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Hello MAGA, Let’s Discuss Trump Costing Republicans Six Senate Seats

Stop pretending. Abandon ship.

Kalshi T Minus 5 and Counting

  • Alaska: 76% D
  • Iowa: 54% R
  • Maine: 72% D
  • North Carolina: 93% D
  • Ohio: 60% D
  • Texas: 59% D

That’s a loss of five Senate Seats.

Nate Silver

  • Alaska: 51.3% D – Essentially a tossup
  • Iowa: 59.4% D
  • Maine: 74.0% D
  • North Carolina: 92.5% D
  • Ohio: 74.4% D
  • Texas: 70.2% D

That’s a loss of five Senate Seats with Alaska a tossup

Polymarket

  • Alaska: 79% D
  • Iowa: 52% R
  • Maine: 74.0% D
  • North Carolina: 95% D
  • Ohio: 63% D
  • Texas: 62% D

I think the betting markets have this correct and Silver is off.

But if the betting markets are wrong on Alaska and Silver is wrong on Iowa, that still a Democrat pickup of four.

If Silver is wrong on Alaska (tossup) but correct on Iowa, that’s the +6 clean sweep scenario.

Iowa and Alaska Polls

Neither of those look any good for Republicans.

I fail to understand the betting markets on Iowa and Nate Silver’s odds on Alaska.

Otherwise everyhing else lines up.

Polymarket Balance of Power

Balance of Power Estimates

  • Polymarket: 66% D Sweep
  • Kalshi: 63% D Sweep
  • Nate Silver: 67.4% D Sweep
  • Mish: 65% D sweep

I was the first to 65% and I am reluctant to go any higher for now.

Trump to Spend Time in Texas

Sounds like good news for Democrats.

Yes, Send in Trump

Listen to these Idiots

Lesson of the Day

Yeah, Round em all up. Deport them all. Then vote for Trump.

Actually, I have no idea who she voted for. But in general, farmers voted for Trump.

I do not wish farmers harm, but nor do I have much sympathy for for any farmer who voted for Trump.

Hello Alaska

Blame Game Starts Already

Blame Thune. What a hoot.

One Hell of an Effort

But hey, have you seen the DOW?! That’s what we should be talking about.

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[…] September 23, 2026: Hello MAGA, Let’s Discuss Trump Costing Republicans Six Senate Seats […]

TEF
TEF
17 days ago

Diesel has completed its 5 day 4th fractal decay (selling phase) of a 25 Aug 2026 to 22 Sept 2026 3/8/6/5 day : x/2-2.5x/2-25x/1.6x 4-phase fractal subseries; the next diesel growth valuation subfractal series is underway.

No-nonsense pocketbook Iowan farmers will repudiate the Trumpist candidates and their failed promises and policies.

A presidential ban on US diesel exports at this time would, paradoxically, likely have only the immediate (before the midterms) effects of further raising gasoline prices.

TEF
TEF
17 days ago
Reply to  TEF

 x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.6x vice  x/2-2.5x/2-25x/1.6x

yippee
yippee
16 days ago
Reply to  TEF

iowa farmers are welfare queens.

Peace
Peace
17 days ago

Vance on Trump’s ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico: “It’s not a ban, it’s a refusal to grant access”

I asked Chat GPT.
A ban is a refusal to grant access?
Chat GPT: Yes, that is a precise definition: a ban is an official or authoritative refusal to grant access, permission, or entry.

These guys need to go back to primary school.

Peace
Peace
17 days ago
Reply to  Peace

Politician will be politician.

You must have ability to make black white.

pokercat
pokercat
16 days ago
Reply to  Peace

Not really, Vance’s statement is good enough to convince stupid, education free MAGAs.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
16 days ago
Reply to  Peace

The reporters could teleport into the room, bypassing the access troll.

MPO45v2
MPO45v2
17 days ago

Mish,

I’d love to see a Mishelin award winning post on what you think democrats will accomplish assuming they win the elections as laid out. Maybe create a bingo list like Trump’s state of the union.

Since I’m formerly from Texas, i looked up Gina’s platform
https://ginafortexas.com/priorities/

Team Texas Public Schools – End vouchersMoney In Your Pocket $1500 – no word on where that will come fromEnd Costly Data Center MadnessWell that seems to be the whole platform. How much money should I donate? <snark> Lol.

Trump’s offering a fictitious $5000 and poor Gina is only throwing in a fictitious $1500.

Oh well, I’m on the other side of the world now so I can’t vote and can’t donate so you guys will need to figure it all out on your own.

Last edited 17 days ago by MPO45v2
JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  MPO45v2

Gina over Abbott is about as easy as it gets. The last genuinely great Texas governor was Ann Richards, ended the stupid prison overcrowding lawsuit, built thousands of new prison cells, and sent violent crime and property crime in Texas into a deep slumber. The school voucher program is a total scam. Thanks for reminding to give her a donation.

MPO45v2
MPO45v2
16 days ago
Reply to  JCH1952

Donate all the money you want it won’t make a difference either way. Yeah, democrats would be marginally better than scumbag republicans but that’s saying a barrel of rotten apples is better than a barrel of rotten oranges and I don’t even like fruit.

The school voucher program may be a scam but the old system was a useless day care center cranking out kids that can’t even read. Like I said, either way everyone loses.

Waldo
Waldo
17 days ago

Trump is a distraction (although he can be entertaining in a B horror movie kind of way).

Assuming this week’s UN nonsense goes poorly we’ll see a continuation of surging oil and surging yields . China is probably dumping treasuries and buying oil to help with the sell off.

If the ten year keeps going up then eventually ( not sure when) we’ll see the Fed establish some kind of Yield curve control. Both stocks and gold will benefit. The muted down volumes on the indices suggest this is what the market thinks, but we’re in a wait in see mode this week due to the UN meetings.

I would be cautiously buying gold (don’t use leverage) at this point. Gold naturally goes down when either real yields or the dollar rises. The sell offs in gold lately have been tame.

Of course if the 10 yr goes to 6% and the Fed does nothing, then everything is screwed. I doubt this will happen. A crisis is being manufactured by the power elite.

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
16 days ago
Reply to  Waldo

Thanks for your wise free investment advice.

Sentient
Sentient
17 days ago

Bond yields up today. If “Mortgage Rates Hit 8%!” is the headline in October, that won’t help the Republicans. No amount of Old Man Yelling at Cloud “I got 16% in 1982” will help. In fact, it will worsen the drubbing.

Greg
Greg
17 days ago

Republicans are total cowards.
The US may or may not become a full dictatorship thanks to their subservience to Trump.
If Trump succeeds in his dictatorship dreams he probably won’t last long due to his health but I can guarantee you the guy who follows won’t be a buffoon & will probably rule the US for many dark decades.
Remember, under fascist regimes life is brutal & short.

MPO45v2
MPO45v2
17 days ago
Reply to  Greg

I doubt Trump succeeds at fascism, he may try but ICE can’t even deport people and he’s going to become a total control dictator? I think there’s already been 3 assassination attempts on the clown although I’ve lost track and that was for him just being a stupid clown.

America is armed to the teeth, going house by house to “disarm” people will be even more impossible than deporting the guy from Guatemala.

Flavia
Flavia
17 days ago
Reply to  Greg

Not really “fascist” – they like strong institutions.
Trump is a “patrimonialist” – he believes Fed property belongs to him & his family. These types destroy the institutions.
The damage prob won’t appear for a couple yrs.
Crumbling interstates, aviation problems.

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
16 days ago
Reply to  Flavia

You already have fascism, and have had it since FDR, if by fascism you mean corporate and government control of the economy, and the abolition of individual rights as a principle in law. This is as I understand it. Anyone who can shed more light or add more detail would be welcome to me.

Democracy, as I like to repeat, may have some validity, especially in a frontier society or a business context where people really are more-or-less equal, but in general, in a stable society, it functions as a device whereby the priests (the people who live by deception – teachers, journalists and judges in the present dispensation) make the ordinary folk think they have somehow given their consent to the things that are done to them.

I note that the priests get very angry when a democratic vote does not go the way they think it should, and you don’t hear the end of it until they get their way. I am old enough to have seen what they did to Dick Nixon.

njbr
njbr
17 days ago

His “after the election….” statements either mean he has nothing, or he’s planning something so horrific he knows it would cause the collapse of the GOP. My thoughts are that as he sees himself as beyond all law, it’ll be horrific.

All those beatiful “spoils of war” in Iran to be grabbed. A real triumph for his triumphal arch.

Not a good campaign stands for the GOP

Will the red wall of Trump in congess re-erect after the election? Will self-preservation spines melt away after election?

Sentient
Sentient
17 days ago
Reply to  njbr

After the election, the way to self-preserve will be different. Being all mobbed up with the Zionists will be a bad look.

Flavia
Flavia
17 days ago

Who used to work at her farm? Illegal immigrants? She’s real careful not to say.

JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  Flavia

She vetted them through her state’s Lots of American Citizens Only Speak Spanglish bureau.

JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  Flavia

Plus, if you want to know where the illegals are hiding in plain sight, hang out at any major construction project in Texas. At quitting time they stream out into neighborhoods to their vehicles. Barely a word of English to be heard. Somebody has to be bribing ICE to not show up. Ever.

Augustine
Augustine
17 days ago

In Texas the D are running the good old “it’s the economy, stupid” campaign. The R deafness and its insistence on ideology is ominous. Ideology is a luxury.

Frosty
Frosty
17 days ago

Mish, I do not think that the democrats are going to take the Michigan senate seat.

Mike Rogers advertising campaign is spending huge and absolutely on top of El-Sayed with negative ads. The Republicans campaigned for El-Sayed in the primary over moderate Haley Stevens because of the name association with the Middle East.

The republicans knew the they could not beat Stevens.

I hope I am wrong, but hope is a shitty strategy…

Meanwhile, more and more farmers are turning against Trump, but guilt by association only goes so far.

MPO45v2
MPO45v2
17 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

Hey keep us posted on your fuel cost. Percent changes are fine if you don’t want to give hard figures. I want to understand how badly Trump is screwing you.

Phil in CT
Phil in CT
16 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

But Mike Rogers has fallen further behind in the polls over the last few weeks. You think he will somehow reverse that momentum? Seems like people aren’t buying the xenophobia. Personally I find it offensive how they pander to racists, but with maga there seems to be no bottom to how craven they will act or what crime they will overlook in order to “win,” even when winning is $5 gas and red meat priced like it’s lobster tails.

Ben Thompson
Ben Thompson
17 days ago

Let’s compare the ultimate winner of Fat Bear Week’s vote totals with various politicians vote tallies. The Fat Bear Week server crashed yesterday due to more traffic then they’ve ever had, by the way.
But no matter what, be sure to vote Republican. With total control, the GOP has run away and teed up the lame duck Congressional session to jam through all of the items they don’t have the courage to vote on.
Both parties are useless, so the true solution is to dismantle the federal government and disempower these people.

CJW
CJW
17 days ago

If your business is or was built around cheap labour provided by undocumented immigrants ie. stepping on desperate people to get ahead, then really you never had a viable business and were living in a fools paradise. Time to pay the piper, that means you and your customers as well.

Augustine
Augustine
17 days ago
Reply to  CJW

The owner Epstein class has always needed serfs, be they chattel slaves, serfs, or meager salaried workers.

Jon
Jon
17 days ago
Reply to  CJW

Of course that’s the entire agricultural sector. So we all pay the piper.

JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  CJW

Starting with right to work laws starting at the end of WW2, the United States of America fully embraced cheap labor.

Curtis
Curtis
17 days ago

Who is MAGA? Trump is just another annoying politician like all those before him but for some reason people obsess over everything he says and does. Your love of this guy is palpable. Try referring to people who voted for Trump as Americans. That’s what they are and they’ll vote for someone else in the next election. Will you still be calling them MAGA if you also vote for the same candidate in the next election. The level of emotional hysteria amongst supposedly grown men on here is embarrassing. Get some perspective.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

MAGA is a cult. Nothing more.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

Not true at all, as it’s simply a “Concept”

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Watch how MAGA was all in favor or releasing the Epstein Files as long as Trump was for it.

Then Trump was against it, and MAGA turned on a dime, never missed a beat.

Pure. Cult. Behavior.

And that’s just one example.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

I do believe you are misrepresenting what occurred. I believe the Dems were more inclined to seal it, and did so.
I don’t think there was much gained anyway, by making a big show about a potential sex scandal for either / Both sides.
Proof is highly allusive, most will not come forward, it’s a he said / She said literally by the looks of it. The speculation is far, far worse than what would ever be seen, so what is the sense of that.

It’s a disgusting thing to have happened, but like most of these happenings, nothing ever comes of them due to proof, and evidence, not being available. Even then I have seen past issues brushed aside anyway, such as was done here imo.

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Trump ran on a platform that included opening the Epstein Files. Do I need to remind you of Vance and his own AG waving around “dossiers” that were supposed to be released?

Trump then claimed that there were no files, once he found out that he was prominently featured in them.

Congress showed some spine for once and passed a law forcing release of the files. Mike Johnson even pushed the House into recess so as to delay having to vote on this. Funny, as he had been all for release, until Trump flipped.

Trump threatened to veto, but he signed the law as his veto would be overturned. Since them Trump has slow-played the release required by law as much as possible.

MAGA doesn’t raise a peep. Hell, you produced a few paragraphs of excuses for a sex criminal.

That’s a cult. You are a cultist.

Last edited 17 days ago by Feral Finster
Phil in CT
Phil in CT
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Proof is highly allusive

Lol u feckin’ imbecile 😅

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
16 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

Massie didn’t switch. I don’t matter because I’m not an American, but neither did I.

‘Lil Mr.
‘Lil Mr.
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

So all those MAGA signs at rallies and protests are conceptual? There are people who take pride in being MAGA. That’s a cult.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  ‘Lil Mr.

People who take “Pride” in doing good for America, their Families, their Neighbor’s etc. is a bad thing and considered a cult.

Wow, how exactly did you get there? This would / should be considered a beautiful thing imo.

People looking out for one another, helping each other out, pulling together for a better place to live for all.

Do you understand what a cult is?

Cults are social groups which have unusual, and often extreme, religious, spiritual or philosophical beliefs and rituals.

I see no extreme, Religion not mentioned, Nothing spiritual about it, and no rituals involved.

If your looking for a paradise, it’s a myth…

’Lil Mr.
’Lil Mr.
15 days ago
Reply to  Stu

“Do you understand what a cult is?”

Do you? You need to widen your knowledge base. Read a dictionary. Mine has 10 entries for the word cult. Just one of them: “a group or sect bound together by veneration of the same thing, person, ideal, etc.” That’s why we refer to him as “Dear Leader”. You know, like The Feurer, leader of the Nazi party. If you listen or attend a Taco rally some will certainly say it’s a spiritual experience. It’s intended to be that way. Wake up for JC.

CJW
CJW
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

MAGA I think are people who vote for and support Trump no matter what. I think it is likely a declining class of people at this point. There is a growing class called Nevertrumpers who believe Trump cannot do anything right and what ever he says must be either a lie or wrong.

Lately it would appear that the Nevertrumpers have gotten it right as I can’t recall the last time Trump did anything that was good for America.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  CJW

Nothing to do with Trump, except that he coined the phrase, and supports it 100%, as most America Citizens do, or at least nearly everyone I know does, or does partly. It’s not a bad thing, and actually it’s a damn good message imho.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

– Who is MAGA?

> MAGA is more what and not who. As you surely know, it stands for “Make America Great Again” So the concept as I understand it, is to follow in the footsteps of a certain ideology. That is one of values supported, that create an atmosphere of Peace, Support and the rule of law for one another.

So examples would be:
1. Close our sovereign borders to only Legal American Citizens allowed to cross openly.
2. Do not impede in lawful demonstrations and/or lawful means of expressing one’s self.
3. Don’t take what’s not yours, unless you Pay for it first.
4. All Citizens are equal, no matter the sex, color, habits, or interest. We are all here together to work, play, support, and all other ways of being a good and decent people to one another.
5. No Violence towards one another, unless unavoidable.
6. Follow the Law
7. Have an opinion.
8. Allow others to equally have their opinion.
9. Use resources sparingly, as we all need them, so no useless use, or taking of others, unless allowed to by the owner of such.
10. Basically be a good, responsible Parent, Teacher, Ruler, Helper, Family, involved within the Community, and Helping to support your community by volunteering for ex. And so much more.

It all eludes to greatness as a goal of our Nation. One proud to live in, and in support of. Don’t complain, but help. Don’t expect, but ask, don’t rely, by anticipate, etc.

That’s a nutshell of my opinion of MAGA.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

I do most of these personally. I volunteer my free time to my town, the school system, the church, and local businesses, as a few examples. I do what I can to “MAGA” in my Town, State, and Home…

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

How does goodness get down voted, or is it the particular people doing so, as worship to their cultist activities. It’s certainly not the truth… it’s a massive positive for America!

Frosty
Frosty
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

If you believed in that definition you never could have voted for Trump…
Trump represents none what you cite in your 10 points. He never has lived according to any of your citations.
Deceit is dangerous, but self deceit?

Stu, you really need to take a look at what Trump has done and his constant lies.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Frosty

Is it truly what he has been doing, or accused of doing by the MSM and others, or is it a made up scenario?

P.S. #1 on purpose, was the very first thing he did. Overwhelmingly Approved by nearly 100% of Americans.

I can’t keep correcting you all the time. It takes up too much time that could be spent applauding others that understand the beauty of #1.

You need to pay much more attention to what’s real, and what’s happening and not MSM BS!

Neil
Neil
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

Considering trump just “another annoying politician” shows the Maga propaganda worked well. The level of corruption and moral degradation is far beyond what any president since at least Nixon has been like. That is not hysteria, but something to acknowledge and rectify asap.

‘Lil Mr.
‘Lil Mr.
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

During his first term I remember seeing a video on the news of a Libby getting pummeled on the ground by some low iQ miscreants. There words to him were, “you’re in MAGA country now.” So, yeah, it’s a cult.

Jon
Jon
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

“Try referring to people who voted for Trump as Americans.”

Nah, it’s too embarrassing.

George
George
17 days ago
Reply to  Curtis

Don’t forget the level of stupidity on display by the administration will remain in the history books for centuries to come …..

top gnome
top gnome
17 days ago

Kansas

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
17 days ago

Let ‘er rip

whirlaway
whirlaway
17 days ago

On the comments regarding Iowa and Alaska, I am reminded of a quote from one Mr. Upton Sinclair.

whirlaway
whirlaway
17 days ago
Reply to  whirlaway

Ah, so fhe fan club members didn’t like it?

I’m devastated! ROFLMAO

whirlaway
whirlaway
17 days ago

Looks like I have been banned from commenting. Oh, well.

whirlaway
whirlaway
17 days ago
Reply to  whirlaway

Wowza! Didn’t expect to see that. Let me try again then…

Feral Finster
Feral Finster
17 days ago
Reply to  whirlaway

The board software is buggy AF.

Jon
Jon
17 days ago
Reply to  Feral Finster

I don’t think its buggy, I think whomever is hosting the site isn’t giving the software enough system resources. I get a lot of 429 errors and posts that just fail. It wasn’t this way 6 months ago. Mish is probably running the site off a 1988 Pentium with 40 MB of Ram or something. Of course he’s probably laying in his gold coins in his basement making angel images instead of checking the error logs.

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
16 days ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

Thanks for that.

Tom
Tom
17 days ago

I’m not surprised.
I wonder what happens in ’28.
If there’s another “blue wave” it could really send a message that the civil war is over and white supremacy can go back under it’s rock.

But there will never be a return to normal. That’s impossible.

peelo
peelo
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

” … there will never be a return to normal. That’s impossible.”
If you live long enough, you see an oscillating pendulum on all of it. I’ve seen a few.

CJW
CJW
17 days ago
Reply to  peelo

The pendulum this time appears to have a much longer swing than I ever remember and the weight on the end make cause the rope to break.

yippee
yippee
16 days ago
Reply to  peelo

unless you were an adult during the great depression or the us civil war, you haven’t really seen much. yea, i lived through the race riots and 70s and 80s in nyc area……..but that really was a walk on beach compared to where things can get in world history. i was in russia in the 90s after the plug was pulled on that evil empire. that was something. i suspect we are due for that……..in the next few years.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

Polls for you… Depends by whom and who was asked. It’s all a charade of moving the numbers around, and hopium that it works out.

1. 2024Washington, D.C., November 4, 2024 – The latest Ipsos Core Political poll finds that Harris and Trump are locked in a tight race among likely voters with one day before the election.

2 . Harris sought the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination in 2019, but withdrew from the race before the primaries.

3. WASHINGTON, D.C. — Americans’ views of Vice President Kamala Harris have improved markedly in a Gallup poll conducted mostly before the Democratic National Convention began.

4. A new poll finds voters view Vice President Kamala Harris slightly more favorably than they did in July.

5. Kamala Harris had 49% support among likely voters, while Donald Trump had 46%, indicating a very tight race.

6. Trump won the Electoral College with 312 votes to Harris’s 226.

Well so much for polling, now back to reality. ASL Talarico, Hassan and others about that word, and it’s meaning….

CJW
CJW
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Polls are just litmus tests. A lot of variables who asks, the population, the point in time. If polls were always correct we wouldn’t need to actually vote. But it would seem at this point in time that the republicans are in trouble. I think this conclusion does pass the smell test. Breath deeply, Yup, definitely something rotten in DC.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  CJW

I agree with you on polls. I do think the MSM Analysis of such leaned far too positive for the Dems. As a result, they have started to fix themselves.
With little to no money, the Dems are in big trouble. As I eluded to earlier, and gave examples of. One was ALL the money wasted on 3 specific individuals, that now look to be gone from the race, it would appear. They don’t get that money back, and now have nothing to show for the bulk of the money they did have.

Starting over for 3 key players disappearing, with little overall in the bank, will be nearly impossible to pull off. Without those 3 it’s over for there hopes.

Neil
Neil
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

It was a tight race, and comparing polling percentages to electoral college outcome does not compute. A very small margin in popular vote can lead to an outsized difference in the college.

pokercat
pokercat
16 days ago
Reply to  Neil

The actual vote spread was 1.5%. trump 49.8 Harris 48.3 so yeah trump won the popular vote by a tiny margin.
The electoral college only serves to stop the majority from actually winning some elections.

Elections Where the Winner Lost the Popular Vote
YearWinner (Electoral College)Popular Vote Loser / Runner-up
1824John Quincy Adams-Andrew Jackson
1876Rutherford B. Hayes-Samuel TildenTilden
1888Benjamin Harrison-Grover ClevelandCleveland
2000George W. Bush-Al GoreGore
2016Donald Trump-Hillary ClintonClinton won the national popular vote by nearly 3 million votes, but Trump won a majority in the Electoral College.

Jon
Jon
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Donald Trump won the election with 49.8% of the votes, Harris had 48.3. A grand difference of 1.5% of the voting electorate. And that after Biden pulling out and just leaving her a couple of months to campaign.

Leslie
Leslie
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

>>Trump won the Electoral College with 312 votes to Harris’s 226.

You do realize that polls aren’t attempting to predict the Electoral College result.

Trump won 49.8% popular vote and Harris won 48.3%. So yes, the polls were correct when they said the candidates were “locked in a tight race” 

top gnome
top gnome
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

shocking as it was at least now the rocks have been moved and the critters exposed

si vis pacem, para bellum
si vis pacem, para bellum
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

“[…] and white supremacy can go back under it’s rock.”

…and this suicidal, utterly UNNATURAL sentiment (NOT shared by any other ethnic group towards themselves) brainwashed into the average dimwit is one of the main reasons why the US is going down the shitter, has lost to China and of the 3 superpowers of today is the ONLY ONE DECLINING.
May the DESERVED coming societal implosion of you Anglos and North Europeans serve to wake up the rest of Whitedom before it’s too late also for us.

Last edited 17 days ago by si vis pacem, para bellum
Stu
Stu
17 days ago

This type of nonsense, is why we have such faulty polls to actual happenings on the ground. Most of this is garbage reporting on garbage by the MSM, who is totally incompetent of giving Fair & Balanced News Coverage. That is undeniable, unless your head is buried in the sand, where a lot are buried. Some have pacifiers and blankets to help them when rocking, and misunderstanding of what’s actually happening and what’s being spewed out of thin air, to make some people feel better about themselves. RINO’s are great at this, which is why they are RINO’s. Big, Clumsy, blast from the past, with no real sense of what’s happening in the real world. They are simply clinging to there wish, and hope, that they can stay in power, until they don’t know where they are or what they are doing (Aka Pull A Biden), and as a result look stupid, unreliable, not with it on serious topics, and cater to there Donors and anyone willing to giv them any money. They are walking robots, and barely talking about Reality, and are hung up more on Legacy. A horrible look, and not the way to run a country, but I digress…

– Nearly 7 months into Donald Trump’s reckless war, and there’s STILL no plan or no end in sight. > There is an excellent plan in place, and it’s been working quite well. Oil is flowing, inner Iran is massively Revolting, and time is clearly on the American side. Only a negative outlook for Iran unless they smarten up. Trump has continued to give them an out, but they can’t seem to group together as a country to do so, and the internal fighting, is only making the overall fighting persist. This will and can only end well for America and its supportive countries. Iran will be toast if they continue this charade…

– Meanwhile, Americans are stuck with HIGHER costs and gas prices.> We are in a war, and this is a side effect of such. We are not stuck, but rather in charge and simply waiting out the final decision that Iran wishes for, and then they will get it.

– What exactly are Americans paying for? > A great defense, a great strategy, and a great overall plan for Peace in the region, in America and around the world. (Ex. See Venezuela now). It’s working beautifully, but will require a bit more time for Iran to decide their fate. Play nice, and survive forever as a good and supportive country. Keep attacking and avoiding peace at your own peril of course, but by your choices.

– CNN: More Americans, including Republicans, are souring the war with Iran. Almost 2/3 of say the US is not winning the war. > Totally Fake and False Reporting, which is why they are out of the press pool. The WH is no place for our adversaries to be reporting from. Not rocket science or even tiddlywinks, so get a grip!

– CNN POLL: ALMOST TWO-THIRDS SAY… Blah, Blah, Blah and more incoherent Blah, Blah, Blah…

– Texas Republican nominee Ken Paxton out of the effort. > Wishful thinking, as he is on a path to victory, and nothing the MSM says, reports, or get to report for them will change this from occurring, but wishful press coverage as usual, and against America. Press Pool will continue to get smaller if this keeps up. No place for false, misleading and phony coverage…

– Vance on Trump’s ban on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico: “It’s not a ban, it’s a refusal to grant access” > 100% Accurate, Correct, and Precise as could possibly be!

– Votes to kick undocumented farm workers out of the country > Undocumented = Illegal, so yes “The Law” states this is the 100% correct course of action to take. Why would we go against a 100% Correct Course of Action? America is not that stupid, but the MSM is and also so slanted it’s hysterical.

– Melts down because she can’t find help for her farm. > Do something about it then. Does the farm make money? Share it with the new workers who will happily come in droves for work and good pay.

Tollsforthee
Tollsforthee
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Stu, this is more endless copium. Here in our purple state Trump has eked out 2 of three wins at the Presidential level.

However, Dems have been sweeping every statewide race since March 2025, and now have a 5-2 majority on our State Supreme Court.

Trump is continuing to crash the Republicans’ chances and you are whistling past the graveyard.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Tollsforthee

So you believe the MSM spew of nonsense too I see.

El-Sayed Is pretty much out of the race now. He was going down anyway, but his “Breast Cancer” Non-Awareness will lose him far, far more, than any other possible issue. He just lost over half the woman and all of them who have had, know someone who has had, or are about to know someone or themselves that will come across this scare and/or reality. Goodnight Sayed…

Talarico was already gone, and had no chance of getting back in the race now, other than some MSM propaganda about it, but just piss poor and inaccurate information. Goodnight Talarico…

Hassan was gone, as soon as his Muslim wishes were seen for what they are to him. Down with America is his hidden agenda by origin. He can’t put that behind him, and that dog has no bite, and no chance of being allowed to. Goodnight Hassan…

Clean Sweep 3 out of 3 vanished or vanquished, take your pick… Some others gone before they were even noticed, and others still on their way out. I am sensing 1 if that, pick up in the Senate now, as it’s probably zero but I will give them 1 out of sheer numbers, as a possibility…

The Dem Party is broke, they have already announced they are going to have no choice, but to pull out of races, so they can take what little money left for the hopefuls left. They have started to let them know they are on their own. So even seats picked up, will be pointless, as they will simply replace one that was given away for free, literally.

Above 3 had massive amounts of limited monies tossed into the ring for them, but all 3 are going nowhere, and no more money should be or will be spent on them moving forward. None to waste, and few sure candidates, which these 3 giants for the cause, are no longer part of. It’s why they are gone from the scene in the not too distant future. Reality sucks to be them or the parties bank accounts or lack thereof…

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Congratulations on Trump winning the midterms for the GOP. You must have some eagle eyes to see what nobody else can see.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago

Just my conclusion based on facts and not MSM BS and Lies. It certainly seems to be heading in that direction, from what’s truly occurring right now.

1. Oil Flowing
2. Iran Frozen Out
3. Support growing
4. Inner Iran Strife occurring
5. Rep Rich ; Dem Broke
6. Some really bad one sided press eliminated from the mix.
Etc. As a lot of good is happening as I write this response…

Neil
Neil
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Interesting – I don’t see any of that happening except your point 5. But it’s a good post because it explains why you think trump will win. Because I think these points are very different I think the opposite, Although a lot can change in a month when the Numbers in swing States are so tight. We’ll see in november!

Tom
Tom
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Nice display of TDS.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

I refer to this as Reality. Forget fake news, fake polls, and fake MSM lies and BS, and you will have a much clearer picture of things. You will also see the Fake TDS that’s talked about. It’s a moniker meant to lump people (falsely group together once again) together for more coverage of BS trying to be tagged onto them all at once together. More bang for the low amount of funds, so to speak. It’s very obvious what’s happening…

peelo
peelo
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

“Reality,” capital R, huh?

Diverse views here, a good thing. Endless recitations of every bumper sticker talking point, mainly punctuated with emotion-laced contempt (also told in the utterly familiar standardized terms of mockery), on the other hand, hmm. Just a big paste of half-baked slogans? How many times do you have to recite “TDS”? It must work well over on FOX boards. You can bore and annoy people to death, you know.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  peelo

Don’t have TDS, and have voted Dem before too, when warranted (I voted for Bill C and was happy with my choice for ex. I also voted for Ron Paul for ex.) I vote for who I think is the best of my choices, and to hell with the Party they are with.

pokercat
pokercat
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Forget “fake Stu”, he’s crazy as an outhouse rat.

JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  Tom

Textbook case. Completely, as in: wall to wall, floor to ceiling, irrational.

RevMark
RevMark
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Is this a parody? It sure reads like it was written for the Babylon Bee. “Trump voter says policies are working in spite of all evidence.”

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  RevMark

That’s what I say about the BS Crap being spewed by the MSM. They are not supposed to be so bias, but people can be, as they are not paid, don’t have a national voice, and are just 1 vote, and not directed with false information to the World!!!

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  RevMark

I do love the Bee though, and always have from my very first read!

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
17 days ago
Reply to  RevMark

Not a parody, he is serious that we are the lemmings and he is the deep thinker

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
17 days ago

Typical incel.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago

Not at all, I am providing my opinions, based upon what I read and see occurring. Just my take, and no spin, motive, or agenda from me at all.

I advise everyone to do the same on this site. Mish does a great service by making it available to us all. We have voices, so use them! I am wrong and right and sometimes both on a given topic, based upon how deep and convoluted the topic at hand is.

I also don’t agree entirely at all with Mish, but on a great deal I do! It’s why I like this particular site to opine on.

Also a great amount of good and well informed readers and commenters. Many agree and disagree with me and my opinions, and that’s very healthy indeed. We are here to converse and to discuss our opinions on the topics that Mish lays out.

I for one, am very great full for his work, coverage, and total view of all things, and not so focused on an agenda or personal feelings alone. Thank you Mish!!!

Neil
Neil
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

I disagree with many of your observations and opinions, but 100% agree here.

pokercat
pokercat
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

“my take, and no spin, motive, or agenda from me at all.”
I call complete bullshit, that or you are just a plain stupid cult member.

Stu
Stu
16 days ago
Reply to  pokercat

If it makes you feel better, here is what you read in reality…

My Take = My opinion. It can’t be wrong, as it’s just an opinion, and it’s just mine.

No Spin = No MSM type of action for clicks. I obviously am not looking for them.

No Motive = Nothing in It for me, just my opinion.

No Agenda = Not looking for anything from it, but the sharing of my opinion.

You should relax more, and not have such an agenda, which you obviously do have…

randocalrissian
randocalrissian
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

TL:DR for Stu’s poost: $6.50 diesel is an excellent plan

Stu
Stu
17 days ago

Shit happens along the way, in any event, and especially very Large & Important events. Set backs occur, and get fixed asap for the most part. Oil is flowing again, and Iran is starting to have Internal Conflicts amongst themselves. Some or probably many, will eventually pull away from those thinking they are in charge. You’re only in charge of the people, if you are doing what they in a majority wish for. You find yourself getting ousted otherwise. Iran has that choice in front of them right now. Which way they go, will determine there fate, and what happens next, and that’s fast approaching…

Jon
Jon
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

“You’re only in charge of the people, if you are doing what they in a majority wish for.”

Not true. The vast majority of Americans are opposed to the war in Iran. But we have no ability to change it. You really just need a vocal and fervent minority to stay in power.

Stu
Stu
16 days ago
Reply to  Jon

I was unclear I see, so I apologize. I meant in the overall expectation of Leadership. Not so much topic by topic, but more ideology, or overall direction they are wanting to head.

In other words, the majority don’t want Countries like Iran, to posses Nuclear Weapons, or they will fire them at us. No question about that, as they have stated such.

Well watch how fast the electorate turns, if Trump were to approve of Iran getting them. Not happening, but just for a point making Ex.

El Trumpedo
El Trumpedo
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

You’re really upset about this, and it’s funny as hell.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  El Trumpedo

About what specifically?

I am really upset Winter is fast approaching. I no longer can ski or sled for health reasons, so it’s a reminder another year I sit on the sidelines. I was going to bungee jump again, but 3 is enough, and other things too, but I need to listen to my body at the moment anyway…

Sorry I digressed, what specifically?

Flavia
Flavia
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

I no longer ski or skate either.
I’m going to try snowshoeing this winter.

Stu
Stu
16 days ago
Reply to  Flavia

My wife and I, just got a pair given to us from a friend that no longer wants them. We are going to try it out this Winter. Got a treadmill set up, to start building our stamina up. I hears it can be taxing on your knees? Any things you can share is appreciated, and I will too, after we get some snow of course…

‘Lil Mr.
‘Lil Mr.
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

Wow, you are a few short of something, but not words. I’m taking receipts today. See you after the election.

Arthur Orwell
Arthur Orwell
16 days ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

I’m not necessarily endorsing everything he says, but my impression is that he at least tries to reason. That’s more than a lot of Trump critics do.

Stu
Stu
16 days ago
Reply to  Mike Shedlock

From you Mish, I truly take that as a compliment, for the obvious reasons…

Sentient
Sentient
17 days ago

Trump’s approval rating is almost as low as Israel’s. I wonder if that’s related.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  Sentient

Via MSM absolutely. They like to lump groups together when trying to create their Narrative’s. By grouping Israel and America together, they gIve the MSM two ways to glob onto utter nonsense, but nonsense that gets read, and believed by many, who so want it to be true.

peelo
peelo
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

MSM, TDS, Fake News, you are the soul and spirit of non-creative tedium. Just a cut and paste. Just another old ranting guy repeating/pasting endlessly.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  peelo

I always add my opinion based upon my understanding, and what I see happening. I conclude what many others do not, and I’m ok with that, as opinions from all sides are warranted and always!!!

JCH1952
JCH1952
17 days ago
Reply to  Stu

The truth is the United States and Israel are together.

Stu
Stu
17 days ago
Reply to  JCH1952

On much I do agree, but definitely 2 separate and unique entities, both looking for different things to occur, but both aligned to see peace and prosperity be the outcome of the Iran conflict. They fight against the nearly entire ME, and we don’t come close to that scenario. So yes we are the same in many instances, and very different in many others, for obvious reasons…

yippee
yippee
16 days ago
Reply to  Stu

israel is a useful idiot bitch colony of amerika. set up by the british for them. we took that role over. imagine sending european jews to mideast to “settle”. talk about dumb fucks. of course we all know the jews had been porgrommed for centuries and the ww2 experience. vulnerable useful idiots ripe to set up in the middle of sea of oil. my family made big bucks off the shah in iran after IKE flipped over an election there. same sort of greed in that sea of oil. israel is a great useful idiot ally of amerikan empire. many israelis and hasidic and liberal jews i know from brooklyn agree. as do many christians, muslims and agnostics………i know a few old retired mossad guys who agree.

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