Don’t Miss a Post. Subscribe now.

Personal Income Shows No Sustainable Progress Since April of 2020

Last Friday, the BEA released its Personal Income and Outlays report for August.

Nominal Stats

  • Personal Income: +0.2% from July
  • Disposable Personal Income: +0.1% since July
  • Spending rose 0.8% following a 0.1% decline in July.

Inflation Adjusted Stats

  • Real Disposable Personal Income: -0.3% since July
  • Real Spending rose 0.4% following a 0.5% decline in July.

Income Flatlines

Three rounds of fiscal stimulus, easily visible in the top line of the chart have kept personal income intact throughout the entire pandemic. 

Personal Current Transfer Receipts (PCTR) remains elevated since April of 2020. 

PCTR includes food stamps, three rounds of Covid stimulus, federal pandemic unemployment benefits and other social handouts. 

Real (inflation adjusted) income and real spending are well below the nominal numbers as inflation takes a toll. 

Thanks for Tuning In

Like these reports? If so, please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Comments to this post are now closed.

16 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Greenmountain
Greenmountain
4 years ago
Based on these data points, I am confused.  It appears that demand for goods is up as people again are willing to borrow to buy, but does not indicate spending is so high to cause the continuing supply change problems and overall shortages, ie, energy in China, labor shortages. high prices  Seems like we shut down the whole system and we reopened the pieces no longer fit.  
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
OT….social media continues to motivate right wing idiots to commit acts of violence….a local case.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
People do strange things for reasons that hard hard to fathom.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
Since the success of January 6th, these people and groups have become more and not less organized. Kicking them off mainstream social media groups has actually allowed them to hide more and organize in quiet. They were spurred on by Trump after his cries of election fraud.  The bigger organizer of these groups prior and after January 6th has been Steve Bannon.  Bannon now openly advocates the overthrow of most government should the next MAGA candidate get in power in 2024.
RonJ
RonJ
4 years ago
You are aware of the 57,000 disputed votes in Maricopa County Arizona, are you not? Democrats have been trying to obstruct forensic audits in various states. What is they are trying to hide?
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
Biden got more votes after the cyber ninjas audit. 
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  RonJ
You can keep auditing but the vast majority of claims are false.  Tossing out a few ballots doesnt mean you get to claim an election is fraudulent.  In your wet dreams is where Biden lost. Your bed is very wet.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago

It’s the new strategy of Newsweek that they started last
year. They have lost 60% of their readership and are losing a ton of money and
have been ever since general news magazines were killed by the internet. They
are now mimicking the “hate Republicans” sites that are themselves mimicking
the ‘hate Democrats” sites. It’s a wonderful world we live in where hate
sells so well. By the way does your company work with or for any of these media
groups?

Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
Dont shoot the messenger. The quotes from Bannon are from his podcast.
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago

I was just commenting on Newsweek’s
strategy. It is to use certain content to attract a certain clientele. On the
Right we see the same thing where sites drag through the internet to pick on
something that will excite their clientele and confirm their opinion of the
opposite side.

Talleyrande said that politics is
the cultivation of hate and here we have the exhibition of cultivating hate.
Nothing is new under the sun. Hate and Fear sell better than anything else. I
remember a time when the fear was that the population would become so sedated
and conformist that civilization would fall from indifference. The opposite
happened. People became passionate about the future. It’s not much fun but I
prefer that to indifference and meaninglessness.

Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Doug78
This thread isnt about newsweek. The source is Bannon himself. 
Doug78
Doug78
4 years ago
Nobody is interested in Bannon anymore except Newsweek and their much reduced readership. Even the press on the Right hardly mentions him.
Casual_Observer2020
Casual_Observer2020
4 years ago
Reply to  Eddie_T
TexasTim65
TexasTim65
4 years ago
Mish, were you expecting to see any growth in personal income?
Unless there is an actual increase in productivity (not printed money) there should be no growth in personal income. After all the pie isn’t growing any larger so how can there be growth in personal income? Now some people will see increase and some decreases obviously but overall it should be a net zero unless there is a productivity increase.
Eddie_T
Eddie_T
4 years ago
I built my financial house to benefit from inflation, because I assumed it would always be there, as least in some key areas. Betting against inflation, especially in housing, is ignoring history.
Captain Ahab
Captain Ahab
4 years ago
Why would personal income show ‘sustainable progress’? However, personal income is set to decline, less from inflation than the Biden agenda of higher taxes, runaway inflation, and allowing unlimited immigration. Not southern border illegals. These are legal immigrants with skills, to replace American workers.

Decorate Your Walls with Mish Fine Art Images

Click each image to view details or purchase in the store.

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.