Median Home Prices Sink 3% in March, the Biggest Yearly Drop Since 2012
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9 comments on Median Home Prices Sink 3% in March, the Biggest Yearly Drop Since 2012
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9 Comments
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1 year ago
The Fed indirectly more than doubled mortgage rates and still hasn’t been able to stop the residential real estate market.
They ARE going to bring down the commercial real estate market and their lenders. Think 1980’s savings and loan debacle, not 2008 Lehman Brothers implosion.
1 year ago
When I considered buying a house years ago, I would take account of the Federal tax mortgage deduction. As a young engineer it helped me get and stay on the housing ladder. It did its job for people like me. Not now, I guess.
1 year ago
On the bright side, was talking with a trucker hauling tiny homes the other day and he said he was staying busy delivering them. Of course, they don’t count as housing, and the prices seem to range from about 8-20k on average. So, though they will take away from the housing market, the buying of one will never add to it. 500k for a box to put my stuff in is not my cup of wild Irish rose.
1 year ago
Common wisdom is that the 3% mortgage holders will circle the wagons and ride it out (till The Pivot) … and housing won’t take much of a hit.
The reality will be that housing will go down. Hard. Starting with STR (short term rental) investors throwing in the towel. Assets priced on the margin … and with the amount of leverage in play?
Airbnb total pie “may” still be growing … but way more number of slices since covid will do in “investors”.
Talked with a lady yesterday who had 1 airbnb unit.
2021 … $40K
2022 … $20K
2023 (so far) … dead
She about had it. Especially the reviews. One person wrote that she didn’t have a box of kleenex. wtf??
And those 3%ers who plan to stick it out … what if you have a 3% $500K mortgage … and your neighbor’s house sells for $380K? … we’ll find out.
1 year ago
Why doesn’t your lady friend rent it long term? Why must it be AirBnB? And if she plans on holding the property long term, what does it matter if the house next door sells for 380k unless she wants to get out right now? The better question is what will that 500k home be worth in 15 years even if you assume the value drops to 350k today.
The true investors in real estate know that you don’t buy a property unless you plan to hold it for 7 years or more. If you are a flipper then good luck to you, I personally don’t play that game and I don’t do AirBnB either.
1 year ago
“And if she plans on holding the property long term, what does it matter if the house next door sells for 380k unless she wants to get out right now?”
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You are conflating 2 separate points.
The 3%ers I’m referencing live in the home. 15 years ago “everyone” walked … and when “everyone” does it? … the penalty is a slap on the wrist. Many chose to walk away from underwater properties. Current generation no different.
1 year ago
The problem is, owner who plan to sell and buyers aren’t looking at economic statistics, but to realtors who are telling them what they want to hear.
1 year ago
“Transaction Dry Up”
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Yes. This is bad:
“The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 8.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 8 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 6 percent from the previous week and was 56 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 10 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 9 percent compared with the previous week and was 36 percent lower than the same week one year ago.”
link to mba.org
And, when you consider 1 year ago??
“The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 8 percent from the previous week and was 68 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 2 percent compared with the previous week and was 14 percent lower than the same week one year ago.”
link to mba.org
11 months ago
Ahhhh……compound contraction.