Producer Prices Rise Another 1.0% in January, What’s Going On?

Produce Price Data from BLS, chart by Mish

The Producer Price Index jumped another percent in January according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Final Demand Services

  • Prices for final demand services advanced 0.7 percent in January, the same as in December. Three-fourths of the rise in January can be traced to a 0.9-percent increase in the index for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing. Likewise, margins for final demand trade services moved up 0.6 percent.
  • A major factor in the January increase in the index for final demand services was hospital outpatient care prices, which rose 1.6 percent. 
  • The indexes for machinery and vehicle wholesaling; apparel, jewelry, footwear, and accessories retailing; traveler accommodation services; portfolio management; and truck transportation of freight also moved higher. 
  • Margins for fuels and lubricants retailing fell 9.7 percent. The indexes for transportation of passengers (partial) and for physician care also decreased. 

Final Demand Goods

  • Prices for final demand goods advanced 1.3 percent in January after declining 0.1 percent in December. 
  • Over 40 percent of the broad-based increase can be traced to a 0.8-percent rise in the index for final demand goods less foods and energy. 
  • Prices for final demand energy and for final demand foods also moved higher, 2.5 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively. 
  • Within the final demand goods category in January, the index for motor vehicles and equipment rose 0.7 percent. Prices for diesel fuel, gasoline, beef and veal, dairy products, and jet fuel also increased.
  • The index for iron and steel scrap decreased 10.7 percent. Prices for unprocessed finfish and for natural gas also moved lower. 

PPI Final and Intermediate Data from BLS, chart by Mish

Processed Goods for Intermediate Demand

  • The index for processed goods for intermediate demand rose 1.7 percent in January after declining 0.1 percent in December. 
  • Over half of the broad-based increase in January can be traced to prices for processed materials less foods and energy, which advanced 1.2 percent. 
  • The indexes for processed energy goods and for processed foods and feeds climbed 3.4 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively. 
  • For the 12 months ended in January, prices for processed goods for intermediate demand jumped 24.1 percent. 
  • In January, a 25.4-percent increase in the index for softwood lumber was a major contributor to the rise in prices for processed goods for intermediate demand.
  • The indexes for diesel fuel, nonferrous metals, electric power, metal containers, and dairy products also moved higher.
  • Prices for hot rolled steel sheet and strip decreased 6.4 percent. The indexes for natural gas to electric utilities and for pork also fell.

Unprocessed Goods for Intermediate Demand

  • The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand declined 2.0 percent in January after falling 4.8 percent in December. 
  • Most of the January decrease is attributable to prices for unprocessed energy materials, which dropped 4.7 percent. 
  • The index for unprocessed foodstuffs and feedstuffs moved down 0.7 percent. In contrast, prices for unprocessed nonfood materials less energy edged up 0.1 percent. 
  • For the 12 months ended in January, the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand increased 29.7 percent. 
  • Leading the January decline in the index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand, natural gas prices dropped 26.1 percent. The indexes for iron and steel scrap, raw milk, slaughter hogs, unprocessed finfish, and slaughter cattle also moved lower. 
  • Prices for nonferrous metal ores rose 6.5 percent. The indexes for crude petroleum and for hay, hayseeds, and oilseeds also increased. 

PPI Final Demand Year-Over-Year Plus Energy 

Final Demand Goods, Services, Energy data from BLS, chart by Mish

Final Demand Goods, Services, Energy Year-Over-Year Details 

  • Final Demand: +9.7%
  • Final Demand Goods: +13.1%
  • Final Demand Services: +7.7%
  • Final Demand Energy: +28.8%

The BLS weighs services at 64.964% of final demand, and goods at 33.284% of final demand.

Of the 33.284% weight for goods, energy accounts for only 5.998 percentage points.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

Thanks for Tuning In!

Please Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

If you have subscribed and do not get email alerts, please check your spam folder.

Mish

Subscribe to MishTalk Email Alerts.

Subscribers get an email alert of each post as they happen. Read the ones you like and you can unsubscribe at any time.

This post originated on MishTalk.Com

Thanks for Tuning In!

Mish

Comments to this post are now closed.

10 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Christoball
Christoball
4 years ago
Oil has been called a Fossil Fuel to conjure up the idea of scarcity. Actually oil is a free gift created deep in the bowels of the Earth. There is no way you can take organic mater and have it do anything except compost and turn into dirt. Bacteria will not allow any other outcome. My Uncle Mickey told me 50 years ago that we would never run out of oil. I thought he was a quack. He turned out to be correct.
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
4 years ago
Gotta find someone to blame for high oil prices and inflation. This is at $95 dollar oil. I expect at $115, the story will be Russian submarines off the coast of the US ready for an imminent attack on US cities.
No mention of your own supply limiting policies, nor world is at peak production producing more oil than ever and supplies are dwindling.
“(CNN)The White House dispatched two officials to Saudi Arabia this week to press the kingdom to pump more oil https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/09/investing/russia-oil-prices/index.html of Ukraine cause energy prices to rise, a potentiality https://www.cnn.com/specials/politics/joe-biden-news warned about in a speech on Tuesday https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/14/investing/russia-ukraine-oil-prices-inflation/index.html
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
4 years ago
Reply to  Roadrunner12
Lest we forget, the very first act President Biden did was to limit oil supplies to the US.
“The Keystone XL pipeline’s developer has halted all construction on the project months after its permit was revoked by the Biden administration.”
“On his first day in office https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-55709261 to allow the project to cross into the US amid concerns that it would worsen climate change.”
Roadrunner12
Roadrunner12
4 years ago
Reply to  Roadrunner12
Bidens got this all wrong, he should give Bernie a call. Its not the Russians responsible for high gas prices, US supply limiting policies, oil production storage lows, world producing at max output. The problem is corporate greed for inflation in food and gas.
Or maybe their both right and its the Russians in collusion with corporate companies across the world driving up food and energy prices.
“Shock. Shock. Shock. Gas prices are at the highest level in 7 years while Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell & BP made nearly $25 billion in profits last quarter – the highest level in over 7 years. The problem is not inflation. The problem is corporate greed, collusion & profiteering.”
LPCONGAS99
LPCONGAS99
4 years ago
Reply to  Roadrunner12
Agreed.
I guess Biden will still buy the 175,000 gallons of oil daily from Russia? 
TechLover1
TechLover1
4 years ago
There is very little inflation in services, yet. Watch as the economy opens up and prices of services soar. There is not enough labor to serve even the current reduced demand of services and labor cost is surging, especially at the lower end of pay scale.
The FED is in a very difficult situation. Although it had a hand in making this situation, fiscal policy is equally to blame.
The next few months are going to be really interesting to watch how this evolves. In the long run, this will of course lead to a recession but we may have a huge surge of inflation this year before that happens.
Amadeus 41
Amadeus 41
4 years ago
Because of increased stealing, Walmart stores have put personal hygiene products behind locked glass doors, and steak and other meat products have been enclosed in cages.
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  Amadeus 41
Taking yet another step down the path previously walked by our Latin American guiding lights…
1-shot
1-shot
4 years ago
Slice and dice the numbers however you want.
The bottom line is we have major inflation at both producer and consumer levels with no end in sight any time soon. Time to tighten belts, if anyone knows how to do that these days
StukiMoi
StukiMoi
4 years ago
Reply to  1-shot
Not much use “tightening belts”, when every one dollar you tighten is simply treated as an excuse for The Fed to hand another two, to some leech doing nothing, yet consuming ever more.
When you face the problem of being burglarized; of everything you have, and everything you ever will have; there exists no magical feel-good quick-fix for your problem, which somehow avoids first ending that all-encompassing burglary.
Meaning, there is no solution, which doesn’t make the burglars poorer. Which is just another way of saying, there is no way of fixing “our” current problem, while maintaining “The System” in anything resembling its current form. Since the entirety of that “System” refers, 100%, to nothing whatsoever, aside from this all-encompassing burglary.
You have to “Stop the Steal.” For real.

Decorate Your Walls with Mish Fine Art Images

Click each image to view details or purchase in the store.

Stay Informed

Subscribe to MishTalk

You will receive all messages from this feed and they will be delivered by email.