It appears we are finally on the verge of a deal. Terms still unknown.
Series of Five Trump Posts
1: IRAN HAS JUST ANNOUNCED THAT THE STRAIT OF IRAN IS FULLY OPEN AND READY FOR FULL PASSAGE. THANK YOU! Apr 17, 2026, 7:06 AM
2: THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ IS COMPLETELY OPEN AND READY FOR BUSINESS AND FULL PASSAGE, BUT THE NAVAL BLOCKADE WILL REMAIN IN FULL FORCE AND EFFECT AS IT PERTAINS TO IRAN, ONLY, UNTIL SUCH TIME AS OUR TRANSACTION WITH IRAN IS 100% COMPLETE. THIS PROCESS SHOULD GO VERY QUICKLY IN THAT MOST OF THE POINTS ARE ALREADY NEGOTIATED. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! PRESIDENT DONALD J.TRUMP Apr 17, 2026, Apr 17, 2026, 7:27 AM
3: The U.S.A. will get all Nuclear “Dust,” created by our great B2 Bombers – No money will exchange hands in any way, shape, or form. This deal is in no way subject to Lebanon, either, but the USA will, separately, work with Lebanon, and deal with the Hezboolah situation in an appropriate manner. Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A. Enough is enough!!! Thank you! President DJT Apr 17, 2026, 7:27 AM
4: Now that the Hormuz Strait situation is over, I received a call from NATO asking if we would need some help. I TOLD THEM TO STAY AWAY, UNLESS THEY JUST WANT TO LOAD UP THEIR SHIPS WITH OIL. They were useless when needed, a Paper Tiger! President DJT Apr 17, 2026, 8:13 AM
5: Thank you to Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar for your great bravery and help! President DONALD J. TRUMP Apr 17, 2026, 8:16 AM
6: Iran, with the help of the U.S.A., has removed, or is removing, all sea mines! Thank you! President DJT Apr 17, 2026, 8:20 AM
7: Again! This deal is not tied, in any way, to Lebanon, but we will, MAKE LEBANON GREAT AGAIN! Apr 17, 2026, 8:27 AM
Shippers Waiting for Clarity
In Live Updates, the Wall Street Journal reports Shippers Waiting for Clarity Before Sending Tankers Through Strait
Despite Iran’s announcement Friday that the Strait of Hormuz is open, commercial shippers were waiting for clarity and security guarantees. Shipowners and the oil industry have said they will wait for clear assurances from Iran that it won’t attack ships before resuming normal traffic through the strait, which prior to the war was about 130 ships a day.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said vessels should continue sailing through a designated route that crosses Iranian waters, in coordination with the Iranian army. He didn’t clarify whether Iran would stop demanding tolls as it has done in the past.
Most traffic through the strait was already using the Iranian-prescribed route. As of Thursday, data from Lloyd’s List Intelligence showed that 15 of 27 transits by large cargo ships through the strait since April 13 used the Iranian route. None used the non-Iranian route.
Oil prices plunged around 10% and stocks jumped after Iran’s foreign minister said the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” to commercial vessels. President Trump posted on Truth Social shortly afterward that the U.S.’s naval blockade on Iranian ports would “remain in full force.”
The comments came as a newly struck cease-fire between Israel and Lebanon appeared to be holding on its first day. The 10-day truce began at midnight local time after weeks of fighting between the Israeli military and the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah.
Iran War Questions
Trump started this war on February 28, 2026.
Will this deal be any better than what Iran offered prior to the war?
Will this deal be any better than what Obama negotiated in 2015?
I believe will will soon have answers. However, the damaged infrastructure will still take years to repair.
$20 Billion Cash for Uranium
Axios has a “scoop” post U.S. considers $20 billion cash-for-uranium deal with Iran
The U.S. and Iran are negotiating over a three-page plan to end the war, with one element under discussion being that the U.S. would release $20 billion in frozen Iranian funds in return for Iran giving up its stockpile of enriched uranium, according to two U.S. officials and two additional sources briefed on the talks.
A top priority for the Trump administration is ensuring Iran can’t access the stockpile of nearly 2,000kg of enriched uranium buried in its underground nuclear facilities, in particular the 450kg enriched to 60% purity.
The latest number discussed by the U.S. and Iran is $20 billion, the sources said. One U.S. official said that was a U.S. proposal. The other U.S. official described the cash-for-uranium concept as “one of many discussions.”
Under a compromise proposal now under discussion, some of the highly enriched uranium would be shipped to a third country, not necessarily the U.S., and some of it would be down-blended in Iran under international monitoring.
The intrigue: The three-page memorandum of understanding (MOU) the two sides are negotiating over also includes a “voluntary” moratorium on nuclear enrichment by Iran.
- The U.S. demanded in the last round of talks that Iran agree to a 20-year moratorium. Iran countered with five years. The mediators are still trying to close the gap.
- As part of the MOU, Iran would be allowed to have nuclear research reactors for the production of medical isotopes, but would pledge that all of its nuclear facilities would be above ground. The existing underground facilities would remain out of commission.
Trump told reporters on Thursday that Iran had agreed during the negotiations to commit to “a very, very powerful statement… that they will not have nuclear weapons.”
- He also said Iran agreed to give the U.S. “the nuclear dust,” referring to the enriched uranium stockpile.
- “We are very close to making a deal. If no deal, fire resumes,” Trump said.
- He made clear he was willing to extend the ceasefire beyond its April 21 expiration if needed.
What to watch: On Friday, the Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators will hold a meeting a “quad” meeting with Saudi officials on the sidelines of a diplomatic forum in Turkey.
I welcome a deal. But how good is it, and at what price to what was possible three months ago?
Trump chose war and much infrastructure in the region will take years to recover.
The stock market cheers (S&P up 1.2 percent), so does gold (up 1.8 percent), silver (up 5.5 percent), bitcoin (up 5.5 percent).
WTIC, US oil plunged 13.5 percent to 82.33.
Yet, the 30-year bond yield is down only 1 percent to 4.88 percent. From an inflation standpoint, that’s the real tell that all will not be smooth sailing.
headed out to zion NP for milky way shots.
Been planning them most of the day.
May not be able to post until tomorrow AM
Had to abort – extremely windy – but my key shot is not until 3:00am. So headed back out. I was in this area.
https://mishmoments.com/2026/04/08/how-i-shot-and-stitched-a-360-twilight-panorama-at-kolob-canyons/
So you’re a Zionist?
Don’t give up your day job.
Fair enough. I won’t.
Good luck getting some Northern Lights shots.
April 17th, Mish posts “Iran Announces”. April 19th, Mish posts “Trump Lied”.
Well Mish was correct we got an answer less than 24hrs into the weekend.
What should be happening is a hard look into why Trump is allowed to manipulate markets like this and who is profiting.
Good luck pinning anything on Trump. He has installed all his loyal followers in every facet of the government. The oft-mentioned deep state is his to control.
All that us little people can do is try to take advantage of the situation ourselves; minus the insider tips.
What I find fascinating is how his obvious lies can still move markets. Oil dropped over $10 on Friday when he claimed that the war was over (for the 30th time), Iran had agreed to all US conditions, the strait was open, Iran would send us all the nuclear dust, etc.
Meanwhile Iran said that they still control the strait and would close it if the US blockade continued, and that they have never discussed the nuclear material with the US at any point. And of course they have already closed it again.
Trump’s lies were the signal to me to load up on energy stocks Friday morning. I sold some on the rebound in the afternoon but will sell more this coming week when oil goes back up.
“Trump’s lies were the signal to me to load up on energy stocks Friday morning. I sold some on the rebound in the afternoon but will sell more this coming week when oil goes back up.”
Very good call, and given Trump’s track record may others use this as a strategy when Trump starts to talk. Because this irrational exuberance is probably gonna happen over and over again.
I look at this differently though (not monetarily) for it’s clear there is a pattern here: raise the hopes high only to allow them to crash. This suggests (to me) that they are engaging in desensitization so when the really bad things come nobody will care – on an emotional level and maybe on an economic level due to how bad it really could get.
The pattern that I see is this: Trump and his team repeat the same lies over and over again. Eventually the MAGA faithful believe the lies to be true and spread the lies to others, who might not even realize what is true.
An example: One lie I see over and over from the MAGA cult here is how good Trump’s economy was during his first term. Some even claimed that he created 16 million jobs. The reality is Trump was the first president in over a century to lose jobs during his term. The US lost 2.8 million jobs during Trump’s first term. But the cult has consumed the Trump kool-aid and would never believe that Trump lost jobs. Keep telling them the lies and they believe them.
It’s the same with this war. Nothing but lies coming out of Trump’s mouth.
It’s the same in all politics. You shouldn’t be surprised.
Our Governor Newsom here in CA is busy covering up his past decisions and history in preparation for his run for President under the Dem banner in 2028.
Trust me – no one should want Newsom as President, no matter how good some may think he looks, which is the standard that many people use in voting for President..
So word to the wise, do not believe much of anything that comes out of politicians mouths.
Oil futures and the Ten year interest rates are completing a 8-9/21/8 of 13 day :: x/2.5x/1.6x 1st fractal series with a final higher low on 24 April. This will complete a 9 week 1st fractal with higher interest rates and higher oil prices for another 32-34 weeks: 9/21-23/12-13 weeks … This price activity with cratering equity, crypto, and gold prices should reinforce Nov voting results and end/damper the half-cocked half-witted from-the-hip rule of terror.
Sorry mish you fell for it. Straights are still closed Iran has not agreed to meet next week. Ceasefire has been violated from day one. More violence to come
How can anybody take the orange psycho- jack ass seriously? It was obvious to most that it was untruth social psycho babble. But, hey, he and his zionistbuddies are making insider trading money.
News reports that Iran has closed the Straits again…Lol. I hope everyone bought back their oil calls and ready to sell on Monday, could be massive profitgasms to be had for the well positioned investor.
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5837279-iran-us-blockade-strait/
The speaker of Iran’s Parliament, Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf, said Friday that Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz again amid the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports, contradicting President Trump, who said the strait was “open for business” earlier in the day.
His remarks came as Trump was on stage delivering a speech in Arizona at a Turning Point USA event.
“With the continuation of the blockade, the Strait of Hormuz will not remain open,” Qalibaf wrote in a post on social platform X, adding that passage through the strait will be “conducted based on the ‘designated route’ and with Iranian authorization.”
“Whether the strait is open or closed and the regulations governing it will be determined by the field, not by social media,” he continued.
The US has also un-sanctioned Russian oil yet again, after reinstating sanctions just 6 days ago.
stop Im going to need more Dramamine!
“Whether the strait is open or closed and the regulations governing it will be determined by the field, not by social media” – Iran
LOL
Why does it take a hostile foreign government to call out our imbecile president so succinctly?
These tweets are written by and aimed at twits.
Not a chance in hell that Iran simply allows Lebanon to become a “separate thing”. This conflict will be interminable because the invasion/annexation of Lebanon was always the main objective. Go look at Lebanon on Apple Maps…almost non-existent by order of the invaders.
Easy to promise you will cease fire in Lebanon after you have just annexed Southern Lebanon and made it part of Israel.
What took Israel so long? Lebanon is a failed experiment. Once again we learn humans are not angels.
As is Israel. To be fair, who would’ve thought Jews would turn Nazi after all they went through.
Because 1. This “they” isn’t that “they”. 2. I think we can all be adults now and realize that it wasn’t anywhere near “6 million”.
Trump’s tweet quoted by Mish at the beginning is just what Trump’s tweets usually are – just “tweested” things.
1/ Free Hormuz passage is subject to ceasefire holding in Lebanon.
2/ Only commercial ships allowed to pass through Hormuz
3/ IRGC requires all ships to sail through 2 corridors close to Iranian shores.
4/ Iran will never sell its 60% enriched uranium. $20 billion price tag is just a dream that US would use Iranian funds blocked around the world.
5/ No Thank you to Pakistan which pulled Trump out his own mess.
Realistically, it will take many days until ships stuck in the Gulf will be able to pass through. Iran will limit the capacity in the exit corridor and it will prioritize its own tankers.
Enriched uranium – two days ago Lavrov said in Beijing that Russia will support any Iranian position in this matter. Beijing probably as well. Everybody claiming that there will be another JCPOA is wrong. Iranians will keep the uranium and centrifuges.
It is very likely that Iranians will not move toward nuclear weapons but with 1000 pounds of 60% enriched uranium they can make nuclear bombs within few weeks if Israel gets wild again.
A week later or so we may have a formal memorandum of ceasefire signed by US and Iran where the US will be forced to guarantee adherence of Israel to ceasefire in Lebanon.
Only after that real talks will start. The problem on the US side is that there no people who understand the region, the substance of talks and details of nuclear issues as all this was done by Obama II administration and all these people retired or were thrown out.
“A week later or so we may have a formal memorandum of ceasefire signed by US and Iran where the US will be forced to guarantee adherence of Israel to ceasefire in Lebanon.”
There’s one slight problem to this, and that is the US can’t control Israel. Any deal based on the US maintaining control on Israel is due for failure.
Israel sovereign country and can decide at any time how strong it will act and when, and when it ends. Especially if they are or will be attacked.
The Lebanon ceasefire is already falling apart according to reports out of Lebanon:
“Despite the ceasefire, several Lebanese news outlets have reported that Israeli troops are blowing up homes in the border towns they continue to control.
Israeli officials have openly said that they aim to destroy Lebanese towns to prevent residents from returning to them, replicating the tactic they used in Gaza, which rights groups have said amounts to ethnic cleansing.”
Terrorists have no rights to housing especially from the terrorized. No, I don’t care what a rights group says.
So we should blow up Israeli houses.
Not without US bombs.
It will take time to see how this plays out. I am interested in seeing whether the strait opens and in what manner. Six ships transited today, roughly the same number that we have been averaging during this entire conflict. Ship owners and insurance companies are cautiously waiting for assurances that they are safe to go.
Iran appears to still be directing ships through their waters and charging tolls. And they keep saying that the strait will stay open as long as the ceasefire holds in Lebanon.
Meanwhile, the world is still losing 10+ million barrels of oil each day from the Persian Gulf; as well as many other products. And even once the strait returns to normal traffic (100+ ships per day) it will take many months to restore production,
Infrastructure, and actual shipping.
It is interesting to watch investor reactions to these events. Oil dropped over $10 today on hopes that things will return to normal soon. Even though shortages will get worse over the next few weeks. That kind of volatility is great for traders. I was loading up this morning and selling back by days end.
Mind boggling oil dropped 10% knowing what is coming in a couple of months.
UK parliamentary motion seeking to put widespread sanctions on Israel
https://x.com/RichardBurgon/status/2045190335425286163
Iran said Friday it won’t send its stockpile of enriched uranium abroad, pushing back on remarks by President Trump that Tehran had agreed to hand it over. Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said the material wouldn’t be transferred “anywhere,” according to state media, underscoring Iran’s long-standing position on retaining control over its nuclear assets.
“Just as Iran’s soil is important and sacred to us, so too is enriched uranium,” Baghaei said, adding that sending the material to the U.S. “was never an option on the table.” He also dismissed reports of a potential permanent halt to enrichment, describing them as part of a media campaign aimed at influencing negotiators and shaping the course of the talks.
Then let the economic squeeze continue and follow up as necessary with more bombing. [shrug]
You ignore the sunset provisions in the original Obama deal. I would like to believe it was on oversight but I don’t think so.
Obama’s agreement had various sunset provisions of 5 to 25 years. But no sunset provision for seeking nuclear weapons. That was a hard no.
Till Trump cancelled the agreement and after that, Iran decided it was free to pursue whatever it wanted.
Maybe Trump can get us back to Obama’s agreement. But I doubt he can even achieve that.
Read them again.
And look where they are now.
Old leadership decimated, unsure if there is any real leadership currently, no Navy, no air force, no economy, $billions upon $billions in infrastructure damage, tens of thousands killed, people starving, their proxy warriors neutralized, their hopes of a nuke weapon to terrorize Israel with buried under many tins of rubble.
“but other than that one thing Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?” 🤣🤣🤣
“And look where they are now”.
Exactly!
Look where we all are right now after Trump’s continual fuckups. Strait of Hormuz closed. Global recession on the way. Threats to exterminate an entire civilization.
And dumb fucks like you and Doug cheer on this genocidal maniac.
We are cheering on the actions that should have been taken by previous Presidents, all of who capitulated to people like yourself, more concerned with the economics of the situation
Trumpstien has proven himself clearly inferior to a black man. I wonder if he’s allowed himself to comprehend that.
His history suggests he’d choose going to Hell over admitting it and being let into Heaven. It’s similar to the bizarre losing strategy he is so artfully executing – the Hormuz Hustle.
Now that we attacked Iran for Israel
The US is sending troops to actively disarm Hezbollah
Boots on the ground for Israel in Lebanon
A senior Israeli official told The Jerusalem Post that, unlike in the past, the United States now intends to actively lead efforts to disarm Hezbollah and is prepared to use American resources to achieve this goal. “Trump wants this to happen, so this time the US will be far more involved,” the official said.
The charge of Epstein Cavalry!
The only thing that’s going to happen is the US surrender to Iran, how trump is going to spin the treaty to make it look like he won?….
THE EPSTIEN TAPES ON tRUMP MUST BE GOOD
So good Biden didn’t release for four years.
If Lebanon can’t do the job, then someone else has to. I favor the Genghis Khan model. Hurdle the dead and trample the weak, kill all Hezbollah members and their families.
Just a murderer to your core, eh Jojo?
War is not a game. You must do what is necessary.
The winners of most wars, are well aware of this simple fact.
Iran got the US to make Israel agree to a cease-fire with Lebanon, diplomatic power that is a bit new to Iran, Iran wants to bring on the US ground invasion, the US is a slow learner in warring for such causes. Iran wants yet another repeat of past US mistakes. It’s getting hot over there.
Chernobyl in a cave??
Iran has not permitted IAEA access to the bombed facilities since June 2025. The material exists as uranium hexafluoride gas stored in metal canisters inside a tunnel complex that sustained at least 14 strikes from 30,000-lb Massive Ordnance Penetrators delivered by seven B-2 Spirit bombers. The structural integrity of the tunnels, the condition of the canisters, and the current state of the UF6 are unknown to any international body.
Joseph Rodgers, Deputy Director at CSIS, stated the core problem: “The longer the location of this highly enriched uranium stockpile remains unknown, the greater the potential for a proliferation crisis” (CSIS Nuclear Network). The material is simultaneously too dangerous to leave in place and too dangerous to extract without extraordinary precautions. UF6 reacts violently with moisture and is acutely toxic. Ruptured canisters in a collapsed tunnel represent a radiological hazard that cannot be resolved by satellite surveillance, regardless of what Trump’s Truth Social post asserts about Space Force monitoring.
And the point you wanted to make was?
Perhaps one or more of those cylinders have already ruptured?
Many morons think it is a pile of relatively inert dust in bins, “nuclear dust”, that can be safely and casually handled. No, it’s a volatile, corrosive toxic gas stored in cylinders under pressure
So is the purpose/result of bombing a site with uranium hexafluoride gas is what? Gently bury the cylinders under thousands of tons of porous debris? Rupture a cylinder? Create a toxic release?
And even more bizarre, recover the cylinders via a shooting raid?
Ludicrous.
Busting a few of these cylinders sounds like a positive outcome! A dose of Chernobyl may influence future Iranian choices.
Why is it a poor choice for Iran to pursue nuclear weapons? Pakistan and India have them. So does North Korea. Our greatest ally, who hates Iran for interfering with their dastardly plans, has hundreds of them. So I find wanting to institute a policy of M.A.D. to be very sensible.
It’s very difficult to understand Iran’s “negotiating” strategy. It seems very much like complete capitulation, done incrementally to save face. Why did they agree to a ceasefire? They had all the advantages; the US and Israel were about out of interceptors so Iran could destroy targets almost at will. The blockade of Homuz was causing accelerating damage to the world economy. They world was increasingly turning against the US. China and Russia were on board as allies.
All the pressure was on Trump and his clown-show cabinet and advisors. At the point of maximum advantage, Iran apparently decides to quit the fight, and let the US dictate terms.
I am missing something here. Maybe Trump’s madman tactics, obliquely threatening a nuclear attack scared them sufficiently. Maybe their strategic planning and missile arsenal were over rated. Maybe this is all a mirage based on Trump bloviation.
What gives? The next couple weeks should hopefully bring some clarity.
The problem is, the U.S. MSM is only letting a tiny trickle of information out about everything that’s been happening in this war. Lots of omissions. It’s maddening. Same with the Israeli MSM (Haaretz, Jerusalem Post, etc.)
I’ve been looking at the English language Iranian official propaganda site presstv.ir and it’s been interesting how Iran is narrating things differently, including the current Strait of Hormuz situation.
Ummm, that is what is called propaganda. Sucker.
Duh. I admitted as much. My point obviously went over your head.
To paraphrase the eloquent Sgt. Schultz
WE KNOW NNNOTHING!
US interests are being “protected” by Zionist kleptocrats
This is just the bidding period
I suspect that China was pressuring them to cave.
China simply hopes to be able to sell things and make money. The Americans and Israelis, by contrast, care only for power, domination and control. They are perfectly happy to smash things up rather than see their power, domination and control erode.
“Iran’s foreign minister said on Friday that ‘in line with the ceasefire in Lebanon’ the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s busiest oil shipping channel, had been ‘declared completely open’.”
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy32277e58o
On the surface it looks like Iran is following through on it’s pledge – it open Hormuz for the duration of the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, but others see thos as a tactic to divide Israel from the US.
Regardless of speculation I agree with Mish, “I believe [we] will soon have answers” as we await what the weekend brings.
“I am missing something here”
That normally happens when you are talking out of your ass.
And the answer is…..this supposed detente was simply a case of Trump’s demented bloviation and his pathetic need to project dominance.
That did not take long. Thanks for playing.
Fake ceasefire (just a pause for Israel & U.S. to resupply). Fake Strait re-opening (nothing actually getting through and the U.S. says the blockade of Iranian ships is still on)
So on fake news, the stock markets are hitting records. Record low oil futures prices by next week probably? Peace and joy are spreading thanks to the “Peace President”.
about that “nuclear dust”
Opposition, northern mayors decry imposed ceasefires as Lebanon truce declared
https://www.timesofisrael.com/opposition-northern-mayors-decry-imposed-ceasefires-as-lebanon-truce-declared/
Just Temporary …
heads will roll Republicans in Congress back Army secretary amid clash with HegsethDan Driscoll, the top political appointee in the Army, gave his first public testimony since Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth forced out the service’s top officer.
https://archive.ph/Opm9l#selection-281.0-285.161
Amusing that almost everything Trump says about the deal is contradicted by the Iranians, including calling it a deal
The Quran instructs its followers to lie to the infidels (that’s us) until they are strong enough to overcome them. It’s been that way for 1,400 years. The regime will lie with a straight face to Nitwitkoff and KlulessKushner and they will buy it, hook, line and sinker. If the regime can slaughter 50,000+ people to keep itself in power, it can lie with a straight face. (I have relatives in several cities back in Iran and they tell me that number is probably on the low side. People are still being dragged away to prison on made up charges.) If Trump doesn’t remove the regime, he has failed on all accounts. What did our great president tell the Iranian patriots? “Help is on the way!” But who did he help? It appears to be the regime. He denied Israel the right to destroy Hamas. He’s now denied Israel the right to destroy Hezbollah. And now it seems he’s willing to allow the regime to survive and Trump himself has said that the ‘new’ regime is worse than the old one! So why did Trump let all the lunatic survive to fight another day? Is Trump just the grandest of all the can-kickers? The only way to bring peace to the region is for the the Americans and Israelis to remove the regime. Otherwise there will not only be more wars in the region, the Islamopaths in Europe and the USA will be emboldened to do more damage right here at home. England’s churches are being burned to the ground on a weekly bases. It’s only a matter of time until it happens here. Anyone who disagrees should pull his head out of the ground.
As for all the clowns who say the Jews/Israel control Trump, I’d say the proof on the ground says absolutely not. Who is pulling Trump’s strings to protect the Islamist psychopaths? Maybe the folks who gave Trump a shiny new 747??
Another internet expert on Islam.
yeah, we should “always trust Israel”
Amazing that every sentence in a post that long is false!
We should remember:
(1) Iran sees Hormuz as open (and has said nany times during this “little” American led “excursion”, even if a toll is required to pass and the “enemies of Iran” can’t.
(2) https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-ready-to-hand-over-uranium-trump-makes-big-claim-tehran-denies-any-deal-reached/articleshow/130317619.cms
Iran has denied that there’s any kind of deal.
Trump’s statements on this matter are akin to his statements that Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a peace deal. The only problem with that is that Hezbollah wasn’t included in the peace talks.
Markets are so desperate that belive lies.
You know the lie isn’t with Trump or Iran. Because there was a peace deal between Lebanon and Israel (regardless of the fact that Hezbollah wasn’t included in the talks and the aggressor agaist Israel) and Hormuz was open.
So these statements are genuinely true.
The lie, however, is to believe that these different perceptions of reality are the same thing that one or all are telling the public.
Take a break from the constant naysaying! Sheese. It gets old after a while.
War has consequences. People, including children, get killed and maimed. Infrastructure gets destroyed. There is much environmental pollution. This is why everyone should work to avoid wars.
This war could have been easily avoided had Iran simply given up their insistence on continuing to work towards building nuclear weapons and gave up their stock of enriched uranium. This was the primary motivator for commencing the attack.
The other issues, such as Iran continuing to support its terrorist proxies and murdering 50k of their citizens for protesting against economic issues and their government oppression (why isn’t anyone hollering “genocide” here? Because the Iranian government were killing their own people? That’s apparently OK.) were secondary.
According to Oman – present at the negotiations – Iran was willing to give up enrichment on Feb 27th, but the Axis of Evil went ahead and attacked. Israel wants Iran destroyed – like Syria and Libya. And that 50,000 figure is a pile of horseshit.
Cite?
Provide us a cite proving that you are not a Nazi
Google it yourself. You spout canards on Iran giving up uranium enrichment, terrorist proxies, faux 50k citizens murdered in riots, then ask a commenter to cite a source that is readily easy to confirm .
Instead of commenting moronic nonsense, apply for a job at the WH. You should fit in with IQs between 50 – 75
” … that 50,000 figure is a pile of ….”
The bigger and rounder a number is, the more likely it involves fabrication. In what direction, I wouldn’t pretend to know.
The cite is “I have relatives in Iran…”
In the IRGC?
OK, the number is 47,294. Happy now?
All of Trump’s demands are being met or soon will be to the disappointment of many here. It’s not over yet but is in the endgame.
lol
How about you list them all so we can keep track? It will be fun.
Do it yourself.
Lol! It was YOUR claim that ALL Trump’s demands will soon be met.
Now you are too much of a coward to list what they are.
Hahahahaha!
What a dumb fuck!
Afraid to list them? What a coward.
Oh Dougie, you’re going to have such a boo-boo face on Monday.
We’re already being studied by the future
George Murray
So now the Iranians are manipulating the market, just as we do.
Strange as it seems, they’re not a bunch of camel riding towel heads running around screaming Allah Akbar all day.
Their education per capita is kinda high.
The pirates, I mean, the US said that the blockade will continue even after the Strait is open.
TRUMP grabbed the Strait by the pu$$y
Markets should be falling, not rising, as the main street economic damage from all this is real. The markets are all “vibes” and have detached from reality.
It is another net tax rise on working people. Like Tariffs, like Big Beautiful.
Trump profits the most by squeezing out the sure-thing bears. By every chart pattern known to man, this should have been a very bloody week, but Trump said it was time for him and his buddies to buy calls and squeeze all the bears into a single atom. Thankfully, I knew this action was on the table and sat out this poopshow.
Comparing US markets to other global markets I would conclude the Plunge Protection Team has been very busy.
very true
“Peace In Our Time” – September 30, 1938
Not if the Zionist Epstein Club can help.
The correct Neville Chamberlain quote (which I tried to fix, unsuccessfully) is:
Peace In Our Time was the 1947 stage play by Noël Coward.
We tend to anchor on those events. Everything is Chamberlain in Munich 1938, has been a refrain ever since — Munich. Korean War was Munich, Vietnam was Munich, Saddam was Munich …. This extends the tiresome metaphor that anyone we disfavor is Hitler.
Exactly. As if somehow Chamberlain had chosen a different path then Germany wouldn’t have run rampant in Europe.
The truth was no matter what he did Hitler would have invaded Europe and England could have done nothing about it (as demonstrated clearly in 1940).
We tend to anchor on those events. Everything is Chamberlain in Munich 1938, has been a refrain ever since — Munich. Korean War was Munich, Vietnam was Munich, Saddam was Munich …. This extends the tiresome metaphor that anyone I disfavor is Hitler.
The strait was open before the war started. So we are currently back to zero except for all the money and lives wasted. This is progress in our new upside down world? Going forward is the US going to keep patrolling the strait? As soon as the troops go home Iran has control of the strait again by default.
It is a good strategy for Iran since now they can say that the US are actually the ones blocking the straight.
It will be interesting to see where the deal on the uranium lands. Trump lies like a sidewalk so we need to discount anything out of his mouth by 90%. Crazy that we tend to rely on what the Iranians say to get a more balanced picture of what is happening.
“Back to zero” and back to 50,000
Winning!
50K? That means the Epstein club can avoid prosecution again. Dangit!
https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=937728758692229
Wait for Monday and W shall see.
TRUMP finally put a leash on that rabid dog
TRUMP Bros absolutely feasting!
50,000 is all we should be talking about
LibTards on suicide watch
But seriously, those equity index charts are something to behold….almost like “a certain someone” intervened
If Trump is smart it’s over. Except for some transitory economic pain. Donald and Bibi’s little adventure was an unmitigated disaster. All this damage to America’s reputation and economic pain for probably something very close to the same deal as before the war.
Bond yields down 1% or 0.1%?
1% is huge.
You know it was 1 basis point
Maybe it’s a secret deal.
Donald Trump is the kindest, bravest, warmest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life,
LOL!!!
How about a little solitaire
Did you lose a bet?
Reading that Israel will probably create a false flag —to then say Iran has broken the Peace deal?
Seems Nuttanyoo Team will not allow Peace— as it’s not part of their Political Agenda. Time will Tell.
https://houseofsaud.com/trump-nuclear-dust-iran-silence/
Regardless, Iran was foolish to give up its leverage. “Put the gun down and then we’ll talk!”
The prior Ayatollahs decreed that nucelar weapons are immoral and sinful. Now that the prior Ayatollahs were killed, it remains to be seen if their current leader, whose Ayatollah father, wife and child were killed by the Epstein Club, will have the same religious stance.
A moratorium only delays another military action against Iran for enriching nuclear material to weapons grade. There’s no proof ALL underground nuclear facilities have been destroyed or even accounted for. There is nothing in the agreement preventing Iran from performing nuclear research and enrichment in another country. A third country has no obligation to enforce a deal between Iran and the US.
One would expect that the IAEA would have full, unrestricted access to all of Iran to verify and monitor compliance.
Which country do you think would be stupid enough to host Iranian nuclear work in their country, which I believe is illegal, and also risk being bombed into the stone age? Russia? They are kind of occupied in Ukraine for the last 4 years. They also pulled all their nuke engineers and support people from Iran a few weeks back.
China? Be serious. China uses Iran as a pawn in their global game of chess. Iran means nothing to China and will be sacrificed as/when necessary.
Nah, that can’t be the deal. If that was acceptable Trump could have simply kept Obama’s deal (which did exactly that) during his first term. Instead he ripped up the deal in spite of the fact that EVERYONE said it was working great. No way he would just rip up that deal out of spite and then put us through a hugely wasteful and violent conflict, just to end up in the same deal. Right?
The IAEA did not have full, unrestricted access to all of Iran prior to the U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA. Iran was suspected of working on enriching uranium, violating the agreement and they were refusing to give the IAEA full, unrestricted access.
Again, I hope this is one of Trump’s must haves. Otherwise, we may just have to bomb them to hell next time around.
meanwhile another economic subject: who will clean the rooms?
https://www.travelweekly.com/Travel-News/Hotel-News/Historic-immigration-decline-could-damage-hotel-industry
I see your hotel labor plight and raise you restaurant labor plight.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/17/us/texas-restaurants-immigration-work-permits.html?unlocked_article_code=1.blA.HGSH.aFvd4g7vSfIN
But let’s be honest, it’s going to be bad across the board. I believe I heard the cries and screams from some home owners a few posts ago about the high labor costs of replacing AC units, Lol.
You did.
I want to use cheap high school labor to replace the cheap illegal labor.
Texas is a red state, that got what they voted for.
Ask and you shall receive!
I imagine everyone n the USA will work for the military soon, so Trump can declare the room-cleaning a national security emergency and deploy domestically there.
We don’t need all the hotels now that tourism is dying.
Lots of naysaying and negativity on this blog, and all that was needed was to let Trump cook. Now a 40 plus year terrorist sponsor and crazy theocratic gov on the verge of nuclear weapons chanting “Death to America” is almost fully castrated and the stock market is at an all time high. Trump’s tweets are irritating for sure, but you got to give credit where credit is due.
I give Trump full credit for starting a war that was not needed.
He gets little credit for ending a mess he created but yes, he gets some as soon as we see what the deal is.
I give Trump full credit for idiotic promises like reducing energy bills in half.
I give him full credit for lots of idiotic things.
I also give him genuine credit for some woke matters, DEI, etc.
And I give him credit for shutting the border.
But he also gets “credit” if you like that word for asinine attacks on the courts, illegal orders, unconstitutional actions, and an asinine battle with the Pope.
I believe I am being fair about all of this.
MIsh i would not give him credit for immigration and a bunch of other “ change”. The use of executive orders is temporary. Real immigration reform or other reform would need to go through congress.
He reminds me of a crack head construction worker. He may move fast and look busy but after you fire him someone is gonna have to redo his work. And its gonna cost you more money.
Only thing hes been good at is enriching himself and family.
Good points.
> enriching himself and family
insider trading as blatant as it can get. Utterly disgusting and criminal.
Of course, tabs are being kept on whose instructions the trade was carried out
US run by a mafia. If there was still any doubt
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/traders-put-760-mln-bets-174749007.html?
I told you all along: Trump is competent. That’s a big change from everybody you have had in that position since at least Bill Clinton.
The war probably WAS needed, because as I understand it, the Persians were on the verge of developing effective long-range missiles to load their atomic bombs onto.
I don’t support the land theft by Israel that is still going on. I don’t think the Jews should have been allowed to terrorize the Palestinians and establish their state in the first place. But every politician has to cope with the situation he finds, not the one that existed forty years ago. Trump is doing that.
Stocks have soared for 17 straight years save for the 2 weeks of tariff nonsense in April 2025, the plandemic period, and I think a brief bit in 2018. The massive deficits have to go somewhere. We’ve only rallied about 13% in 11 trading days. At this point these moves all look manufactured–create a buying opportuntity, satisfy the buying opportunity. Lather, rinse, repeat. Unless and until those that have participated for 17 years are willing or forced to give up gains this will persist. Only way I see that happening is an ACTUAL recession, not expectations of one.
I mean the markets are up 1076% since the March 2009 low, as of today. Nearly 11x in 17 years….the very core of the k-shaped economy and, with a wide swath of the population invested in the game the chance that we’ll get policy unwilling to protect those gains at the expense of others, including future generations or even current cohorts that never benefitted from such continuous outsized returns is bascially 0 at this point.
15% annually for 17 straight years, basically. Vs 0% for t-bills for half of the priod. Sure.
Let’s see how fast gas prices go down lol.
Great day to buy back calls on XLE to pocket 80% profits on calls sold during oil surge. Don’t forget Trump still moving military assets into the region and I suspect it’s going to be a cruel summer.
I can make any wino look like a financial wizard, as long as that wino can continue to borrow and refinance.
Well, we’ve gotten free drinks at the credit bar for 17 years now, with no sign of any sheriff.
Plandemic?
“Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A.”
This is how the hypothetical agreement will likely fail. Does anyone seriously believe Netanyahu will accept this edict from Trump? If Bibi wants to sabotage the agreement, bombing Lebanon is his path forward.
I give it 48 hours, maybe 72 hours max before Bibi has to scratch his death and destruction itch.
He’ll wait until after Shabbat
Nothing that Chabad couldn’t overlook.
Less than 24 hours after making that statement Israel started blowing up homes in Southern Lebanon border towns. The justification is probably that Israel just annexed Southern Lebanon so they are not bombing Lebanon.
Can anyone name a single treaty Israel did not violate since 1948?
Now are the news of the Hormuz real ? And if so that still does not fix the employment no money no jobs the repo market still frozen should I go on?…
No. Not real. Not for long. The U.S. just put sanctions back on Iranian oil. If the U.S. doesn’t allow Iranian oil out, Iran will refuse passage to GCC oil – including hitting ships with missiles if needed. Plus, the “truce” between Israel and Lebanon was with the impotent official government of Lebanon. Hezbollah holds the real power, and there’s no truce between them and Israel. Israel will soon attack more civilian neighborhoods (“Hezbollah strongholds”) in Beirut, ensuring that Iran will keep the strait closed.
good.
But I am sure Trump and his media verse will be crowing about this huge victory– which of course is just fixing what Trump broke to begin with. The strait was open a couple of months ago until Trump attacked Iran.
Well I called it yesterday, every time bond yields start spiking we get an announcement to juice markets.
https://mishtalk.com/economics/industrial-production-declines-0-5-percent-in-march-but-feb-revised-higher/
But Trump’s presidency has been a series of failures one after the other. What happened to those 20 million deportations? Only 1000 days left and then we get open borders again Lol.
Tariffs? Failure.
Affordable housing? Failure.
End of all wars? Failure.
Tame inflation? Failure.
Lower rates? Failure.
We’re not done yet, there is still more disasters to come so….
Do worry, Trump will find a way to make things even worse.™
Well you realize you and most on this blog, and every blue state and sanctuary city, thwart the deportation policy then somehow blame him for not doing it. Sad but true. Most of the rest mentioned were already baked into the cake (despite his bombastic claims to the contrary) given that the game is now rigged to continue the enrichment policies we’ve seen bipartisanly over the deficit-spending decades. The easiest one on your list to take the guy to task for is the unnecessary Iran action. Massive own-goal. But, hey, a buy-the-dip opportunity for most who read this blog, the financial ramifiations to others bedamned. (and to those people killed, infrastructure destroyed..etc)
Affordable housing? You selling yours for less? Can you build one for less with 4,000 pages of buliding code and no one willing to sell their 3% mortgaged house or land they perceive as valuable?
Simply put, until and unless we get an actual recession without more deficit-spending-surplusses and zirp, nearly everything is on autopilot to financial ruin, regardless of party. Lower rates on your (his) list not coming true is a Godsend–we don’t need those again. We need some dang constraints somewhere and I don’t see any other than the pressure put on households by inflation.
The issue overall is the fluid, outlandish, sensationalized, bombastic claims made by the current politician, magnified by social media and the MAGA vs TDS charged crowds. The 1000 days left to a different brand of insanity is frightening culturally but, hey, we’ll get blue disasters instead of red ones then….including a continuation of financial ruin once we left any fiscal constraint 50+ years ago. This blog has found bad policy through blue and red times.
The inflation has always been baked in…your turtles know! usdebtclock.org knows. Policies are all geared toward it, it protects the status quo…and the bureacracy and political state love the runoff nature of status quo.
My take is though they say deflation hits everyone, inflation does as well but slowly burns for a LONG time enriching a swath before deflation MUST wipe out the unsupported largesse. This slow burn is an “unhappiness producer”…the complicity that 401ks/IRAs created in the middle class have extended the burn as they are now included in the passive gains only the uberwealthy used to enjoy. If/when those gains evaporate, things will get messy quickly.
You often take the retirees to task, can you imagine what things would look like if the SP were at, say, 5,000? You’d see spending sphincter-shut with rapidity. That cohort despite having social security, medicare and a 8x multiple in 17 years would act as if they were poor, the baby boom bitchers as I call them.
Until then the turtles are carrying lots of sloshing liquidity and money in those shells, buying less and less on the daily.
With the straight open now you shouldn’t have to swim east.
Lol. Come on Bill. What power do you think I have to “thwart” anything? I’m a private citizen, I have no control over any government city, county, state, federal whatsoever. Heck I didn’t even go protest since I’m busy working.
I point out Trump’s ineffectiveness because he never had the power to do anything about it, he just lied to suckers that thought he would do something about it.
I’ve pointed this out over and over again. This country runs on slave labor (mostly immigrants) and everyone wants it this way. Businesses get cheap labor and they avoid FICA, other taxes, regulations, etc. and the “consumer” benefits from cheaper prices and access to slaves.
Isn’t it strange that when democrats or republicans are in control no one ever passes immigration reform.
https://www.kcur.org/environment-agriculture/2026-04-13/h-2a-visas-foreign-ag-workers
Project 2025 wants to end the H-2A, well good luck with inflation if that happens.
All I can do is profit from whatever situation I find myself in….that’s it.
Well that was a convoluted mess.
That’s what we live in now
King taco has stopped a 10th world war. Hail to the taco!
So does that mean he gets the Nobel Peace Prize for 2026?