Elon Musk Circus Show Continues, His $44 Billion Offer Back On the Table

The WSJ reports Elon Musk Offers to Buy Twitter for Original $44 Billion Deal Price

Elon Musk’s deal to take Twitter Inc. private for $54.20 a share would increase the social-media company’s interest burden and drive leverage up to nearly nine times adjusted earnings, given the rising costs of borrowing this year and the billions in debt needed to fund the transaction.

Mr. Musk’s most recent funding plan includes $33.5 billion in equity and $13 billion in debt. Analysts have estimated that Twitter’s interest burden would increase to around $850 million annually from $51 million in 2021, which is more than half of the company’s adjusted annual earnings of $1.4 billion in 2021. They also have estimated that the new debt would increase leverage to nearly nine times its annual adjusted earnings, up from the current 3.5 times.

Since some of Twitter’s planned buyout debt is floating rate, Twitter could end up paying even more in annual interest costs as the Federal Reserve has raised rates this year and is expected to do so again in November.

The deal may also test investment banks like Morgan Stanley, Barclays PLC and Bank of America Corp. that signed commitment letters to fund the company’s buyout debt earlier in the year when interest rates were lower.

Musk to Close Deal On Original Terms

SEC Filing

https://twitter.com/TwitterIR/status/1577380758192197632

Paradox

https://twitter.com/5_min_macro/status/1577398514275028992

Every Website Should Be Owned By Its Worst User

Distraction Drama

https://twitter.com/jsrailton/status/1577338252100501504

Musk Hiding Something?

I believe that last Tweet is spot on. There is something in the offer or subsequent documents that Musk does not want the SEC or someone else to see. 

My guess is whatever it is, will come out anyway. Regardless, the word strange does not do justice to this clown show saga.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com

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29 Comments
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Rbm
Rbm
3 years ago
Wealthy people seem to gravitate to media outlets it seems.
It will be interesting when he gets fined for issuing tweets from a company he owns.
Not sure why so many people worship the ground he walks on.
Jackula
Jackula
3 years ago
i think he or somebody he knows came up with an idea to make a gang of money with Twitter. Although I would not want Elon as a friend, he’d be trying to bang the wife and the daughter behind my back, he is a money making machine. I will buy some twit if he goes thru with the deal.
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
Ilan is the richest man in the world. If TSLA start paying dividends TSLA will will pay Ilan and Ilan will finance Twitter.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
… the loss of control over political speech could mean a loss of control over the midterm elections…”
Safe and effective. Free and fair elections.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Crybaby losers
whirlaway
whirlaway
3 years ago
What’s that “got embarrassed on Twitter yesterday by a lot of the Western world” thing about? That Musk proposed a peace plan for Ukraine and that a bunch of blue checkmark warmongering a-holes attacked him for that?

Wow. These days, any attempt at even a discussion about stopping or even slowing the rush towards a catastrophic nuclear war makes you a Russian puppet and is something for a person to be “embarrassed” about? Jeez!

Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  whirlaway

Glorious Soviet Union will be restored soon, comrade!

Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Might be he wants to push that terrible robot demo out of the news
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“I believe that last Tweet is spot on. There is something in the offer or
subsequent documents that Musk does not want the SEC or someone else to
see.”
If only we could see all the secrets, all the world’s governments are hiding.
RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
“Elon Musk Circus Show Continues”
Very appropriate, considering we all live in a circus show. 1984 has never felt so real.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ

1984 was about a circus? I need to go back and read it again…

RonJ
RonJ
3 years ago
Reply to  Zardoz
What’s the latest Gaslighting from the Ministry of Truth? It is a circus show.
Zardoz
Zardoz
3 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
You are a very confused individual.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Don’t care about twitter. Never understood why it was so popular. Doesn’t do anything that couldn’t be easily replicated. Effectively, Musk will simply exchange overvalued Tesla stock for overvalued twitter stock.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
There is no exchange of stock between Tesla and Twitter.
KidHorn
KidHorn
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
That’s why I used the word effectively instead of literally.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  KidHorn
Even effectively there is no exchange. He is using stock as collateral for a loan only.
spasidechats
spasidechats
3 years ago
People are saying since the announcement Twitter is deleting bots at an alarming rate. I can’t confirm, don’t use Twitter and don’t follow anyone on Twitter but:

Twitter has now removed 11,000 of my followers in the last hour.

— Catturd ™ (@catturd2) October 4, 2022

Twitter (or possibly someone else) is deleting bots.

I’m sure gonna miss the 9,000+ bot accounts paid to instantly react to every tweet with some garbage comment about the INSHUREKSHUN

— Julie Kelly (@julie_kelly2) October 4, 2022

Maybe that was the play to expose the bots and file a lawsuit?
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
I am not a Musk fan, yet I have high respect for entrepreneurial genius. Obviously, Starlink will play a big role in global communications. And Musk has talked about making Twitter the ‘app’, by expanding functionality and open sourcing, with a commitment to free speech and access to information (see the private texts). This would clobber the competition.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
“There is something in the offer or subsequent documents that Musk does not want the SEC or someone else to see.”
That would be a powerful incentive for sure but is totally unverifiable. One must remember that Musk is not a hedge fund manager nor a private equity investor out to stroke his ego. He is a hard-nosed businessman who saw value in Twitter when he made the offer and perhaps now having seen the books in detail still sees good potential. Granted he and his co-investors would have preferred a lower price but that can come only after a lengthily court battle but they would have lost a lot of time.
Perhaps there was a catalyst, an event or events that suddenly made Twitter more valuable than before. Perhaps a possible ban on Tic Tok in the US and Europe would leave open a valuable and lucrative niche for example or maybe something else that is evident to Musk’s backers but not yet evident to us on the outside. We know they talk a lot among themselves and that his friends in this are not by any measure stupid so I must conclude that they have finalized their plans for Twitter and see no reason to wait.
Jackula
Jackula
3 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Appreciate the thoughtful analysis, food for thought.
8dots
8dots
3 years ago
After losing money for years Tesla was profitable for the first time in 2021. TSLA was down from 400 to 200/share in 2022.
Ilan is paying lawyers high dividends. If TSLA pay 3% dividend/y to Twitter instead of his 1 billion share holders and TSLA
rise back to 400 : 1B shares x 0.03 x $400/share = $12B/year. Within four years Twitter is covered.
Doug78
Doug78
3 years ago
Reply to  8dots
Tesla is not the one buying Twitter so Tesla will not be paying any dividends to Twitter.
Maximus_Minimus
Maximus_Minimus
3 years ago
Still better deal for pension funds than buy derivatives on margin!
JackWebb
JackWebb
3 years ago
It’s a toenail clipping. Starlink is going to make him into a multi-trillionaire.
Carl_R
Carl_R
3 years ago
I don’t think this is complicated. I think Musk realized he was destined to lose in court, and that he was eventually going to have to honor his original offer, and his attorneys advised him to not waste the money for litigation, and just pay up. Unlike some other people, who will litigate anything and everything, hoping to delay perpetually and avoid the consequences of their actions, Musk is no fool, and cut his losses.
Six000mileyear
Six000mileyear
3 years ago
The deal makes no financial sense. One gamble I see is a possible short squeeze, but only 4.5% of the float was shorted.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
3 years ago
Reply to  Six000mileyear
Think ahead,
when a large share of global communications goes through Starlink,
when people want more freedom of speech,
when facebook and google etc are replaced by One App
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
3 years ago
Reply to  Captain Ahab
Why would anyone send anything through Starlink if they don’t have to?
Terrestrial internet via fiber cable is orders of magnitude faster than sending to low earth satellites and back and there are lots of buried fiber cables and more coming all the time.
Starlink is only useful for rural people who have no other options.

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