Don’t Miss a Post. Subscribe now.

Ukraine Safe Passage Grain Talks Fail, Expect Still Higher Food Prices Globally

Wheat futures courtesy of Trading Economics

Talks End in Failure

Turkey attempted to mediate safe passage in the Black Sea for Ukraine’s grain harvest, but objected to the Black Sea proposal in a statement on Tuesday before the talks in Turkey.

A significant portion of the world’s food supply is on the line, but Ukraine Nixes a Potential Deal

“We cannot rule out Russia’s plans to use such a corridor to attack Odessa and southern Ukraine. That is why effective security guarantees are needed to restore shipping,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said.

The stakes of a possible deal are enormous, with a significant portion of the world’s food supply on the line. Russia’s invasion left around 20 million metric tons of grain and seeds stranded in Ukrainian territory seized by Russia or cut off from the Black Sea ports through which it is normally exported. Russia’s bombing of roads, bridges and other infrastructure, along with a blockade of Ukraine’s ports, have added to the obstacles to getting grain out of the country, Ukrainian officials and farmers say.

“We emphasize that decisions must be made with the participation of all parties involved. We will reject any agreements that do not take into account the interests of Ukraine,” the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said Tuesday.

No Alternate Routes 

Ukraine objected to an alternative plan to ship the grain through Belarus, because it has been a Russian ally in the invasion.

And the EU sanctions Belarus. 

Lack of Grain Exports Driving Global Hunger to Famine Levels

The UN reports Lack of Grain Exports Driving Global Hunger to Famine Levels

David Beasley, Executive Director of the World Food Programme stated: “When a nation that is the breadbasket of the world becomes a nation with the longest bread line of the world, we know we have a problem.” 

With Ukraine and the Russian Federation together exporting 30 per cent of the cereals and 67 per cent of sunflower oil in the world, he underscored that “what happens to one affects us all”.  

The lack of fertilizer and record‑low inventories in cooking oils and grains have already started to unravel decades of global economic progress, she said. While the Russian Federation and Ukraine used to provide nearly a third of the world’s wheat exports and are top‑five global exporters of corn, she noted all Ukrainian ports remain closed. The international community must coordinate a global response and eschew a “to each their own mentality”, she emphasized.

Antony J. Blinken, Secretary of State of the United States, recalling WFP and FAO estimates that people affected by food insecurity due to conflict would increase to an estimated 161 million in 2022, noted that the Russian Federation’s war in Ukraine could add another 40 million people to that total. 

Blockages 

Who’s blocking, Russia or Ukraine? 

Egypt in Dire Need

US Wheat Prospects Grim

Brutal US Conditions

A Modest Proposal

Food Shortages From Excessive Intervention

What About Corn?

Expect Higher Prices 

With exports down, plantings down, and fertilizer costs soaring, expect higher food prices at the grocery store this summer. 

Restaurants Add Temporary Fees to Your Food Bill to Offset Macroeconomic Pressure

Meanwhile, please note Restaurants Add Temporary Fees to Your Food Bill to Offset Macroeconomic Pressure

Fee Examples

  • Romano’s Macaroni Grill added a “temporary $2 fee to offset macroeconomic pressures”.
  • Saltie Girl added a “kitchen appreciation fee”
  • Ally Restaurants adds a “wellness fee” of 3% and is considering upping that fee to 5%
  • Other stores are adding supply chain surcharges, non-cash adjustments, and fuel surcharges.

What About Verizon?

Don’t forget Verizon’s $2.20 Economic Adjustment Charge on its wireless plans.

Rent, Food, Energy

Rent, food, and energy make up 52.7% of the CPI. Other than crush demand for oil, the Fed cannot do anything about them.

Q: How Far Behind the Curve is the BLS and Fed on Rent Inflation?
A: Very. See the link for details.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

Thanks for Tuning In!

Please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Comments to this post are now closed.

61 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
California government wants to shut down a number of farmers, due to the fact that the state water board flushes half the water out to sea for non human purposes.
BDR45
BDR45
4 years ago
Dam, those Russians are the cause of all our problems.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
The American Zelensky Nazi puppet regime is NOT allowed to make any concessions whatsoever; Russia continues being the only party to blame for whatever it should be conveniently blamed for on a international scale, like inflation, migration, food shortage, climate change or whatever ….
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
You are right, Russia isn’t engaging in a war of attrition in the Ukraine becauase NATO exists. Russia doesnt have anything to do with this. It is just an innocent bystander to this whole ordeal.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
After 8 years of admirable restraint,failed democracy and OUTRAGEOUS provocation by the US of A, Russia simply did what it had to do …that s all !
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Just like the Germans at the start of world war 1. The Germans had to attack because Russia wouldn’t stop its mobilization.
I get it. Russia was forced to attack the Ukraine.
Is that the logic we are OK with?
hmk
hmk
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
Just like we were forced to attack Iraq
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
And just like Iraq was forced to attack Kuwait
hmk
hmk
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
If you have the faintest sense of history those events were separated by many years. The Kuwait attack was over a legitimate disagreement and was initially clandestinely supported by the US which also BTW supplied him with his military. Bush initially stated it was a war between two Arab states and that we will stay clear of that. Also in the end Colin Powell, the only sane military expert the US ever had, persuaded Bush to leave Sadam in power as he was the only leader that could control Iraq. If we deposed him it would turn into a sectarian bloodbath. His war criminal son forgot that, must have been a residual brain lesion from excess alcohol and coke use earlier.
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
You dont get it, and you want to have a different conversation.
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
McCain meddled in Ukraine.
let’s talk about all who are not innocent bystanders.
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels
Comrade Yoda, why you so angry in brussels? You sit upon throne of potato, but is not enough! Come back to simple Russian life. Come back to outhouse, and stop decadent porcelain toilet emails! Mother russia loves you, come home and fight to defend her!
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
LOL, exactly. Go live there if you support them so much.
A backwards system making backwards people, who dont understand that rapid trade and commerce are a rising tide that raises all ships. They are too concerned with a few ships rising higher than the rest and would prefer that everyone was using outhouses.
Regardless, this is all fine. We need some destruction to move on to something better. Pain creates the need for technological change, and the higher fossil fuel prices will make other technologies economically viable and research more worthwhile. . . then these autocracies that exist because of the unlimited energy their leadership can sell to enrich themselves will self combust.
Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
If we could just break enough windows we would all have lots of jobs and everyone would become rich.
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  Lisa_Hooker

Yeah, I was talking about general capital destruction, not the carpet bombing, salt the earth, Russian rape, Peter the Great approach that resulted in 300,000 half Russian children of rape in Germany after WW2.

Jackula
Jackula
4 years ago
Ukraine(code for Biden administration) nixes safe transport of grain crop from Ukraine. We have lunatics in control of our government
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  Jackula
Words from someone safely tucked away from harm.
Jackula
Jackula
4 years ago
Reply to  SAKMAN1
Pullease, this war in Ukraine was completely avoidable at zero risk to US interests. We will have a fully Republican government in 4 and a half years due to this administration’s ineptitude. And I’m not safely tucked away from harm. Lots of Russian and Chinese nukes aimed at the large city I live in, Los Angeles.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
Due to high shipping costs I can see the return of the previous era when only local produce was available, and shipping by air or ship of fresh produce a utopian phantasy.
So apples instead of avocados, carrots instead of bananas, and in cold part of the country potatoes.
But at least we have multiple plans to colonize Mars. Maybe there is intelligent life somewhere up there.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
People aren’t going tobe be eating as much fruit with the prices I see. Apples range from $1.99 to $2.99 (sometimes even $3.99!) per lb. A medium size small apple weighs about .4 to .5lbs. That means a single apple can run you anywhere from $1-$2! Say what?
RunnerDan
RunnerDan
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Well then people won’t be using as much toilet paper then. See? Some problems come with solutions to other problems!
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  RunnerDan
Even what you crap out still has benefit and offers sustenance for a variety of animals and insects. Years back when I used to go scuba diving, it was always fascinating to see the fish zoom in whenever I took a dump in the water and goggle all the pieces right up. Imagine if we could process more of what we expel? We would need less food.
Robert QSLV
Robert QSLV
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Watched a slug on my walkway slurp up the big greenie I just looied on the concrete.
BDR45
BDR45
4 years ago
There is no intelligent life, that I know of.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
We are now in the ‘me, too” phase of inflation. Now the public accepts, and expects inflation; what better time to jack up the prices, regardless of whether there has been an increase in costs?
Any day, we’ll see pay toilets in McDonalds, or a $0.50 hygiene fee.
TheCaptain
TheCaptain
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
“Any day, we’ll see pay toilets in McDonalds, or a $0.50 hygiene fee.”
Yes. Liberalism=Globalism=Something for nothing-ism. It is not free to keep toilets open to the public for free. Pay-Go is the conservative way and the pendulum is now swinging back away from rabid liberalsim, through centrism and in 50 years rabid conservatism (which is another way of saying liberalism). Any time you see someone trying to force their agenda upon you, it’s liberalism. True conservatives, which are called libertarians, absolutely believe in live and let live, even in manners such as abortion. If abortion is amoral, the debt will be paid to the Lord G_d. Libertarians know this.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
I can’t believe that it costs $1.50 at many gas stations in my local area to put air in your car tires!
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Haven’t seen a McDonalds from the inside for at least a decade, but considering my inflation adjusted utility bill, it’s a reasonable fee.
Robert QSLV
Robert QSLV
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Night soil market is up limit every day. Sell your feces on E Bay. Boxed poop shipped FedEx, $ 1.00/Lb. Whole new meaning to the Shop Rite “Bowl and Basket” promotion.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Not only are prices going up but product sizes are deflating, which is effectively silent inflation.
———
No, you’re not imagining it — package sizes are shrinking
June 8, 2022
From toilet paper to yogurt and coffee to corn chips, manufacturers are quietly shrinking package sizes without lowering prices. It’s dubbed “shrinkflation,” and it’s accelerating worldwide.
In the U.S., a small box of Kleenex now has 60 tissues; a few months ago, it had 65. Chobani Flips yogurts have shrunk from 5.3 ounces to 4.5 ounces. In the U.K., Nestle slimmed down its Nescafe Azera Americano coffee tins from 100 grams to 90 grams. In India, a bar of Vim dish soap has shrunk from 155 grams to 135 grams.
Shrinkflation isn’t new. But it proliferates in times of high inflation as companies grapple with rising costs for ingredients, packaging, labor and transportation. Global consumer price inflation was up an estimated 7% in May, a pace that will likely continue through September, according to S&P Global.
….
Nuddernoitall
Nuddernoitall
4 years ago
High food prices. High energy costs. Inflation at levels not seen since the Carter era. The only reason I am sticking around until the end of the movie is to see if Biden will accept any responsibility for his policies contributing to these issues. So far…in the movie…Biden has not and still blames Putin, Trump and the little virus, but the movie is only half over and I still have a half-filled bag of popcorn which I am enjoying. (And, don’t worry, I won’t give out the ending!)
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Nuddernoitall
When books are written in the future as to the root of the huge jump in inflation, I am confident that the domino that initiated the inflation jump will be seen to have been the vast worldwide overreaction to the Covid scare. It wasn’t just just Biden. It was the Covid response by governments everywhere and also includes the Trump administration
Across the world, economies were unnecessarily shut down, healthy people were ordered to quarantine, the media flogged the Covid fear factor endlessly (and still does to some extent), jobs were lost, trillions were lost as businesses were forced to close down if they weren’t judged “essential”, supply chains were disrupted and stimulus money was helicoptered dropped with little oversight or control, all out of a fear of what was essentially a minor inconvenient illness for the vast majority of people.
Here’s hoping that lesson’s have been learned and a similar overreaction will not be reenacted when/if another virus rears its head in the future.
Since2008
Since2008
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo

I agree!

Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
China freaked everyone out when they locked down everybody in the country. They were acting like covid was a pathogen that would kill one-third of the population like the Black Plague. Their freaking out encouraged us to freak out too and then it became a political necessity to be in a constant state of freak out. Fortunately most of the world was able to move on otherwise we would still be locking down like China.
Matt3
Matt3
4 years ago
This is all the direct result of the sanctions which were not thought through at all. The consequences were easy to see but the emotion to “do something” again creates a catastrophe. All of our stupid politicians and the idiot commentator class have created the situation. Famine, death and pain.
We should have been pursuing peace and encouraging BOTH Russia and Ukraine to find peace. Instead we continue with sanctions, encourage Ukraine to not negotiate and allow $ to flow to weapons, destruction death and those that skim and profit from this.
William Janes
William Janes
4 years ago
Reply to  Matt3
Peace talks were tried. Putin was dead set on invading Russia. This was always in his plans from the beginning in 2002. Read his speeches from that time.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  William Janes
REALLY ?! NATO should NOT have expanded the way it did in the first place ….so …cut your fn bs !!
BDR45
BDR45
4 years ago
Reply to  William Janes
President Putin wanted the two Eastern Russian speaking provinces to determine their own fate. (The Ukrainian government had been attacking, torturing and killing Russian speakers in this region for the past 8 years). Yelensky, when he mentioned joining NATO, was the straw that broke the camel’s back. (Yelensky broke both the Belgrade and Minsk agreements). President Putin has been restrained. He could destroy Ukraine, entirely, but he has a sensible long term view of this area. A diplomatic solution could have been reached, except the CIA and our own government doesn’t want peace in that part of the world. War is the preferred method, no matter the cost.
hmk
hmk
4 years ago
Reply to  Matt3
Absolutely correct. Even Henry Kissinger has been advocating for this. It makes me wonder if Biden and family are beholden or blackmailed via their Burisma dealings.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
Kissinger is senile and full of crap. His solution was for Ukraine to capitulate, let Russia have 1/5 of Ukraine and say “Thank you kindly, ma’am, can we have more lube?” so the world could return to normal.
hmk
hmk
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Exactly, he doesn’t know what he is talking about you should replace him I am sure you are much more intelligent. What an ignorant response. You know nothing of the preceding history that led to the war. The Ukrainians have the Azov military neo Nazi faction preforming mass genocide on ethnic Russians in the east, all under the war criminal Zelenski’s blessing. There is much more but I doubt you would understand. Criticizing probably the most respected diplomat and foreign policy expert in the world demonstrates you overall intelligence level. Typical knee jerk liberal response when you don’t like the facts.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
Unfortunately, your version of history is from Russian propaganda and is therefore worthless. But you and the 6 people who gave you a like are too simple-minded to recognize this.
There is real history that you might learn from in this response to a recent NYT editorial mirroring Kissinger’s proposed solution:
———-
NYT Board Fails to Understand the Russian War Against Ukraine. Here is Why
TUESDAY, 24 MAY 2022 — Bohdan Bernatskyi, Erik Kucherenko, Oleksandr Kushch, Nick Yurlov
Three months into the largest war in Europe since 1945, The New York Times Editorial Board published its Opinion “The War in Ukraine Is Getting Complicated, and America Isn’t Ready”.
The Board argues that:
1) Without clarity on U.S. aims and strategy the White House “jeopardizes long-term peace and security on the European continent”;
2) “A decisive military victory for Ukraine over Russia, in which Ukraine regains all the territory Russia has seized since 2014, is not a realistic goal”;
3) “Ukrainian leaders will have to make the painful territorial decisions” and “it is not appeasement”.
….
hmk
hmk
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Look up David Stockmans article titled “Pearl Harbor my Eye” It s a long read so I doubt you could get through it. David Stockman in your eyes is probably also a senile old fool much like your dear leader Brandon who will get us into WW3.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
Stockman is an idiot who posts all sorts of nonsense, which is why no one in power pays attention to him. But of course, he resonates with the everything is a conspiracy group, like yourself.
Since2008
Since2008
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
But if 1/5 of Ukraine voted to leave, wouldn’t that be okay – and better than war?
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Since2008
If 1/5 of Texas voted to leave the USA, would Washington D.C. accept that?
grazzt
grazzt
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Kosovo didn’t even need to vote to be separated from Serbia. US just made it so (and never mind coincidence that the largest US Military base in the Balkans just now happens to be in Kosovo).
BDR45
BDR45
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
And, soon, Ukraine will be forced to give up the territory which Kissinger, as many mistakes as he made over the years, thinks necessary for peace. But the road was paved with much loss of life and treasure.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  BDR45
Life is cheap and not special.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
4 years ago
Reply to  hmk
Too much has been made out about Burisma, when it’s secondary.
Concentrate on real thing: Biden was directly remotely involved in the 2014 coup d’etat in Kiev.
Dr. Odyssey
Dr. Odyssey
4 years ago
Perhaps we should make something about Burisma.
Here is Biden himself explaining his intervention.
FromBrussels
FromBrussels
4 years ago
Reply to  Matt3
….fact is that in the 21st century mankind is still as primitive as, say, 10000 years ago, pity , ain t it ? Diplomacy should ve solved this issue ….but then again NATO needs a reason to exist and the US of A has got to sell arms …..
Eighthman
Eighthman
4 years ago
The obsequiousness of the Euro vassals is astounding. Announce a complete cutoff of all shipments to Ukraine and get the food moving. Russia is showing photos of burned grain in Mariupol that must be discarded – that they say Ukraine ruined “scorched earth” to deny it to anyone.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Eighthman
That’s because Russia has been reported to be stealing Ukrainian grain in captured areas and then selling it on its own. In that case, the only viable option is to burn it.
dtj
dtj
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
If Russia is selling stolen grain, at least it is getting into the hands of someone who’s going to eat it. If the grain is burned out of spite, it is forever lost and contributes to the worldwide shortage.
SAKMAN1
SAKMAN1
4 years ago
Reply to  dtj
Russia is selling grain to fund a war of attrition against the Ukrainian people. Russia started the war, all the blood and hunger is on the hands of Russias leadership.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  dtj
“Let them eat cake”
grazzt
grazzt
4 years ago
Reply to  Jojo
Kinda like how the US is stealing and selling Syrian oil and wheat in the areas they illegally occupy?
JRM
JRM
4 years ago
Reply to  grazzt
DING DING DING!!!
It is what I call as an American a “DOUBLE STANDARD”!!!
It’s righteous and Ok when the USA and its allies do it, according to the US Gov’t..ie level whole villages, blow up weddings, ect ect ect.
Invade countries for “REVENGE” and “PAYBACK” for making someone’s daddy look bad!!!
Tony Bennett
Tony Bennett
4 years ago
Well, luckily for Americans fast food restaurants don’t serve food …
On point. I was in a grocery store this weekend and overheard two retired looking gentlemen talking about how crazy food prices are. One summed it up nicely ~ you get what’s necessary and hope for the best when you check out.
Read an article a few days ago on how POTUS not happy with his poll numbers (lower than DJT, iirc). Seems his handlers are keeping him out of the spotlight. Well, POTUS wants to get out and tout his progress.
Completely, totally tone deaf if he thinks Americans are concerned about anything else than INFLATION INFLATION INFLATION.
Jojo
Jojo
4 years ago
Reply to  Tony Bennett
I was in a Grocery Outlet store the other day, which has cheaper prices than regular supermarkets (generally…). Woman in front of me had a cart load of items that came out to around $300! She seemed taken aback but then recovered and said the clerk, I guess that seems right. I thought , no it doesn’t….

Decorate Your Walls with Mish Fine Art Images

Click each image to view details or purchase in the store.

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.