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Non-Manufacturing ISM Beats Expectations Sending Bond Yields Higher

The October 2013 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®, released today, came in at 55.4.

This was above the bloomberg consensus estimate of 54.5

ISM at a Glance

Non-Manufacturing Manufacturing
Index Oct Sep Percentage Point Change Direction Rate of Change Trend in Months Oct Sep Percentage Point Change
NMI™/PMI™ 55.4 55.4 +1.0 Growing Faster 46 56.4 56.2 +0.2
Business Activity/Production 59.7 55.1 +4.6 Growing Faster 51 60.8 62.6 -1.8
New Orders 56.8 59.6 -2.8 Growing Slower 51 60.6 60.5 +0/1
Employment 56.2 52.7 +3.5 Growing Faster 15 53.2 55.4 -2.2
Supplier Deliveries 49.0 50.0 -1.0 Faster From Unchanged 1 54.7 52.6 +2.1
Inventories 54.5 54.5 +0.0 Growing Same 9 52.5 50.0 +2.5
Prices 56.1 57.2 -1.1 Increasing Slower 49 55.5 56.5 -1.0
Backlog of Orders 50.0 50.5 -0.5 Unchanged From Growing 1 51.5 49.5 +2.0
New Export Orders 53.0 57.5 -4.5 Growing Slower 3 57.0 52.0 +5.0
Imports 55.0 51.5 +3.5 Growing Faster 5 55.5 55.0 +0.5
Inventory Sentiment 62.5 62.0 +0.5 Too High Faster 197 N/A NA N/A
Customers’ Inventories N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 47 43.0 +4.0

Treasury Yields Rise 

Treasury yields are up a bit in response to the numbers.
Here are a couple of charts.

$TNX: 10-Year Yield

Yield: 2.653%
+0.51 Percentage Points

$TYX: 30-Year Yield

Yield: 3.737%
+0.46 Percentage Points

Mike “Mish” Shedlock  

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Mish

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