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Beware of Inflation Laws, Cartoon Villains, and Executive Orders

The Left’s Excuses for Inflation Are Getting More Absurd

Politico reports The Left’s Excuses for Inflation Are Getting More Absurd

The White House has particularly targeted meatpackers over the past several days. Its economists put out an analysis slamming meat processing companies for excessive profiteering, and press secretary Jen Psaki blamed “the greed of meat conglomerates” for rising prices. The oil and gas industry has come in for a similar pounding, and even Dollar Tree has been denounced for shamefully sticking it to the little guy. Warren has said the dynamic of rising prices and rising corporate profits isn’t “simply some inevitable economic force of nature — it’s greed. And, in some cases, it is flatly illegal.” In a similar vein, former Clinton labor secretary Robert Reich recently pinpointed “corporate giants with the power to raise prices” as “the real reason behind U.S. inflation.”

As for the meatpackers, the White House complains that just four companies dominate the market. But four companies have had an outsize market share over the past 25 years, and the price of beef has bumped around, roughly in keeping with overall prices, during that entire period. What’s happened during the pandemic is that there has been high demand that, combined with labor disruptions at meatpacking plants, has disrupted supply. Increased demand and limited supply, of course, equals rising prices. As the Economic Research Service of the USDA wrote in a report in October, “Prices have been driven up by strong domestic and international demand, labor shortages, supply chain disruptions, and high feed and other input costs.”

The situation is basically the same when it comes to oil and gas. Global demand has increased, while global supply hasn’t caught up. Domestically, oil production has risen since last year but is still below prepandemic levels. Biden claimed last month that the fact that finished gasoline prices haven’t declined as much as unfinished gasoline prices shows the oil and gas companies are engaged in anti-consumer behavior, but this argument obviously has no merit. The finished price often lags the unfinished price. Biden’s request for the Federal Trade Commission to investigate will lead to the same result as so many previous FTC investigations — namely, nowhere.

Headed Nowhere?

Politico concludes the FTC investigation is headed nowhere. Yes, that should be the case but that does not mean it will be the case. Every step of the way Biden has caved in to Elizabeth Warren’s and the Progressive’s demands to legislate by executive order.

No one knows what Biden might try by executive order. And if Nixon could order wage and price controls, why can’t Biden? 

The administrations new gas mileage standards by decree will also force prices higher. 

Biden is demanding more power to unions and that means two things, more business disruptions and higher price. 

“Free” education and “free” childcare? What will those cost? And we would be saddled with those right now were it not for Senator Joe Manchin.

Protective Shield Against Inflation

Eurointelligence had an interesting article the other day on events in Germany. 

The CSU is now seeks protection against inflation.

Watch out for inflation laws

One of the often ignored aspects about higher inflation is its impact on political discourse. The rise of conservative counter-movements in the 1980s was preceded by the inflationary 1970s. Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan, even Helmut Kohl owed their ascent in large part to the economic instability of the previous decade. In today’s age of de-regulated labour markets and de-unionisation, inflation would give rise to more income inequality than it did in the years when wage and pensions indexation at least produced some degree of compensation. We still remember the fierce debate in the Bundestag in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Inflation was one of the dominant political themes at the time.

We thus read with interest that the CSU has discovered inflation as a political theme. For its annual seminar, to be held tomorrow, the party is proposing what it calls a protecting shield. The shield would consist of legally mandated positive interest rates for all pension products, and a compensation for inflation effects in income tax calculations. It would constitute an attempt to control inflation through fiscal policy. What is politically interesting is that Christian Lindner, the finance minister, has also demanded what he called an inflation brake, in analogy to the debt brake. So, as the ECB is increasingly becoming a fiscal actor, member states have now taken it upon themselves to control inflation. What can possibly go wrong?

Legally Mandated Positive Interest Rates 

Yeah, go ahead and try. 

The German 10-year bond yield is -0.040%. In Germany, the  Annual inflation Hits 3.1%, the Highest Rate Since 1993.

So let’s force pension plans to pay 3.1% when bonds earn less than zero. Someone tell me how this idea can possibly work. 

That never matters because politicians never learn. 

Related Articles

Spotlight on Executive Orders

Also note Biden’s Vaccine Legislation by Executive Order About to Hit a Supreme Court Brick Wall 

I discuss damages caused by the executive orders by Biden, Nixon, Kennedy, Obama, Trump, and FDR. It maddening but it’s far more likely to escalate than stop.

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38 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Webej
Webej
4 years ago
Many people don’t realize that the stagflation party in the seventies didn’t really get going until everybody started demanding COLA clauses.
  • Everywhere entitlements were indexed to the CPI.
  • In Canada, unemployment was not introduced until 1972, because before that it was true that you could go out and get a (different) job!
  • Senior citizens were ousted from their homes b/c they couldn’t pay real estate taxes higher than their mortgage payment had been from their decimated fixed income (bond savings).
  • Nixon always talked about the war against inflation as if it was a natural phenomenon like the flood.
Everywhere we have leaders who are children and think they command the waves, like King Midas. Energy, the structure of society, trade, supply chains, military prowess & logistics …. it’s all just a matter of pronouncing the right words, and voila!
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
So the dems demonize corporate profits when many of their biggest donors are the most profitable companies in the world.
Jmurr
Jmurr
4 years ago
It’s really amazing how similar Biden and Trump are. Hopefully, the boomers exit stage left in 2024. 
Call_Me
Call_Me
4 years ago
Reply to  Jmurr
Is it really?  Basically same age and they have not been productive in their personal lives (in the sense of producing something).  Biden has been a pol for more than 2 generations (how he made his money) and comes from a state with such lax usury laws that many large financial institutions are based there – Trump uses inherited wealth to buy influence and ‘win’ at business and also has a casino.  They are both about the $, opportunists, and, at least based on their public personas, rather dim blowhards.
Consider the similarity between GWB and BHO.  Same wars, detentions, droning policy, bank-protecting actions, et cetera.  Same vapid promises of environmental cures (switchgrass, solyndra) whilst things continued to get worse.  The extremely poor handling of the BP disaster in the Gulf of Mexico, domestic spying coverups, getting involved in the run-up to the 2016 election – those didn’t fall under Bush/Cheney administration, but sure sound like they could have.
Call_Me_Al
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
They could always look at what sectors are grossly more expensive recently. Like, for instance, how much money goes through the US government? A lot more each year? Are we getting value for that extra money? Is this also true of other countries?
kiers
kiers
4 years ago
US gov saw fit to create inflation during a deadly pandemic!  Econ 101.  Wisdom.  Life taking Pandemic = inflation.  Sure.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  kiers
The pandemic caused most of the inflation. Current inflation is primarily caused by lack of supply because of covid mandates.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
4 years ago
In a democracy, the mirror is where one will finding the root of most problems. The government is the second place.
BowserB46
BowserB46
4 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
I mostly agree with that statement, except that the number one and number two have swapped places since last January 20.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Very small children, as well as those who for some reason never evolve beyond that stage, always believe all things happen because some villain is mean, baaad, evil etc. Cause and effect, (much less more-actual-real-world-accurate probability modulation…) is simply way beyond their meager capacity for comprehension. So, it’s always some version of someone being mean, when things don’t go they way they, in their little fantasy world, wanted it to go.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
A bearish take by another guy who knows bonds. Offered to stimulate discussion. 
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
An interesting comment about no one wanting to be the bag holder. No one knows where the real bid is without the Fed. 
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Scooot
Who knows, but the floor is the current CPI. Roughly 6%.
Scooot
Scooot
4 years ago
The Fed must be getting worried, the politicians are looking in the wrong direction for now. 
BowserB46
BowserB46
4 years ago
Reply to  Scooot
The fed should be worried.  Their real bosses–Wall Street–have had them under control for twenty years.  Now the standard inflation tool–increased interest rates–can’t be used, because the market will suffer.  Of course, Biden and the congress will all get 2am text messages to alert them before the rate hikes.  If we could watch Pelosi, Schumer and others’ equity trades, we’d know when the rate bumps are imminent. 
Esclaro
Esclaro
4 years ago

The Trump Death Cult was cheering their cult leaders daily executive orders. Now that the shoe is on the other foot they are crying like little bitches! Live by the sword, die by the sword!

vanderlyn
vanderlyn
4 years ago
Reply to  Esclaro
there never was a spit of difference between D and R party past 50 years.    both just 2 sides of a bad penny.   
Billy
Billy
4 years ago
Reply to  vanderlyn
Vanderlyn, you are 100% correct. 
All of the division in this country is created to distract us from the real terrorists. 
Jmurr
Jmurr
4 years ago
Reply to  Esclaro
Actually, we all lose when presidents make dumb decisions. 
BowserB46
BowserB46
4 years ago
Reply to  Jmurr
Or decisions for personal gain or decisions based on instructions from the NWO.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Esclaro
Can you name one member of the Trump death cult who did or does as you describe?
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
So let’s force pension plans to pay 3.1% when bonds earn less than zero. Someone tell me how this idea can possibly work. 
Pensions funds are gonna have to buy bitcoin. No doubt about it . Maybe grab some shares in ARK. I’m sure it’ll work out fine.
#sarc.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Bonds are dead and equity is the only thing left………till it’s not. Can bond yields go down and stay down forever and if not when will the turning point happen?  That is the 20 bitcoin question.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Not the only thing left. There are cryptos, real estate and plenty of other physical assets.
Felix_Mish
Felix_Mish
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
And getting in and out of crypto is easy, whereas real estate and “other physical assets”? Not so much.
So, since the back of the mind is always gonna think, “I’ll get out of this garbage before the crash”, crypto is where the dough will go.  🙂
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
Bonds and equity have direct ties to assets while cryptos do not. The bond and stock markets dwarf all others except for real estate with is deeper but real estate is a wasting asset. You pay yearly taxes to keep it and unless it is raw land you have to spend money for maintanence. If bonds go bad the stock and real estate markets follow like clockwork. 
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
You can buy gold and silver. the argument against them is they don’t generate revenue. The counter argument is they’re difficult to confiscate and the government can’t jack up taxes like they can with real estate.
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
The problem with gold/silver is that pension funds can’t easily move in/out of it unless they are buying ETFs like GLD/SLV because they will be buying billions of dollars at a time. They most definitely can’t take possession of the physical asset because of storage issues.
On the individual level you can of course buy ETF’s or take possession of a reasonable amount (say 100K worth) of physical before storage becomes an issue. But while confiscation isn’t easy, it’s also not easy to sell physical (you are limited to coin dealers essentially) and the government taxes metals as collectables which is a higher rate than stocks/bonds and real estate.
BowserB46
BowserB46
4 years ago
Reply to  TexasTim65
A huge private facility is under construction outside Austin Texas for personal storage of precious metals.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
Less face it; Democrats know all about pork.
vanderlyn
vanderlyn
4 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
let’s face it.   there is only one party.   and we ain’t invited.  
ILHawk
ILHawk
4 years ago

In the article:  “So let’s force pension plans to pay 3.1% when bonds earn less than zero. Someone tell me how this idea can possibly work. “

“I discuss damages caused by the executive orders by Biden, Nixon, Kennedy, Obama, Trump, and FDR. It maddening but it’s far more likely to escalate than stop.”

“That never matters because politicians never learn. “

But, the Vax program is OK.  Lose weight, take precautions and take responsibility for your own health.
ILHawk
ILHawk
4 years ago
Reply to  ILHawk
How is being pro vax any different that people thinking things are great because their 401ks are going up?
Zardoz
Zardoz
4 years ago
We do need to figure out an alternative to the pension casino.  I’d probably be spending quite a bit more if I wasn’t so terrified of ending up in the Medicare wing of som musty rest home. I’m even leas inclined to invest in, well, anything. There’s no truth to be found about investments.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
Go out fighting a pack of wolves in the Alaskan interion in winter. Go out like a man.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
There is only one truth about investments. Investment = Saving = Earnings – Consumption.
……Except: That assumes no theft. Include theft; which is largely all which is left in the US; and you end up with the more currently relevant:
Investment = Savings = Earnings – Consumption – Theft.
Doesn’t exactly take a Fields medal to figure out where that is going, with theft (from debasement and other sources) rising near exponentially every year…..
OTOH, wasting ones life as an illiterate on picking “winners” from series of random numbers, has exactly zero in common with investment whatsoever……
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
There is no alternative because there is no such thing as a free lunch. The demographics don’t support it (too many retirees to workers) nor does continually increasing life spans (more years in retirement). The truth is people either need to work longer and die earlier. The good news is that in a 2-3 decades the demographics problem will fix itself as the boomers all die off.
The best thing for each person to do is save for their own retirement and consider anything they get from the government or a pension to be a bonus.
KidHorn
KidHorn
4 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
What happens to you is largely dependent on your kids or spouse. Once you can no longer make decisions, they’ll legally make them for you and having a lot of money doesn’t guarantee anything. The less spent keeping you alive, the less they inherit.

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