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70% in US Have at Least 1 Vaccination Shot, Who are the Holdouts?

An anti-vaxxer tells me the tide is turning against the vaccine. Let's investigate his story and another.
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Seven in Ten Adults Vaccine

Uptick in Vaccinations 

  • 70 percent of adults have at least one shot, including 90 percent of seniors with at least one shot. 
  • In the past few weeks there's been nearly 70 percent increase in the average number of new people getting vaccinated each and every day.
  • In the last seven days 3 million Americans have gotten their first shot. That’s the highest seven-day totals since July 4th.

The above data is as from an August 2 Whitehouse Press Briefing

Vaccine Monitor 

The lead chart is from the KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor: July 2021, published August 4. 

Key Findings 

  • The latest Vaccine Monitor finds the share of adults who say they have either received a COVID-19 vaccine (67%) or say they will get vaccinated as soon as they can (3%) is relatively unchanged from June. The poll, conducted July 15-27th, may not capture any recent uptick in vaccinations after the most recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), citing the increased risk of the Delta variant to both unvaccinated and vaccinated people.
  • Three in ten adults remain unvaccinated including one in ten who say they want to “wait and see” how the vaccine works for other people before getting vaccinated and 3% who say they will do so “only if required” (down from 6% in June). 
  • An additional 14% say they will “definitely not” get a vaccine, a share that has held relatively steady since December. 
  • One-fourth of unvaccinated adults (8% of all adults) say they are likely to get a vaccine before the end of 2021, including nearly half (45%) of those who say they want to “wait and see.”
  • Three-fourths of unvaccinated adults, including nine in ten of those who say they will “definitely not” get the vaccine, say they are “not worried” about getting seriously sick from the virus, less than half say they are worried about the Delta variant worsening the pandemic, more than half (including 75% of “definitely not”) say getting vaccinated is a bigger risk to their health than getting infected with coronavirus, and a quarter (just one in ten of “definitely not”) say the vaccines are effective at keeping vaccinated people from dying from COVID-19 or getting seriously ill.

Who Remains Unvaccinated

  • A previous KFF analysis examined the demographic groups among the unvaccinated population finding two distinct groups, those who are open to getting a vaccine (“wait and see”) and those who say they will definitely not get a COVID-19 vaccine. 
  • The latest KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor finds the key demographic differences between the “wait and see” and the “definitely not” groups still center on racial and ethnic identity and political partisanship. 
  • Four in ten of those in the “wait and see” group are people of color.
  • The most vaccine resistant group, those who say they will “definitely not” get a COVID-19 vaccine, is overwhelmingly made up of White adults (65% of the group compared to 50% of the “wait and see” group). 
  • Partisanship also plays a major role with more than half (58%) of the “definitely not” group identifying as Republican or Republican-leaning. 
  • In addition, religious identity also plays a role as White Evangelical Christians make up nearly twice the share of the “definitely not” group (32%) as the “wait and see” group.

Antivax Email 

An anti-vaxxer friend emailed this link referencing the above report: 53% of all unvaccinated Americans believe the vaccine is more dangerous than Covid.

"The tide is turning against the vaccine," commented my friend.

It would behoove my friend to observe the percentage of diehard anti-vaxxers is the same 13%-15% it's always been. 

But he can take comfort in the fact that by the end of the year it will not be 53% but something like 90% of the remaining anti-vaxers holding his view. 

Near-Death Experience of a Former Anti-Vaxxer

Anti-Vaxxer Near Death Experience
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Meanwhile, please note a Former anti-vaxxer in Northern California urges vaccinations after entire family struck with COVID-19.

Before contracting COVID-19, Jonathan Weltsch (top right), 43, assumed the virus was no more deadly than the flu and was a vocal anti-vaxxer. After an 18-day stay at the hospital and nearly losing his life, the father of nine said he regrets not getting vaccinated and is using his story to try to convince the skeptical.

“I was told my whole life not to take experimental drugs and I was 100% against an experimental vaccine,” he told the Times-Standard. “I was so strong-willed against it…Then I lost my breath and I wished I was vaccinated.”

Expect More Near-Death (or Worse) Experiences

It will take a near-death experience to convince the diehard anti-vaxxers. For some it will not be a near-death experience but rather a death experience.

Unfortunately, this has to happen at the individual level. Anti-vaxxers are proven incapable of learning from anyone else's experiences. Most will have to personally be on the death bed before learning anything.

The Fearful Math

53% of 30% fear the vaccine more than Covid. 

That is 15.9% of the total, suspiciously similar to the 13% to 15% who say they will never get vaccinated.

Over time, the percentage of unvaccinated who fear the vaccine more than covid will approach 100%. This we call "turning the tide".

In the end, those who survive can put this badge of honor on their chests: "I survived the Covid scare of 2020 unvaccinated. Millions didn't."

What's Legal?

For s discussion of the legalities of vaccination mandates, please see Many Companies Now Have Mandatory Vaccination Policies: Should This Be Legal?

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