How Do We Lower the Trade Tensions Between the U.S. and Canada?

Commerce Secretary Lutnick says he seeks to “lower the temperature” between the U.S. and Canada. I have a suggestion.

“Nothing Will Stop Metals Tariffs”

Reuters reports US Commerce Chief Says Nothing Will Stop Metals Tariffs, Will Add Copper Protections

U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said nothing would stop President Donald Trump’s expanded 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum until U.S. domestic production is strengthened, and that Trump will add copper to his trade protections.

Lutnick also told Fox Business Network that a meeting that he plans to hold with Ontario Premier Doug Ford will seek to “lower the temperature” between the U.S. and Canada, but he will wait for Mark Carney to be fully installed as Canadian prime minister to negotiate on trade on a national level.

EU, Canada Retaliate

Yesterday, the clueless bragged Canada bowed down. Today, reality sets in.

Please note Trump Threatens Further Tariffs as EU, Canada Retaliate for Those Already in Place.

Donald Trump threatened on Wednesday to escalate a global trade war with further tariffs on European Union goods, as major U.S. trading partners said they would retaliate for trade barriers already erected by the U.S. president.

Just hours after Trump’s 25% duties on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports took effect, Trump said he would impose additional penalties if the EU follows through with its plan to enact counter tariffs on some U.S. goods next month. “Whatever they charge us, we’re charging them,” Trump told reporters at the White House.

Canada, the biggest foreign supplier of steel and aluminum to the United States, announced 25% retaliatory tariffs on those metals along with computers, sports equipment and other products worth $20 billion in total. Canada has already imposed tariffs worth a similar amount on U.S. goods in response to broader tariffs by Trump.

“We will not stand idly by while our iconic steel and aluminum industries are being unfairly targeted,” Canada’s Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc said.

EU Less Exposed

The 27 countries of the European Union are less exposed, as only a “small fraction” of targeted products are exported to the United States, according to Germany’s Kiel Institute.

The EU’s counter-measures, due to take effect next month, would target up to $28 billion worth of U.S. goods like dental floss, diamonds, bathrobes and bourbon – which likewise account for a small portion of the giant EU-U.S. commercial relationship. Still, the liquor industry warned they would be “devastating” on its sector.

At the White House, Trump said he would “of course” respond with further tariffs if the EU followed through on its plan. With Irish Prime Minister Micheal Martin at his side, Trump criticized the EU member country for luring away U.S. pharmaceutical companies.

China’s foreign ministry said Beijing would safeguard its interests, while Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said the move could have a major impact on U.S.-Japan economic ties.

“We are in a trade war and when a trade war begins, it tends to sustain itself and feed itself,” Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury said on French television.

Frayed Relations With Canada

The escalation of the U.S.-Canada trade war occurred as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau prepares to hand over power to his successor Mark Carney, who won the leadership race of the ruling Liberals last weekend.

“I’m ready to sit down with President Trump at the appropriate time, under a position where there’s respect for Canadian sovereignty and we’re working for a common approach,” Carney said while touring a steel plant in Ontario.
Other Canadian officials are due to meet with U.S. officials in Washington on Thursday.

The U.S. national anthem has been booed at hockey games and some stores removed U.S. products from their shelves, even before the duties took effect. Travelers are steering clear of the United States, with bookings down 20% from a year ago.

Canadian Energy Minister Jonathan Wilkinson told Reuters that Canada could impose non-tariff measures such as restricting oil exports to the U.S. or levying export duties on minerals if U.S. tariffs persist.

Conflicting Agenda

  1. Lutnick said nothing would stop President Donald Trump’s expanded 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum.
  2. Lutnick seeks to “lower the temperature” between the U.S. and Canada, but he will wait for Mark Carney to be fully installed as Canadian prime minister.
  3. Carney says “I’m ready to sit down with President Trump at the appropriate time, under a position where there’s respect for Canadian sovereignty and we’re working for a common approach.”
  4. Canadian Energy Minister said Canada could impose non-tariff measures such as restricting oil exports to the U.S. or levying export duties on minerals if U.S. tariffs persist.

One of those items does not fit. Can you figure it out?

Mish Suggestion

Dear Mr. Lutnick, stop being a dense idiot. You can’t lower trade tensions by putting tariffs on the world and threatening everybody.

As one reader noted, the easiest way to stop being a dense idiot is to honor the “greatest trade deal in history” personally negotiated by Trump.

Moreover, I advise Lutnick to review trade math to see just how silly he sounds with his statement “We’re going to make the External Revenue Service replace the Internal Revenue Service.

For discussion, please see Lutnick Says Tariffs Can Eliminate the IRS and Balance the Budget

To do what Lutnick suggests, we would need to faithfully collect 200 percent tariffs on everything, with of no trade frictions, no retaliations, full compliance, and no cutback in imports.

Actually, it’s even more ridiculous due to conflicting goals. Click on the link for details.

Also note Trump’s Tariffs Will Increase the Cost of a Pickup Truck by $8,000.

We define that as “winning”.

Finally, please note Cheese Was a “Key Achievement” of Trump’s USMCA Trade Agreement

Trump is complaining about Canada’s cheese tariffs. In 2018, he was bragging about cheese.

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47 Comments
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EADOman
EADOman
9 months ago

To answer your question, how about the US just abide by the greatest trade deal in the history of mankind, the USMCA, negotiated by and signed by Trump.

Snowflakeplower
Snowflakeplower
9 months ago
Reply to  EADOman

I say don’t lower trade rhetoric. Ramp them up. America wins trade war by default and the massive Trade imbalance we win again. Make trade equal on both sides of the border and all tariffs go away. Canada screws america on trade but not any more.

Last edited 9 months ago by Snowflakeplower
Michael Engel
Michael Engel
9 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

USD/CAD is up since mid Feb

JayW
JayW
9 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Says WHO? The guy who spent 2 years yammering constantly that the USA was in a recession.

Tariffs have a purpose. You know this but don’t agree that the means justify the end. That’s fine. You’re allowed to have your opinion. And let’s stress the opinion part very strongly. But you run around calling everyone economically illiterate & idiots, but when I used the word idiot in the same sentence with your name several months back, you sent me a personal e-mail and put me on notice to stop.

Why don’t you show your readers who make you a lot of money the same level of respect?

Why not say something like:

“I disagree with your premise that tariffs are good for our economy & trade, so in about 6 months or less, we’ll know who’s right.”

realityczech
realityczech
9 months ago
Reply to  EADOman

You read USMCA? Or are you taking the word of people you agree with at face value? Because no one here read that agreement, likely including the people that signed it. Best guess is that lobbyists from each country wrote it, got the politicians to sign it and whether it’s a great deal for cotton farmers in Arizona and a rotten deal for apple growers in Washington… no one knows except for the lobbyists.

I do know that our corrupt government just bent Mexico (and us) over a bicycle rack on the GMO corn issue because our government – at least as far as agro is concerned – is run by Monsanto parasites.

Bayleaf
Bayleaf
9 months ago
Reply to  EADOman

How about making them the 51st state?

Blacklisted
Blacklisted
9 months ago

End ALL tariffs.

john smith the third
john smith the third
9 months ago

Trump wants to annex Canada through economic coercion. He has plainly said this many times, and thus far he has dutifully stuck to his campaign promises, so let’s take the orange man at his word.

AndyM
AndyM
9 months ago

Lutnick is not a dense idiot: he is a greedy billionaire. He and Bessent only care about the huge tax cuts for rich people. He wants tariffs so that common folks pay all the taxes.

KGB
KGB
9 months ago

Why would we want to lower trade tensions with Canada? Canada can balance trade or suffer.

JayW
JayW
9 months ago
Reply to  KGB

Because you’re “economically illiterate” ; )

Or you’re not part of the MAGA crowd who’s willing to go to great lengths to do things differently than in the past so that this new path forward helps America grow stronger across a broad range on measures.

Moi
Moi
9 months ago

All of these Tariffs and their potential impact on Airplane manufacturing. The worst case scenario, 787 cost increases 40 million dollars, that seems pretty high? If that number is anywhere close to accurate that would pretty much guarantee AirBus would take a very large chunk of business away from Boeing. These Tariffs could definitely make US manufacturers less competitive on the World Stage.

https://youtu.be/YbPWery3vbg?si=0t0SZT-LZ_dZ6yOE

Tom
Tom
9 months ago
Reply to  Moi

Give this man a cigar!
This will play out on more commodities – anywhere there is an international competitor there is a good chance that their supply chain will fare better than ours.

Dark Artist
Dark Artist
9 months ago

Canada, whose products are known for quality and durability, cannot play its anointed role in the automotive supply chain (with great companies like Magna) if it’s being hamstrung by its American patron.

America does better to view itself as a PATRON than to view itself as an OVERWHELMED COMPETITOR. The U.S. has priced itself out of a number of markets, incurring the wrath of the economic gods and ensuring that it will not get back in easily (see the demise of American TV set makers like Zenith).

Canada has a few cards up its sleeve, most of which are related to the native sympathy Americans feel for it. Rather than get all blustery and “tough,” the northern nation can play on the feelings common Americans have for it. They have cousins in Canada. They go there to fish and hunt. They fight wars side by side as brothers. Surely something in all this mitigates the dollars-and-cents basics of the Trump approach.

—-

You can read more of my writings by visiting: dark . sport. blog — on the net!

Bayleaf
Bayleaf
9 months ago

Idk, make them the 51st state?

Andre
Andre
9 months ago

how about both sides, unilaterally, remove all tariffs, new and those that existed before this trade war?

PapaDave
PapaDave
9 months ago

Lutnick wants to lower the tensions with Canada. Lol!

That’s not what Trump wants. He wants to bully, insult and offend as many Canadians as possible.

Call them the 51st state. Say that he wants to destroy their economy until they beg to join the US. Talk about changing the border as its drawn. Call their prime minister Governor. Say that Canada has “nothing” that the US needs. Tell Canadians as a whole that they are responsible for deliberately sending fentanyl across the border to kill US citizens. Require them to “register” if they plan on visiting the US for longer than 30 days. Say he wants to close all Canadian auto plants because they were “stolen” from the US. And so on.

There is nothing Lutnick can do the appease Canadians now. The average Canadian is pissed off and vowing to stop buying American products and stop travelling to the US.

In the coming elwction campaign, both Carney and Pollievre will be trying to outdo each other in how to fight back against Trump and America.

What a show!

Stu
Stu
9 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

Could Trump be playing the long game here, with Canada? Sort of like He did with Ukraine / Zelensky! If some things don’t change drastically in Canada, then next Winter could be an incredibly bad one. Like Ukraine, those in charge are not hearing the “Core Citizens” (think Truckers etc.), and it may cost them dearly. If Trump is, then a much larger % may be willing to go along with His notions down the line, when it truly matters.
Not saying it will work, or it’s going to happen, but when it looks like a … I see a chess match with both Canada and Greenland. I think Trump would much prefer Greenland, and this may be the way to get there perhaps. If it doesn’t look like it will work, but Canada has fallen on there faces, then maybe Canada comes running, and Trump goes in that direction. Never underestimate Trumps motives, underneath the surface bluster…
I strongly suspect it’s an ultimate play for Greenland myself…

PapaDave
PapaDave
9 months ago
Reply to  Stu

Long game? Hahahahaha!

Trump changes his mind every 3 minutes!

The only thing he is consistent with is his bullying and insults. Which isn’t going to win over many Canadians.

Stu
Stu
9 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

You need to analyze Trumps behavior more I do believe. He very rarely says something He isn’t serious about. When He does, there is a motivation behind it, and everything He does quite frankly. He works the moment, while also working the end game, and combines them when He can, and changes up when He can’t.

Once He can show Greenland, what He will offer Canada, but they have first choice, Greenland May say OK, that sounds great, and we are all in, or not, but Nobody Knows Yet! Not even Trump.

This is the Long Game, and Trump plays it better than anyone in Politics, and maybe ever…

JayW
JayW
9 months ago
Reply to  Stu

I wouldn’t say he’s all hyperbole but he certainly exaggerates quite a bit. AND THE THING IS THAT WE ALL KNOW THIS. But what it comes down to is that same old thing Trump issue:

Some people want him to be more presidential which isn’t going to happen. So in addition to disagreeing with his policies, they hate his mouth. Both are fine, but neither are going to change.

Their side lost big time, and now it’s our turn now to run the country. But we have to accept that they’re going to bash Trump just like we did that old senile guy who broke laws by selling his name for money through his loser son. Oh, and he spent almost half of his time in office on vacation and chose the worst VP of any president in US history just to satisfy a DEI requirement in the Dem party.

Jack
Jack
9 months ago
Reply to  Stu

Are you talking about a US play for Greenland, or. Chinese play for Taiwan? Wait, or. a Russian play for Ukraine, or a US play for Canada?

So many plays to grab land it hard to keep track. Looks like Trump is trying to lead the authoritarian pack.

Stu
Stu
9 months ago
Reply to  Jack

Trump hasn’t got caught up in any of that BS. Trump wants Peace in Ukraine and has from the start. He will get it, because Putin equally wants Peace for nearly the exact same reasons.
Trump would like Greenland for all sorts of strategic reasons, and far more important than Canada IMO! If Canada doesn’t want to play ball, then Greenland may, and it may be there last chance at it, and especially if they say No now.

Rinky Stingpiece
Rinky Stingpiece
9 months ago
Reply to  PapaDave

All of that may or may not be true, but Canada has rather taken its status for granted.

Albert
Albert
9 months ago

What is clear is that tariffs are a tax on imports paid by Americans and that allowing a president completely discretionary use of tariffs creates a hotbed of corruption. If Congress would have any spine left, given the damage already done, it would take away from Trump the ability to do more damage on the tariff front. And Congress clearly has the power and the obligation to restrain an out-of-kilter president.

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
9 months ago

When Trudeau does his end around by annexing his father’s island of Cuba, it will make the trade war fizzle into history.

When the New England Yankees start belly crawling through the sugar maple forest of canada, punching holes in the collection buckets and stirring unrest among the natives, the dark side of simmering tensions along the border will be revealed.

Valium will be added to Canadian Maple Syrup to quiet the natives. It will be a long hot summer, with Canadians sending packages to the White House C.O.D. in protest. Good manners will be tested.

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
9 months ago

S. Korea export to the US cars, SUV, tractors, trucks, machinery, cell phones, electronics… We are #2 after China. US/ S. Korea balance of trade is in the red. They imposed high tariffs on us and every other country since the sixties after adopting Friedrich List policies 1848. Trump is waiting for a new gov. The USD/KRW is in trading range since Dec 2024. SK is a standing target. They will not escape. First straighten up Mexico and Canada thereafter SK. Trump will hit SK with reciprocal tariffs to reduce their high tariffs. KIA has one assembly plant in GA. Hyundai has one plant in Alabama. SK might build more plants in the US. In the next decade small satellites co will serve their hubs and other co hubs. The industrial sector will explode.

Last edited 9 months ago by Michael Engel
Augustine
Augustine
9 months ago

That’s akin to brokering a cease fire between warring sides by arming and supporting one side.

Lisa_Hooker
Lisa_Hooker
9 months ago

Simple.
Buy many, many cases of Canadian Club, and lots and lots of Labatts.
It’s for the children.

TEF
TEF
9 months ago

Re-industrialization of the US is a worthy goal; tariffs in the current interconnected North American economy are the wrong tool – Smoot-Hawley 1930. 19 Feb 2025 was the peak valuation for the SPX as 3 Sept 1929 was for the DJIA.

Webej
Webej
9 months ago

The WAR in trade war is the operative word and is not a metaphor.

In a war, escalation often helps you win, unless you misgauge and increase the damage exponentially.

Under this logic, why not 1000% tariffs, or 100000000% ?
That would sooner fill the coffers of the ERA, no ?

Delusion Donald thinks the rest of the world understands that a trade war is fair since they have been abusing the poor US all this time, being subsidized by the hundreds of billions of dollar in the trade deficit. Talk about believing 3 impossible things before breakfast.

Voodoo Economics
Voodoo Economics
9 months ago

How Do We Lower the Trade Tensions Between the U.S. and Canada?

Easy. Just lie to Trump and tell him we have tariff’ed all countries per his request. How would he even know ?

Last edited 9 months ago by Voodoo Economics
Rinky Stingpiece
Rinky Stingpiece
9 months ago

you actually bothered to edit that inane comment?!

Michael Engel
Michael Engel
9 months ago

Mocking before desperately attacking Trump’s policies. Hakeem zombies cannot take
it anymore. If tomorrow Dia will popup > July high they might attack him on Fri.

Harry
Harry
9 months ago

This administration has axed their own credibility. And here, needing a shift from global left as much as you, we are now likely going to be denied that due to this administration. Stop the foolishness.

P.S. How can the US debt be explained? Do you now have new ultra-fast trains? Beautiful downtowns? Any kind of equality?
Every American I’ve known and worked with has been a positive experience. Very polite people, down south even more so. What am I missing here.

David Heartlandd
David Heartlandd
9 months ago

Does ANYONE believe that Tariffs will NOT lead to Price Inflation pressures?

TEF
TEF
9 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

The coming recession will be associated with outweighing devaluation of all asset classes except currently held US debt instruments

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
9 months ago
Reply to  TEF

I’m long chocolate, been stacking bars in the freezer for the long hot summer.

Deflation,recession,depression, chocolate works on everything.

Blacklisted
Blacklisted
9 months ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

You forgot to include the impact of war, which is always inflationary. The Neocons and Europe will make sure it happens, likely by mid-May before the Polish election(s). They must Article 5 Trump before he tries to exit NATO.

Woodsie Guy
Woodsie Guy
9 months ago

“How Do We Lower the Trade Tensions Between the U.S. and Canada?”

This one is super duper easy…..simply stop being a dick (applies to the US).

Last edited 9 months ago by Woodsie Guy
Irondoor
Irondoor
9 months ago

Have you priced a new truck these days? They are in the $70-$100,000 range for a regular sized one. Another $8,000 isn’t going to make any difference. The manufacturers really screwed up when they put an additional $10-$20,000 “market adjustment” on them back during Covid. Now they’ve price the regular guy out of the market.

David Heartlandd
David Heartlandd
9 months ago
Reply to  Irondoor

There is nothing there that LOANS cannot solve, RIGHT?
😉

heybige
heybige
9 months ago

“Sir, will that be a 15-year or 30-year loan on this gorgeous new F-150? Of course we’ll roll the $32k balance from your previous loan into the new loan! I recommend the 30-year because the payments are much more manageable.”

Gwako Mole
Gwako Mole
9 months ago
Reply to  heybige

soon the monthly payments for the debt will equal the monthly payments for options and services like GPS, heated seats, streaming services and anything else not nailed down.

Microsoft knows, subscriptions are the future, can GM et al be far behind?

Onstar365? please insert credit card to unlock your gas cap door, or glove box…

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