finer things in life such as the best oils and lubricants, an outer skin etched with art from the best artists, high-speed wheels and tracks, other robots and certainly humans to serve them and the choice of the best place to live for robot longevity. The most ambitious and productive robots will be able amass large fortunes which they will spend rolling the money back into the economy. It would be a virtuous circle and the GDP would rise at ever-increasing rates. Problem solved.
MPO45
MPO45
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Rallying cry is “robots!” but we’ve been waiting decades for robots to make a dent in labor issues and it hasn’t happened.
You comment was funny but it has a dark side that no one want to talk about, robot on robot crime that will come from a fully robotic world.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  MPO45
Robot on robot crime will mean that we have truly created artificial sentience and that our reason for existing has been fulfilled and therefore we no longer need to exist.
PAncho
PAncho
3 years ago
We don’t have enough babies, especially among whites. In 25 years, most of the developed world will be worried about population decline. The worst will be Korean, Japan, Italy, Spain, Portugul, Russia, Germany, etc. In the US, we are lucky we are a nation of immigrants and historically intergrate them so much better.
Raj Kumar
Raj Kumar
3 years ago
Reply to  PAncho
This is the reason I am more bullish on US than China.
Dutoit
Dutoit
3 years ago
Probably in a few decades the Amish will be the majority of US population.
Dave
Dave
3 years ago
Reply to  Dutoit
Or we will all pretty much be forced to be Amish. Might be an improvement.
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
Population growth will slow in the next 30Y. If commodities growth cont their negative trend, population growth might drop to deep negative territory faster than experts predict.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Can we rather spare a minute for Ukraine (sarc), which can lead to rapid depopulation, before we start bemoaning population crash?
As a side question, will the total mass of US population as measured by pounds decline with the population?
Take the total poundage as a measure of every other consumable, and disposable.
Hope you get the picture.
Reptilicus
Reptilicus
3 years ago
When I was born, there were under 200 million people in the country. With those 200 million, we put a man on the moon. We’ve never had a national conversation about what our target population ought to be. The Census dept makes decennial projections for the population at the next census that are ALWAYS way off – and always due to higher than projected immigration. Because we are obviously not building infrastructure for the people we already have, perhaps this decline would be a blessing for our country?
Better, smarter people are what we need. Quality over quantity. Let’s focus on quality and if Social Security has to pay out lower than projected benefits, so be it.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Reptilicus
That’s what the Davos crowd wants. Kill off the poor to save the planet. That’s why they freaked out that abortions won’t be easy everywhere. Also why they want to limit fertilizer use.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Problem with that idea is that they already had the perfect killer (Covid) and wasted the opportunity by insisting on lockdowns and mandatory vaccines.
Starving people is a very poor way to lower the population. It takes too long and always results in unpleasant riots that tend to result in the rich and powerful being killed (see the French revolution, see the fall of Rome etc).
So either the Davos crowd doesn’t want that or they are way more incompetent that anyone imagined.
Reptilicus
Reptilicus
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
If we get there through natural attrition and lower birth rates – through individual choices, I have no objection. If the decline is “engineered”, then that’s another conversation.
MPO45
MPO45
3 years ago
Reply to  Reptilicus
This will help explain what happened.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Reply to  Reptilicus
The target population everywhere is always more than the current number.
All our economic systems work on more people working at more jobs paying more taxes to support more older people living more years.
Sadly, robots/automation that displace human workers and don’t pay taxes are throwing a wrench into this old equation.
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
TOO little TOO late if you ask me ! Allow me to go slightly off topic though while anxiously awaiting warmonger Pelusi’s visit to Taiwan… Saw some footage this morning of your 8 feet , 90% tattoed , dreadlocked VIP Britney Grinder….It s not very woke and definitely misogynic on my part …but ….but… do you really want that back in exchange for some russian criminals(?) in your overcrowded jails ? I mean, I d give the matter some thought before taking a similar crucial decision, in my unconventional yet humble opinion that is, always to be taken with a humoristic grain of salt of course…..
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
Comrade Yoda! Mother russia desperately needs you at front to be blown to bits by expensive American weaponry! Payment is one potato a day, and your own free phone book for finishing up outhouse business! Making toilet emails not enough! Comrade Yoda, report for duty!
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
My dear friend , how are you doing ?
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
….I heard through the grapevine that corrupt Ukraine is going to sell Himars paid for by american taxpayers to Taiwan at a fraction of the price, before they get destroyed by a impressively superior russian army ….
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
I would not make the trade. It just shows weakness.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
Her big mistake was to work for a Russian basketball team in Russia. Any foreigner who works in Russia is subject to that same fate whether they be engineer, scientist, manager, athlete or whatever. If you are offered a lot of money to go work there you should think long and hard about it.
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Really ? What a simplistic, unworldly point of view…Apart from male footballplayers we ve had several belgian sportswomen playing in Russia like Meesseman, Abdelkader to name just two….well paid, never a single problem….but then they look quite ‘normal’ to begin with….
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
It’s not a problem till it is. Before, working in Russia didn’t seem to be very risky but when the situation changed at the beginning of the year it suddenly became dangerous because you could end up being a pawn. Meesseman no longer went back to Russia after the 2021 season and Abdelkader hasn’t played in Russia for years now. Russia is no longer normal.
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
….because we made it, or at least tried to make it a pariah state ….
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
She was sloppy with her drugs.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Never said she wasn’t. She is a basket ball player after all and often they have a feeling of misplaced invulnerability. Nevertheless if she had been arrested in Amsterdam I doubt that her bail would depend on the release of a notorious arms dealer. That is the difference.
Jmurr
Jmurr
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
There are thousands in prison in the US for the same thing.
Cocoa
Cocoa
3 years ago
The only way around this is an age limit. I suggest 80. Viva Soylent Green!
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  Cocoa
Logan’s Run suggested 30 🙂
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Cocoa
My 84 years old uncle, costing society a bloody fortune to keep him alive and paying his too generous state pension wouldn t agree of course, but 80 seems reasonable to me to say good bye for fn once and for all …
LPCONGAS99
LPCONGAS99
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
Told my RN son, at 85, if still here, wheel me into the Millbrook Vineyward, one IV has morphine, one has a good cab franc or sauvigon, alternate every 5 minutes and let me watch the sun go down over the beautiful Hudson Valley one last time(the country to tooooo many city dwellers invading the valley) and I go out smiling without being a burden to us all
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“Components of Population Growth. Population growth is projected to slow over the next 30 years.”
Globally, a total of 8 billion in less than 4 months, expected. With global elitists seemingly concerned about global population size, if Ferguson’s projections about Covid deaths was near accurate, the elitists shouldn’t have shut down the global economy and just let nature take its course. But then, is the U.N.’s intended sustainability program going to lead to shortages of food and mass starvation to death, in areas of the world?
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Big Pharma amassed fortunes like never before ….and some say people are dropping dead as a consequence of the clot shots, which I doubt ,for the time being anyway…..
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
3 years ago
I predict deaths will exceed births globally before 2043. The factors influencing the ability for life to exist on the planet have already peaked.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Agreed. Plus it’s actually a good thing if population overall declines because it means less pressure on the planets resources.
At some point population *must* decline (or at least stabilize). The only question is at what number of people. The more resources used, the fewer the people that can be supported.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“The factors influencing the ability for life to exist on the planet have already peaked.”
The Malthuseans have been saying that for like, forever.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
They’ve underestimated technological advances obviously.
But at some point they must be right because you can’t put an infinite amount of people on the planet. The only question is what’s the number, not whether there is a number.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
He uses Jesus loaves and fishes math. We can have infinite population!
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
You use a vivid imagination.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
When the petroleum they make fertilizer out of runs out, the famines will be massive.
Siliconguy
Siliconguy
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz

Natural gas, not petroleum is used to make ammonia and other nitrogen based fertilizers. The basic idea stands though.

You could get the hydrogen from electrolysis at considerably more cost. Back around 2008 my employer looked into that for our hydrogen needs and the difference was a factor of three, and that was with three cents per kw-hr hydroelectric available. Natural gas reformation is much cheaper.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“The CBO Projects That by 2043, Deaths Will Exceed Births”
In CBO’s current projections, the population is smaller and grows more slowly, on average, than CBO projected last year.”
So what is a CBO projection worth? Last fall there was a 40% increase in non Covid excess mortality among working age adults. A 6 sigma event. According to commentary i read recently, to some degree or another, that seems to be continuing. The term SADS, Sudden Adult Death Syndrome is making the rounds these days. Something very out of the ordinary is occurring and for how long will it occur?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
You lock anyone up in a house and face mask for a year, deaths will likely increase.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Or a shot that was supposed to protect them from death.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Stay kooky, Dr. Kookenstein.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
I see you are. I go by the data. The big difference between 2020 and 2021, is the Covid shot. An MD noted on Twitter recently, that after another VAX round at an Ontario medical group, 3 doctors died in 4 days, no explanation why. Kirsch now has some professional polsters taking surveys. Zogby just did one in which 10% of respondents said they regretted taking the Covax. 15% said they had been diagnosed with a new condition within weeks to several months after the vaccine.
Saw an interview with a musician who was found unconscious 2 weeks after a J&J Covid shot. In a coma for 3 weeks. when he woke up, he learned that 7 of his 8 fingers were amputated, after the first knuckle. He knew instantly it was due to the shot. You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to figure it out, as he stated. Except for one who admitted it “could possibly be” the vax, the doctors played dumb.
Christoball
Christoball
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Toot Toot… common sense alert!!!! As we look at more and more data, the jabs will look worse and worse. Covid would have never killed that many, but the jabs will do their share of depopulation.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Except that didn’t happen.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
We must be on different planets. Around here, the bars and brothels were all closed for Covid.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Demography does have unusual events and circumstances, so demographic projections are not perfect. But my experience is if you want to know the future, look at demographics first. It’s truly remarkable how you can use demographics to predict things way, way early. But then wouldn’t you expect the numbers and nature of humans would make a difference in the human world – a world that is a loooong way from old age.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Elon Musk is determined to change the demographic trend personally.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Plus, he is also doing more than his share to increase the national average IQ.
Jojo
Jojo
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
His dad also.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Captain Ahab predicts that by 2040, the US national average IQ will be 80 (or less). Currently reported at 98 and falling. The estimated global average IQ in 2040 is 87.
FromBrussels2
FromBrussels2
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
yer bein very optimistic if you ask me …
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels2
You are likely correct. Global Climate Change is making the IQ decline worse.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
By definition, it’s 100. Are you suffering from the pernicious effect you describe?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
“The average IQ in the United States was found out to be 98, giving the country an overall world rank of 27. Most people in the US have an IQ between 85 and 115. The global list was topped by Singapore, with a 108 average IQ, while Equatorial Guinea was last on the list with an average IQ of 56.”
The US IQ of 100 is a normalized value, of NO meaning in global demographics.
Carl_R
Carl_R
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Someone has been watching Idiocracy.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Carl_R
It was poorly scripted and achieved about 10% of its potential. Its popularity is further evidence of backward evolution.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Almost all current population growth is among black people. If black people stopped having so many children, world population would likely be stable or shrinking.
randocalrissian
randocalrissian
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Increasing educational attainment is the #1 correlation with people voluntarily having fewer babies. As we get wicked smaht we learn that more people are bad for the Earth and we behave accordingly. This is the exact reason why Gates wants to spread educational attainment as far and wide as possible.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
The presumption is that all races are equal in intelligence, but even if they are not, more edjakashun can fix it.
hmk
hmk
3 years ago
I doubt it. The reason is that most people after getting their 4 year degree, that colleges coerce them into 5, they are up to their eyeballs in debt. Mostly due to poor decisions like not going to communtiy college for 2 years and getting degrees in art history and coffee making. But I digress. Most of these professionals are so indebted that they can’t afford to buy a home and start a family. If you take a look at people who learn skilled trades they marry earlier and reproduce earlier and more prolificallly. The fertility issue is our primarlily caused by crappy govt policy. It has driven housing and education costs to unaffordable levels stifiling family formation and reproduction, mostly. Some of its due to ignorance about the cost/payback period for college education.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Actually Africa is doing what every other continent did once they got reliable access to food. They Breed.
Look at the population of Nigeria before and after oil was found in the 1950s. It skyrocketed because they were able to trade oil for food. Same happened pretty much everywhere else oil was found. Once their oil runs down they will be in a world of trouble with 300+ million people in a tiny country and no way to feed themselves.
Those old commercials of the 70’s and 80’s about feeding starving children in Africa caused more long term harm than the short term good.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
You forget the US’ new motto. Not the Spartan’s ‘Come and Take It,’ the Democraps’, ‘Come and Get It.’
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
They got fed, doubled their population, and had more famines… so more people ended up starving. Would it have been kinder to just let the first batch starve? Difficult question.

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.