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Iran Blasts a Ship Escorted by US Fighter Jets. Is the Strait Open?

All week, Trump and Bessent said a deal was imminent, another pack of lies.

Current Situation in the Strait

  • The Incident: Radio communications from the scene show crew members battling an engine room fire triggered by the projectile strike.
  • Damage Control: The crew activated the vessel’s carbon dioxide fire suppression system and utilized ballast operations to contain the blaze. Firefighting has been severely impeded by a total failure of the ship’s hydraulic system.
  • ADNOC Impact: Earlier in the day, ADNOC confirmed that 15 of its vessels have been targeted by Iranian missiles and drones since the broader conflict began, including three separate strikes this week alone.
  • Broader Context: The attack marks a violent end to a week of depressed maritime traffic through the chokepoint, coming right as the US expects a temporary Strait of Hormuz framework agreement mediated by Oman to be reached soon.

Iran Captures Israeli Drone

US Drone Too

Bessent Says the Strait Will Become Irrelevant

I will Glady Pay You Tuesday for a Deal Promise Today

ddd

The Strait will open as soon as Trump makes a deal acceptable to Iran.

Until then, laugh at alleged deals, Trump threats, and Trump himself.

I don’t even know what that would take anymore. But it’s higher than the MOU that Trump stupidly broke.

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114 Comments
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I’m back robbyrob
I’m back robbyrob
12 days ago

“Politics is the entertainment division of the military industrial complex.”
– Frank Zappa

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
11 days ago

He would be SO salty if he were alive today. They’d probably try to give him his own ranting show, which would send him into incandescent fury.

rjohnson
rjohnson
12 days ago

Another pack of Lies………..a new DOW high.

Outside of that, I wish someone would smack that joker ass smile off Bessent’s face.

Webej
Webej
12 days ago

What if the result is actually the goal?
The US has managed to close Hormuz, with plausible deniability (it’s Iran).

Trump has done everything possible to close the strait and keep it closed.

All to get Iran to not have a nuke, which they do not have, do not want, and are forbidden by religious edict to obtain, and are more than willing to put in writing their intention to not get a nuke. Like waterboarding me to promise not to buy a Bugatti even as I keep shouting ‘I don’t want no Bugatti.’

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Webej

You think Rubio, Trump and Hegseth are playing 5D chess? They’d struggle with checkers. The status of the strait has nothing to do with whether Iran builds 10-15 atomic warheads. US and Israeli actions have changed public opinion in Iran from being against obtaining nuclear weapons to strongly favoring it. Trump killed the guy who’d issued the fatwa against nukes and the fatwa died with him. His replacement saw Israel and the US kill his wife and one of his sons. I wouldn’t count on him upholding his dad’s fatwa. The US has demonstrated the danger in not having nukes.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

What if Trump pulled this entire stunt off to throw Murder Inc. under the bus? Unlikely, yes….but delicious to ponder.

Webej
Webej
11 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

A fatwa requires 3 grand-ayatollahs to issue the edict to be valid, so it does’t die with Kameni. And it was originally issued by Khomeni.

It’s not Rubio, Trump, and Hegseth that are playing chess.
They are monkeys in the circus.
Just who do you think formulates and pushes foreign policy?

Everything you see happening in Ukraine, the Caucus, Iran, etc., appears in think tank papers issued more than a decade ago. Trump does not steer the ship of state, he’s just the used car salesman on the lot.

Sentient
Sentient
11 days ago
Reply to  Webej

I take your point. I always consider Brian Berletic’s point that even Israel is just another vassal being used by the hegemon. This could be part of a strategy to further wreck Europe and choke off oil to China. OTOH, sometimes a cigar is just a cigar. On the fatwa, the point is that it can be lifted.

Rjohnson
Rjohnson
12 days ago
Reply to  Webej

MacGregor says iran has been 2 weeks away from a nuke for 30 years.

TheBird
TheBird
11 days ago
Reply to  Rjohnson

Bibi’s mouthpiece

Webej
Webej
11 days ago
Reply to  Rjohnson

Lots of countries could build one in short order.
The centrifuge technology was pioneered by the Netherlands & Germany in the 1940’s. Where do you think the Pakistani got it from in the 1970’s.

Mike
Mike
11 days ago
Reply to  Rjohnson

30 years of winning. Are we getting tired yet?

Rogerroger
Rogerroger
11 days ago
Reply to  Webej

You can add military bases out of the middle east.
At best this administration has adopted the tech world move fast and break things. May work in yech but not so much for governments.
At worst all this chaos is incompetence with the end goal of trump and the republican party maintaining power. .

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
10 days ago
Reply to  Rogerroger

I wish.

Eric
Eric
12 days ago

Just in:

Sardar Mohebi, spokesperson for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), says the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is not subject to the deal with Oman, adding that it is conditional on the US “fully accepting Iran’s conditions”.

(Conditions to be decided once US agrees to accept all conditions) 😉

*****************************

Don’t lose any sleep over it everyone.
Your leader forgot to script the sequel to his last ultimatum.
We can therefore all comfortably assume absolutely nothing will happen, provided his pulse holds up that long.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago
Reply to  Eric

TRUMP: “Open the strait now or we’ll bomb you!”

IRAN: “SMD”

peelo
peelo
12 days ago

Classic hubris and strategic loss, pivotal for USA’s geopolitical history. Trump planned not at all, went in guns blazing, shot all bullets, and the other side is still standing and capable in its area. We lost soft power and hard power at mass scale in a matter of weeks. The world has seen in a drone age our dinosaur systems are not providing deterrence. So what good is adhering to the US dollar?
It reminds me of cheaper AI strategies gaining while the (US-centric) maximizers head to space with ruinous levels of financing.
The aesthetic is big burgers, big cars, big boobs, gigantic hubristic projects and claims, everything but functionality: P.T. Barnum’s world gone amuck.
This is our “leadership” and its patsies.

Last edited 12 days ago by peelo
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
12 days ago

They *want* to control the oil market (even if that means destroying what they can’t control), continue making it available only in dollars (something our esteemed host thinks is completely satisfied by “JIT currency conversion” before purchase), and use to control desperate oil-poor nations.

Apparently China invested in optionality enough to withstand D.C. pressure But many other stans did not. (Often not their choice. The weak suffer as they must.)

Last edited 12 days ago by most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
10 days ago

All these deep explanations sound very sophisticated, but is there anything to show that Trump was not motivated simply by what he saw as a necessity to stop Persia from developing the new fast missiles, with or without nuclear warheads to go with them?

As I understand it, Persia could have threatened not only Israel but also Europe if it could have developed such missiles.

I see the Persian point of view. Ultimately you have to be able to fight if you want to be treated with respect. The boy Kim in North Korea understands that, too. But I can also see the American-Jewish (all right, American-Israeli) point of view.

The Persians seem to be partly motivated by a fanatical religious ideology that says they have to defeat the infidel. So are the Israelis. I don’t see that morality comes into it much, except that it would be immoral for civilization, such as it is, to fail to defend itself. We insist on seeing Judaism as civilized and Islam as not civilized. That is probably in deference to the feminists as much as anything else.

CJW
CJW
12 days ago

I love the irony of the Trump establishment filing felony charges for Hearn touching the water in the reflecting pool, meanwhile Trump totally destroys a major portion of the White House (a federally protected historical building) and all we hear is crickets from the DOJ.

Jon
Jon
12 days ago
Reply to  CJW

That’s how corruption works. The key is the depravity of the supporters.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
11 days ago
Reply to  Jon

Song of the Simps.

Steve
Steve
12 days ago

How is that possible? I thought that all military had been “obliterated” months ago…

pokercat
pokercat
12 days ago
Reply to  Steve

Iran’s military and missal/drone forces are completely gone. This was a “civilian” missal fired by a group of Iranian girl scouts to avenge the murder of 150 of their sisters. /s

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago
Reply to  Steve

at least 6 million times 😂😂😂

Todd
Todd
12 days ago

Cheers from the Military Industrial Complex! Job well done!

JeffD
JeffD
12 days ago
Reply to  Todd

They are patting themselves on the back for the future gravy train from the overpriced shoddy technology they produce. There has been no actual talent working for the largest corporations behind the Military Industrial Complex for at least two decades.

Name
Name
12 days ago

a few years back, on video, I heard someone, supposedly EU official say something like:

When things get bad enough, we have to lie.

perhaps that applies to this

Tom
Tom
12 days ago

Trump is that sad guy who comes home from the bar, alone, and relentlessly beats his whiskey dick over bad porn in a futile gesture of his manliness.

And we’re all in the next room…

David Heartland
David Heartland
12 days ago
Reply to  Tom

You just invoked my gag reflex/

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago
Reply to  Tom

…been there….oooofaaa

TheBird
TheBird
11 days ago
Reply to  Tom

You are mistaken, that is Hegseth

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Tom

Trump has had more women than you’ve ever known! Three known wives. At least 6 kids. Beaucoup $$$ paid out to keep many others silent.

Now you?

SteamBoi
SteamBoi
11 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Glad you’re acknowledging that Trump has “had… at least six kids.” Or should we say “enjoyed…”

pokercat
pokercat
11 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

“Trump has had more women than you’ve ever known!” Maybe

But has he ever had one he didn’t pay or wasn’t crying for their mother?

Pedro
Pedro
12 days ago

Its so tiring watching the fool in the White House stomp around with his ignorant demands while his sycophants and supporters try to keep his diaper from falling off. November can’t come soon enough

Name
Name
12 days ago
Reply to  Pedro

its a show
the question is who is it actually for
and what are its objectives

pokercat
pokercat
12 days ago
Reply to  Pedro

The new congress will take office Jan 3, 2027. Between Nov and Jan trump will go nuclear. I think the crazy has just started and we ain’t seen nothing yet.

yippee
yippee
11 days ago
Reply to  pokercat

i bet trump will take a trillion dollar deal to be exiled to mar a lago or saudi or china or russia………..before he croaks. perhaps in 2027. perhaps in 2029……..

Jon
Jon
12 days ago
Reply to  Pedro

What, exactly do you think a new Democrat controlled Congress is going to do?

  1. They’re controlled by the Jewish bribe machine too.
  2. They won’t have a filibuster proof majority in the Senate.
  3. Trump will simply veto any actions they take.
  4. The Republican Senate will filibuster any actions they take.
  5. MAGA will wake up again screaming about anti-Trump communists.
  6. Fox will blame the world economic meltdown on democratic communism and the right will believe them.
Pedro
Pedro
12 days ago
Reply to  Jon

I agree with you, the democrats suck too. But the only better solution to the current corrupt shitshow is total gridlock, and let them destroy each other until the population suffers enough to have a constitutional amendment to get reform politics. I know its a pipe dream, and most likely the US will follow the arc of history

yippee
yippee
11 days ago
Reply to  Pedro

democracy works. the amerikan people are in the majority big time assholes. so they elect uniparty war mongering assholes. a few libertarian and green voters won’t change this. crumbling evil empire 101. get a reality check girls and boys. look at your family and friends for the answer. it’s ugly.

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Jon

As soon as Dems control the senate and the White House, they will kill the filibuster.

Jon
Jon
12 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

They’ve had 200 years to do so. Why now?

Neil
Neil
11 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Why would they? Everyone can see it’s the last check against 100% insanity. It seems to hold even not under trump. Why would the currently more same of the two parties throw that away for some short term gain? It’s nothing but lies from the republicans to justify their own attempt at it.

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Jon

Explain “democratic communism”? 🤣

Otherwise, your list is spot on.

Last edited 11 days ago by Jojo
Jon
Jon
11 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Democratic communism is the term you use when folks stop thinking democratic socialism is scary enough.

Sentient
Sentient
11 days ago
Reply to  Jon

I stumbled across this thought provoking rant. It’s not just Gen Z who are disillusioned with US capitalism such ss it is
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WlccPe-uYpA&pp=ygUvNzYgYW5kIHN0aWxsIHdvcmtpbmcgdGhlIG5ldyBhbWVyaWNhbiBuaWdodG1hcmU%3D&ra=m

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Everyone is always unhappy with something!

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago

We have it. The smoking gun. The evidence. The potential weapon of mass destruction we have been looking for as our pretext to invade Iran. There’s just one problem—it’s in Tel Aviv.” — TRUMP (maybe)

Last edited 12 days ago by Joe Penny
Andy
Andy
12 days ago
Reply to  Joe Penny

Donald has always such an ambiguous way of expressing himself.

Is Tel Aviv now the reason he cannot invade
or
can the smoking gun, the evidence and the potential weapon of mass destruction – all reason to justify an invasion be found in…

Tel Aviv?

Andy
Andy
12 days ago

Hi Mish,

After long time I like to drop a comment again and may give you a few hints from the “front line” (yes, I am still here in Oman and the UAE).

Everybody is talking about Oil – rightfully – and… Bessent Says “the Strait Will Become Irrelevant”.

Sure, it may take some years, but I see how fast the works on the BAB-Fujairah pipeline capacity expansion is going. Almost half of the second 48” pipeline is already complete and next year this expansion will be most propably up and running. Then the link will have 3.6 mill. bpd.
ADNOC has requested the contractors to extend construction capacity. It’s a high, high political issue.
And… a third pipe is now in the tendering stage but they are still thinking of an alternate route probably to Oman -> that would mean the UAE is hellbent of bypassing the Strait with their full capacity.

Meanwhile, my contacts in Kuwait reported that Oil production in the Kuwait Oilfields is pretty down with the storage tanks full and many of the oil wells for the time being shut-in.

But… I see something nobody is looking YET.

Abu Dhabi will get their Oil out somehow. But nobody is thinking how their “brothers” will do -> and here in particular Dubai and Bahrain… and Oman -> because their second leg is… Tourism.

My eyes are in particular on the Cruise Ships.
Do you know how many of them are circling in the gulf here during season? Well, here a tip -> during peak season approx. 20 cruise liners circling here. Often, I see them here in Muscat – 3 (sometimes even 4) ships – parking in the Mutrah port.
Well, do you remember all the cruise liners that were trapped in the gulf?

This year, ALL operators have cancelled their tours. But if the strait opens again – with toll fee – what will happen then?
A 1Mill US$ transit fee per ship would put between 600 to 1000$ extra on each tourist package. That’s something between 50-110% increase. Cruising through the middle east will be suddenly not so attractive anymore. And this damage will be permanent.

Oman is quiet… because I sense their leaders are pretty comfortable with the outcome (of getting a share of the toll fee without having ever fought for it). But Dubai and in particular Bahrain will feel the pain.

Bahrain suffers extremely – cannot export the little oil/gas they have AND no cruise tourism.
Saudi will see this as an opportunity of taking a share from Dubai’s tourists. Since Dubai’s income… is not oil, not tourism… no, no… it is selling the properties they build like crazy (leveraged of course) to either international investors or agencies that rent them to the expats. A tourism downturn will throw the proverbial “spanner into the gearbox” by triggering a chain reaction Tourism down -> foreign expats that invest in Tourism infrastructure… down -> these expats will not stay/come -> hence property sale/rental down -> state revenue down.

That will even put some oil on the tensions (if not to say fire) between Saudi and the UAE. How that all works out has to be seen. One thing is clear – Iran definitely emerges out of this malaise much stronger than before.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
11 days ago
Reply to  Andy

Pipelines are big, vulnerable (esp. pumping stations), expensive and immobile

Andy
Andy
11 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

Pipelines are miserable targets. They are 3m underground and very thin lines 1/20th of the accuracy of a high precision missile.
If someone wants to do something… look for the processing plant with the manifolds. They are Hughe, above ground and also immobile.

But on the other hand, Iran does not have that much of a problem with the Emiratis. If they would have… they would have struck much much much more critical targets there in March and April.

yippee
yippee
11 days ago
Reply to  Andy

hasn’t dubai been a major smugglers port for persian riches for centuries. my pals who lived there in the 1970s have great tales of armored trucks pulling up to citibank with diamonds and gold to convert…….

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Andy

Thanks for the perspective.

Hard to believe anyone would want to cruise the Persian Gulf in the best of times!

Eric
Eric
12 days ago

We get a “48-Hour Final Ultimatum to Open the Strait of Hormuz” every month of this endless “Six-Week Military Operation.” But don’t expect anyone to notice the math. The public’s memory resets every fortnight, and Trump banks on that collective dementia to keep his recycled threats feeling brand new each time.

Creamer
Creamer
12 days ago

I think this article answers Jojo’s question from last post pretty well. Too bad he’ll keep doing his circus clown act regardless of how wrong he demonstrably is and pretending it’s a win. Kind of amazing how that seems to be what the GOP thinks will win voters over.

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

Guess we’ll have to wait and see. Boobus Americanus voters have short memories.

cambeiu
cambeiu
12 days ago

The Saudis just signed a mutual security agreement with Pakistan and Turkey.
There is no other event that more clearly shows America’s loss of prestige and power than the Gulf states that were once US vassals and under America’s protective umbrella forging regional security arrangements.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

They should have their own little NATO. We aren’t paid by them to be their military support. Just like the EU needs to protect itself from Russia (well, the old Russia, anyways), the Gulf States clearly need to protect themselves against the Iranian Regime.

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

That’s actually true on both counts. The Sunni Arab dictatorships need to come to terms with Iran – which requires ejecting the US from their lands. The Europeons need to do the same, although that one’s harder since their populations and “leaders” have so propagandized themselves that they’re creating the threat of war with Russia where none existed.

Neil
Neil
12 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

I have team members in Poland. They have never doubted that Russia is a threat, and are wondering not if but when Russia will attack. Western Europe is still quite naive, in that they think Russia is not a real threat.

Amazing to see btw, is Russia helping Irans military and Trump has no issue with that. He is being mocked openly and doesnt even notice.

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Neil

Your team members are dumb. I think it’s inevitable that Russia will prevail in Ukraine, but it hasn’t been easy. The idea that they want to invade Poland or any western europeon country is ridiculous (the Baltics should watch their P’s and Q’s, though). Russians hear the bellicose rhetoric coming out of Western leaders, and Russia will use nukes against them if they have to to defend themselves. The city most deserving of that for f*cking around and finding out is London. A small tactical (or more likely, an Oreshnik) onto MI6 headquarters may be sufficient.

Last edited 12 days ago by Sentient
Neil
Neil
11 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

My team members are far from dumb. And I think it is far from certain how the Ukraine war plays out. Either country could suddenly collapse, but more likely this will go on for longer and more destruction and death happens while Russia gains minimal ground.

However, Russia has made it’s entire economy about war. It has to deal with hundreds of thousands of traumatised men, trained in violence coming home to a devastated economy. The shift to a Peace economy will be very painful. By invading Ukraine Russia has also shown it is not a rational actor that bases it’s actions on intelligence. They see NATO as wavering. So, to simply dismiss the idea that they would attack Eastern Europe in that dynamic is silly.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
11 days ago
Reply to  Neil

Poles are rabid russophobes. Lived and worked there, I speak polish.

Neil
Neil
11 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

That doesnt make them wrong

peelo
peelo
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

The US dollar relied on that structure of what we were providing. Other nations were paying by being in our currency and protection regime, making us “indispensable.” In a matter of months, we are becoming “dispensable.” We may start to resort to military blackmail to stay involved, as we are drifting into in the Straits. This is more the North Korean level model, than what we were, pre-Trump.
I’ve studied the Brits’ decline for decades. This has so many earmarks. Losing monetary hegemony, key chokepoints control, etc.
What makes me wonder, is Jojo’s absolute consistency in nothing other than forming rationalizations for everything happening.They otherwise often inconsistent. We were winning last week, but this week gulf nations should cut us out? We have been nudged out. We have lost pivotally for history.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
12 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

The Americans seek to drag Pakistan and Turkey into their war.

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
12 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

@Feral

I saw your comment regarding the USA lower threshold for nukes. I also saw headlines saying/confirming:
– Elon’s underground construction biz is booming.
– AI-designed viruses are a thing now.

Are the underground leaders going to kill the surface dwellers in a nuclear fire? Or with ai drones? Or with ai-designed viruses?

I think we are heading this way. They’ll kill us all, in 5 or 10 years. I now feel it’s more likely than not.

Tell me you disagree and why.

Last edited 12 days ago by most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
hmk
hmk
12 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

The beginning of WW3.

Tony Frank
Tony Frank
12 days ago

Not sure how any human being could possibly believe any of the verbal vomit coming out of the mouths of the dc stooges. What a disaster when the nation is led by a pack of self-centered, deranged liars and thieves.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  Tony Frank

Thumbs up for pointing out how the Iranian Regime is such a loser!

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
12 days ago
Reply to  Tony Frank

This is what happens when capital accumulates in too few hands. They buy everyone off.

In wealthy nations, the average person suffers but gets by. In poor nations, they suffer more. That’s when the poor turn to communists who fight the local oligarchs who were doing the local dirty work for the foreign oligarchs. It ends up a revolution for both independence and for a financial reset.

Average people in wealthy nations might learn from the foreign experience. In some nations that could defend themselves, standards of living improved. But that’s not what the oligarch news and history books say. So, the average people in oligarchies shudder at the thought of communism.

So here we are.

Last edited 12 days ago by most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
steve
steve
12 days ago

It’s about to get a lot worse for Iran.

moparsully
moparsully
12 days ago
Reply to  steve

Iran is in much better shape than six months ago and there is nowhere to go but up

Sledge
Sledge
12 days ago
Reply to  steve

No. You are just a toddler.

Phil in CT
Phil in CT
12 days ago
Reply to  steve

You can’t fool all the people all the time but this guy, 100%

CJW
CJW
12 days ago
Reply to  steve

Iran is perfectly willing to endure whatever the US does for years. The US can probably keep this up for another month and certainly things will be shut down in January. So Iran sees the light at the end of the tunnel. All Trump sees is any legacy he might have had swirling down his golden toilet.

‘Lil Mr.
‘Lil Mr.
12 days ago

Both Superpowers FA&FO. Who would have ever thought that?

cambeiu
cambeiu
12 days ago
Reply to  ‘Lil Mr.

The USSR was a superpower. Russia is a regional power.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

Russia has proven to be nothing more than a military paper tiger. Ukraine, with far less weapons than Iran, has held Russia to a stalemate for over 4 years now!

All those PR parades for the benefit of its image in the world and to impress its population were total BS.

I bet China is no different, which is why they talk big about Taiwan but do nothing.

moparsully
moparsully
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Is there a sarcasm font here

Jon
Jon
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

100% correct about Russia. 100% wrong about China. Though China has no interest in being a global military superpower. It’s goal is to be a global economic superpower.

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Jon

You and Jojo, keep telling yourselves that. “Ukraine” (their blood, NATO bullets) is out of interceptors and running out of men. All they have is drones. The US & NATO have almost nothing to give. They’ve taken to attacking college dorms and buses (with CIA help) in a desperate and ridiculous attempt to get Russia to surrender. They’re cut off from the Black Sea and Russia is destroying their gas stations, so nothing can move. Even Kiev is now a sitting duck. They will collapse – whether it’s in 4 months or 5 years. In contrast, the US took 20 years to lose to the Taliban.

Neil
Neil
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Couldnt agree more on this. China is not much less corrupt than Russia. Their military likely is similarly hollowed out. A funny anecdote from Russian employees at the start of the invasion at my brother’d company is that when the Westerners were amazed that Russian tanks couldnt drive because the gasoline apparently was sold by the soldiers, they thought the western colleagues were incredibly naive and pointed out that the gas had never been there – and the money for it pocketed by a General most likely.

Mike
Mike
11 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

Could turn off the energy pumps to Europe.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago

The Iranian Regime is in deep doodoo says President of Iran!

Iran’s president blames foreign pressure as expert warns regime’s economy nears breaking point

Iran analyst says regime’s ‘most dangerous moments have been economic, not ideological’

Efrat Lachter

August 6, 2026

This regime knows it cannot win outright: FDD Iran program senior director

Foundation for Defense of Democracies Iran program senior director Behnam Ben Taleblu discusses the state of the U.S.-Iran conflict on ‘America Reports.’

Reports of Iranians stealing bread, cheese, meat and other basic groceries are fueling concerns that the country’s worsening economic crisis is pushing households toward a breaking point.

An investigation published Wednesday by the Iranian newspaper Jahan-e Sanat described supermarket workers encountering customers who allegedly concealed inexpensive food items or ate packaged products inside stores without paying. The accounts are anecdotal and do not establish the national prevalence of food theft, but analysts say they reflect the mounting pressure created by inflation, currency depreciation and collapsing purchasing power.

“These are anecdotal, but they align with hard data,” Miad Maleki, an associate fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told Fox News Digital.

“Iran is already inside the tipping zone,” Maleki said. “But a genuine ‘tipping point’ wouldn’t be a single dramatic event. It would look like what’s already unfolding in slow motion: currency collapse, World War II-level food inflation and now theft of staples, reaching a threshold where basic caloric/nutritional access breaks down for a large share of the population, not just the poorest.”

The reports surfaced as Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian acknowledged that the country was facing “difficulties and problems,” while insisting during a televised address Wednesday that Iran remained powerful and respected.

https://www.foxnews.com/world/irans-president-blames-foreign-pressure-expert-warns-regimes-economy-nears-breaking-point

FDR
FDR
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Iran doesn’t have to win because they already have won in the sense that Trump’s objectives have all collapsed and he is attempting to return the Strait of Hormuz to its navigable position before Bibi, Mossad and the IDF led him down a primrose path.

The US will leave and declare victory or Trump will be impeached and convicted before the end of ‘27.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  FDR

The great thing about making predictions is that no one remembers when they don’t pan out. I hope you don’t work as an astrologer or fortune teller.

Creamer
Creamer
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

You mean like when you repeatedly predicted an American win in under 6 weeks. It’s been how long now Jojo? Why do they still have a military Jojo? Why isn’t the strait open? Why is gas still more expensive? Where are the missiles we need?

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Creamer

Prove I said “6 weeks”.

And even if I did, you’ll find that I regularly state that the US is afraid to fight the war as it should be fought, which means boots on the ground and setting up an environment where the Iranian opposition can quickly take over. That, of course, would mean that we would have to kill off as many IRGC members as possible, something that doesn’t wash well in our modern society.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago

I just did a deep search and have been unable to find any corroborating evidence that an Iranian projectile has struck a ship in the Hormuz Strait.

Plus there is no media on Fox about this and nothing on CentCom.

I think this report may well be imaginary.

Good ROT: When you find something reported on X, double and triple check it before touting it.

Joe Penny
Joe Penny
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Might be media news suppression – doubtful, as they all hate Trump

Could equally be bad TDS reporting by Mish — most likely

Jon
Jon
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

The US media is controlled by Zionist Jewish interests. It is not in Israel’s interests that Americans think Iran has the ability to fight back.

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Jon

They can’t fight back and their new Ayatollah is likely dead. They have no leadership and are “duking” it out for control internally. The number of countries still trading with the Regime are few. Their economy is in the dumpster.

Sure, the Iranian Regime can continue their ankle-biting by lobbing a few of their remaining missiles or drones at ships in the Strait of Hormuz and maybe hitting one now and then.

But long-term, all this will do is keep THEIR OWN ability to sell and deliver oil locked up while other oil producing countries will be successfully escorted through the Strait or willfind other ways to transport their products, such as through pipelines or via rail/truck overland.

This is winning?

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  Jon

I believe I found the reference in a Reuters article.

This was a minor attack that caused no real damage and no one was injured. But someone on X got all breathless about a “successful” missile strike and Mish fell for it.

Iran says deal on Strait of Hormuz is close but is not enough to open the waterway

By Enas Alashray, Steve Holland and Nafisa Eltahir

August 8, 2026

The UAE said on Saturday that Iran had attacked a carrier affiliated with its state oil company with a missile as it transited the Strait of Hormuz, with no injuries reported, in the latest escalation in attacks on shipping there. The UK maritime trade monitor UKMTO said a vessel had caught fire after being hit by an unknown projectile but the fire was put out and there was no reported environmental impact.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-says-deal-strait-hormuz-is-close-will-not-open-waterway-by-itself-2026-08-08/

FDR
FDR
12 days ago

So Donnie starts two wars he can’t finish in Ukraine and Iran, isn’t trusted in any world capitol that isn’t a vassal state, has record low reserves in oil at Cushing and the SPR, has limited weapons to fight a two front war, lost over a hundred thousand jobs in two months, the US is headed for a recession if we are lucky, Turkey,Saudi Arabia and Pakistani sign a trilateral defense pact due to his bungling in W. Asia, Japan and the US are playing footsie under the FX table due to inflation caused by Donnie Downer, and Donnie sprays gold on two classic monuments of War and Peace and we are to believe we are winning?

Is he Nero or Commodus reincarnated?

Last edited 12 days ago by FDR
Bill
Bill
12 days ago
Reply to  FDR

Typo: Ukraine?
My goodness.

FDR
FDR
12 days ago
Reply to  Bill

No typo. Donnie armed Ukraine. Even St. Obama wasn’t that stupid.

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
12 days ago
Reply to  Bill

Trump bragged about arming Ukraine /even during his reelection campaign in 2024/. That alone told me to expect more of the same as Biden.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  FDR

Maybe you should impeach him, if you are unhappy with the actions he has taken? Oh, tried that and it didn’t work.

Guess you’ll just have to continue whining for another 2.5 years. Will you still be alive then? 🤣

Sentient
Sentient
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

He’ll be impeached after January 3rd – and very possibly convicted and removed, with GOP senators wanting him out before he destroys what’s left of their party.

most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
most of you voted for the uniparty all your lives
12 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

The D’s will drag it on for 2 years. In the end, it won’t matter whether they complete the process.

Flavia
Flavia
12 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

He won’t hang around for that.
He’ll go home first.

cambeiu
cambeiu
12 days ago

If there was a viable military solution for the closure of the strait, the US would have taken it already.

The Trump administration really has no good options here. Giving up the control of the Strait to Iran will deal a massive political blow to the administration and will mark the end of the US global military hegemony. It will also royally screw our vassal Gulf countries.

If Trump decides to insist with the military route, things will look ever more bleak. The US Defense Dept has war gamed/simulated the shit out of this scenario and they found no viable miliary only wins. Sending warships to run the Hormuz gauntlet in escort duty is a death sentence. A ground invasion of Iran will make Vietnam look like a picnic. It will be like Afghanistan, but much deadlier, even if the goal is just to secure the coast around Hormuz. But let’s say that after much blood and tears, America somehow opens the Strait. Iran’s next step after losing strait’s leverage will be to target and destroy the gulf’s oil infrastructure.

US military has used up nearly 80% of key missile interceptors as commanders warn stockpiles ‘dangerously low,’ sources say

Each Patriot interceptor costs around $4 million. Each THAAD interceptor costs around $12 million. That is the cost for ONE missile fired. The US usually fires around 2-4 interceptors against every incoming Iranian missile, in order to ensure a near 100% kill rate. 
The most common Iranian ballistic missiles (Emad, Qiam-1, Shahab-3) cost between $250K to $1 million. Their next gen hypersonic missiles (Fattah-1, Kheibar Shekan), that even the THAAD have a hard time intercepting due to their “dancing” capabilities, costs around $3 million a piece.
The Iranian missiles are designed for simplicity and ease of manufacture. They use solid fuel, standardized parts and off the shelf consumer grade electronics that provide ‘good enough’ precision at very low costs. Meanwhile, American systems are complex, expensive and rely on heavily customized components. That is done purposely in order to ensure the best profit margins possible for the defense contractors.  

So opening the Gulf could end up being an empty victory if there is no longer any oil to be shipped.

I know it is hard for many Americans to accept that their mighty country is staring at a complete and total strategic defeat, but it is what it is. No Rambo, Chuck Norris or Top Gun’s Maverick is coming to save the day

Considering that strategic reserves are at historical lows, the USDA is warning of increasing food prices, electricity price spikes in the US and Europe and upcoming mid-term election, Iran is not the one operating under time pressure here, the US is.

Jojo
Jojo
12 days ago
Reply to  cambeiu

I know it is hard for many Americans to accept that their mighty country is staring at a complete and total strategic defeat, but it is what it is.”

Lucky for the world that so few read your posts, so rambling, unfocused examples, such as the above, are just a grand waste of precious internet bits.

Trump’s bottom-line remains: The Iranian Regime will not be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon and the Strait of Hormuz will remain open, without tolls, as it was and has been in the past. The US will not be defeated by the Iranian Regime. PERIOD!

You can stomp your tiny feet, hold your breath and kick your dog and count your thumbs up on Mish’s blog, but nothing that you can say will change anything.

FDR
FDR
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

“Trump is a moron”

Rex Tillerson.

This statement was made after Tillerson, McMaster, and Mathis briefed him at the Pentagon in a secured location called “The Tank”with a powerpoint demonstration of pictures, graphs, and maps so his ADD brain could comprehend geopolitics, treaties, etc.

After the meeting was over due to Trump’s responses on increasing nuclear armaments, Afghanistan, etc., Tillerson called him a moron.

Tillerson was right and you are wrong. The facts speak for themselves. Trump lost this war on day 1 because no one was there to brief him that was willing to say no or circumvent his addled mind into saying ok and do nothing of importance, or kiss his ass and tell him how smart he is but let’s wait till the US can rebuild its arsenal, get more allies on board, brief Congress, etc.

yippee
yippee
11 days ago
Reply to  FDR

i believe the quote was more accurately “fucking moron”

Andy
Andy
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

How ever can Iran defeat the US when they even have attacked the US homeland? Iran might win by being able to defend themselves.

Webej
Webej
12 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Please hold your breath pending Trump achieving these putative aims.

TheBird
TheBird
11 days ago
Reply to  Jojo

Prior to the existence of Trump in the White House the Straight was open and free and Iran was under IAEA safeguards and was not actively developing a nuclear weapon or enriching above 5%.

Jojo
Jojo
11 days ago
Reply to  TheBird

BS!. The Iranian Regime was not allowing the IAEA in. Which of course, increased suspiciousness about what they were up to with their nuclear program. I wish there were away to administer an electric shock to people like yourself who post uninformed, misinformation!

Perhaps looking back at all the damage that Iran ahs suffered and the decimation of their prior leadership, the Iranian Regime might think that they made some bad choices.

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