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New Home Sales Badly Miss Expectations With Negative Revisions As Well

Econoday economists expected new home sales for April to come in at a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate of 955,000. Instead home sale came it at 854,000 badly missing expectations. 

In addition, the March monster month of 1.021 million was revised lower to 917,000.

These are good numbers but much weaker than expected and reported. They are also headed in the wrong direction. 

Economic Data is Weakening on Four Fronts

Om May 21, I reported Economic Data is Weakening on Four Fronts

Retail sales and Jobs badly missed expectations as did existing home sales and housing starts.

We can add new home sales to the list of weakening reports.  

Weakening does not mean weak, yet.

But given the massive amount of stimulus, including paying people more to be unemployed than they made employed, the trends need a sober look.

Spot the Change

Mish

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6 Comments
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numike
numike
5 years ago
Help
wanted at candy store. No complainers, know-it-alls, whiners, sloths,
manipulators, roamers, hiders, shirkers, liars, haters, clock watchers,
controllers, passive aggressors, pukers, or splitters https://www.indystar.com/story/news/local/2021/05/25/anderson-candy-shop-apologizes-for-controversy-but-not-for-job-posting/7427173002/?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark
PostCambrian
PostCambrian
5 years ago
I am just waiting for it to pop. Where I live I am finally starting to see a few price reductions on Zillow.  Of course they were asking totally ridiculous amounts and lowered the asking price $10k on a $1.1MM house.
QTPie
QTPie
5 years ago
It’s absolutely incredible, if not reckless, that the Fed is still buying MBSs in this kind of environment given that it is obvious that the real estate market does not require any assistance. On the contrary, a cooling off is needed to allow prices to stabilize but the Fed is doing the opposite.
Tengen
Tengen
5 years ago
Hearing strange things back home in Ohio, that all houses are selling immediately for asking price or above. There is no economic justification for this and the area has been slowly deteriorating my whole life. Heard another similar anecdote in rural MN this week.
To me this looks worse than the 2007-08 housing bubble if the plains states are along for the ride this time.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
5 years ago
Still waiting for my last stimulus check, the so-called EIDL grant from SBA, maybe $15K of free money…..the portal says  “in progress”.  The SBA does not get in a hurry. They were slow last year.
I can’t get too excited one way or another about the housing numbers….it’s getting the credit for gold breaking out today, but I still think the dollar drop is what’s more important. Gold moved again when the DXY printed a big red candle while I was out for lunch. But I would note that the January low has not been taken out. Until then, I’m agnostic on the dollar and gold. It could happen any time.
Housing has been so hot that it had to weaken…..nothing just keeps going up and going up. I’m glad housing is cooling off…I don’t want to sell yet, and I don’t want to see a blow-off top in RE that might signal the onset of a down cycle that could last years and take out a lot of equity on a pendulum swing back the other way from where we’ve been going.
Zardoz
Zardoz
5 years ago
I’ve been looking… there is just nothing to buy.  Plenty of buyers though.

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