I expect Democrats will pick up 3 to 6 seats. 4 will win the Senate.
My Base Case
My base case all year has been Democrats win nearly every seat in the House and Senate currently labeled a tossup.
My starting point is the prediction markets but I want do want to see some more polls.
Kalshi Senate Predictions
Please see Kalshi 2026 Senate Prediction Market Prices
This is a forecast map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2026 Senate election.
Every 15 minutes, the price to buy (the ‘ask’ price) the Democratic or Republican party in each election market is compared.
The Toss-Up tan color is only used where neither party has market odds implying a 55% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (55%+) Lean (65%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Senate Seats in Play
I have seven Senate seats in play with four switches. I go with Kalshi on Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, and Ohio. If so, that Gives Democrats the Senate.
Trump has so screwed farmers that I have Iowa and Nebraska in play. And Trump’s meddling with Cornyn puts Texas in play.
Maga Purity
Trump wants to get rid of Sue Collins in Maine and Thom Tillis in North Carolina. He will succeed. Congratulations.
They will be replaced by Senators who instead of voting with Trump 80-90 percent of the time, will vote with him 10-20 percent of the time.
Trump will achieve “Maga Purity”, especially if Paxton loses.
House Seats
Profiles in Cowardice
Tucker
Senator Collins
This is not a shocker to me. Collins losing has been my view all year,
Paxton vs Talarico
I have this as a tossup. I had John Cornyn beating Talarico easily.
I am not the only one to see it that way.
Republican Senators Are Livid at Trump’s Endorsement of Paxton
The New York Times reports Republican Senators Are Livid at Trump’s Endorsement of Paxton
Republican senators reacted angrily on Tuesday to President Trump’s decision to endorse Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general, in the state’s Senate primary runoff, warning that his snub of the incumbent Senator John Cornyn could risk the seat and the party’s fight to keep its majority.
Heading into their weekly G.O.P. luncheon not long after Mr. Trump posted his choice on social media, many Senate Republicans appeared stunned and livid as they learned the news, which dealt a serious blow to Mr. Cornyn, who has served for more than two decades.
“Oh boy,” said a visibly dismayed Senator John Hoeven of North Dakota, as he left the Senate chamber after hearing of Mr. Trump’s announcement.
“Well, obviously,” he added, “I support Senator Cornyn.”
A stone-faced Senator Roger Wicker of Mississippi refused to answer questions about the endorsement as he exited the chamber following a vote.
Senator Lisa Murkowski, the Alaska Republican whose independent streak has often angered the president, said that she was “supremely disappointed” by Mr. Trump’s decision.
Then she went a step further, saying that the president’s endorsement of Mr. Paxton, a scandal-plagued conservative firebrand, could cost Republicans what had been considered a safe Senate seat.
“I think that this puts that seat in jeopardy,” she told reporters.
Many Senate Republicans, including the majority leader, John Thune of South Dakota, had been urging Mr. Trump to back Mr. Cornyn, whom they saw as a stronger candidate in a general election. The president’s decision to do otherwise amounted to a slap at Mr. Thune, an institutionalist like Mr. Cornyn.
“It’s his decision,” Mr. Thune told reporters of Mr. Trump as he entered the party luncheon at the Capitol, throwing up a hand in a gesture of exasperation.
“None of us control what the president does,” Mr. Thune said later. “He made his decision. That doesn’t change the way I feel.”
The endorsement was also likely to further sour an already tense relationship between Mr. Trump and some Republican senators who have bristled at his tactics and decisions during his second term, as the G.O.P. has deferred to him rather than insisting on the Senate’s tradition of independence.
With just a narrow majority, Senate leaders already faced challenges muscling through many of the president’s priorities.
But they are now worried that the defeat of Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana by a Trump-backed challenger last week and the president’s rejection of Mr. Cornyn will further complicate their efforts to pass consequential legislation, according to two leadership aides who requested anonymity to discuss internal political considerations.
Even Mr. Trump’s most loyal allies in the Senate had concerns.
Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina said that Mr. Trump had a right to his endorsement. But, he added, “you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to figure out the pathway for Paxton is there, but it’s more uphill.”
Mr. Graham said that he believed the Texas Senate race would likely become more expensive and competitive with Mr. Paxton as the nominee.
“What we’ve got to do is raise a lot more money now,” Mr. Graham said.
It’s the Corruption
A Word About MAGA Morals
God Wanted the Ballroom
What It Boils Down To
The election will come down to inflation, turnout, independents, women, youth voting, Hispanics, and Catholics.
Every one of those is hugely negative for Trump. I don’t see any of those changing by the election.
That is why I think Trump will end up losing nearly everything currently labeled tossup.
Things can change, and if they do, I will change my call. I just don’t expect to have to.
Related Posts
May 21, 2026: Trump’s Ouster of Massie and Endorsement of Paxton Is a Sad Day for the US
Emboldened by his ouster of Massie, Trump endorses a horribly flawed Paxton.
May 21, 2026: Debt, Inflation, and Populism Renewed Inflation and Is Killing the Bond Market
The Fed will not be cutting rates any time soon.
May 21, 2026: GOP Senators Break with Trump Over $1.8 Billion ‘Anti-Weaponization’ Slush Fund
Republican Sen. Thom Tillis, who is retiring after the president regularly criticized him, called it a ‘payout pot for punks’.
Just as long as they don’t screw up the global economy after midterms. Low unemployment. Like Trump or not…. we have had great EPS growth from SP500 companies since Trump was elected. Amazing giving all the nay sayers.
All the doom and gloom is always fixed with printing money.
Print….print….print. It fixes everything. People will say it does until it doesn’t . But when is the doesn’t supposed to happen. I have heard that story for 20 years. The FED is genius at financial engineering. I don’t think we should worry for another 30 to 50 years from now.
I have so many middle class friends who are multi-millionaires because of their 401k. They all preach to me as now they are experts. They tell me the trick is to never sell. A couple of friends who are about to retire, said the stock market can drop 25% and they would not care. 10 years ago….yes. But they don’t care now as it would not effect their retirement savings
I have to say. They are right.
In a year from now. Oil prices will be lower. Wages will be higher. Home prices will be higher. Unemployment will be below 5. Sure, we will hear people are living paycheck to paycheck but I have been hearing that forever.
The FED will buy US Treasuries to keep interest rates will be 3.5% to 4%. If the economy starts to struggle, they will do QE. I have been so slow to understand this.
Unless Trump is successful in getting control of state voting roles and disenfranchising likely Democratic voters, I do not see much potential upside for Republican candidates.
I don’t see Iran pulling Trump’s chestnuts out of the fire by negotiating a settlement before November. They remember, even if the US does not, the hostage crisis of 1979 that probably cost Carter re-election. Iran will be happy to watch Trump marinate in his own stupidity as energy, fertilizer, and other shortages increasingly damage the US economy and enrage US voters.
If Trump again attacks Iran militarily, the results could be catastrophic to the US, not only militarily, but economically and reputationally as well.
Its all downhill from here for Trump and his cowardly Republican sycophants. Losing 30 House seats and 6 Senate seats seems like their best case scenario.
It will be interesting to see the effects on the local and state level. I expect the “blue wave” to flip lots of seats across the country in less interesting areas.
A breakup of the USA, as many commenters are suggesting, is an absolute catastrophe. We would be roadkill for competing systems that would rapidly effect a takeover/dismemberment. Many are relitigating issues the founders faced squarely, without the benefit of any memory of that, or, of the many catastrophes that engulfed the 20th century. Most of them resembled what is being recommended by some here, with the fatalities in the tens of millions. Tough keyboard warriors are not faintly prepared to bear even their own share of the costs, much less those they would unload on their neighbors. A bad marriage in a sound home structure is better than sleeping out on he sidewalk.
USA is not breaking up or even close. Most people in the world would love to live in the U.S. Foreigners love to invest in US stock markets. They hold 17 Trillion worth of stock. That is a vote of confidence. The SP500 is a juggernaut of companies. 41% of their revenue comes from abroad.
Nobody wants to jeopardize this when it comes to a push or shove.
The USA has abundance of natural resources and food. It is rare to find someone that is malnourished. It is easy to find obese people. One of the lowest house price to income ratios affordability (top 4 out of 100 countries). Very generous welfare system compared to non G7 countries. (Sure, we have some fraud issues). Pretty good Social Security and Medicaid for retirees
1. Nobody is going to invade. Settle down.
2. Breathy commantary aside, everyone of influence and authority sees the United States as more valuable as a going concern,
Great! We’ll be back to tax and spend. I’m sure Taco will be fine with that. Can we just get Taco’s fanboy, Lindsey Graham, out? I am so effing tired of his smug little dsuckn’ face. I would actually contribute to his opponent, whoever they are, if I thought it would help. Rank Choice Voting and term limits, please.
The “both sides” people here make me throw up in my mouth a little. Exactly one party enabled this and have been working towards it at least since Gingrich if not since Reagan. Grow up, own it and stop with the both sides bullshit. The false equivalence is repulsive.
Phil, I think you’re the one who needs to grow up. I frequently post a link to that video of Trump saying democrats run the economy better but democrats are no angels. Why was Kamala Harris thrust on democratic voters at the last minute? How is this any different from Trump shoving his preferred loyalists as candidates?
It’s two sides of the same coin, one side may be more polished or shinier for you but it’s the same coin.
The only reason I prefer democrats is because I make more money when they are in control and they at least have some functioning brains in their group unlike hillbilly repubs who are just a KKK cult at this point.
Do worry, Trump will find a way to make things even worse.™
You can read the DNC autopsy on Kamala failed campaign here.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/read-the-dncs-full-post-election-autopsy-for-the-2024-campaign
So a mishandled situation under pressure where a party made a bad decision about how to correct course at the last minute,
vs
Trump is openly looting the government, they’re murdering protesting citizens in the street and then hiding away the perps, they’re murdering south american people in fishing boats, they’re systematically stripping the military of anyone who presents any sort of pushback on what are basically war crimes and threats of war crimes, they’re weaponizing the justice department and starting a slush fund to benefit rioters who attacked police and invaded the capitol building trying to stop and election, they’re openly making inside trades valued in hundreds of millions of dollars day after day, I mean, I can’t even keep track of it all!
And you want to equivocate! ROFL! We have one functioning, imperfect party that still generally has the best interests of the US and her people in mind, and another gang of thugs and criminals looting our government as fast as they can. Equivocating this = intellectual dishonesty
You are victim to the same nihilism that Trump sells. You’re just a second hand casualty rather than a MAGA who is basically a robot for evil at this point. They’re counting on your nihilism… you fell for it just like MAGA falls for Trump. They love people like you who think voting doesn’t count and we should just be looking to cover our own ass somehow.
I mean, to me, you sound like a piece of shit here.
Nope! I’m not equivocating, you are, but that small tiny bad decision by the DNC got us to where we are right now.
No one here criticizes scumbag Trump more than I do so I’m no fan of the clown or anything he is doing but the DNC shoved a candidate that no one wanted or liked and that got us to the current looting and pillaging.
And it wasn’t the first time either, many people wanted Bernie Sanders who got shafted by the DNC in a prior election. There is a repeated pattern of “looting and pillaging” the democratic party with scumbag candidates that would have been better than Trump but still scumbags nonetheless.
Let’s see how things unfold during the midterms and elections, I suspect it will be de ja vu all over again.
Won’t matter to me, I’ll be sipping Mai Tai’s somewhere after a deep tissue coconut oil massage….
Then stop wasting our time here. Nobody cares about some chicken shit who runs for the hills when things don’t go their way. I struggle to imagine the upbringing of someone who ends up so craven and contemptible.
You’re the one wasting everyone’s time, you started this dumb thread moron.
And by the way this is a LIBERTARIAN blog, not a repub or democrat one so why are YOU here?
It’s not libertarian political theory to cut and run when things get difficult. Like if you don’t even care enough for your home to fight for it, that’s not libertarian, that’s chickenshit, which really tends to lean Republican. I still care to fight for my home, which is why I engage on a libertarian blog, because there are points of alignment and because I like to have my own ideas challenged to test their mettle. It’s the people who have given up who waste all our time with the “got exit plan” bullshit.
If by “mishandled” you mean implementing a widespread multi-year fraud on Americans about the mental competency of their chosen leader and getting Dem power handlers to go along and strong-arming the press to support and look the other way, then ok mishandled.
Kamala was in a difficult position to run a campaign in a fraction of the time, but all Kamala had to do was have a semi-cogent response on The View when asked what she would do differently from Biden. Instead she either hadn’t thought of an answer to that question (which is crime #1) or didn’t want to say anything to upset the geriatric bubblehead and his establishment minions (crime #2). She would have been an awful president! However, I have full confidence she would have been a proper neocon lackey. The 2024 presidential election was to elect the lesser of two weasels so do not mistake this post as support for Trump!
Whoever needs to hear this: Harris will not be a candidate in 2026. Neither will Biden. And comparing Biden’s term to trumps remains complete equivocating bullshit. 😅
Trump has been so bad it is causing me to revisit my standard search for any third-party candidate.
But Harris was foisted on the Dems by Pelosi, a geriatric San Francisco liberal, (let’s not even mention Feinstein, another SF liberal.)
Harris? A San Francisco liberal.
Newsom? A SF liberal.
The Dems will mess up the November elections if possible, and still could mess up 2028 as well.
I must have missed it. Did Joe Biden release the Epstein files? Did Joe Biden prosecute anyone in the Epstein click?
Both sides are child rape enablers. why should any decent American vote for bought and sold child rapist in either party?
Yes, Trump is exceptional in his stupidity. that doesn’t mean I’ll vote Democrat.
Child rape enablers make me throw up in my mouth a little.
the dems ignoring child rapist is repulsive.
To be fair, Biden didn’t direct further action to investigate possible child rapists, and got us out of Afghanistan, reopened the country after COVID, and worked through massive inflation from supply chain issues. On the other, Trump did his best to stop any further investigations (and continues too), started a war with Iran, slapped arbitrary tariffs on every country in the world, and is in the process of looting the country for every nickel he can get. Child rape is a bad thing. But its not the only thing.
you are right, there is more to the world than child rape. However, child rape is my red line on who i vote for, sorry to disappoint.
maybe if the democrats and their supporters are so concerned about humanity, they can throw a couple of their child raping donors in prison.
is that a reasonable request for a party wanting to do right by humanity, or is it a bridge to far for the Dems?
It is absolutely not to much to ask. But as long as the child rapists are the major funders of political campaigns, and we do nothing to fix that, then we are left with the choices they give us.
Biden should have had a stronger Justice department. Trump should have been in prison before 2024. They should have pushed on the Epstein stuff. But I don’t believe it was a cover up then; I believe it was a weak justice department and a president more concerned with other things. And it was Biden’s ethics that pushed him to maintain that wall between himself and Justice. Good and bad. Now it’s an active cover up and lies… so equivocating? No thanks. Intent matters.
you believe what you want about Biden.
but be prepared to throw up in your mouth a little bit every time people like me talk about both sides…
by not voting for Kamala I certainly didnt intend for Trump to win, as my vote doesn’t matter.
like Biden, I was more concerned about other things.
like Biden, my ethics wont allow me to do certain things, like vote for child rape enablers.
we’re good now, right? intent matters.
Your ethics apparently forgive equivocating… Trump is the star IN the Epstein files, and Biden is not even remotely involved in them… so I don’t find your angle at all convincing.
My god! Only 3-6 are going to flip! Trump is the biggest problem the US has at the moment, the second biggest problem is the electorate. I really think the US needs to split itself in two. There is absolutely no common ground between the two sides. I think there is probably going to be a reckoning of some sort. It would be best if it was done on an organized basis rather than a civil war. The sides need to agree to disagree and move on.
Stop calling it ‘a break from norms.’ Call it Trump Corruption
https://www.stopthepresses.news/p/stop-calling-it-a-break-from-norms
I’m afraid of the sharp breakup of norms (corruption) proliferating across the system and the global economy. if the only way to win is to cheat, then ….
The amicable split of Czechoslovakia could serve as a model.
Unfortunately, the more likely model is Yugoslavia
Sadly, I think you are correct.
There are blue states and red states, but the bigger division is urban/rural. In any kind of split, how could this bigger division be accommodated? This has been a question of mine for years.
Agree, the US is too big to effectively represent its constituents. It should be broken up into at least two countries.
Alberta is now having a vote on whether to secede from Canada, a State could try that in the US.
The separatists in Alberta are morons.
They’re sponsored by Trump/MAGA & Russia. Also morons.
All they’re going to accomplish is turning Alberta from a Conservative party province to a Liberal party province.
A geographic split would degenerate into mass violence, aka “a civil war.” Look at the track record of (all) mass resettlements in the 19th and 20th centuries, in North America, Europe, Asia. Recall the creation of Pakistan, the evictions of ethnic groups in the young USSR, the wake of World War 2, etc., etc.. This might be a bad marriage, but we can’t afford the divorce.
This sounds like battered wife syndrome. I’m sure there were colonists in 1776 who were willing to put up with English abuse rather than become a patriot. Many in the USSR didn’t want to break up the Soviet Bloc because living under communist rule was better than potential violence. India probably saved more lives breaking off Pakistan and Bangladesh than if it had stayed as one country. Many troubled individuals would rather be in prison, where they don’t have to worry about finding food and shelter, than take responsibility for being free.
For free people, being abused by their government (or their husband) is unacceptable and they have the courage to do what is necessary to remove themselves from an abusive situation.
My favorite splits:
Anyone who who thinks the US was founded as a Christian nation and proclaims the vast superiority of trad European culture can move to the New Confederacy. Anyone who doesn’t care if their neighbor is a ganga-smoking Jamaican or their girlfriend can get an abortion can move to the New Union or Pacific Empire.
So a minor shifting of whose snout gets into the trough. The Epstein class will still rule us as before. The corrupt oligarchy little changed.
I say this in the sense that regardless of the election result, the Federal government will continue to be a corrupt cancer. a self-perpetuating, malignantly growing organism for transferring wealth to the politically connected.
As long as we keep voting for the incumbents.
Mish did some serious damage to his credibility by not mentioning this illegal and unconstitutional war that Trump was Epstein blackmailed into by Israel as the #1 most important reason why Trump and the sycophants who he has surrounded himself with will get blown out in the midterm elections.
Not only that, but John Cornyn is one of the absolutely greasiest and most treasonous RINOs in the entire U.S. Senate and has a proven track record of being pro-Amnesty and anti-Second Amendment, which are two issues that are diametrically out of touch with the overwhelming majority of traditional White conservative voters.
Rigging the Kentucky 4th district primary by colluding with AIPAC and Miriam Adelson to boot the only real America First Congressman Massie out of the House has angered millions of his own previous supporters (I am one) and since we can’t punish Trump directly, we will take our revenge out on every other Republican this November by staying home on election day.
I did damage by not mentioning wild conspiracies as fact?
Look – please be serious.
That said, I have often asked “what does Israel have on Trump? on Graham”
But I am not going to drag bullshit into a post like this. Sheesh.
And your attack on Cornyn suggests you are a racist, which I don’t doubt. Convince me I’m wrong.
Deport them all is seriously stupid. Finally, you are a pedophile protector which is what you got with Paxton.
both parties have to go. rearranging the blue and red chairs on the USS Titantic aint going to fix the problem.
More smart and less angry.
Take the decrepit, rat-infested, hantavirus infected red and blue deck chairs, put them in a large pile and light them on fire
You gotta start somewhere. Start with the lead rat and move on to the lesser of two evils. But I agree there is corruption everywhere in US politics. I think the US would totally embrace the anti-Trump. With over 350,000,000 people you would think they could find one honest one who is electable.
The democrats definitely have their own wing-nuts. It is frustrating that we are back to picking stupid over crazy.
The lesser of two evils is evil! Both the red and blue factions of the Uniparty agree on:
-Increasing the national debt to levels that will force a collapse
-Massive military and financial support for Israel
-Endless wars, invasions, bombings, and killing in other countries
-Massive military budget increases
-Massive corporate subsidies (corporate welfare)
-Increase in mass surveillance and control of the population
Why would a thinking person support these things?!
lol. I almost wrote both parties need to be burned to the ground as my opening line.
I am glad you caught the spirit of the post.
Uniparty serves the Zionist, WASP and various POC scammers. The rest of us need a new political party that is interested in America and its problems. The Uniparty only cares about lining their pockets and foreign intervention for corporate interests.
No matter who wins, I expect the average American to be the big loser. No one is going to fix the $40 trillion in debt, the demographic death spiral, the endless wars, solve anything to do with immigration or any other problems. The coin will flip from heads to tails but it’ll still be the same coin.
I won’t bother voting, instead I’ll focus on profits and my exit strategy.
Don’t be a pussy. Voting takes 10 minutes.
He isn’t, as he just told you. It makes no difference… to a point I must agree!
says the known pussy
He may be known, but he ain’t no @&2#y! Who you voting for, and please don’t tell me your going to write in Biden, or I will lose all respect for you…
– No matter who wins, I expect the average American to be the big loser. > I agree! Who is the Average now days? Most of us?
Everyone not part of the Epstein Class.
As some woman (prominently mentioned in the files we have seen so far) put it – if you aren’t in the files, it means that you are kind of a loser.
Anyone who doesn’t have the resources to exit is the “average” American. Perhaps I should use the world slave instead.
.
LOL the chutzpah on this moron. You are decidedly below the bell curve fella. Anybody who supported Trump at any point since 2016 deserves everything good and hard, except the right to tell anyone else about how to vote. You are one of the last people on earth to tell anyone how to vote.
Gas prices will probably be higher by October. If (when) Trump attacks Iran again, gas will be a lot higher. Inflation will continue to shock. I agree that Dems will take the senate. That will be enough to convince enough GOP senators to vote to remove an impeached Trump.
Or they will curl up in the fetal position and take more money from AIPAC
After wasting 3 votes on this Orange Con Man, I am sick of him and would love to see him impeached, tried, and convicted as a war criminal. But, I have a strong feeling that he has cut a secret deal with the DemonRats to promise not to impeach him, if he can do everything he can to piss off his support base and demoralize them so completely that they will refuse to vote in the Midterm elections.
Think about it. What other explanation can there be for the way the guy has systematically attacked and deliberately alienated, one by one, most of his biggest and most ardent supporters? Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Alex Jones, Lauren Bobert, Thomas Massie, etc.? The guy is deliberately engineering “Operation Suppress the GOP MAGA voters” this November.
And, ponder this:
Robert Morris, a megachurch pastor and former spiritual adviser to President Donald Trump, was released after serving six months in jail after pleading guilty to sexually abusing a 12-year-old girl.
https://theintellectualistofficial.substack.com/p/former-trump
Explain to me how any of these things he has done can possibly HELP him and the GOP in November?
You misunderstand Trump. He can’t run again. He could care less about MAGA, the GOP or America. He only cares about himself. Millions of your fellow Republicans understood this and refused to vote for him in any election, myself included. The people who did vote for him were conned. That’s what he is: a conman. Always has been, always will be. And you can tell the people who are easily conned: they often use terms like “DemonRats” to characterize their fellow American who have different positions on issues.
– I expect Democrats will pick up 3 to 6 seats. 4 will win the Senate. > I expect Dems to pick up 2-3 seats at best. I would have potentially agreed with you, as I was on the fence, on a few issues, but most have turned around imo, and I see a clear victory in the Senate and House for the Republicans now. My reasoning is simple, and it’s simply reality is all. It is: Jeff Bezos etc.
>> That was a “Bezo Bombshell” on the Country, and will have shocking repercussions for the Democrats. I also suspect more and more will glob onto the Bezo Doctrine and scream for Republicans to Win and as many as possible. The People / Businesses see the writing on the wall now and very clearly. The Dems have outed themselves, as the Tax, Tax & TAX SOME MORE!!! They just killed there golden goose, it sure why it took so long, the intelligent ones have the money I thought, and I guess in the end I will be right. Tax the Rich, See them Flee!! This isn’t rocket science people…
– My starting point is the prediction markets but I want do want to see some more polls. > Polls will slowly at first, and then all at once, jump towards the Republicans. If you saw the interview with Bezo’s you would probably agree 100%. He made the clear case that this BS has got to stop, or it will be stopped for them!! Under no uncertain terms, as he is pissed and rightfully so. He has many Friends that agree with him, but some are afraid to speak out, while many others are doing so like Bezos, but the Press will try to not allow it to be exposed. Silly press, who is owned by the likes of a Bezo, will fall on their faces if they continue to do so. More like a face plant slam and it’s over if they push this issue now. It’s has seen the light, and so have many, many others now…
– Kalshi Senate Predictions > Forget predictions, as they are toast now, as they are the opposite of the Bezo reality that was just laid bare. Facts are facts, and this will snowball fast and furious now. Trump just got a GIFT! If nothing else, He knows how to run with one when he gets it. They are rare, and so exciting when they occur however. This could crash and burn everything the Dems have been counting on perhaps. Massive attitude changes coming right up from the wealthy, as the muzzle has been taken off and replaced with a Bezo Megaphone that’s only going to get much louder now, as time moves forward IMO.
– Trump wants to get rid of Sue Collins in Maine. > I thought she sort of endorsed him recently and vice versa. She has come around and I think she will win her seat back.
– Republicans are now expected to lose over 30 seats in the midterms. > Expect and occur are two very different things. As this gets closer and more and more people with money and power realize Trump is a much better choice for them, and as such, it will not occur imo.
>> Generally people like or don’t at all mind, the ballroom project. It’s needed, it’s free, and it’s beautiful!! TDS everywhere you look, but that’s mostly just Media Driven…
– Tucker Carlson says the Republican Party is officially dead. > Tucker is officially dead! He needs to go back under the rock that he fell asleep under…
I hate to throw around the term “boomer” (I am a young – and dashing – one), but seriously, yours is a total boomercon perspective, I assume some people in your “silo” believe those things, but it’s a small silo.
Assuming your silo is Trump, then I must disagree. I am not for a party, but rather ideas coming from the party. More and more, after being let down by both, people are more like I am, I do believe from what I have witnessed.
That change is going from Dem to Rep, and it’s happening now! It will gather steam, as Bezo type behavior gets more consistent and much louder, if not by voice, than by feat.
I like a lot of the Rep ideas, but very few Dems, so I welcome the change and nonsense quieting done mad reality taking its place. Get past Iran, a necessary evil to deal with unfortunately, and we are going to catapult forward , as the roads are all heading down a better direction, with better outcomes. Patience is a virtue…
You mean like raping kids on an island? That kind of bezos behavior? The kind Trump and his pals are openly involved in? Yes, voters are mad about it!
It’s like a potato with a keyboard
Stu is the kind of guy who’d love to walk America into a civil war and proceed to flounder about in his wheelchair when it happens. Unfortunately, that’s a lot of the boomer generation.
Democratic control of the Senate does nothing. Trump is acting without Congressional approval to begin with. And without 60 votes in the Senate, the Democrats have no power.
They could kill the filibuster.
That can work both ways
True, but Republicans will be out of power for years unless Dems shoot themselves in the head by making their weird obsession with transing children the hill to die on.
Since the Dems Appointed Kamala, they have slowly been falling off their message and the new one sucks!! They are self defeating at the moment, and they are picking up steam, unfortunately for them, in that awful direction…
A week is a long time in politics.
Trump could attack 2-3 more countries in that time.
The attack on Cuba looks like it could happen any day now
And tell 1,743 lies
As a former Republican farm owner, I can not see why anyone with a conscience could vote for any Republican.
After watching them support Trump and his lack of allegiance to our nations founding principals and Constitution, I say “Your Fired” to all Republicans.
I’m off to build some soil and grow a healthy future!
Vote for the candidate you believe in, which is most likely to be a 3rd party candidate
Or vote for whoever can stop Trump. The damage done already is unbelievable, no need to add two extra years of new level corruption and destruction ofthe rule of law.
“Or vote for whoever can stop Trump”
Who would that be? The 90% of Democrat congress critters controlled by the Israel lobby and the military industrial complex?
Make no mistake, the Uniparty is all in on the corruption.
Did not Boss Tweed say it thusly:
“I don’t care who people vote for, as long as I control the candidates!“
Pump the brakes Walmart stock plunges as soaring gas prices hit profits and slam shoppers’ wallets
The thing sat at $25 forever from 2000-2017, then quintupled in the past 9 years
Bubblicious
+++++++++++
…and from the “If Only Dept.”
If you had invested $1,000 in Walmart stock in 1972 and reinvested all dividends, it would be worth approximately $20–30 million today, depending on the exact purchase date in 1972 and the valuation date used.
Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan will hire more AI braniacs, fewer bankers
So much for DEI…lolz…”AI braniacs” is not a diverse group
Fyi, most will likely be from foreign countries, just like Silicon Valley
Do not redeem….sir, so not redeem
a 3rd choice could be better
What do we have to lose by voting against the Uniparty?
Maybe I am getting old but I remember this in 2002 as a kid. In California everyone said GW Bush was the devil and picked up both seats in the house and won the Senate. I have no idea what is going to happen. But shit ain’t always what you assume.
Ok anything can happen like the biggest blue wave in history with Obama, that I called before he won the nomination.
49 of 50 states in January while many thought Hillary would win the nomination.
Same idea, every close vote would go Blue.
This is a similar call now, just not that extreme.