My conclusion is Biden is trying harder to lose and will indeed lose. But let’s first start with recent errors by Trump and some efforts to undo one of them.
Trump Vows to Help Jan. 6 ‘Hostages’
The Wall Street Journal reports Trump Kicks Off General Election With Dark Rhetoric, Vows to Help Jan. 6 ‘Hostages’
Donald Trump spent the first breaths of his first rally as a general election candidate delivering a highly-charged promise: To help the “hostages” detained for their roles in the Jan. 6, 2021, assault on the U.S. Capitol “the first day we get into office.”
“They were unbelievable patriots,” he said, after raising his hand in a salute as a recording played of Jan. 6 defendants singing the national anthem from jail.
On the campaign trail—particularly at his Ohio rally last weekend—and on social media, Trump has increasingly focused on the fates of Jan. 6 defendants. The former president has dangled the possibility of pardons in recent years, but now is vowing to take immediate steps if elected.
Who will vote for Trump because of that message?
That’s easy. No one. Anyone cheering that message is already voting for Trump.
In a Wall Street Journal poll, nearly twice as many respondents “strongly” opposed pardons than strongly supported them. Some 88% of Democrats oppose pardons, while just under a quarter of Republicans do. Among independents, 65% oppose pardons.
“Too Big to Rig”
“Too Big to Rig” is a recent slogan by Trump. He has also recently said “if you have mail-in voting, you automatically have fraud.”
He is still preaching a message against mail-in ballots. How stupid is that.
He might have even won on 2020 had he told people to vote early. Fortunately, Trump has help whether he wants it or not.
Lara Trump to the Rescue
Please consider Donald Trump Should Listen to Lara
If Donald Trump wants to win, he should listen to his daughter-in-law. The former president has spent four years criticizing early and absentee voting, arguing that both are riddled with fraud and contributed to the “theft” of the 2020 election. Lara Trump, in her new role as co-chairman of the Republican National Committee, says early and absentee voting are a top RNC priority. For her efforts to succeed, Mr. Trump has to get on board.
“We don’t have one day of voting, we don’t have paper ballots, we don’t have voter ID everywhere,” Mrs. Trump said days after her election. “We have to play the hand that we’re dealt.” The other party has already done so to great effect, leading her to observe that “we’ve been playing checkers, and the Democrats have been playing chess.” To catch up, the RNC will increase its work on early and absentee voting, while launching its first-ever initiative on “legal ballot harvesting,” in which third parties collect and submit ballots for other voters.
It would be a lot easier to get out the vote by promoting early voting. Democrats are very skilled at this.
Once voted, a person cannot take it back. Please let that sink in.
Trump needs to convince as many fence sitters as possible to vote early. Otherwise some will not vote and some may even change their mind who to vote for given that Trump is doing everything possible to alienate the fence sitters.
Reaching out to Nikki Haley and Rom DeSantis fans can only help.
Biden’s Scorecard is Worse
The saving grace for trump at the moment is Biden’s scorecard is even wose.
Anyone who is honest knows Biden cannot possibly last four more years. I question if he can hang on through the election.
Biden Will Take Away Your Truck
On March 22, I noted In the Name of Progress, Biden Will Take Away Your Truck
This is going to be the message in Michigan.
Biden on Student Debt Cancellation
On February 6, I noted Biden on Student Debt Cancellation: “The Supreme Court Didn’t Stop Me”
Is flouting the Supreme Court supposed to to independents and moderates?
Biden Weighs Banning Natural Gas Exports
On January 17, I noted Biden Weighs Banning Natural Gas Exports to Save the Climate
Nine days later a White House fact sheet proclaimed Biden-Harris Administration Announces Temporary Pause on Pending Approvals of Liquefied Natural Gas Exports
Pennsylvania is a swing state and Biden just clubbed it.
Migrants Break El Paso Barriers
No one except extreme progressives are happy with the sieve at the border.
Expect to see clips of that scene over and over.
Here’s another
Gen Z Pessimism
Young adults are more skeptical of government and pessimistic about the future than any living generation before them. This is with reason, and it’s likely to decide the election.
Gen Z, the Most Pessimistic Generation in History, May Decide the Election
Gen Z may be the first generation in US history that is not better off than their parents. Many have given up on the idea they will ever be able to afford a home. The economy is allegedly booming (I disagree).
Regardless, stress over debt is high with younger millennials and zoomers. This has been a constant theme of mine for many months.
Credit Card and Auto Delinquencies Soar
Credit card debt surged to a record high in the fourth quarter. Even more troubling is a steep climb in 90 day or longer delinquencies.
Record High Credit Card Debt
Credit card debt rose to a new record high of $1.13 trillion, up $50 billion in the quarter. Even more troubling is the surge in serious delinquencies, defined as 90 days or more past due. For nearly all age groups, serious delinquencies are the highest since 2011.
Auto Loan Delinquencies
Serious delinquencies on auto loans have jumped from under 3 percent in mid-2021 to to 5 percent at the end of 2023 for age group 18-29. Age group 30-39 is also troubling. Serious delinquencies for age groups 18-29 and 30-39 are at the highest levels since 2010.
Major Economic Cracks
There are economic cracks in spending, cracks in employment, and cracks in delinquencies.
But there are no cracks in the CPI. It’s coming down much slower than expected. And the PPI appears to have bottomed.
Add it up: Inflation + Recession = Stagflation.
Election Impact
In 2020, younger voters turned out in the biggest wave in history. And they voted for Biden.
Younger voters are not as likely to vote in 2024, and they are less likely to vote for Biden.
The Wall Street Journal noted nearly one-third of voters under 30 have an unfavorable view of both Biden and Trump, a higher number than all older voters. Sixty-three percent of young voters think neither party adequately represents them.
Young voters in 2020 were energized to vote against Trump. Now they have thrown in the towel.
Biden telling everyone how great the economy is only rubs salt in the wound.
Conclusions
Two completely different polls show millennials and zoomers are unhappy. And they are unhappy for the reasons I stated.
Many have concluded they will never be able to afford a house or have kids. Those who have concluded that are likely correct.
For more discussion, please see US Drops to Number #23 in the World Happiness Report
On top of the zoomer malaise, everyone but the radical left is upset with the border.
Trump vs Biden Scorecard
Given the polls show Trump ahead in all the swing states, Biden has more to lose by appeasing the radical progressives instead of reaching out to the middle.
On that basis, plus senility, I suggest Biden is trying harder to lose and will indeed succeed in losing.
But it’s still early. Who knows what gaffes are coming. But the border, trucks, and natural gas are baked in the cake and likely irreversible.
On top it all, this economy is nowhere near as strong as widely believed. We can easily see a recession start before the election.
Only Trump can beat Trump at this point. Unfortunately, he’s trying. Fortunately, Biden is trying even harder to lose.
I suggest Biden is trying harder to lose and will indeed succeed in losing.
I agree, but see it as Biden is acting for the benefit of the political class, which makes the rest of us poorer, and makes us less likely to vote for Biden.
In early 2023 the Rasmussen pollster did something unusual, he asked Arizona voters how they voted in the 2022 governors election. Katie Hobbs lost 43-51 percent. In the actual election a few months earlier she squeaks out a win. It was odd that the media had no explanation for that poll. There’s fraud and it’s massive which is why Trump will lose if he’s ahead by less than 5 points. Predict-it betters have Biden as likely winner even when polls show he loses. This is a recent change. Go back to 2020, 2016, or 2012 and the betting followed the polls much closer. Some group is voting for the non voters. This is a 3rd world voting system and it really is rigged. The wide mailbox ballot adaption made this possible. Sorry.
It’s anomalies such as the discrepancy between Gallup’s poll and the voting results that suggests there was cheating. Another one was the betting odds on the night of the election. It started out close between Trump and Biden, then around midnight Trump was favored 9 to 1. But then there were these batches of ballots in the middle of the night (after stopping counting for awhile – suggesting they had to figure out how many more votes they needed, in D run counties in swing states) it swung around. The fact that anyone who questioned the election is essentially being prosecuted, also suggests that there was cheating, and the cheaters are punishing those trying to expose them.
Finally the last fact you provide, that gamblers favor Biden while Trump is ahead in the polls, suggests they believe the Democrats will cheat again. I agree with them, and wonder if they will be caught and something done about it, or not.
I guess he doesn’t see the election fraud.
The question is whether the cheating that occurred, will be caught this time. I agree with you that Mish misses the election fraud elephant in the room.
RFK Jr. is on the menu folks
I have never voted for Trump. But I have voted against Hilary and Joe, in the strongest way possible. Much will happen before the election.
Sinwar map. Strike force #1 will open the border and decimate the 98 division that
protects the Israeli border. A larger strike force will enter Israel and reach Dimona, Hatzerim airbase and Tel Aviv. In Tel Aviv they will massacre as many men, women and children as they can. Sinwar believed that after striking the Israeli in the heart the west bank and Hezbollah will join them and finish off the zionist state. On Oct 7 morning the border was open. Bibi sent the 98 division home for vacations and to the west bank. In the afternoon the IDF blocked Sinwar satanic plan.
Israel is a satanic genocidal state.
Is Islam Satanic?
Sinwar spent 22 years in an Israeli jail. For him Bibi is a spineless man bc he let him go with one thousand prisoners for Igaal Shalit. Sinwar had a brain surgery in Israel. The doctors installed a GPS tag in his crazy head.
It’s a race to the bottom.By summer I predict things look a lot better for Biden than Trump who still hasn’t hit rock bottom. The Supreme Court isn’t gonna let Trump off the hook for January 6th. They are the only thing that stands between a dictatorship and republic and they know it. This summer is going to be must see TV as Trump gets exposed for everything that happen between election day 2020 and January 6th 2021.
You think the blacks and Latinos abandoning the dems over the migrant invasion are going back to them this summer?
You think Jewish voters upset over the split in the dem party over Israel will be as strong as it has historically been?
You think the Muslim voters and their sympathizers are bluffing about not supporting Biden over Israel?
Wishful thinking on your part
SCOTUS will rule for Trump.
Your “predictions” are worth nothing.
This is a matter of looking at the data; and engaging with reality.
Nothing that you “predict” is likely to happen, in any universe or timeline.
J6 was a legal protest hijacked by CIA/DeepState Establishment the only crimes was state subversion.
Gaza is a message from the whites that we will do to.you what we are doing to the Palestinians. white supremacy and murder. express VPN is a zionist company.
You are a word salad bot.
Trump is a Deep State narcist moron , just like criminally corrupt mfr BIden , ALL they ever think about is their and their family’s financial empire…..a typical feature for most, if not ALL, politicians ….
Looking forward to total anarchy in the near future , be assured of my highest fckn respect in the meantime …… Yours faithfully
FromfcknBrussels
Trump lost money while in office and is currently being sued to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars in purely political prosecutions.
He would have more money had he never entered politics. This post makes no sense.
Karl Marx wrote an econ book to support industrial workers. Marxism deflated
in the US after the late 70’s. Blue collar jobs were Trump prime audience. Biden competes with him for the same votes. Communism is all about power. William Bullitt 1930’s (Alexander Etkind : “Roads Not Taken”) : the best way to fight Communism is socialism. Many western leaders adopted it. The results were deadly. These days radical Islam adopt Nazism. They want to eradicate all people who oppose them.
Karl Marx is a Jew like you. Israel is a mask off moment. these honky fake European convert.jews.have no connection to the original Jews. they are all the same though. vicious homicidal genocidal bigots.
Trump’s even more inhumane genocidal attitude towards Palestinians than Biden’s – “go in and finish the job” – ,and Jared Kushner’s lusting after Gaza beachfront property after the “cleansing”, will put many who would have voted for Trump firmly in the “none of the above” camp, or keep them in the Biden camp as the lesser of two big evils. Biden at least feigns some humanity in his few-and-far-between lucid moments.
Bullshit. Unlike every other warmongering president before and after, he stepped foot in NK and talked with Kim Jong Un. He got the Japanese and NKs to meet and have talks. Monumental acts towards a normalized peace. He left Syria (except for the secret troops and black sites the treasonous MIC left there). He got the ball rolling to leaving Afghan. That is 2 out of 7 active wars he got the U.S out of. He moved the embassy to Jerusalem from Tel Aviv whereas EVERY president before him dating back to the establishment promised to do it while campaigning and then never did. TRUMP DID IT.
Then all the fukin idiots like you in 2019 and 2020 said he was gonna start WWIII all while taking REAL action to end wars and promote peace. You’re insane. GFY you lying POS and warmongering fool
Biden knocked off most of Trump’s foreign policy. For Trump : the Us + Russia vs China is better than ==> Russia + China + Iran vs the US. Biden policies incentivized Putin to invade Ukraine. Trump is a visionary. Trump had the right to stop the Biden election on Oct 7, but Saint Brutus stabbed him in the back and sealed his fate. He has been bleeding ever since. Biden is a Trump clone, living under his large shadow. That’s why he attacks him.
“The last person to whisper into Trump’s ear before every big decision is Jared Kushner.” – Scott Ritter on Judge Nap show last week.
Hamas sowed the wind, and now reaps the whirlwind. That is what happens when you start a war against an enemy that is armed to the teeth.
Mish, would you please write an article on whether or not the last Pres Election was stolen (by miscounts, etc.) OR NOT and if SO or IF NOT, how do you see it that VOTING will even count or NOT?
NO !
The only relevant issue is Trump’s complete unfittness for the job as evidenced by Jan. 6, his narcissim, his chaos agenda and his obvius fascism.
Enough (probably 20%) of sane republicans are going to just fail to vote for a presidential candidate, or if they’re really sane and astute will vote for Biden, especially in swing states and it will be the worst political a$$ kicking since Goldwater .
Everything else is a non-issue by comparison and is just being a patriot for chaos.
TDS display at its finest. Check your meds- your crazy is showing. Ask Hunter if you are running low or want the use of one of his juvenile hookers.
When does the “Summer of Love” 2.0 get revved up by the communists, anarchists and Feds?
Americans better be working on their breathing and trigger squeeze
Yep. You better “hole up” in your compound and shake yer fist at those “Commies”, while cheering on Putin and other “Strongmen” for treating those who want free speech and freedom of the press and not having dictators run the show. Nothing like Scared Old Farts yelling at Kids to “Get OFF My Lawn!”
$4 BILLION in damage and destruction. 15 or so dead. 1000s of police injured. CHAZ CHOP and other criminal activity ruined many business owners. Inner cities destroyed with retailers NOT rebuilding or going back for another 50 years. Gramma and Grandpa with no transpo have no access to groceries afterwards. And the list goes on and on from the 2020 “Summer of Love”
Yes it ALL happened. Wake the fuk up you moron
It had ZERO to do with free speech or freedom of the press. Are you REALLY that fukin that stupid?
“In a Wall Street Journal poll, nearly twice as many respondents “strongly” opposed pardons than strongly supported them”
No one asked me. I am for pardons.
Regarding mail in votes. The recent primary elections for Cook County Ill State Attorney is getting strange. It seems that Foxx’s person might win after all because the race is getting tighter and someone just found an extra 10,000 mail in votes. Outlaw mail in voting immediately.
” The Chicago Board of Elections announced a surge in counted votes on Saturday after its director of public information admitted to mistakenly leaving out additional ballots”
“An addition of 10,659 votes was added to the unofficial count, totaling 368,990 ballots cast in Chicago. There is a current citywide turnout of 1,509,554 active registered voters, or 24.44%”
“As of 4:59 p.m., the Associated Press reports 93% of votes have been counted in the Cook County State’s Attorney Democratic race. Burke has 255,010 votes and Harris has 250,239 votes.
More votes will be counted on Sunday” WTF
Look at what happened to Vallas running for mayor of Chicago. He was leading all day until the very late hours of the night when all of a sudden Brandon Johnson won. WTF
Yer Tinfoil hat fell off, nobody asked you because you put up “No Trespassin’” signs and “We Shoot Strangers on Sight” signs around yer property.
You’re close to the truth. I took a Democrat ballot just to vote against BJ, Foxx and their team. No one I know voted for the Foxx team.
All true, but the time to leave that sh-thole was 4 years ago, at the latest.
I’m the last hold out. Everyone related to me has left but I’m staying around to observe the slow decay of civilization.
There’s Vito and Nick’s pizza.
This stuff will help determine the victory margin but not the outcome. Ever since WW2, the direction of the unemployment rate in the second quarter of a presidential election year has been a reliable indicator of the November winner.
The indicator is simple: If U3 rises between March and June, the incumbent party’s candidate loses the popular vote, which in anything other than a close election is matched by the electoral college result. This has failed only once, in 1956, and there is an explanation for why it failed.
U3’s trend tells you what’s happening on Main Street, economically speaking. It operates with a time lag, which is why you look at the second quarter and not the third. 1956 didn’t work because, unlike in other election years, there was no trend. U3 bounced around in a narrow range that year. 2012 was a headfake because the BLS had changed the seasonal adjustment mechanism, and that threw off the numbers.
This year, we should know by mid-July who will win. It will be a matter of comparing the U3s for June and March. We have already seen U3 rise in February. If that keeps going, it will be ominous for Biden. If the indicator favors Trump, he could run up the score by stressing economic issues, toning down his rhetoric a bit, and posing as a statesman while the Democrats rant and rave.
It will really depend on how big either one of them wants their victory to be. Given that the Fed will hang tight, and that any monetary easing would be too late to affect the real economy, I think the odds favor Trump. Not because of what either of them are saying, but because it looks like the economy is softening and U3 is going to rise between now and June.
Here is a link to the monthly U3 data going back to 1948.
link to data.bls.gov
Something else that might come into play is that the full-time component has been weakening for at least a year. The current so-called employment boom has been in part-time jobs, and I wonder whether holding, say, two part-time jobs makes a voter feel as good about Biden as he or she would if it was one full-time job.
In any case, the parsing of words out of the candidates’ is of limited utility, other than as a possible predictor of what the victory margin will be. Who wins the 2024 election will be, as always, about the economy this spring. The most important day between now and November will be the day in July when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the U3 numbers.
We shall see.
I’d be careful about conclusions like this. Does it make superficial sense? Absolutely.
The problem is it’s a very small sample size of data points. We are also in a different economy where a smaller percentage of the population is working as the population ages.
I’m not saying it’s not a factor, but I highly doubt it’s the only determining factor.
There have been 19 elections between 1948 and 2022. This is not a small sample. The interpretation gets difficult for the years (1960, 1968, 1976, 2000, 2012) when there was no change.
I explained that there was a statistical glitch in 2012 that masked what otherwise would have been an improvement. The incumbent party candidate lost all of the other four elections in the EC and three of the four in the popular vote, although ’00 needs an asterisk because the popular vote was so close that it really must be regarded as a statistical tie.
If U3 is flat this year, the indicator will predict a close election in the popular vote and Biden’s defeat. Given that the election machinery is not reliable in a close election, I won’t place any election bets if U3 is flat in this year’s second quarter.
Where this has worked very well, and where I think it will keep working, is when there is movement in either direction that is part of a trend. Only in 1956 did it fail, and that was only because there was no trend.
This isn’t some correlation without a cause. There is sound logic to suggest a connection between unemployment and voting behavior. My gut feel, which is both anecdotal and regional (Pacific NW), is that the employment situation is softening, and faster than the media are reporting. But at this point, I wouldn’t put any money on it.
There are plenty of other good indicators, like the continuing subsea 2-10 chart, you don’t really need U3 or any others to see that things are heading south, and the Dems have sabotaged their own chances.
In addition, if the unemployment rate rises 0.5% from it’s low a recession is almost unavoidable. So 4.2% U rate will be an important level.
It’s the direction that counts. Two qualifiers. One is that it needs to be part of a trend. It almost always is, with 1956 being an exception. The other is that if the increase hits 0.5%, as it did in 1980 and 2008, it will magnify the margin.
Note: The big jump in 2Q20 has to be excluded from the paragraph above because of what caused it. The indicator still worked, but the magnitudes did not.
U3, the unemployed looking for a job every month = 3.9%. U6, the unemployed + those who marginally work part-time jobs for economic reasons, those at the bottom of employment = 7.3%.
I see no reason to make a U6 connection given that there is a solid one for U3, and that the two of them generally move together.
Your analysis and all others about the Election assume that VOTING is not being manipulated. IT WAS TOO EASY the last time!
You make a sadly reasonable point, but I think only a close election can be stolen, as it was in 1960 and 2000. If unemployment goes against Biden, I don’t think this election will be close enough to steal.
I would also note that the unemployment indicator went against Trump in 2020. Economic confidence was effectively destroyed. We can yammer until the cows come home about whether the covid lockdowns were justified. I don’t think they were, but they happened, and the reaction at the polls was predictable.
I think they will try, however close it is… they are probably already concocting plans for “emergencies” or other events to stop Trump. Based on their consistent behaviour, there is nothing they won’t try to do to stop him.
I can understand the worry about emergencies. All we can really do is wait and see. I think 2020 was a one-off, but that could be my hopes talking. In any case, we cannot predict that.
How about including RFK Jr in this analysis? He has about the same poll numbers as the other two jokers?
RFK likely helps Trump
In the polling, such as it is, RFK Jr. marginally increases Trump’s margin in the Real Clear Politics aggregation. Look it up if you want to. At most, I think he could end up keeping Biden below 40% if the economy goes against him. Over time, I expect RFK Jr.s numbers to decline as it becomes clearer that he has a long track record as a whackjob.
I don’t know what his stance is on Gaza. If he is a Biden critic on that one, I could imagine him having a material impact in Michigan, but that is a big if. If Biden loses Michigan, he is toast.
RFK Jr’s stance on Gaza is about the same as Trump’s and Biden’s. They’re all scared of the Jews.
RFK is a niche market, there is no media engine behind him, he’s a nuisance to both parties, but maybe only a significant nuisance in a handful of localities where young people might look for a protest vote.
At the moment he’s polling at ~15% and taking more from Biden than from Trump. I don’t think his number will last, but to the extent that he matters I think he will hurt Biden more than he will hurt Trump.
Get rid of anonymous voting. Do that and early voting and mail in ballots will not matter. Every election could be audited 100%. Anyone scared of this should simply not vote and stay out of it. Not even sure why we still have a secret ballot other than for cheating purposes.
You don’t understand why we have the secret ballot in elections? How profoundly ignorant of you!
The issue isn’t the lack of identification for actual votes, but the lack of identification for access to the voting booth. Really, every voter should just bring their passport or ID card, Tax ID and tax statement, and if they are a citizen who paid tax, they get a vote, simple.
it don’t matter genocide Joe or the buffoon idiot king. he pardoned his son in laws tax dodging father.
Bibi puts a threat on Rafa. That’s a game theory (IMO). Biden and Gamala stole Bibi cards for political reasons. On the cusp of a ceasefire the IDF intensified its attack on Jasa, Khan Yunis and on Rafa. That’s a typical sign of a ceasefire,
Nothing has fundamentally changed in the US since JFK.
Politics is a Felliniesque circus inhabited by grotesque aparitions.
40% of Gen Z sees the circus for what it is (OK Boomer). Why? Because they exited the information highway brainwashing everyone else. They slipped through cracks in the Internet. The cracks are being closed as you read this (Tik Tok).
Those Z’s who do vote?
Evangelical kids will vote for Trump 30%.
The mentally ill Trannies and Tranny lovers will vote for Biden 30%
The other “rational” 40% won’t vote or will vote for the person that says there will be no draft. That’s all they care about in the near term since they readily comprehend the futility of everything else.
Great little movie on the climate hoax.
link to youtu.be
At time 25:00 in the movie it discusses that 20,000 years ago was the lowest levels of CO2 and how plants were literally starving from lack of CO2. Politicized science is deadly. But we already knew this from Covid hysteria. Isn’t it funny how the government move us from one hysteria to the next. There’s a Russian under your bed! Better spend more money on the MIC. Donald Trump is the Antichrist! Better vote for open borders Biden!
If Biden fires Fatma, Funni and Jack and free the Israeli hostages, along with a prolonged ceasefire, “preventing” Bibi from raiding Rafa and killing 30K more people and risking a war with El Sisi ==> he might beat Trump.
zionism is finished . this why Jews get kicked out of every country in the world. it’s your behaviour. Israel is finished.
Zionism was rising after the Kishiniev pogroms. The United Holy Land will replace the 3 whore states.
Jews started communism and most of the thugs in that party were Jews. Karl marx.the cultural Jew started it all.
Tucker interview of Putin, the latter was being polite (as in, ‘read between the lines’) when at various times in the history lesson he said, “Lenin…Stalin…Trotsky…the Bolsheviks…I don’t know why they did those things.”
Why haven’t they been kicked out of the U.S.?
Did someone say ‘votes’?
link to cbsnews.com
Many people hangup on pollster calls. Those who support Trump are afraid of the gov iron fist which suppressed freedom. Lara Trump is sending messages several times/ day on social media, MSM, Meta, X… trying to get people to vote for Lara Trump.
Those who like Trump might spare him from the next slump,
Jewish Bolsheviks
About that Jan 6 event. Still waiting for the release of name for who ordered Capitol Building magnetic locks on entry doors to be disengaged.
Capitol Building is designed to withstand a direct military assault yet somehow unarmed participants gained entry. To keep claiming that an insurrection was possible by those who entered Capitol Building by walking in thru open doors is a Lie of first magnitude.
To brush off this very basic question by those looking to hide the names or name of person directly responsible for events of that day shows just how CORRUPT Washington DC has become.
As to who is losing votes, there are not enough Sadists and Masochists in USA to vote Biden back into office. But then again we are talking about the Democrat party so I may be in error.
If it’s “corrupt” as you say.
What gives you confidence it’s real.
What if the goal is “polarization amplification.”
Then arrest everyone by slow drip for 4 years to keep the rage going.
What if this was?
Obedience school for rebels!
What if Trump is an actor?
Welcome to the greatest interactive show on earth.
The nearly invisible zoo keepers come in with prods and torment the two groups of animals, separated by a fence, into frothing madness.
I have concern that all the noise surrounding J6 is a cover for some far deeper madness in Washington DC.
At some level that thought does not go away so I have sympathy for your thesis.
My first belief, all the subterfuge is to protect who will control all that Federal spending, Staggering sums being allocated by the select few behind closed doors. This fully on exhibit as the just passed spending bill once again rammed thru at last moment.
Mass media diversion is aligned with the elite class who control US budget.
Think in terms how Mafia used to carve up territories and who got the benefit.
Washington DC has become such a creature. That is nature of uniparty where opposition is for show. There is no difference between McConnell and Schumer.
Both are bad eggs.
It makes me feel very icky to be rooting for Trump, but I know one of the two will win, and I know which one is defending a government “right” to censor Americans by implicitly threatening social media companies to do so on their behalf. Biden is an existential threat to freedom and democracy. Trump is merely a clown.
Whilst it is a choice between a shithead and a shitshow, most people can ignore a shithead, but the shitshow itsinvading every part of everyone’s lives and it can’t be ignored… the “house is on fire” and the arsonist-in-chief has to be put out for public safety.
I encourage Trump to PROSECUTE nancy, cheney, schiff, schumer along with so many others of CORRUPT J6 committee – used entrapment illegally
if they j6!rioters were black you would want to execute them.
Some of those convicted were black. It doesn’t seem like he wants them executed to me, but what do I know.
noist of them were white. they should all be executed
For walking between velvet ropes? Seems a bit draconian.
“david” is a troll.
There is no rational choice in the upcoming presidential election. One votes for the deep state or votes for the deep state.
There’s always a least-worst choice, which is the rational choice.
At times I’ve went with write-ins, because what’s rational isn’t always emotionally and/or ethically tolerable.
Communists/socialists/Democrats all believe that the vote counters matter more than the voters. Republicans need to coach those who participate in the counting. Back them with vigorous lawsuits. Pack the courts with Republicans. Impeach half wit affirmative action justices for incompetence. For example, Engoron should be impeached and disbarred. Fanny Wilkes should be drawn and quartered.
well, in states like Oregon where ballot harvesting is legal, the GOP should at least participate instead of just whining about the Dems doing it.
If the rules are wrong, use them to take power and change the rules.
Two related jokes:
1) Mussolini said “The people can vote for whoever they want. I shall count the ballots.”
2) Stalin said “The people can vote for whoever they want. I shall choose the candidates.”
We also have a big problem with #2.
It’s Biden’s handlers who are determined to keep power rather than share it with moderate Democrats. Biden has no clue what is going on around him. Trump is equally power thirsty and has not learned from 2020 to court the middle.
The people who stormed the Capitol on January 6 and got convicted are criminals, plain and simple. That the guy who incited them to storm the Capitol now pledges to pardon them just shows how low American politics has sunk. We happen to live in a country where the first priority of the leading GOP candidate is getting convicted criminals out of prison. But then the truth is Trump himself is only running to stay out of prison. That’s his only agenda item.
Sure. Some are criminals that deserve a fine for trespassing, others harsher penalties for hitting officers. What’s the appropriate penalty for walking around the capital for 12 minutes and taking a selfie? Should these folks go to jail for two years? And are you willing to accept the same punishments being imposed for the same crimes committed by BLM trespasses, attacks on police stations and courthouses the prior year?
…”Incitement”… yawn. IF you can show me where Trump told folks to attack cops and break into the capital, then I’ll happily agree with you. Otherwise you’re letting your partisanship blind you into seeing things that aren’t there.
Also, what kind of name is Albert? Sounds gay.
Trespass is not a crime, barely even a felony, it’s usually a misdemeanour. However, they were invited in by the police on duty there, and escorted around, so there was no trespass, except by the many undercover FBI officers there trying to incite a riot.
I’ll agree his priorities are screwed up. The first order of business should be to pardon Edward Snowden and give him a ticker tape parade. Second should be arresting officials across the country for conspiring to deny civil rights during covid.
The president can pardon whom he (or the party) likes. This has been standard procedure for a very long time now. So why get all worked up about whether he pardons some Jan 6th people when lots of other criminals have been pardoned by past presidents.
Either the president can pardon or he can’t.
“The people who stormed the Capitol on January 6 and got convicted are criminals, plain and simple.”
A lot of convicted people just walked in and passed through the Capitol Building, allowed in by the Capitol police. One of the recent charges was against a black man who entered the Capitol with the crowd, took some photos in the Rotunda and left within 3 minutes. Another, a journalist, now with The Blaze, who spent some time observing the scene inside. This journalist, Baker, exposed security camera footage which indicated that two officers committed perjury in a case against 4 members of the Oathkeepers. It was after that report, that he was charged with 4 misdemeanor offenses.
Trump is only being charged with anything because he is running for president. It is election interference. The first impeachment in 2020 was over a legal phone call and never should have occurred. That was election interference, as well. There also was no insurrection. That is a Democrat Party political fraud, just as the first impeachment was. At most, there was a riot. Trump requested 10,000 national guard troops in order to prevent that and was denied by the Democrat politicians who were authorized to approve. Oh, and the Capitol police chief was kept out of the intelligence loop. Something corrupt was going on. It needs to be investigated.
The majority of those imprisoned for Jan. 6 are political prisoners & pawns used by the Biden admin. to justify their attacks on Trump’s alleged insurrection.