The leaked terms of the deal amount to a Trump surrender. Netanyahu is unhappy.
Unconditional Surrender
My how things have changed. Does anyone recall this March 6, 2026 bluster by Trump?
Truth Social: There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER! After that, and the selection of a GREAT & ACCEPTABLE Leader(s), we, and many of our wonderful and very brave allies and partners, will work tirelessly to bring Iran back from the brink of destruction, making it economically bigger, better, and stronger than ever before. IRAN WILL HAVE A GREAT FUTURE. “MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN (MIGA!).” Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Mar 06, 2026, 6:50 AM
Capitulation by Trump
How’s that surrender idea going Mr. President?
Here’s the latest deal rumor, widely reported everywhere.
Expected Terms
- Extension of Iran War ceasefire for another 60 days
- Strait of Hormuz reopened for the 60-day period
- Iran would be able to freely sell oil during the period
- US would lift blockade on Iranian ports and unfreeze some Iranian funds
- US would issue some sanction waivers on Iranian oil
- Draft MOU includes statement that war between Israel and Lebanon would end
- Negotiations would then be held regarding Iran’s nuclear program
- The draft MOU includes commitments from Iran to never pursue nuclear weapons, negotiate over a suspension of uranium enrichment, and removal of its highly enriched uranium.
Surrender by Trump
Those terms represent a surrender by Trump, not Iran.
Amusingly, the terms were negotiated with Saudi Arabia, The United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Pakistan, Türkiye, Jordan, and Bahrain.
Iran and Israel were missing in action.
Iranian officials on the Deal
Gharibabadi is the Deputy Foreign Minister for Legal and International Affairs for Iran.
Peace Through Strength
The 3rd of Khordad, the anniversary of the liberation of Khorramshahr, recalls an enduring truth in Iran’s history; a truth that is also linked to the fundamental principles of the United Nations Charter: a nation subjected to aggression and occupation has the inherent right of self-defence to protect its territory, independence and dignity.
Khorramshahr became a symbol of the triumph of national will over an aggression that began with the calculations of the powers supporting the aggressor, but was defeated by the faith, steadfastness and self-reliance of the Iranian great nation.
Today, Iran follows the same logic: seeking peace with strength, pursuing diplomacy with dignity, and firmly defending the territorial integrity, independence and rights of our beloved Iran.
New York Times on the Proposed Deal
The New York Times reports Iranian officials say the proposed peace deal would end fighting and open the Strait of Hormuz.
As the United States threatened over the past week to resume strikes on Iran, officials there pursued a twofold strategy: engaging in a frenzy of diplomatic negotiations while also aggressively planning for all-out combat.
On Saturday, the diplomatic option appeared to be winning out.
As part of the agreement, the Iranian officials said, Iran would allow ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway crucial to the world’s oil and gas trade, without tolls or fees — for now. In turn, they said, the United States would lift its naval blockade on Iran. The agreement would also halt fighting on all fronts, they added, including in Lebanon, where Israel has continued to clash with the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah.
The agreement leaves thorny questions related to Iran’s nuclear program for a later date, the officials said. A plan for its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, which the United States has insisted it give up, would be negotiated within 30 to 60 days, they said, adding that the deal would release $25 billion in Iranian assets frozen overseas.
It was not clear whether the proposal the Iranian officials said they had agreed upon was the same draft that Mr. Trump referred to in his social media post. The three Iranian officials said a few hours before Mr. Trump’s announcement that Iran had sent a draft of the agreement to the White House for the president’s approval.
Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Agree in Principle to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Official Says
The New York Times reports Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Agree in Principle to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Official Says
The United States and Iran have agreed in principle to a deal that would wind down the war in the Middle East by reopening the Strait of Hormuz with a commitment from Iran to dispose of its highly enriched uranium, a senior U.S. official told reporters on Sunday.
Over the last 24 hours, Iranian and U.S. officials have offered some conflicting depictions of what a deal might contain. On Sunday, the U.S. official said a deal had not yet been signed and was still subject to final approval from President Trump and Iran’s supreme leader, which could take days.
Iranian military commanders openly threatened to burn down the infrastructure of Arab neighbors in the Persian Gulf if Mr. Trump carried out a threat he had made to target Iran’s critical infrastructure, including its power plants.
Netanyahu on the Deal
The Jerusalem Post comments Trump tells Netanyahu no agreement with Iran without dismantling nuclear program, removing uranium
“In last night’s conversation with President Trump, the Prime Minister emphasized that Israel will maintain freedom of action against threats in all arenas, including Lebanon, and President Trump reiterated and supported this principle,” the Israeli political source told Reuters on Sunday, asking not to be named.
“President Trump made it clear that he will stand firm in negotiations on his consistent demand for the dismantling of the Iranian nuclear program and the removal of all enriched uranium from its territory,” the source said, “and that he will not sign a final agreement without these conditions being met.”
Trump Announces an Iran Deal that Appears to Be a Complete Capitulation
This morning I reported Trump Announces an Iran Deal that Appears to Be a Complete Capitulation
Here we go again, another deal announcement and another denial by Iran. But …
Believe what you want. But I will believe there is a deal as soon as Iran says there is a deal.
That said, Trump is desperate for a deal. It’s possible this is the real deal. And if so, it’s a total capitulation by Trump.
My “But …” was a thought that this announcement seemed different. And the action today indicates that idea was indeed correct.
Trump is finally tired of this stupid war he started.
Questions Abound
Is a MOU OK for now? How long is for now?
Netanyahu is against this deal. So are the US warmongers like Senators Ted Cruz and Lindsey Graham.
I am certain Netanyahu will do everything he can to kill this deal.
That “Trump will not sign a final agreement without these conditions being met,” leaves a lot to the imagination.
We can go years without a final agreement.
Will Iran Give Up Its Uranium?
That’s a question I can answer. No. Iran won’t and can’t.
Q: Why?
A: Trump is the world’s biggest liar. The only way Iran can be sure Trump does not break the terms of the MOU is to keep its uranium.
Trump broke Obama’s deal with Iran. Trump broke his own USMCA deal with Canada. Trump bombed Iran in the middle of negotiations in February this year.
Trump is a proven liar. Neither Iran nor any country in the world can believe Trump will honor any deal he makes.
The only leverage Iran has is ability to close the strait and its uranium. If it gives both up, Trump is 100 percent certain to break any deal he makes.
So, will we have an MOU?
Right now, that seems likely. But don’t underestimate Netanyahu’s resolve to kill it.
About that Blockade
How did Trump’s blockade work out?
I seem to recall the blockade was supposed bring Iran to its knees in three days. The blockade began on April 13, 2026. It’s now May 24.
And before that, Trump thought the war itself would take 3-5 days.
Trump was a moron to start this war. And that’s the sorry bottom line.
Prepare for surrender. Trump is waving the white flag.
Obama Flashback
In case you forgot, Trump’s own Secretary of Defense and Chair of Joint Chief of Staff, both told Congress under oath, that Iran was honoring the deal with Iran.
- Trump’s US State Department: Iran honoring the terms.
- Trump’s Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff: Iran honoring the terms.
- International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA): Iran honoring the terms.
- Arms Control Association: Iran honoring the terms.
- All US European allies: Iran honoring the terms.
- Every other signee of the accord: Iran honoring the terms.
- Trump’s top general Gen. Joseph Dunford: Iran honoring the terms.
- Trump’s Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis: Iran was complying with the terms of the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal
For discussion, please see What If Iran Just Honored Obama’s Nuclear Deal? Would We Be at War?
Key Details on Mattis’ Statement and Context:
- Testimony (October 2017): Testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Mattis said, “I believe that [Iran] fundamentally [are] in compliance with its nuclear deal”.
- Contradicting Trump: Mattis, a career hawk, advised that staying in the deal was in the U.S. national security interest, putting him at odds with President Trump’s public criticism of the agreement as an “embarrassment”.
Ten Point Synopsis Since 2016
- Trump tore up Obama’s deal that that Trump administration officials said was working
- Then and only then did Iran resort to nuclear bomb grade enrichment
- Trump bombed Iran in July of 2025 and announced he totally destroyed Iran’s nuclear capability
- In the middle of negotiations in 2026, Trump bombed Iran again to destroy its nuclear program he already destroyed.
- The price of oil, fertilizer, helium, and other goods that pass through the strait skyrocked.
- Trump demanded unconditional surrender and said the war would be over in a few days which became weeks, then months.
- Trump just surrendered to Iran, assuming Netanyahu does not find a way to kill this MOU.
- MAGA will find some asinine reason to declare victory.
- Oil prices will not go back where they were. Too much infrastructure has been damaged.
- Iran will have oil money and its US dollar assets will be unfrozen.
Thank you for your attention.
Mish
While Trump did say unconditional surrender, he did not say by whom. So ya, dammit, he was right again.
I think this MOU will in the end be the deal. Trump is not going to go to war in 60 days with the mid terms so close and in the heat of the middle eastern summer.
After the mid-terms Trump will be shut down, hopefully impeached and hopefully charged for corruption and being a rapist and pedophile. (If you’re gonna dream, dream big).
so the UN will be left holding the bag to get Iran to the table.
Were I Iran, I would keep my weapons fully loaded for when Netanyahu’s bitch, Trump, breaks his word.
The situation is fluid…per Trump last post he’s in no hurry for a deal and insist on Iran forbiddance of nuclear stuff…me think no one knows the outcome of this war yet…time is on Trump’s side and he knows it!
“Trump is finally tired of this stupid war he started.”
I’m not so sure.
As I stated in a comment in the other thread (9.30am, but edited to many times and has been stuck in review) I believe this is about reducing pressure domestically (trying to save face with voters and republicans seats this midterm) and internationally (conceding, at least partially, to China and responding to distress of those forced to into rationing due to this war).
The Trump administration (as well as the repubs) can point to this and say Trump is using negotiations instead of bombs to resolve this, and he can say to the world that he hears their cries and is opening the Hormuz. The key is in the fact that this agreement is for 60 days, and puts the issue of Iran’s enriched uranium to be decided later.
Is this total capitulation by Trump?
Yes to some degree it is, but as the old saying goes you have to give a little to get a little. Key here is reports I’ve read is that the US military sitting in the waters by Iran will be staying the entire duration of this deal (thus the build up in military isn’t leaving), and that suggests that this (whatever they agree on) is temporary.
It will be a total capitulation by Trump if he gives into allowing Iran to set up a permanent toll system in the Strait, and allows Iran to either keep its enriched uranium or pass it to another Eastern country (ally of Iran) for safe keeping. It would also signal a total capitulation towards China (really the BRICS as well).
It may seem like it’s a success now (if actually is signed), but in the future will most likely lead to a fail as both the toll system, and the uranium are red lines in the sand for both sides who sit on opposite sides on that line and have historically been unwilling to budge. It’s also likely to fail because the US can’t dictate the terms of what Israel can and cannot do, and Israel has a habit (as much as the US) of breaking it’s agreements.
One thing to note (and yes I am repeating myself from my comment in the other thread):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-approves-potential-1081-million-sale-missile-system-equipment-ukraine-2026-05-22/
Many may look at this deal (if it goes forward) as a sign of peace, but I’m almost certain that peace isn’t coming and that we are still marching towards ww3.
That said Trump has given the best buy signal for traders, should this be signed before US markets open on Tuesday.
Zionist US congressmen called up for duty by Israel, and…
now Trump gets nervous and now says he’s gonna be a tough guy, and…
blows up any basis for the deal
No MOA for you, America !
TACO’s all around!!
If I make a deal with Iran, it will be a good and proper one, not like the one made by Obama, which gave Iran massive amounts of CASH, and a clear and open path to a Nuclear Weapon. Our deal is the exact opposite, but nobody has seen it, or knows what it is. It isn’t even fully negotiated yet. So don’t listen to the losers, who are critical about something they know nothing about. Unlike those before me who should have solved this problem many years ago, I don’t make bad deals! President DJT
Hahahaha! He is so f*cked!
Iran already had a deal under Obama fully functioning until Trump tore it up?
Iran now knows that deals with America are as reliable as most things we hear endlessly from the Donald. Iran will surely Hedge their Bets as Israel works to undermine any deal.
Trump waves the white flag, and his stooges cheer like it’s 4D chess. Amazing what people will call ‘strategy’ when they’re not the ones thinking.
Surprise! Trump continues to publicly negotiate with himself.
After claiming, yet again, that a deal is close, Trump finally realizes that Iran is not going to rush to sign an agreement to negotiate today.
So now Trump says that he is in “no rush” to sign a deal with Iran until its the right deal. There will probably not be any signed deal today. And he says the blockade will remain in place until a deal is signed. And he says he will bomb them to kingdom come (for the tenth time), if they don’t do a deal.
So, much ado about nothing yet again.
Iran has been patient, but there’s a time limit on all sides. The U.S. cannot let this drag on much longer due to the economic and political pressures, and Iran also is being hurt economically. Barring those pressures, Trump could continue to stall and pretend his pressure tactics are working, but if this deal stalls or falls apart, Iran might take the initiative.
What initiative is that? They already have achieved control of the strait and will continue to do so. Time is on their side.
Trump is desperate to get out of this mess. Iran can wait him out until he capitulates on almost every one of their demands.