Musk like to promise things he has no chance of delivering in the time frame he claims. Here is a denial of something that is underway.
Elon Musk’s xAI to Raise $3 Billion
The Wall Street Journal reports Investors in Talks to Help Elon Musk’s xAI Raise $3 Billion, Adding to Industry Arms Race
Investors close to Elon Musk are in talks to help xAI raise $3 billion in a round that would value the tycoon’s artificial-intelligence startup at $18 billion, people familiar with the matter said.
The venture-capital firm Gigafund and Steve Jurvetson, a prominent Musk backer and co-founder of another venture firm, are among the backers considering investing in the round, the people said.
Jurvetson is a longtime Musk friend who sits on the board of his rocket company, SpaceX, and was a director at Tesla until 2020. Gigafund was co-founded by Luke Nosek, also a SpaceX director, who like Musk is a member of the “PayPal mafia” group that started the payments company. Musk and Nosek together once tried to buy DeepMind, the AI company that is now part of Google.
The proposed fundraising marks another escalation in the artificial-intelligence arms race. Leading AI startups have raised billions of dollars in recent years to fund the computing resources needed to train advanced large language models, the technology powering generative AI chatbots.
ChatGPT-creator OpenAI has secured $13 billion in committed funding from Microsoft, while its rival, Anthropic, raised over $6 billion.
With xAI, Musk has been playing catch-up with his more well-funded rivals. He launched xAI publicly in July, making some investors skeptical that it has enough time to compete with other leading AI firms. The startup released its chatbot, Grok, in November and made it available to subscribers on his social-media platform, X. Last month, xAI introduced its latest AI model, called Grok-1.5, and said it would soon be available to early testers and existing Grok users.
A December securities filing showed that xAI was looking to raise $1 billion and had already secured nearly $135 million from four investors. It couldn’t be determined if that fundraising is a part of the current negotiations.
Musk filed in December a plan to raise $1 billion then he denied that in January.
I fail to understand What Musk thinks he gains by such maneuvers. In the early years, OK. But what kind of trust does this inspire now?
Is xAI Nonprofit?
Musk co-founded OpenAI as a nonprofit research lab in 2015 with its current CEO, Sam Altman, but left that company several years later after a dispute over control. Tensions between the two men spilled into the open recently when Musk sued OpenAI and Altman, alleging that they had abandoned OpenAI’s initial mission in pursuit of profit.
Musk Lawsuit Over OpenAI
On February 29, 2024 Musk Filed a Lawsuit on Open AI.
I find the lawsuit humorous. Here are some snips, emphasis mine.
Mr. Musk has long recognized that AGI [artificial general intelligence] poses a grave threat to humanity—perhaps the greatest existential threat we face today. His concerns mirrored those raised before him by luminaries like Stephen Hawking and Sun Microsystems founder Bill Joy. Our entire economy is based around the fact that humans work together and come up with the best solutions to a hard task. If a machine can solve nearly any task better than we can, that machine becomes more economically useful than we are. As Mr. Joy warned, with strong AGI, “the future doesn’t need us.” Mr. Musk publicly called for a variety of measures to address the dangers of AGI, from voluntary moratoria to regulation, but his calls largely fell on deaf ears.
Mr. Altman approached Mr. Musk with a proposal: that they join forces to form a non-profit AI lab that would try to catch up to Google in the race for AGI, but it would be the opposite of Google. Together with Mr. Brockman, the three agreed that this new lab: (a) would be a nonprofit developing AGI for the benefit of humanity, not for a for-profit company seeking to maximize shareholder profits; and (b) would be open-source, balancing only countervailing safety considerations, and would not keep its technology closed and secret for proprietary commercial reasons (The “Founding Agreement”). Reflecting the Founding Agreement, Mr. Musk named this new AI lab “OpenAI,” which would compete with, and serve as a vital counterbalance to, Google/DeepMind in the race for AGI, but would do so to benefit humanity, not the shareholders of a private, for-profit company (much less one of the largest technology companies in the world).
Mr. Musk became increasingly concerned about the potential of AI to become super-intelligent, surpass human intelligence, and threaten humanity.
OpenAI, Inc. was publicly announced on December 11, 2015. In the announcement, Mr. Musk and Mr. Altman were named as co-chairs and Mr. Brockman was named as the CTO. The announcement emphasized that OpenAI was designed to “benefit humanity,” and its research would be “free from financial obligation”: OpenAI is a non-profit artificial intelligence research company. Our goal is to advance digital intelligence in the way that is most likely to benefit humanity as a whole, unconstrained by a need to generate financial return. Since our research is free from financial obligations, we can better focus on a positive human impact.
While OpenAI, Inc. was once a pioneer of safe, responsible development of AGI based on open communication with the public, it has now shut its doors, brought the biggest investor of its for-profit subsidiary onto a Board which owes its only fiduciary duty to humanity, and continues in secrecy towards a profit-centric future with possible calamitous implications for humanity. Mr. Musk founded and funded OpenAI, Inc. with Mr. Altman and Mr. Brockman in exchange for and relying on the Founding Agreement to ensure that AGI would benefit humanity, not for-profit corporations. As events turned out in 2023, his contributions to OpenAI, Inc. have been twisted to benefit the Defendants and the biggest company in the world. This was a stark betrayal of the Founding Agreement, turning that Agreement on its head and perverting OpenAI, Inc.’s mission.
Imagine donating to a non-profit whose asserted mission is to protect the Amazon rainforest, but then the non-profit creates a for-profit Amazonian logging company that uses the fruits of the donations to clear the rainforest. That is the story of OpenAI, Inc.
Legal Remedies
The lawsuit accuses the defendants of “unfair and improper practices”.
It requests an “order requiring that Defendants continue to follow OpenAI’s longstanding practice of making AI research and technology developed at OpenAI available to the public.”
It also requests “An order prohibiting Defendants from utilizing OpenAI, Inc. or its assets
for the financial benefit of the individual Defendants, Microsoft, or any other particular person or entity.”
Musk demands a trial by jury and seeks “pre-judgment and post-judgment interest at the maximum legal rate.”
Meanwhile, Musk is raising bullions of dollars for xAI, hoping for an $18 billion evaluation.
If there is no financial benefit, why would investors contribute a dime?
Reuters Reports Tesla to Scrap $25,000 Entry EV, Musk Cries Liar
Yesterday, I reported Reuters Reports Tesla to Scrap $25,000 Entry EV, Musk Cries Liar
In summation, the Reuters article was very detailed and specific. The article claimed Musk would drop his decades-long promise to develop an entry-level EV for under $25,000, and instead concentrate on a “robotaxi”.
The Reuters article noted four confirming, but unnamed sources, citing an internal Tesla meeting. If Reuters mentioned the names, the persons would have been fired.
Musk fired back “Liar” with no other details.
Liar
Minutes later, Musk Tweeted that he would announce his plans for a robotaxi on August 8.
Tesla’s Deliveries Drop for First Time Since 2020, It’s Demand Not Supply
On April 2, I commented Tesla’s Deliveries Drop for First Time Since 2020, It’s Demand Not Supply
RoboTaxi Zero Chance
Tesla has the worst autonomous driving capabilities around. I will do a separate report on where the technology stands.
Meanwhile, I await Musk’s August 8 robotaxi announcement. Expect to be underwhelmed and overpromised. A Tesla robotaxi is not close to being ready. Waymo is here and now.
It’s a Cult
The number of people standing up for Musk on Twitter with belief in the robotaxi speaks of cult-like allegiance.
I consider Musk a genius. But at best he overpromises and underdelivers for years on end, especially with autonomous driving, but also semis, the M2, and the cybertruck.
I did intend to write more on robotaxis, and will do so. This article on xAI came first.
I ask again, for all of Musk’s moaning about nonprofits, is Musk raising money to make a profit or not?
Perhaps Musk envisions himself as the only person who can save humanity while making a profit on AI, and without destroying the world in the process.
xAI is going nowhere. It is too far behind. Just don’t tell any member of the cult.


@mish – in what fields do you consider Musk genius?
I see much more similarities with the actor / celebrity personalities and Elon compared to Elon and other executives / innovators. What do you think?
SpaceX
Tesla
Paypal
When I dived into details of Musk’s intervention in Tesla and Paypal, I am very skeptical of his genius. E. g. I went over the old newspaper articles, old threads from the Tesla fans web forum (from the period Musk was taking over), wiki, and its sources, my subjective feeling is very mixed with him. I consider him a genius in hype and populism, master of engineering a public personal image (there I am confused what I see in recent months…). Therefore I see him more as an actor than an innovator. If he could run for a US President, I would not be surprised if he succeeded 🙂 .
Also, the messages published by Delaware Court of Chancery during the Twitter trial were very interesting reading, but I missed the deep strategic thoughts in them, I was shocked, by how the big investment decisions are made.
However, the SpaceX is still the outlier for me. Musk funded it and it seems really successful and he is still closely involved as an executive.
Now I am closely watching the present Tesla story, as I selected it as my short position speculation.
Finally, thanks for your blog, I really appreciate it and read it regularly. Also sorry for my English as I am not a native speaker (I surprisingly found my homeland – Slovakia as a topic of your recent article).
Surprise, surprise: Paper salesmen are hawking paper. Wow!
A couple of points to consider here. 1) With innovation there is typically a lot of failure along the way; the home runs and longevity are what matters. 2) First Mover Advantage doesn’t seem to be in play on ai; and Google’s ai roll-out disaster was just the latest ai debacle of many. 3) There is a tremendous amount of controversy with ai; none of the ai platforms being released have been scandal-free. 4) The generative ai platforms like Midjourney, Stable Diffusion, and DALL-E 3 are all groundbreaking and amazingly good; DALL-E 3 is completely free right now on Bing.com; graphic designers are probably doomed.
IT is now hard to imagine an A.I. Moment, in the future with an AUTOMATION CENTRAL AUTHORITY – – ruling over Humanity – – that WILL decide that we are not needed and are a threat to Earth.
The Central Intelligent A.I. authority could simply observe what we have BECOME, a danger to ourselves and to end the MISERY: IT ENDS US!
Not many talk about what AI means. That it has been around for some time. How do robots find a joint between two parts to make a weld? How does a printed circuit robot find a place where to stick on a solid component. And so on…
Image processing.
But as soon as the subject moves to general population, suddenly an explosion of hype. It is no doubt potentially very dangerous problem.
What if the database that Google stores on every individual feed into AI? Suddenly, you don’t have any privacy or secrets.
This might be what Musk has in mind.
Waymo, owned by Google, will guarantee your privacy when you are in the car. Honest, you can trust them.
Pretty sure GMs Onstar is already selling you information to all sorts of vendors. I’m sure the insurance companies are major customers.
Did I mention speech recognition and synthesis? You know, Musk talking with the voice of Joe Biden?
Any chance we can fix natural stupidity before we try Artificial Intelligence?
I second this…
I wonder what Mish thinks of the judge in Delaware that canceled Musk’s compensation package with a stroke of a pen. Myself, I would see that as much more significant than some over-promising on products or getting AI financing because it impacts the health of the whole high-tech industry in the country.
Elon is edging into unstable genius territory.
like Howard Hughes?
Fortunately today’s AI hype is nothing at all like the Internet company hype in 1998.
Bullseye
Nothing is new under the sun. The best parts of Lost In Space were The Robot and Dr. Smith tormenting each other.
Please don’t bring up the worst sci-fi movie ever.
If the AI that prevails mirrors the personality of its creator then which one would you hope will win?
Is ‘None of them’ a valid answer?
Nope.
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal – Superintelligent (smbc-comics.com)
Musk overpromised on hyperloop.
AI is not intelligence at all, but I must admit it’s looking a lot smarter than very many people at the current rate of dumb down.
Musk has the attention span of a 3-year old. Robo taxis, AI, SpaceX. Hey, Elon. Why don’t you make Teslas reliable first before trying to do something else?
You got that right.