Three weeks ago blue wave odds were only 41%.
Lead image is a composite from Polymarket Midterm Election Odds.
Correction: The title of my post said “Blue Sweep”. I meant “Blue Wave” as noted in the body.
Note that a Blue Wave only requires Democrats pick up two seats, not control the Senate. Details below.
But let’s start with events in Texas and some polls that influenced the odds.
Texas Gerrymandering May Cost Republicans House Seats in November
At the demand of Trump, Texas politicians re-drew the election maps. This started off a national gerrymandering spree in California, New Jersey, Virginia and elsewhere.
Conventional wisdom is currently no net impact. But that may be about to change.
You can see the result in the Texas State Senate race where a district that went to Trump by a +17 margin went to Democrats by a +14 margin.
This district hasn’t elected a Democrat since 1991.
Ross Hunt Comments
Republicans did not lose the TX SD-9 runoff because of low GOP turnout: they lost because almost all of the independents and some of the Republicans voted Dem.
Of those who voted in the TX SD-9 runoff, 50%+ were GOP primary voters or at GOP HH; only 35% were Dems or at Dem HH
Ross Hunt is a Republican pollster.
A Test for Gerrymandering
The Wall Street Journal discusses Five Reasons Republicans Are Worried About This Texas State Senate Race
A souring mood for Trump
The race is fresh evidence, for Democrats, that the national mood has turned against Trump, ahead of midterm elections that will determine the Senate and House majorities for the rest of his term. It follows several other recent victories for Democrats, including flipping the Virginia governor’s seat.
Hispanic voters
The race gives more evidence that Hispanic voters who swung to Republicans in recent cycles may be swinging back. Jason Villalba, a former GOP state lawmaker who now leads the research group Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, said the special election showed particularly-large swings in precincts with the largest Hispanic populations. The result comes as Hispanic voters in other parts of the state have turned on Trump.
“Whatever inroads the GOP was making recently among Latinos in Texas has begun to really revert,” Villalba said. “That will have implications around Texas and around the country.”
A Test for Gerrymandering
Texas GOP leaders last year redrew their congressional map in an unusual mid-decade redistricting, at Trump’s request, to try to add five new Republican seats. The move set off a scramble to draw new maps across the country as both parties sought to pad their majorities.
If the state Senate race portends significant swings leftward of voters across the state, especially independents, that move could backfire. The new map depended on Texas Republicans maintaining the gains they have made with Hispanic voters, with four of the five new districts being predominantly Hispanic.
States with New Maps Enacted or Approved
- California: Voters approved Proposition 50 on November 4, 2025, allowing a new, voter-approved map to be used in 2026. This map is designed to make five seats more favorable to Democrats, countering Republican gains elsewhere.
- Texas: Following a push to increase Republican seats, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled on December 4, 2025, that a new, GOP-friendly map could be used for the 2026 elections.
- Missouri: Governor Mike Kehoe (R) signed a new congressional map into law on September 28, 2025, which aims to add one more Republican seat.
- North Carolina: The state legislature passed a new map on October 22, 2025, designed to increase the Republican advantage, which is set to be used in 2026.
- Ohio: Following a required legal redraw, a new map was approved on October 31, 2025, by the state’s redistricting commission, which is expected to boost Republican chances.
- Utah: A court-approved map was adopted in late 2025 after litigation, creating a more competitive district, and in some interpretations, a new, more Democratic-leaning district.
2025-2026 Redistricting Tracker: How Many Seats Could Flip?
On February 2, 2026, Cook Political addressed the question How Many Seats Could Flip?
The Cook Political Report redistricting tracker is following developments in every state taking up redistricting, or considering it, over the next several months — as well as the gains that each party could make under redrawn maps. We’re also tracking potential changes to the battleground map if the Supreme Court strikes down Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act with its ruling in Louisiana vs Callais, although the effects of the decision may not take full effect in time for the 2026 midterms.
While it’s still not clear how many states will have new maps in 2026, we project that the likeliest scenario is a wash, with neither party netting seats due to redistricting.
This tracker will be continuously updated.
Republicans have passed more favorable maps in Texas, North Carolina, and Missouri — though voters may have the opportunity to reject the Missouri map in a special election. Ohio’s bipartisan commission compromised on a new …[Paywalled]
Cook Political assumes Texas gerrymandering does not outright backfire. Four of the five new districts in Texas are predominantly Hispanic.
Cook Political does not consider the following possibilities.
States with Ongoing Redraw/Litigation
- Florida: Governor Ron DeSantis (R) called a special legislative session for April 2026 to further revise congressional districts.
- Maryland: A governor-appointed commission approved a map on January 21, 2026, aiming to make all eight districts more favorable to Democrats.
- Virginia: Following a 2025 election that increased the Democratic majority in the state legislature, lawmakers passed a constitutional amendment in January 2026 to allow a new map, which is facing legal challenges.
- New York: Litigation regarding the state’s map is ongoing, with a judge striking down a Republican-held district in January 2026, creating potential for a further Democratic-led redraw.
- Louisiana: The state’s maps are subject to change due to ongoing litigation and potential Supreme Court action, with special sessions possible in early 2026.
Failed or Stalled Efforts
- Indiana: In a significant setback for the national Republican effort, the Indiana Senate rejected a proposed redraw in December 2025 that was intended to flip two Democratic-held seats.
Gerrymandering War Synopsis
There are legal challenges in Louisiana. And there will be challenges in Florida.
The Florida constitution explicitly forbids redistricting with the intent to favor or disfavor a political party or incumbent.
Also, Florida needs to be extremely careful about making assumptions of Latino voters. Florida gerrymandering could cost Republicans votes. And that could also happen if Florida further gerrymanders.
If Maryland, Virginia, and New York go ahead, but Florida and Louisiana don’t (or if Florida and Texas gerrymandering backfire), Republican will lose the gerrymandering war.
As things stand, I believe Republicans will at best break even.
Gubernatorial Races
Cook Political says “It’s a big year – there are 18 open races and that number could go as high as 20. Plus, the stakes are high. Democrats could win a majority of them for the first time in two decades.“
There is a huge 2030 census coming up that will result in more redistricting. Which party controls the state houses will matter.
Blue Wave Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
– Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
– Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The current makeup of the Senate is 53 Republican, 45 Democrat, 2 Independent.
A Blue Wave does not require Democrats take the Senate. It does require Democrats pick up two seats.
Polymarket detailed rules show Democrats get the Independents if the independents caucus with Democrats, which they do.
Trump is Misfiring on All Cylinders
- Trump has brutally misunderstood how unpopular ICE Gestapo tactics have been, especially with Latinos.
- Inflation is not yet tamed, but Trump brags that it is. That’s backfiring as well.
- Epstein is backfiring with independents.
- Housing statements will kill Republican support from generation Z.
Trump has offended Latinos (and anyone with common sense) on immigration, Zoomers with idiotic statements on housing, and independents on nearly everything including Epstein.
I doubt the midterms are salvageable for Republicans at this point.
Related Posts
January 27, 2026: Trump Cheers a Plunge of the US Dollar “I Think It’s Great”
“Look at all the business we are doing,” says Trump.
A sinking dollar adds to inflation.
February 1, 2026: Democrats Win Two Special Elections in Texas, US House and State Senate
One of these was expected, the other a wild upset in a district Trump carried by 17 points.
February 2, 2026: The Fed Has Two Huge Problems Starting Now, Acyclical Inflation and Jobs
The Fed is not in a good spot.
January 30, 2026: Dear Zoomers, Trump Says He “Wants to Drive Up Housing Prices”
Somehow, I doubt Gen Z will like this message.
Trump’s comments are so politically stupid, it’s hard to fathom them.
Finally, please note Trump’s Immigration Approval Drops to Record Low -34 With Latinos
Only 39 percent approve Trump’s handling of immigration. That’s 39 percentage points too many.
But given MAGA support alone would be in that vicinity, the rest of the country has had enough.
Nearly half (49 percent) of non-MAGA GOP thinks ICE is too aggressive. I am increasingly confident Republicans will lose the House.
Q: So what are the Democrats offering?
A: The are offering they are not Trump
Trump delivered
1) Protections for rapists
2) Bombing 7 nations
3) Murdering people clinging to boat wreckage
4) Illegally detaining, even deporting, US citizens
5) Gestapo ICE tactics
6) Pardon of drug criminals
7) Pardons for $1 million average rate
8) Unconstitutional warrantless searches
9) Pay for play meme coins
10) Increased deficits
11) Idiotic tariffs
12) Illegal cancellation of signed treaties, one of which he sponsored
13) Threatened to take Greenland by force
14) Refused to honor the Epstein legislation he signed
15) And he now threatens national elections
So what the flying F are Republicans offering other than more of the same?
bully bully Mish.
The flying F they are offering more Nazi themed hate of everyone, it just depends what flavor of hate you want but there’s a branch of MAGA that has it.
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/politics-news/maga-vs-maga-right-wing-media-meltdown-1236487187/
Theories about how Jews killed Charlie Kirk, how Jews ran the slave business, how Jews had prior knowledge of 9/11 — you’re better off not knowing the rest. All patently bunk, disproved over and over. Of course, the very act of disproving a claim legitimizes it in the first place.
The MAGA movement is, in a word, cracking up — both splitting in two and sending some of its most prominent voices to Crazytown. On podcasts and YouTube shows every day, right-wing personalities — often the country’s most popular infotainers, the stars of the doomscroll era — break away from even mainstream MAGA-ism and widen the gap with those they’ve left behind.
This is also, one perhaps must add, the inevitable endgame of a party that has allowed in provocateur bigots. White nationalism and other forms of hatred move like a stain: Once spilled, they spread across the carpet.
Trump and countless other bigots and racists………in us politics just offer what the people want. that is how republics work. you understand that MSG in nyc sold out to Nazis in the 1930s. trump’s father was arrested(published and documented, he was released, no charges) at a kkk march against the black shirts, the fascist italians. near where i grew up. talk about a collision of assholes.
Republicans offer protection. ICE won’t mess with you if you’re a republican is the tacit message.
Mish is right that being “not Trump” will be easily enough to take the House. And that list is largely indisputable. If he attacks Iran, that will drag him down further.
If Trump attacks Iran, he will have the support of Democrats, like he did with the last attack on Iran
Maybe if he does it right before the election. If he does it in February, everyone will see what a colossal mistake it was.
That isn’t exactly so. Most Democrats don’t give a fig about Iran. But since 95% of Congressman are on the take from AIPAC, that means most Democrat politicians will make approving noises.
Exactly, because of AIPAC and the MIC, almost every Congress critter in the Uniparty is paid to support war with Iran. If Trump attacks Iran, the Democrats and the mainstream media will support him. We have seen this movie many times and it always ends the same way.
I’m an independent and the main reason I won’t vote is that I’m disappointed the Republicans gave Trump a green light to do a lot of stupid stuff. I will either be for or against state propositions, but that’s it for now. The Democrats are their biggest enemy and they are stupider than the Republicans. The Uniparty (Democrats and Republicans) have destroyed America especially with their wars. Lastly, neither party will take on Zionist Israel control of American politics and this is another tragedy. We got the destruction of this country coming. I hate to say it, but it’s just karma.
Vote.
Vote for yourself. Vote for me. Or Vote Libertarian.
Vote for anyone you can be proud of voting for.
ps. i have convinced about 100 people over the past decade to not vote D and R. about 400 people over the past 40 years. every year i receive a 100 or so votes per old acquaintances……..in about 5 states. i’d rather they go toward the libertarians. maybe in future decades the young folks will abandon the fascist uniparty. i have no hope for the over 40 crowd.
ps i attend colleges for the past 45 years, for fun and learning. so i talk with a ton of young folks………and probably persuade many of them. i don’t keep track of these. semester by semester i never see them again
Vote for MISH
Ask yourself this: who do you think will appreciate your vote more, a Democrat, a Republican, or a Libertarian? Seeing support increase may motivate a third party candidate to keep fighting the Uniparty.
I’m a registered Republican. I started voting either Libertarian or Green (odd combo, I know) since GB Jr’s second term. After Trump’s first term, I voted Democrat for the first time in my life. I will continue to vote for Dems until the Reps get rid of Trump and every cowardly POS who supported him. Trump is reprehensible, as is anyone who would ever vote for him, or not explicitly vote against him.
vote libertarian candidates on your federal office ticket……congress and potus………….or the green party. peace and prosperity is better than war and penury.
Good points!
Did you mention massive deficits?
oops I see it now. old age
Perhaps an unusual view:
Impressive list. You really wake up in the morning and wonder what the f he’s been up to again to add to it. A big wrecking ball, that much is clear with continuous perceptual attention hijacking.
Why – and to what end? What if this is a great smoke screen? What for?
The answer could be: AI governance of all humans. To introduce something new, you must destroy the status quo. DJT a perfect front man for the self-proclaimed rulers of the world. Around DJT are the architects of the next phase – the AI billionaire oligarchs.
With emotions flying high we are played off one against the other. The ancient game – divide and rule. We’ll need to break out of our belief boxes, and join forces unless we all want to end up as digital slaves.
> unless we all want to end up as digital slaves.
as nicely documented here
The Agenda: Their Vision – Your Future (2025) | Full Documentary (4K)
Oracle Films
completely ad-free version: https://theagendafilm.com/
LOL I just queried Chat GPT about some Omaha 8 poker hands. Chat GPT made many and continuous mistakes even about the basic rules of the game. At least when corrected it admitted it’s mistakes.
That they are not Biden … look, squirrels!
Of course, the joke is on the citizen who believes that there are only two parties.
Lucy van Pelt approves of this message.
What are the odds of declaring another national public health emergency before the mid-terms? Can you imagine having another one but this time most just ignore it because trust in government has been depleted beyond recovery?
Suddenly, very suddenly Jeffrey Epstein is now Russian Agent.
He is KGB agent.
He went to Russia multiple times.
He even went to China. May be ?Chinese agent.
He never went to Israel. ? ? ? Mossad Agent.
Americans incorrectly cannot believe that precious American democracy can be undermined so I think the betting numbers are way too optimistic and not factoring election engineering efforts by the administration.
Trump has reinvograted his “stolen 2020 election” comments in the last few weeks and we have seen the Fulton County raid. This is not about 2020 – it is about casting doubt on 2026 election security and the need for the federal government to step in with “security” measures.
Trump is not acting like a person who is trying to win an election in Nov….that’s because he thinks there are alternative ways to skin a cat.
I was just speaking with my Dad, a total MAGA madman…until now. I said to him: “The Government is supposed to be working FOR US, not the other way around.” Imagine, Pop, if you had your Marketing Dept telling your clients: “FUCK OFF AND DIE.” Your business would fail.
In TrumpCo’s case, they have mismanaged the Marketing Dept, so to speak, the people that are supposed to HELP US with immigration problems.
Instead, they fukked up and killed two Clients, US CITIZENS, simply because they are fed up with Customer Services. ICE is supposed to be a SERVICE DEPT helping us with criminals.
It would be like a Client calling and complaining and then you KILL THEM instead of listening to their complaints. It is the same with our current Regime.
They have lost control of the narratives and good client services are no longer evident.
REMEMBER: WE HIRE THEM (VOTE THEM IN). They are supposed to work FOR US, not KILL US.
that is a good argument for ultra MAGA folks.
I can say with confidence that the Republican piece of crap, Sen. Tillis (NC), will be replaced by an even worse piece of crap, Democrat Roy Cooper. It will not be close.
uniparty dude. could it be that the majority of voters in NC are pieces of shit. you do understand what representive democracy is? assholes elect assholes. amerika is bunch of assholes. a few districts have decent folks. real minority of amerikans.
“representive democracy”? I am bewildered that anyone could look at the US as functionally a republic. And it is a million miles further than that from being a democracy. This is a big subject, but you can’t think straight if you use ill-defined words that have no relation to reality.
Dead cat bounce on Silver today. Gaps will be closed no matter who is in power.
Correction, road kill cat bounce on Silver today. There are still two gaps to fill.
I guess it will be more years of Democrat type insane polices , people forget how bad it was under their utopian vision from 2020-2024 ! Maybe it won’t be a blue wave , with all the democrat fraud .
DEMOCRATS = REPUBLICANS
You know this and you keep voting for only those.
Therefore YOU are the problem.
Case closed.
There is NO solution to our problems because that would entail the dissolution of the problem: your end.
I see only two possibilities: self destruction or destruction by outside forces.
I’m out of here.
Wow.. except Mish prefers to vote Libertarian. So how is that being the problem, again?
If you aren’t going to fight it… cya.
Voting has perilously little to do with the corrupt cancerous organism that rules the US. The Mockingbird media is only the most visible of many elements by which the ruling class/DeepState manipulate the populace in any direction they need them to go. Dem/Repubs are just the senior and junior marketing departments; they have a de facto & de jure duopoly.
Yes, both Marketing depts are fucked up.
been telling anyone who will listen for decades. republic of plato explains this. assholes will elect assholes. amerika is an empire with vast majority of people who are assholes. this happens.
If people actually want to have the subversive Bolsheviks of the Democrat party further overturn every pillar of law, order, and common sense, there is only one solution……
Secession.
Separation.
Two Americas.
One red, one blue.
Two Americas already exists. The “blue” areas are where all the wealth comes from: cities. The “red” areas are where all the morons live: outside of cities.
I have long stated that each city should be allowed to become a state and let it run itself as a state. This will cut off all the rural leeches from city taxes paid to the state then redistributed to morons.
But what bewilders me is why people who live in rural areas care about sanctuary cities. Rural people hate big cities so what does it matter if they want immigrants or transgender whatever or DEI whatever – you’re not being impacted by it anyway?
Please don’t tell me it’s about taxes because rural people don’t pay shit in taxes.
https://usafacts.org/articles/who-pays-the-most-income-tax/
Most of the government’s federal income tax revenue comes from the nation’s top income earners. In 2022, the top 5% of earners — people with incomes $261,591 and above — collectively paid over $1.3 trillion in income taxes, or about 61% of the national total. (Yeah these people mostly live in cities).
It’s insensitive to point out red state welfare queens.
pre federal reserve and federal income tax, your state capital was where folks payed taxes. land sales and tariffs filled the federal coffers. plenty of wealth in some rural places. just the tax code was written in the 1920s by the oil men and land owners so the deductions and credits great. the real divide is owners of companies and land, and employees and tenants. the employees, mostly the professionals in cities pay the most taxes as you indicate. what cannot sustain, will fail. it’s really not that big of a deal. be much better for 99% of people in USA and the world if the federal gov, shrinks 90% in power and money. sell off all the bases around the globe. let jared kushner and the kleptos keep the money. a pipe dream to expect it to come to the treasury for most people. that’ just naive. see USSR oligarchs and how they got so rich. the admirals and generals sold off the bases………my good pal had a huge hand in that happening. i saw it with my own eyes. arms dealing for profits for flag officers, for a collapsing empire…..grad level course.
I caught a bit of an interview a while back. The guy was saying the republicans had to resort to culture wars after water gate because know one would vote for them on policy. So you wont really hear anything about say transgender till the dems are in charge.
before that. nixon southern strategy due to LBJ civil rights. Goldwater started that, very lamely, but nixon pushed it through. in all honesty after JFK killing, Rs had no chance in nineteen hundred and 64
“The “blue” areas are where all the wealth comes from: cities.”
Yes, false wealth, based on shady dealings and financial bubbles. It’s all collapsing.
yup. the fed props up the real owners of the country. wall street owners……. 2nd in line are the MIC owners. the employees of those industries highly paid and pay some taxes. the owners, not really.
UNIPARTY FELLA. 2 classe on taxes. owners and employees
close. 50 state solution. just go back to pre 1860. feds very weak. let the state houses and their people decide what happens inside each state. let the feds just have a navy and highways and post office……….no doubt we are going that way
Very nice to hear that.
Mr. Lincoln just created a bloodbath to save a union that should have ended back then.
We’re heading for another pointless blood bath.
One was too many.
Why keep fighting like cats and dogs?
i do NOT think it will be a blood bath. i think we all just give up and go our 50 separate ways. some skirmeshes in some states. but mostly peaceful. imho. hope i am correct.
Kind of. Fed services are being cut yet taxs are not gonna go down. State taxes will go up.
it all depends what states and what people want to pay taxes FOR
The US has split in half, within the last month.
A line was crossed. Most Americans won’t talk about it – they’ll just take it to the voting booth, like those voters in Texas did.
About 95,000 voters in that special election for the Texas senate seat.
Compare that to about 230,000 voters in the 2022 election for the same seat.
Democrats always turnout for elections, its their religious cult duty.
Actually the most reliable voting demographic of all are old people
Yes – of all parties.
I understand how you feel, but I disagree. There will be fighting (war) if this were to happen. American against American. This is foolish. We’re stronger together than separate. We need another political party and the rule of law brought back. A lot of common sense would help too.
I think that there is strength in unity.
Diversity leads us to intolerance and conflict.
Whoopee get screwed blue instead of red. No reason to celebrate and tired of watching people bounce back and forth.
Rallying cry “Impeach Trump & Lock Him Up”.
Look at Virginia. Look at all of the new taxes they are implementing. Or look at Minneapolis, another proud Democrat city with staggering levels of corruption.
Or Gavin Newsom, a proud moron who not only isn’t fixing any of the problems with CA public schools or crime or homelessness or public safety or fraud, he pretends the problems don’t exist.
What a joke Democrats have become.
What a joke you have become supporting this:
1) Protections for rapists
2) Bombing 7 nations
3) Murdering people clinging to boat wreckage
4) Illegally detaining, even deporting, US citizens
5) Gestapo ICE tactics
6) Pardon of drug criminals
7) Pardons for $1 million average rate
8) Unconstitutional warrantless searches
9) Pay for play meme coins
10) Increased deficits
11) Idiotic tariffs
12) Illegal cancellation of signed treaties, one of which he sponsored
13) Threatened to take Greenland by force
14) Refused to honor the Epstein legislation he signed
15) And he now threatens national elections
Kindly point to my defense of Republicans above. Ignoring the incompetence and corruption at the states got us all the people you hate, Mike. I am much more anti-democratic party than anything else. They are pathetic, incompetent, and corrupt. Ignoring this is a mistake.
Thanks for the admission “I am much more anti-democratic party than anything else.”
Me, I am much more against …
1) Protections for rapists
2) Bombing 7 nations
3) Murdering people clinging to boat wreckage
4) Illegally detaining, even deporting, US citizens
5) Gestapo ICE tactics
6) Pardon of drug criminals
7) Pardons for $1 million average rate
Etc. etc, than against Democrats
But OK you prefer rapists to Democrats – Thanks for the clarification.
I prefer neither which is why I don’t vote for either.
Admission? I wear it like a banner. I live in CA. Although you don’t have to live here to see the dumpster fire that 95% of Democrats have made of this place. You just have to see reality.
I’m in favor of deporting illegal alien gang members that have been convicted of murdering people in shootouts between rival gangs. Democrats are against deporting them.
I’m in favor of fixing CA schools where less than 1/2 the kids in public CA schools can’t read or write at grade level and less than 1/3 can do math at grade level. Democrats not only won’t fix this, they’re ignoring it. All of them.
I’m in favor of the Dept of Justice going after the $2b fraud in LA for missing money for homeless and the $800 million fraud involved with assisted living centers in LA. Democrats are against this. The Dems are in favor of continuing the $130 billion HSR project and spending hundreds of millions being paid to contractors in idle fees because even though it’s now 15 years behind schedule, they’re still late for even the absurdly revised timeframe.
I’m in favor of Fed Land Management telling the state of CA how to maintain forested areas that they have ignored maintaining that continues to exacerbate the fire hazards here. Even most Democrats wanted this, but Gavin vetoed the measure saying it would cost to much to do.
I could talk about how the state is doing with the underfunding of its retirement contributions, but I bet you know about that with Calpers/Calstrs. We’re all going to pay for that or screw over the pensioners. Quality leadership in this state.
You think I give a rip about the hysterical ‘gestapo/nazi’ absurdities so many commenters are screeching about? I do not. Dems ran Kamala Harris. They’re trying to run Gavin. That tells us a lot about the imbeciles running the party.
You can tell the rest of the commenters what you’d like, but that dog don’t hunt out here.
I’m in favor of fixing CA schools where less than 1/2 the kids in public CA schools can’t read or write at grade level and less than 1/3 can do math at grade level. Democrats not only won’t fix this, they’re ignoring it. All of them.
I’m in favor of the Dept of Justice going after the $2b fraud in LA for missing money for homeless and the $800 million fraud involved with assisted living centers in LA. Democrats are against this. The Dems are in favor of continuing the $130 billion HSR project and spending hundreds of millions being paid to contractors in idle fees because even though it’s now 15 years behind schedule, they’re still late for even the absurdly revised timeframe.
I’m in favor of Fed Land Management telling the state of CA how to maintain forested areas that they have ignored maintaining that continues to exacerbate the fire hazards here. Even most Democrats wanted this, but Gavin vetoed the measure saying it would cost to much to do.
Lovely – So am I
But what the flying fuck does supporting a pedophile at the national level have to do with it?
Your argument is that republicans are in lock step supporting a pedo. So you believe the Epstein files. Explain Biden‘s Department of justice and the FBI’s lack of prosecution and pursuit against Trump on this charge. They had 3 years to get orange man with those files.
No one owes you any explanations.
‘The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.’ — George Orwell
My eyes and ears tell me that the republican administration is protecting rapists and freeing criminals in a pay-to-play scheme. I see the tactics of ICE, the comments made by the commander in chief and I also see the ignorance of the voters in favor of these things (and more that Mish highlighted).
You’re such a coward. What are you afraid of? Realizing that your argument is built on pillars of sand and that your assumptions don’t make sense? Pathetic.
Well pedophiles obviously love kids the most
bully bully
i blocked that guy. he’s too hateful. and stupid.
At least they’re funny. Your cult is just dumb, greedy, and mean.
You supported the party of Biden, Kamala and Gavin. Take a seat.
Vote for scum or vote for the actual antichrist…. hmmm….
You’re so propagandized. Pathetic.
And you’re Satan’s soldier, damned to burn for all eternity.
You’re right Democrats have been a joke, but in my book mainly because they share many of the same core failings. They team up with Republicans ONLY after they ritualistically oppose to get their own ridiculous pork and regulations into the bowl. There’s no sound opposition based on good judgment, only opportunistic greed and performative moral stands.
I agree with you. The incentives are all wrong because too many of us excuse the inexcusable. Because I live in a deep blue city/state, I come in pretty hot but I know it’s happening in red cities/states, too.
KID, the red v blue pro wrestling is fake. sorry little fella. hope i didn’t ruin the evening for it. in reality i go to pro wrestling about once per year with my nephew. it’s a hoot. like D v R idiots arguing.
Ive lived a lot of places. Mostly red state. Everywhere has its problems. Republican politicians and the conservative media tend to throw ca under the bus because they know they wont win there. So by pointing out ca s problems they are distracting you from your states problems.
Of course, there is no utopia, but sorry, $130 billion wasted isn’t small town fraud. https://youtube.com/shorts/i3SGoyd_gY4?si=ThaSmL58Vnl0dl4P
lol, they just made another update to this. https://youtube.com/shorts/JZ9oyNUy3Zc?si=dnQXzj3FXGXNG_RT
BINGO. lived half my life in hardcore Blue and half my life in hardcore Red states. the only difference in 2026 is freedom for women to have abortions without the government involved trying to stop them. and ANTI brown shirts with masks killing folks and rounding them up, without warrants. Cannabis too. SIEG HEIL
The leadership in California may be a joke but despite them California is the 4th largest economy in the world…I would have to say Trump has really outdone everyone when it comes to corruption!
https://youtube.com/shorts/i3SGoyd_gY4?si=ThaSmL58Vnl0dl4P – At least educate yourself on the basketcase this state has become.
So why are you still there? Just move already. Alabama is a deep red state with all the fixins’ you seem to want.
South Carolina also. Plus nice weather.
Yeah, I’ve heard the Carolinas are great. I’m more a Western US person as most of the family is out here. Looking at a few places in the next couple of years for sure.
in the early 1980s i majored, in geography, specifically, computer cartography and GIS and remote sensing. my first job while in grad school was GERRYMANDERING for NYS task force. we had a paperless office and instant messaging and an intranet between a few offices state wide. it was amazing how powerful the cad cam systems were. we literally were using nuclear weapons grade drafting systems for the computer maps. felt like star trek for the geysers on mish site. the reason i am stating this, is because i learned what the game really is. the people are so easily divided into little tribes………i was already a political junky by age 12. watched the watergate hearings and mixing it up with shooting hoops in my driveway. i keep challenging anyone and everyone to a little game. a blind test of who has been in power in presidency and congress for the past 60 years………..everyone fails. it’s a uniparty. it’s an empire that is slowly crumbling from overreach and nonstop warfare world wide and nihilist culture that elect nihilist representatives. a very hard truth. glad i figured this out when i was a young man in my teens…….
If Trump lost the mid terms can the Democrats then get Hillary and Bill to lead an unbiased Independent Investigation on Trumps complete involvement with Epstein?
No.
Trump still runs the DOJ
So what are the Democrats offering?
Open borders again?
National policy in favor of transgenders?
Removal of merit-based decision-making in favor of DEI policies again?
Blowing out the budget even more for their NGO voting machines, with fraud in the hundreds of billions?
Weak foreign policy where we continue to slide into ineffectiveness (Putin invaded on Obama’s and Biden’s watch, not Trump’s)?
9.1% peak inflation, like in Biden’s term? (It is currently 2.7%)
More regulation?
Higher taxes?
More legislation like the ACA, which has skyrocketed medical costs ever since?
What solutions are they offering?
They literally do nothing but find ways to grift off the government, give money to their footsoldiers and embrace culturally crazy-left positions into the mainstream.
Because “Latinos”–who I thought were now legalized Americans, but I guess not– don’t like the “harshness” of actually enforcing the law on foreign residents, we are going to get the Democrats back to destroying our country and individual rights.
Reliving the Obama and Biden years — sounds like a great time.
So what are the Democrats offering?
The are offering they are not Trump
Trump delivered
1) Protections for rapists
2) Bombing 7 nations
3) Murdering people clinging to boat wreckage
4) Illegally detaining, even deporting, US citizens
5) Gestapo ICE tactics
6) Pardon of drug criminals
7) Pardons for $1 million average rate
8) Unconstitutional warrantless searches
9) Pay for play meme coins
10) Increased deficits
11) Idiotic tariffs
12) Illegal cancellation of signed treaties, one of which he sponsored
13) Threatened to take Greenland by force
14) Refused to honor the Epstein legislation he signed
15) And he now threatens national elections
So what the flying F are Republicans offering other than more of the same?
MAGA is a cult. the old republican party were just regular full of shit politicians. i think trump is a gift. he is like Nero. i welcome the empire crumbling. it’s evil. i eyewitnessed one evil empire crumbling when i was in russia in the 90s doing business. it is not so bad. for the young folks. it was tough on the geezers though. head fucking tough. oh well. the strong will survive and the weak will get pummelled………..
Business Man wrote: “What solutions are they offering?”
They don’t have to. Trump and the GOP minions that follow him are doing what Napoleon discussed.
“Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake.”
The entire Democratic platform for the last ten years has been “we aren’t Trump”. Really pathetic that is the best they can do, and certainly no reason to vote for them over a third party.
how about we require all the border patrol to be transexuals? scare the crap out of the new hires for the hotel, ranches,construction, restaurants………….owners. i’ve hired so many men without papers it’s not funny. they work and respectful….. not bullshit on their phones and do meth……like the native borns have a habit of doing. i restored busted up houses in SC and AZ and NY for decades……….
They’re offering Minneapolis style fraud, rioting and idiotic DEI/ESG goals. If Dem voters are honest with themselves, they’d realize they let the loons take over.
amerika is inhabited by lunatics. why they vote for lunatics. red/blue teams. you sound so naive. like a HS red team pom pom girl. have you had your cherry popped, yet ?
They’re offering not fuck up as consistently and spectacularly as your daddy.
You’re Stunningly naive. I’m not surprised. Just bummed.
Aww… poor boo boo.
The DNC has gotta keep the 300 lb purple haired hates men lesbians out of the media. Mamdani has a way better image although his policies yeeesh! I don’t like this strategy but it worked in 2020; criticize Trump and work against the crazier stuff Trump is doing will no doubt be super successful.I prefer policy based politics not the culture war mess we have today. Trump has got such an ego now he seems unable to steer a successful political course. Once in power he becomes drunk on it…
Extremism breeds extremism. The American experiment is coming to an end. Little Caligula had a great opportunity to turn the ship around. Instead, he blew it. Now we will swing even further to the left.
there is no left or right in 21st century old sport. there is just one fucked up empire of assholes who keep trying to rule the world, with complete assholes that truly represent the amerikan people. trump/vance or biden/harris and the gang of 8. about covers 98% of the assholes in usa.
And what superpower country that has it all figured out do you hail from, comrade?
i don’t want to pay for a super duper power. how about a republic. listen asshole i am amerikan born and raised. i also have a passport from italia. i can see you are a citizen in good standing from pax dumbfuckistan. to suck your daddy donny’s dick. i block morons too dumb to get any of this. have a good life moron.
You say this like there is actually going to be mid term elections in Trumpistan. Fair elections is the last thing this regime can let happen.
The states run the elections, though. If Trump tries to discard the 2026 election results, the national is going to grind to a halt.
So you are saying the choice for Trump is (a) have a Democrat-run House and resume the Presidential impeachment hearings, resume the daily oversight committee hearings of the administration, resume the passing of laws blocking Trump from his aims; or (b) the nation grinds to a halt and the administration keeps doing what it is doing?
Which do you think he is going to choose?
President Trump called in a new interview for the Republican Party to “nationalize” voting in the United States
He did indeed call for the nationalization of voting. He will just do it, unless someone stops him. Does anyone doubt that?
How will state-level Republicans get elected? The states won’t roll over for that.
Yes, we need to get rid of the crazy corrupt guy and install people who are also delusional and corrupt but in different ways. China is laughing at us. They call it “elect and regret”
The DNC will find a way to blow it.
Even if they win, we lose.
And, if they lose, we still lose.
Like making it about “gender affirming care” for minors.
MAGA is against gender affirming care for minors, but all for abducting and imprisoning 5 year olds and shipping them off to Texas,
My ex business partner, who I stopped associating with after he came out for Trump in 2024, told me around 2022 his secret fetish was getting pegged by a trans woman. And by 2024, he was cracking jokes about trans people in sports. He also lost his first career as a teacher back in the 00’s for sleeping with a 16-year old student.
These are the kind of people we’re dealing with here.
wow. so a closet case. the worst sort of humans. good for you to distance yourself. i don’t give a hoot what people do whether transexuals or folks that dig them……….if that is a problem in my life, i would say i need to find new problems to worry about. maybe my mental and physical health. or take up gardening or reading or race car driving………..
On my circle of friends, the conservative ones lead a life style indifferent from the liberal ones.
You say “in my circle of friends.” Indifferent doesn’t mean the same it means not caring about.
Like this:
“In my circle of friends, we are indifferent to the concerns of Russian trolls.”
trump cult is like the moonies. i expect daddy reverend trump will be having mass wedding ceremonies at packed football stadiums coast to coast by jan 2029. it’s pretty funny to watch, to tell you the truth.
And Epstein Island.
Tell me you’re an abject moron without telling me you’re an abject moron
How is this even something you care about, like, seriously WTF is wrong with you
Dude, you have it exactly backwards, but can’t even see it because you’re in a silo of like-thinking people. How is it that democrats who should have everything going their way this fall could blow it because they’re insistent on sterilizing children? No matter how you see the underlying issue, trust me that there are a lot of people bothered by it. You could say that it affects only a small number of children, and I would answer “Exactly! Why are you going to the mat over something that affects so few?” It’s like you guys are obsessed or something.
Phil’s opinions are the best examples of the worst thinking.
what are you talking about? i don’t think one in a thousand people give a fuck about that shit. you have been had, dude. by pt barnum.
Just because you don’t care about it, doesn’t mean others don’t care. “I don’t think” is not data. The Trump campaign ran purportedly “anti-trans” (actually anti transitioning children) ads during football games in 2024 in swing states to great effect. European countries don’t allow puberty blockers or trans surgery on minors because they recognize it as barbaric. You can’t buy beer until you’re 21, but children should be allowed to have their balls cut off? What a hill to die on.
i concur with EU. BUT don’t give me the garbage like it’s a real problem in your life. so PT barnum ran ads to morons and got them worked up. ok. so what. idiotic you cannot drink until 21, but join military or get married or drive or vote earlier. i love your hyperbole about it being barbaric. sure buddy. how many people you know that this is a problem in their families. you seem simple. slow. special. easily fooled. thanks for the LOL. long live pax dumbfuckistan. idiocracy was a documentary of the 21st century
Sentient is right— by mentioning an issue that, if highlighted, creates a strong reaction among religious people.
Like Latinos. They swung to the right because of issues like that in 2024.
Don’t put it past the Democrats to not fumble the ball on the one-yard line.
Exit polling shows that nobody gives a shit about that crap. Just bringing it up makes you sound profoundly retarded. On a list of 22 issues that 2024 voters were asked to rank in importance, it came in dead last. Whatever Latinos are worried about that are going to be just as turned off by abortion rights or whatever. It’s a non-issue.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/651719/economy-important-issue-2024-presidential-vote.aspx
Exactly. If Biden didn’t allow the progressive BS to happen under his admin (10+ million illegals through open borders, DEI, more stimulus), Trump wouldn’t have been elected, and he’d be in jail.
Yet, here we are
i also suspected merrick garland must have been on some tape in epstein video with the NSA. the way he dragged his feet for 2 years and didn’t get a conviction over jan 6th……..against trump was moronic. i agree about biden and his policies were idiotic. of course. plus ukraine 350billion and killings. and genocide in gaza he ran shotgun. i went to many protests against both ukraine war and genocide joe war……..
The more taco talks and self indulges the higher should go the percentage. Perhaps, there is some hope left.
Careful now. Trump again today stated that he wants the Republicans to “nationalize the election process.” Translation: he’s afraid of the possible results and wants to keep Democrats from voting, stuff the ballot boxes with his chosen kind and steal the elections. If you think he is leaving office peacefully at the end of his term I have a bridge to sell you in the Mohave Desert.
What he’s talking about is preventing the blue states from cheating. Having a uniform election code that requires ID, clean voter rolls and proof of residency.
Are you one of those people who believes that Democrats are too stupid to know how to get an ID?
public school dropout? do you understand why we let the counties and states run elections? any clue? i worked the polls in 4 separate states
Probably not even human… just a talking point bot.
thanks. i did block him after that. are the bots that prevalent now. gonna ruin all blogs i guess
Rude, stupid and angry is no way to go through life or act on a comment board.
I’m trying to have a decent discussion and keyboard tough guys with mental illnesses should keep quiet.
Please let us know what NATIONAL election has resulted in fraud changing the outcome of any election held in the US since its founding?
I would be fully content with just having these rules nationwide:
ID voting, same-day voting only, except for hospitalized and military or verified overseas, must affirm your registration each election, must be an American citizen. No auto-registration via the DMV or any other process. Paper ballots only, with serial numbers tied to a voter registration with name redacted to verify votes for an audit or recount.
I would never question an election again with these rules legitimately followed.
I call it like I see it. Democrats don’t want these rules because they know what would happen — they’d lose a lot of elections. They are not virtuous, and they’re not sincere. They only care about power and winning.
So, no fraud found that changed a national election and you want to make it more difficult to vote, to register.
You are in bad company with those that want to restrictf those that they disagree with from expressing their preferences at the ballot box.
exactly. i bet my pals in 2018, by jan 20, 2029 a few states will effectively secede. may not be an announcement. just happens………..a great thing imho. world wide war mongering empires are not good.
I have been saying this for the last 6-8 months-at least. MAGA people-at least those who remain- have been in denial. I guess that’s understandable if your primary source for news and Trump’s performance is FoxNews. I tuned into Fox this Sunday for about 20 minutes. After listening to General jack Keane and Mike Pompeo explaining why we had no choice but to go the war with Iran– I turned it off. We may still back off from war because the risk and costs are simply too high. And actually winning the conflict is the primary risk.
The business of America is war. We’ve been in a war every twenty or so years since 1776.
Well what’s the point of having a well-funded Department of War if you can’t invade other countries from time to time?!
When is the last time you saw a Defense Budget go through without being increased? It never happens, because there is virtually no difference between Dems and Republicans on increasing military spending, starting new wars, attacking other countries, maintaining military bases worldwide, and selling weapons to other nations. It happens in every Presidency, every time, as reliably as death and taxes.
The only way to avoid this is to vote for a third party.
bingo. the framers copied the Romans. let the people vote for the empire. and boy have they done that. washington and jefferson……..just wanted their own empire, like the UK and French and Spanish, and Dutch who had settled north amerika. toss in the portuguese for brazil………
It is the business of our ruling class, not of Americans. We don’t have a damned thing to do with it. They don’t ask us; they just use our money. And it isn’t every 20 years anymore. It’s constant:
Trump has ordered air strikes (acts of war) on 7 different countries in his 1st year and funds war in Ukraine and continued genocide in Gaza. Obiden launched the major proxy war with Russia via Ukraine. Obama killed many, many innocent people with missile/drone strikes and continued the war in Afghanistan. He also initiated the Syrian “civil war” because Israel didn’t like Assad being friendly with Iran, ultimately installing an Al Queda government.
You can vote for anyone you want to. Or stay home. It doesn’t matter. The warfare, welfare, regulatory state will grow like the cancer it is.
Fox like the MAGA politicians are just giving the people what they demand. pro tip, democracy works. go read Plato’s republic. slowly
The unreleased Epstein files so much bad policy with that leverage.