Weekend Tweets Worth a Look: Mortgage Rates, the Border, Bitcoin, Insurance

Mortgage applications are down even with falling rates, Senator Fetterman is concerned about the border, home insurance rates are headed up, and one person just went 100% on Bitcoin.

Home Buying Search Index

Mortgage Rates

Fetterman on the Border

Progressives are increasingly annoyed at Fetterman.

Social Media

Home Insurance Rate Hikes

Illinois Exodus

Will the SEC Reject the Bitcoin ETF again?

Crypto Tax Reporting

Cramer Alert!

This guy is one of the biggest contrarian indicators ever.

100% On Bitcoin!

Am I the only one who thinks this is crazy?

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37 Comments
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TomS
TomS
2 years ago

Came across this point from a Daily Caller article.

The federal government is poised to spend $6,418,000,000,000 this year or $204,000 per second! Given that the speed of light is 186,000 miles per second, the federal government is literally spending faster than the speed of light!

Damn!

Siliconguy
Siliconguy
2 years ago
Reply to  TomS

Fortunately the speed of light is 299,792 km/second, so they have lots of room yet. 😉

Jake J
Jake J
2 years ago

The prior record-low mortgage rates have injected significant immobility into the housing market, as shown by weakening home sales.

Someone with a 3% or 4% loan will be quite reluctant to move to another place, and a drop from 7% or 8% to 6% won’t do the trick. Therefore, people swapping houses are increasingly those with paid-off loans who can buy the next place with cash, or who have to move on account of job changes or other personal factors.

One spinoff effect is being seen at the big hardware stores like Home Depot snd Lowe’s, where results are weak. I haven’t looked at the appliance, furnishings, and furniture makers and other retailers of that stuff (carets, fixtures, custom closets among others), but I would expect them to be feeling the heat. The reason is that when people move, the first thing they do is renovate in various ways.

I wonder about coming layoffs in those spinoff sectors, and what the lag times are. We shall see.

Last edited 2 years ago by Jake J
Six000MileYear
Six000MileYear
2 years ago

The uh-oh moment in housing is starting. The idea that lowering mortgage rates automatically stimulate home buying no longer works. Maybe an even greater epiphany will take place that lowering interest rates by the Fed might not stimulate the economy this time.

eighthman
eighthman
2 years ago

I hate agreeing with Cramer but he’s right: guns, drugs, bribes, crazy debts and more. Bitcoin has the advantage that no government can eliminate it or debauch it.

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
2 years ago
Reply to  eighthman

Yes, they can’t elimate it, but they can tax it to death and make redemption into fiat illegal so that no business or bank will touch it. And what happens when some better crypto comes along? What does it become then?

It’s been 15 years since bitcoin came on the scene and it hasn’t achieved its stated purpose (an alternative decentralized currency) yet. Could it? Sure, but I’m not holding my breath on that bet.

Casual Observer
Casual Observer
2 years ago

This just seems like a bad design. Basically bolts came loose. It is a plane that doesn’t have a real door but just a cutout that is refastened. I don’t see how these planes are even usable.

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-737-max-9s-grounded-after-alaska-airlines-in-flight-blowout/

SURFAddict
SURFAddict
2 years ago

the rivets let go….i bet they are sourced from a shithole cuntree

PreCambrian
PreCambrian
2 years ago

I am not worried about Fetterman. It will do the Democrats good if their policies were a little more reality based. We need at least one party that has a firm grasp on reality. Right now they are both crazy in different ways.

A 20% increase by State Farm won’t be so bad. They increased my homeowner’s insurance 50% two years ago and 10% last year.

I definitely wouldn’t go all Bitcoin. Average blockchain transaction fee was $19 last week. So if you bought a gallon of milk with Bitcoin add $19 on top of the cost of the milk.

SURFAddict
SURFAddict
2 years ago
Reply to  PreCambrian

i’m 100% all-in on Beans and Rice

Rinky Stingpiece
Rinky Stingpiece
2 years ago

I call BS on that BTC bell end… we all know it’s not money, because they value it in an actual currency that is money, i.e.: USD; never mind that you can’t buy food and pay bills with it directly. Given, it’s more portable than gold, but too trackable. XMR has a better chance, because it does something useful that the governments despise.

Todd
Todd
2 years ago

Meanwhile, just received notice from our local government that our home here in Maryland has a a re-assessed value! New value is 42% higher than it was last year! Here come higher property taxes! Your home – it’s your best investment!? https://www.baltimoresun.com/2023/12/29/property-assessments-in-maryland-jump-more-than-23-continuing-yearslong-upward-trend/#:~:text=Property%20tax%20assessments%20in%20Maryland,tax%20bills%20for%20many%20owners.

matt3
matt3
2 years ago
Reply to  Todd

That’s what happened to me last year. Rate stayed the same so tax was up 40%.

FromBrussels
FromBrussels
2 years ago
Reply to  Todd

So WHAT exactly are you complaining about ? Here in lousy Belgium one has to pay 30% on coupons and divs. Fckn landlords pay zilch on the rents income, nor on the increased value of their property! NOT FAIR at all , if you ask me! EVERYONE s got to contribute to keep the Ponzi scheme afloat, and so should you ..and of course, fckn Belgian landlords, in the first place!

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 years ago
Reply to  FromBrussels

You should rent your house to yourself.

val
val
2 years ago
Reply to  Todd

Assessed home values are overpriced because the city needs the increased tax revenue. The city’s assessed valuation for 2024 is ‘estimated’ based on extrapolating the rise in home prices during the 2020-21 pandemic. A period when home values increased per year faster than average yearly salaries. Homes actually sold in 2023 were priced 15-20 percent less than the city’s price accelerator estimated for these homes 2024 valuation.

Avery2
Avery2
2 years ago
PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  Avery2

Thanks for the link. Did you read the article (from 2022)?

AIG just changed which units they used for sales. The unit with less flexibility to raise rates was discontinued.

“ According to The Wall Street Journal, AIG will still provide homeowners coverage in the Golden State through the surplus line companies.”

Avery2
Avery2
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Thanks, sorry I didn’t mention Surplus Lines = free (unregulated)forms and (unregulated) rates. Those darn exclusions and increases!

jhrodd
jhrodd
2 years ago

My homeowners renewed today, Safeco raised the premium from $750/year to $1050 I got a quote from Progressive for $550. This is for a 1.0M home in the PNW fortunately it’s only 2 years old and on an island with virtually no property crime.

Cabreado
Cabreado
2 years ago
Reply to  jhrodd

Progressive will get ya next bill.

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
2 years ago
Reply to  Cabreado

Ding ding…..there’s always an introductory rate.

My parents tried doing the home insurance merry go round until they ran out of companies.

Casual Observer
Casual Observer
2 years ago
Reply to  jhrodd

It isn’t about property crime. Insurance rates are about climate change and portfolio risk.

Scott
Scott
2 years ago

My building’s (3 units) insurance last summer went from $1800 to $2500 a year, a 39% increase. I assume it was to rebuild all those McMansions along the Florida coast that had to be rebuilt after the hurricanes … also, those interest rates are going back to zero after November. You cant continue to take this country private unless hundreds of billions more free money are provided to the private equity people. They wont stop till they own every single house and share of stock ….

Last edited 2 years ago by Scott
Walt
Walt
2 years ago

Cramer!!!

That’s it, it’s the end of BTC.

PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago

Regarding Homeowners Insurance:

The top 5 most expensive states are: Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Arkansas, and Texas.

The least expensive are Hawaii and California.

https://www.insurance.com/home-and-renters-insurance/home-insurance-basics/average-homeowners-insurance-rates-by-state#:~:text=The%20average%20cost%20of%20homeowners,rates%2C%20averaging%20%24582%20a%20year.

Last edited 2 years ago by PapaDave
GreenMountain
GreenMountain
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Any indicators as to why so high in those five states?

PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  GreenMountain

The article I referenced said the cost of “severe storms” is the main reason.

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
2 years ago
Reply to  GreenMountain

The states with the highest rates mentioned above are smack in the middle of “tornado alley”.

Last edited 2 years ago by Woodsie Guy
Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 years ago
Reply to  Woodsie Guy

I would not think tornados are as damaging( scale wise) as hurricanes in the east or fires out west. I could be wrong though.

PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

The US averages just 1-2 hurricanes making landfall each year. And over 1200 tornadoes. So, probably a lot more damage in total from tornadoes.

In addition, there are plenty of other
“severe storms” that are not tornadoes. Like extreme rainfall and flooding or wind storms. Or droughts and severe fires.

Columbo
Columbo
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Hail damage is another cause too.

Norbert
Norbert
2 years ago
Reply to  GreenMountain

Percentage of the population that are dangerous morons?

Commenter
Commenter
2 years ago
Reply to  GreenMountain

It’s an indicator of a real estate bubble in those five places since replacement costs are a big factor in premiums. Louisiana has a lot more hurricanes than Texas, for example, but on hurricane in Texas can cause more $$$ damage than three in Louisiana.

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave

P dave there has to be a catch. I wonder in ca if fire ins is separate. Whats the saying about lies dam lies .

PapaDave
PapaDave
2 years ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

Yes. Statistics can be misleading.

But what’s worse, is speculation without any data at all.

Rather than speculate, why don’t you actually look into it and then get back to us with some hard facts?

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
2 years ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Haha read the article. Hoping you had in site.

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