As Few as Ten Congressional Districts May Decide the 2022 Midterm Elections

September 24, 2022

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3:47 pm

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72 comments

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Economics, Politics

538 poll synopsis updated September 23, 2022

Like Nate Silver or not, the above 538 House Forecast is a reasonable starting point for discussion.

Silver has the Republicans a slight favorite (68-32) favorite to win the House. That margin seems more than “slight” but use your own definition.

Majority Math

There are 435 seats so 218 is a majority
The current house makeup is 221 to 214
A flip of 7 seats, my base forecast right now, would give the Republicans a 221-214 majority.

Republicans have a bit of a cushion in this. For example, AZ-2 and VA-2 could easily easily flip Red negating CA-27 and PA-7.

Election What If?

If you give all 11 seats in the blue box to Republicans and all else stayed the same (it wouldn’t) Republicans would pick up 4 more seats for a net pickup of 11.
If you give all 11 seats in the blue box to Democrats and all else stayed the same (it wouldn’t) Republicans would only flip a net of 3 seats giving Democrats a 218 to 217 majority of 1.

That latter scenario, or a similar outcome is unlikely, but it’s possible. One in four or five is not a major upset.

10-12 Seats Are Crucial

No one trusts these polls, but 10-12 tossup seats could easily determine this crucial midterm election.

Very few seats are actually in play in most elections. Only when there is a blowout do major shifts occur. Then midterm results return to the status quo sooner or later, and mostly sooner.

This setup is a result of extreme gerrymandering by both parties in the states they control.

And as a direct consequence, extreme candidates win nominations.

What Will Determine the Outcome?

The vote will come down to turnout, policies, and mostly on winning over independents.

Republicans need focus on issues the independents care about if they wish to improve their odds in the midterm elections.

Here are those issues: Inflation, education, school boards, woke policies, massive tax hikes, and potential blue state pension bailouts.

Results in very a very red-state Kansas show abortion is mostly a losing message for Republicans. By a 59-41 percent margin Kansas voters rejected a constitutional amendment Tuesday that would have said there was no right to an abortion in the state.

Democrats have picked up on this.

Republicans let Democrats turn the campaign into a focus on Trump and abortion not on inflation. Trump himself is not displeased with this.

There is a lot riding on the outcome economically. I expect an inflationary inferno if Democrats hold the House because the most likely outcome is they pick up a Senate seat.

Progressives would be in full control, no longer needing Senator Joe Manchin’s vote.

This post originated at MishTalk.Com.

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mrchinup

3 years ago

Hard to believe anyone would vote for a globalist liberal after the cluster for the past 2 years. Sad we have such dumb people in this country.

KidHorn

3 years ago

Polls can’t be trusted. Not only are they biased towards making the left appear stronger than actual, many conservatives are scared to show support because of cancel culture.

Ann_Usa

3 years ago

I think it’s going to be a landslide as long as the Republicans can contain the cheating by the Dems, the Republicans have several measures in place to try and safeguard the election as much as possible.

The following excerpts from a recent article is why I think it will be a landslide for Republicans.

———————————————————–

The Republican Party saw its most significant edge ever over Democrats in a September NBC News poll on the economy, crime, and immigration.

The poll, conducted between September 9 to 13, found that Republicans held massive leads — the largest in the poll’s history — on key issues when the respondents were asked who would do a better job handling them, with less than two months left before the election.

On the economy, 47 percent said they would trust a Republican to handle the economy compared to 28 percent who said a Democrat. This gives Republicans a plus 19, when 12 percent said both, 12 percent said neither, and one percent said not sure.

For the economy in October 2021, the Republicans were up by 18 points — Republicans saw 45 percent, and Democrats saw 27 percent.

On crime, 45 percent said they would trust a Republican to handle crime, as there is a current problem throughout the country, compared to 22 percent who said a Democrat. This gives Republicans a plus 23, when 14 percent said both, 18 percent said neither, and one percent said not sure.

For crime in October 2021, the Republicans were up by 22 points — Republicans saw 43 percent, and the Democrats saw 21 percent.

On immigration, 46 percent said they would trust a Republican to handle immigration, compared to the 29 percent who said a Democrat. This gives Republicans a plus 17, when seven percent said both, 17 percent said neither, and one percent said not sure.

For immigration in October 2021, the Republicans were up by ten points — Republicans saw 36 percent, and the Democrats saw 26 percent.

Andrewp111

3 years ago

I don’t know who is going to win but I am confident in one prediction – turnout in this Midterm will be a historic record. I will be surprised if total turnout is less than 120 million. The reason is everyone is very angry. Republican voters are very angry over what Dementia Joe and the Democrats are doing and have done. Democrats are angry because of Roe being overturned, and Independents are angry for either or both reasons. Angry people vote. I just don’t know how the independents will break. Do they care more about abortion or everything else? Abortion rights is so personal, particularly for parents of teenage girls, that many millions of suburbanites will be highly conflicted, and there is no way to predict how they break.

prumbly

3 years ago

Reply to Andrewp111

I never understood why Democrats are so keen on abortions. They are such awful, destructive procedures. I can’t imagine anyone who has had an abortion ever truly recovers psychologically.

KidHorn

3 years ago

Reply to prumbly

They want to depopulate the world. Main reason why the wealthy support democrats. Democrats are willing to enact policies that get rid of poor people.

Webej

3 years ago

Another contest about which side is most disliked and least trusted … nothing to vote for.

Too bad there is no other choice.

Two unworthy cartels have a complete lock on American politics and policy, er, lobbying bids.

Thetenyear

3 years ago

Despite 538’s expertise, common sense says that dems will lose both majorities given that they are historically upside down on every major issue

Answer the following:

Do you want more inflation or less inflation?

More economic growth or less?

More illegal immigration or less? The caring folks of Martha’s Vineyard have already answered this for us.

I could go on and on: skyrocketing crime, murder, drugs, child rape trafficking, domestic energy vs foreign, parental rights vs school boards.

And if the market and economy continue to crater it won’t even be close.

Andrewp111

3 years ago

Reply to Thetenyear

That would be true except that Trump Republicans are exercising power from “beyond the grave” through the Supreme Court. Overturning Roe is a historic decision and its implications have been slowly but surely sinking into the public’s heads over the last few months. Yes, the economy and markets are likely to continue to crater, but so what? Anyone with a brain knows that Democratic retention of both Houses means a hyperinflationary spiral, and if Republicans take even one House, the Democrat spending spree stops and you get a Depression and a system reset in 2024. We are at the end of an economic cycle and reckless Democrat spending is the only thing keeping the economy afloat right now. Flip your coin, cast your vote, pick your disaster.

whirlaway

3 years ago

“If Democrats manage to hold the House and pick up a single Senate seat, they will unleash a wave of very inflationary Progressive legislation.”

LOL. The DONORcrat Party will always, always, ALWAYS have enough “rotating villain” Senators to thwart anything that is actual left-wing policies.

In 2009, they had SIXTY Senators, and yet what did they pass?! That’s right, a RIGHT-wing health insurance scam called Affordable Care Act a.k.a. Obolacare.

KidHorn

3 years ago

Reply to whirlaway

The ACA was advertised as fixing the health care problem. In reality, it was designed to make sure the health care problem would never be fixed.

StukiMoi

3 years ago

“If Democrats manage to hold the House and pick up a single Senate seat, they will unleash a wave of very inflationary Progressive legislation.”

And if they don’t; the Republicans will do exactly ditto…..

And, in either case, The Fed will accomodate them by inflating.

Casual_Observer2020

3 years ago

https://bettermarkets.org/newsroom/dangerous-trump-era-banking-deregulation-becomes-effective-tomorrow/

https://www.currentaffairs.org/2022/09/the-commodities-markets-are-absurd-unstable-and-dangerous

Casual_Observer2020

3 years ago

Derivatives were deregulated again in 2017 and the rules put in during the Obama administration were undone. Biden and Gensler have been unwilling to change things back so we will go off the rails like 2007 and 2008 again soon. This is the reason commodity derivatives via ETFs have gone crazy. The financial system is at risk but it’s not due to burdensome regulations or spending as some would have you believe. The economy has been taken over by hedge funds and speculators again.

JackWebb

3 years ago

Oh joy. Another political yammerer with the 13,058th “analysis” of the midterms. Mish, stay in your expletive deleted lane. Honest to God, I couldn’t care less what you think about this.

8dots

3 years ago

Sir John Glubb : “The Fate of Empires” : life expectancy of the average empire is about 250 years. We are in the last chapter.

But the Roman Empire, though injured, survived for more than 400 beyond his terminal point, decadent.

8dots

3 years ago

NDX might rise in a low slog up, possibly until Aug/ Oct 2023, before dropping sharply in 2023/ 2024. When the next recession start JP will not support the plunging markets. Mitch McC : if we win, we will make sure that Biden will not become president again.

Pain and no gov helping hands. Debt will deflate, cleansing the books, shedding the zombies, to start a new phase. Mish dire projection might be right.

RonJ

3 years ago

Fall of the American empire, fall of western civilization. It’s like the Borg. Resistance is futile. The Sun set on the Roman and British Empires, as well as the others that get a footnote in history books. The only question is the timing. It all looks rather ugly.

What comes after the Great (debt) Reset? History keeps rhyming with itself, over and over again. A script is already written. Who will be the players? Who will be the played? Step up and join the mass formation (psychosis).

vanderlyn

3 years ago

Reply to RonJ

pax dumbfu*Kistan peaked in the 60s perhaps. been sliding down like every other empire before her. amerikans too dumb to understand they live in an empire.

MPO45

3 years ago

I don’t know who it was but during the last election cycle someone commented that it didn’t matter who wins, we’ll all be losers. To that end, I have investment strategies in case dems win and one if repubs win and that’s where the dialog should be, no politician is going to save anyone no matter how badly they wish it.

Both parties offer their own versions of “woke” nonsense, anyone that doesn’t understand that isn’t being intellectually honest with themselves.

Raymond_Flagstaff

3 years ago

Expect plenty of defeatist propaganda stating there is no reason to vote. Expect continued use of suppression polls. Expect continued unregulated immigration to dilute the nationalistic American. And certainly be ready for a major false flag or black swan. Both the republic and democratic part of the american system are on their last legs with very little hope for lasting improvement, being said the only way forward is continued attempts at participation in self governance despite all the attacks underway against it

vanderlyn

3 years ago

if you believe there is a difference in spending and borrowing and waste and abuse between the Ds and Rs in the past 50 years, i have a bridge to sell you here in the great boro of kings county NY. if YOUR life or mine depended on it, WE could not determine who held the house/senate or presidency if we went by the spending and borrowing and printing wasted on bogus stuff. nobody could. it’s a joke to make believe. but the ruling class has divided and conquered the empire with this kabucki theatre. sorry old boy, you are washed up on this front. i’ll pitfully vote libertarian. for my own soul and self respect.

Raymond_Flagstaff

3 years ago

Reply to vanderlyn

We dont get to vote on the last 50 years. Discarding your vote won’t help anyone

vanderlyn

3 years ago

Reply to Raymond_Flagstaff

i always vote. and have worked the polls in 4 different US states. i also vote in an EU country having election tomorrow.

Raymond_Flagstaff

3 years ago

Reply to vanderlyn

Oh i was not under that impression from your previous message, good luck!

PapaDave

3 years ago

Don’t care about the mid-terms. It doesn’t make much difference to me who wins.

OT: The war is going poorly for Russia.

Mr Putin signed fresh decrees on Saturday imposing punishments of up to 10 years imprisonment for any soldier caught surrendering, attempting to desert the military or refusing to fight.

Moscow has also approved harsh new punishments for those accused of dereliction of duty once drafted.

Apparently, Russians are losing the will to fight Putin’s war.

Elsewhere, other young Russians continue to flee mobilisation by seeking to leave the country.

On the border with Georgia, queues of Russian cars stretch back more than 30km (18 miles) and the interior ministry has urged people not to travel.

Local Russian officials have admitted that there’s been a significant influx of cars trying to cross – with nearly 2,500 vehicles waiting at one checkpoint.

The admission is a change of tone from Russia, with the Kremlin describing reports of Russians fleeing conscription as “fake” on Thursday.

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to PapaDave

“It doesn’t make much difference to me who wins.”

Noting of McCarthy’s agenda will get done, since the GOP won’t be able to get anything past Biden’s desk. But there’s a lot at stake in terms of holding the Biden, Dems, the FBI, & DOJ accountable via investigations. It’s telling though that McCarthy’s agenda doesn’t discuss whether investigations will even be a focus of the House. The GOP will take the house and MAY take the Senate. Either way, FJB is lame duck but won’t step down or be impeached by the Senate.

Then comes the likely recession next year and how the voters digest that going into ’24. Will the GOP build the case that they’re trying to undo Biden’s inflation & policies. If the GOP holds onto the H & S in ’24 and DeSantis wins, the GOP should get rid of McConnell & the filibuster. We arrived at the point during Bush’s 2nd term where very little gets done with the filibuster in place.

By ending the filibuster, we’ll move to the next logical level in US politics: a fight to the death every 2-4 years to win all three branches of government, so each party can spend two years dismantling what was done previously & implementing then their own agenda al beit possibly short-term.

And if midterms don’t matter, please make sure you don’t vote!

PapaDave

3 years ago

Reply to worleyeoe

I never vote. Waste of time. You said it yourself:

“so each party can spend two years dismantling what was done previously & implementing then their own agenda al beit possibly short-term.”

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to PapaDave

Right now, each side can’t really dismantle. The filibuster ensures so.

Politics – not concerned, foreign policy & investing wonk, go it! Everyone’s an expert on something.

Cheers!

PapaDave

3 years ago

Reply to worleyeoe

I don’t consider myself an expert on much of anything. However, I do try hard to pay attention and attempt to understand what is actually going on in the world, rather than believe all the political garbage that so many here subscribe to. One thing I have learned is that you don’t need to be a genius to be successful. You just need to be able to separate fact from fiction. And have a willingness to act on the facts.

I keep coming back here for the real world insights provided by others, and attempt to add a little insight of my own. The hardest part is filtering out all the fiction to arrive at the facts.

Perhaps I should have used JoeFriday as my handle. Just the facts please ma’am. Just the facts.

JRM

3 years ago

Reply to PapaDave

Yep, listen to the WEST spin on what is going on in Ukraine and Russia..

Recent Russian-Ukrainian POW swap proves, Ukraine is full of hot air on the number of Russian POW’s they have!!!

Just months ago Zelensky demanded a minimum of three Ukrainian POW’s for every one Russian POW minimum and he would rather have the maximum 5 Ukrainian POW’s for every one Russian POW.. That statement proves Ukraine doesn’t have a large amount of Russian POW’s, live or dead!!!!

Finland announced they will not give any Russian asking for Political asylum in Finland, if they are fleeing the draft!!! Only Russians with Tourist Visa’s are being allowed in and will be required to leave once the VISA expires!!! My take with this move, with Finland joining NATO, Finland is worried that many Finnish will flee Finland if they implement the draft to fight for NATO!!!

BBC reported that countries that border Russia have started moving to order Russians that have left Russia in the last week to their countries to go back to Russia or face force expulsions…

BBC admitted they have not found a single Russian that has actually received mobilization orders, who have fled Russia or are in hiding in Russia.. The people BBC have interviewed have admitted to BBC they never received mobilization orders..

Russia sent out Mobilization orders before Putin made the public announcement!!!

As of morning of 9 24, the Ukrainian military has not released a military assessment in three days, the longest time of zero info from the Ukrainian military since Russia invaded, according to BBC!!!

Russia has launched a counter attack in the Northeast region of Ukraine and have made some gains on the ground!!!

Russian continues their slow advance near the Kherson region!!!

Webej

3 years ago

Reply to PapaDave

Apparently, Russians are losing the will to fight Putin’s war.

AP published a story with photos about people fleeing to Finland. Later they had to admit that the pic was from Aug 29, and Finnish authorities said the traffic was pretty normal for a week-end.

Of course there are tens of thousands who do not want to be drafted. Would you? Even if you philosophically supported the cause.

For every video about pissed off people, there are others with crowds waiting to volunteer (without an appointment).

Yes, desertion is punishable, but the Ukrainians shoot people in the back for surrendering, and had legislation to make it a capital offense (not passed).

‘Apparently’. If you cannot muster data, all the stories about motivation are strictly BS. Half of Ukrainians 20-29 were already outside the country, and many more fled for mobilizations. Besides, everybody keep passing over the fact that it is primarily Ukrainians on both sides of the Line of Contact at the front. It is all too often the LDNR battalions against territorial regiments in the trenches.

The nato chorus has been continuously beating the drum about motivation, but motivation does not win wars … otherwise nationalist liberation movements would always triumph (they don’t). Moreover, it is a self-serving narrative, with far too much material about motivated as well as demotivated soldiers on both sides to reach statistical conclusions.

Andrewp111

3 years ago

Reply to PapaDave

Yes, the war is going poorly for Russia, and that means Russia will use nuclear weapons soon. Russia is not willing to lose. Russia has the same mindset as the Democrats, and they will always double down, regardless of the cost or risk.

8dots

3 years ago

This week winner is DXY, reaching 113, a weekly setup bar. If it keep rising Biden lose. If DXY plunge, the useful idiots republicans will take the house and lift SPX to a new all time high, using the inflation rocket fuel ==> for Biden. Clinton & Gingrich duet in repetition.

OUdaveguy

3 years ago

Wildcards: 1) many of us have been injured or fired from forced mRNA injections; these are human rights violations and Democrats will never get these voters back ever again. 2) Biden’s health is extremely poor; a stroke could happen at any time 3) geopolitics 4) vote buying from stimmy checks, like the CO governor, just sent out are intensifying as we get closer to the election

LM2022

3 years ago

Time for a reminder: Deficits go up under Republican presidents (Reagan, Bush, Trump) and down under Democratic presidents (Clinton, Obama and Biden). Republicans aren’t actually for small government, and don’t give a crap about deficits (see: Dick Cheney) they just have different priorities on where to spend the money – tax cuts and deregulation for their buddies and curtailing and policing the personal behaviors of everyone else.

Pontius

3 years ago

Reply to LM2022

Remember when Democrats were the anti-war party and supported free speech?

Captain Ahab

3 years ago

Reply to Pontius

Remember when Democrats were the backbone of the KKK? Voted against equal rights? Voted for segregation?…

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to LM2022

What on God’s green earth are you talking about? Clinton was lucky to be the last president where there was real bipartisanship which made all the difference in the world. And it was the GOP who push for the last annual surpluses from 1998 – 2001. Bush 2 started a 20 year war. Obama’s first year included the 800% increase in annual deficit from 2007 / 2008 to 2009. Certainly, Trump didn’t do anything to slow down the red ink, but FJB is going to make the Trump deficits look like kindergarten.

Personally, I’m not a fan of tax cuts under most circumstances, and I certainly don’t believe in supply side economics without the necessary political will to hold back spending that leads to revenue surpluses.

Dean_70

3 years ago

Reply to LM2022

People forget how Clinton was successful. He loosened banking regulations, created the foundation of our dependency of China, fueled both the .com boom/bust and housing boom/bust, which eventually resulted in a global financial crisis. With loosened banking regulations, coupled with Federal Reserve easy money policy, it is easy to stimulate the economy but now we must pay for their mistakes.

Both parties have paved a path of pure destruction but please don’t show ignorance like this.

Christoball

3 years ago

Reply to Dean_70

Clinton bombed Yugoslavia so as to successfully distract us from “It depends on what the meaning of the word ‘is’ is”

Call_Me

3 years ago

Reply to Dean_70

Don’t forget the positive cash flow from filling up empty rooms at the executive mansion!

Call_Me_Al

Andrewp111

3 years ago

Reply to LM2022

I don’t see that deficits are going down under Biden.

We are at the end of an economic cycle and he must increase spending without limit to keep the economy afloat.

Ham Saplo

3 years ago

I have a policy of never answering a phone unless I know who is on the other end of the line. Some of the pollsters that call are easily identifiable and I don’t trust them either. So where do these poll numbers come from and how can they be accurate? I can’t be the only person that doesn’t want to give out my opinions to a stranger or anybody else for that matter. (Plus I changed my registration to “not stated” because of all the demands for money I get.) I would guess that polling to predict political results has had its day. Very soon our brains will all be microchipped and polling and voting will be automatic and continuous.

Rbm

3 years ago

Maybe maybe not on the dem agenda. The dems have trouble passing programs even when they have the majority. To some degree they still represent the people of their state. I would think if a certain amount of voters switch sides and vote dem. The representatives polices would get closer to the center.

Where the republicans tend to vote as one thus not necessarily representing the people who voted them in.

Maybe theses crazy times will stir up the system in a good way forcing the positions to listen to the voters.

Ps. Its funny how all the attention goes to the extreme sides of the political parties until close to voting time. Then is becomes a fight for the middle.

Yooper

3 years ago

Reply to Rbm

That’s why everyone should be able to vote in the primaries, regardless of party. Only the extremes pass the party primaries, then have to find votes among the masses (moving their platform to the middle)

That would help push out the republican MAGAS and democrat progressives and have a platform representing the other 80% of sane people

Rbm

3 years ago

Reply to Yooper

Very seldom will you a group will to change a system for the better if it involves them losing power or control.

vanderlyn

3 years ago

Reply to Yooper

i’ve lived in a state that you can decide which party primary you want to vote the day of election. a very old fashioned state, too. SC. was true in 90s , not sure anymore.

Andrewp111

3 years ago

Reply to Yooper

Your thesis is wrong. There are many states where the primaries are open. I don’t see that less extremists are elected in those states. California has an all party primary system with a top 2 runoff. Democrat extremists is just about all they elect.

Winston

3 years ago

Interesting case is a slim republican majority with inability to get a consensus on a speaker of the house

Captain Ahab

3 years ago

With a major global recession looming ever closer, is ‘winning’ even desirable given today’s very biased mass media?

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Captain Ahab

Yes, winning this time around matters more than ever. The trajectory the progressives have set the US upon is just staggeringly bad. Mind you, I’m all for renewal energy, especially nuclear SMRs, but there should be a level playing field. If the government is going to subsidize one, then they should all the subsidized equally. Other than expanding renewables, there’s nothing the progressives are offering that makes us a better country.

LloydM

3 years ago

You need to fix this. The US House does not have 835 members.

Mish

3 years ago

Reply to LloydM

I had no idea what you were saying because I said 435, not 835.

But I found the typo 421 to 414 and fixed it.

Thanks

Doug78

3 years ago

Supply Chains

https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/i-candy

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Mish, I checked out your photos site. I’ve been to Antelope Canyon & Zion NP. Great photos!

Article Suggestion: How will 8M illegal immigrants affect US inflation by the end of Biden’s only term?

Zardoz

3 years ago

The clownshow of angry babyman candidates trump produced will set back the gop for decades. They radicalized their base, and drove off anybody that isn’t addicted to rage tv. They totally own the rage monkeys, but the rage monkeys are only 30% of the electorate. They’ll keep losing, and keep throwing tantrums, screaming fraud, and calling for violence against non-rage monkeys, but the only power they’ll have is domestic terrorism.

They have ceded control to the democrats with sheer arrogance and stupidity. It’s astonishing to behold.

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Zardoz

There are good reasons to not like Trump, but to compare him to a clown show while giving FJB a pass is beyond hilarious. The damage FJB has done to this county in a short 18 months is easily an order of magnitude greater than Trump did wrong, most of which was perceived by enormous bias. Take away his mouth, the crush of negative MSM coverage & deep state disinformation and he did a pretty good job.

But the good news is that if Trump is stupid enough to run, DeSantis will take the nomination from him. So, the Trump era you so loath is coming to an end. DeSantis will crush the Dem nominee in 2024. It’s going to be a massacre, especially when the GOP exposes the Biden family’s deep ties to China, decisions made to create and perpetuate the border crisis and the weaponization of the FBI.

And finally about the border. FJB will let at minimum 8M illegals into the US in his only term. Venezuela is releasing hardened criminals from jail and sending them across the border. And, that’s on top of untold numbers from all sorts of Latin America countries. By the end of FJB’s term, the bad consequences of this ongoing crisis will be in full view: drugs, Mexican cartel violence spreading into the US, overall increase in crime, unemployment, upward pressures on inflation through rent, food & healthcare.

Captain Ahab

3 years ago

Reply to Zardoz

Just so you know, the world is laughing at Biden, as much or more than it laughed at Trump. Both presidents reflect very poorly on a country that insists on telling the rest of the world what to do.

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Captain Ahab

I call total BS! If they’re laughing at Biden, they’re doing it behind closed doors which makes them all hypocrites. The elites love FJB’s policies. They can’t get enough of it. Most everyone else doesn’t care, because they know we’re screwed more than we know it ourselves. Again, I’m not a Trump fanboy, but he did a lot of good for this country that he’s not given credit for, most likely including yourself.

Salmo Trutta

3 years ago

Reply to worleyeoe

Ahab is right. Europeans have soured on America. Trump is an OG, while right on some issues, he’s unfit for presidency.

See: “Peril is a book by American journalists Bob Woodward and Robert Costa about the last days of Donald Trump’s presidency, as well as the presidential transition and early presidency of Joe Biden. The book was published on September 21, 2021, by Simon & Schuster”

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Salmo Trutta

What part of “I’m not a Trump fanboy” do you people not get?

Bob Woodward is trash! And honestly, I could care less about Europe. America first is what matters these days. Europe should be responsible for itself. They started their energy & security mess with Russia, and the US should NOT be exporting SO MUCH LNG to them that it makes our NG so inflationary high. It’s a major problem created by FJB, and it’s going to really hit home this winter. Everyone who had a fixed contract for NG or heating oil last winter has reset to much higher rates. Mine is up 95%. And MY GOD the amount of financial / military support FJB has provided the Ukraine would have built an impenetrable southern border wall 3 times over. The bad consequences of open borders for 4 years will percolate to the surface in staggering fashion over the next 5 years. THERE’S ABSOLUTELY ZERO DOWNSIDE TO STOPPING ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION. And anyone who thinks otherwise is anti-American and should move to the EU.

Jackula

3 years ago

Reply to Salmo Trutta

Interesting, will find it and read it. Just finished “Deaths of Despair and the future of (American) capitalism.” Good read especially for understanding the current political situation. My take on the Trump presidency is that his terminal mistake was not accommodating a peaceful transition of power. I’m surprised his support still is as high as it is.

Captain Ahab

3 years ago

Reply to Jackula

Trump’s mistake was not flushing the toilet. There is far too much democrap in the public service for effective government! What we see in DOJ/FBI is the tip of the iceberg. The next Republican president must URGE the top layer of every Federal department.

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Captain Ahab

Implement Schedule F, amen!

Captain Ahab

3 years ago

Reply to worleyeoe

Sorry for the delay. It has taken me this long to stop laughing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sli2Vn6Iiy4

worleyeoe

3 years ago

Reply to Captain Ahab

I’ve already seen that video. It’s cute and to the point. The elites, if they could, would have FJB re-elected. He’s their puppet stooge, making it easier to pull the strings. But, you already know this. We’re just playing semantics.

vanderlyn

3 years ago

Reply to Captain Ahab

amerikans are morons and arrogant. trump and biden are both great reflections of the people. democracy works. always has. i vote here and other places too. democracy works for the past 2500 years ago. amerikans are a holes. that is a fact. like physics.

michiganmoon

3 years ago

Reply to Zardoz

Democrats have given tens of millions to those ultra MAGA candidates, which seems to make their claim that they believe MAGA poses a threat to democracy disingenuous.

Andrewp111

3 years ago

Reply to michiganmoon

Democrats want to win, and have effectively limitless funds. They will boost whatever opposition candidate they imagine is easier to beat. Sometimes they are wrong, but that is what Plan B is for. Who says that these ultra MAGA candidates, if elected, will actually be allowed to take office on Jan 3? I suspect, if too many of these guys get elected, many will be killed in pre-dawn FBI raids in late Nov or Dec.

RonJ

3 years ago

Reply to Zardoz

You are good for comedy routine.

hmk

3 years ago

Reply to Zardoz

Kook alert

As Few as Ten Congressional Districts May Decide the 2022 Midterm Elections

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