Republicans hold the House, but barely. I now project a mere +1 vs the current House. 
Of the eight remaining seats, I am confident Democrats will pick up 2 and Republicans 1.
I suspect Republicans will win 2 additional seats (not counting Alaska) with a shot at 3 if their lead in CA-13 holds. But there are more uncounted votes in areas leaning Democrat in CA-13.
In CA-45 the race is dead even but there are more uncounted votes in Republican leaning areas.
It’s hard to put a lot of confidence in CA-45, IA-1, or CA-13. Republicans could easily lose them all. But there is also a fair shot their lead holds in CA-13. The best Republicans can likely do now is win half of the 8 remaining giving them 222. My call is 3 of five for a total of 221. That’s up 1 from current.
IA-1 may be the closest House race nationally. Is this where Selzer did her polling?
Republicans could easily end up with only 219 seats out of this, a loss of 1 vs the current House. But if things break like I suspect, then they pick up 1 seat.
However, Matt Gaetz resigned after being nominated by Trump for Attorney General. And Trump nominated New York Rep. Elise Stefanik to be ambassador to the UN.
That’s two less Republican votes until those seats are filled.
The Republican majority would then become 219-214, perhaps 218-215. A mere two or three defections could sink any Republican agenda if Democrats remain united.
I will comment on Trump’s cabinet appointments later today.
Actually, the pertinent question would be:
Nowhere else in the world to they takes weeks to count [!]
Elise Sefanik’s district is 60R/40D, and Matt Gaetz’s district is 65R/35D, so those districts should be GOP holds in special elections.
Sorry, but the slow vote count in Commie-fornia made it rife for fraud. Too many people involved in the count are fanatics.
I hope the Republican watchers are out in force watching every move. Seeing the stakes I would assume that they are there in numbers.
Absolutely the case. When people pay less attention, the results all magically start slowly moving in favor of the democratic candidate and then….poof! The democrat candidate wins!
That last ride from the nursing home is pretty slow.
Imagine how things have changed. Trump Peace Prize
Zelensky
“It is very important for us to have a just peace, so that we do not feel that we have lost our best because of the injustice that has been imposed on you. The war will end, but there is no exact date. Certainly, with the policies of this team that will now lead the White House, the war will end sooner. This is their approach, their promise to their society, and it is also very important to them,” he said.
I’m in CA 47. Dave Min came from behind during an agonizingly slow count. Strange how it always happens that way. His campaign ads featured all sorts of corruption charges against his republican opponent while he himself was actually convicted for DUI.
Orange County, CA is a classic example of the so-called “Replacement Theory”. Refugees from Los Angeles, corporate drone transfers, blue state refugees who figure they might as well enjoy great weather with their socialism and immigrants both legal and illegal have transformed the county politically. You could easily generate a time-lapse of a blue ooze slowly advancing from the northern part of the county to the south.
You can see the fools of Los Angeles, leaving their hell-hole, escaping to Orange County only to duplicate the situation they left. Orange County is becoming bluer and bluer and looking more and more like Los Angeles every year.
It’s a mini version of stupid liberal Californians leaving the state and voting the same way that ruined the state they left. Zero reflection.
These ultra-slow counts are really ridiculous. There is no valid reason for them except to do you-know-what.
“Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”
It’s America. In the #DumbAge. Counting and, like, stuff, is, like, hard, and stuff, these, like, days.
Thank A Teacher !
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2AoxCkySv34
High Tech California but they can not get votes counted in a timely fashion.
Anyways as voter turnout tends to favor GOP in later part of voting cycle, foot dragging is occurring as someone is really nervous about losing.
“High Tech California”
How quaint….
It’s high priced, all pumped up, by and for an audience of the rankest of retards only, now. The final remains of the “tech” part, crossed the Pacific over a decade ago. Leaving only two-legged Huh?s “making money off me home and potfoiiio” behind to enjoy the decay.
A real banana republic generating ballots day after day, week after week, to pull through their candidate.
Even Russia has voter id along with Canada, Mexico, all of Europe. And, everyone gets their elections over in a few days.
It’s all a fascist farce in the USA.
Land of the free (pickings).
Emphasis ALL. Really. All.
Slow vote counting may become the new “pocket veto”. If a governor does not want any voter-elected opponent reporting to Congress, then delay the count.
The recount of McCormick & Casey is on.
That doesn’t do anything other than reconcile the numbers with fake ballots. It is completely asinine that we cannot show beyond a doubt what our election outcomes are.
Full control, no excuses. Take us to the promised land.
Don’t worry MPox, RFK is even going to get you in shape
Jokes on RFK, I got all my vaccines updated as soon as Trump won knowing this would be a possibility. Feeling great and immune. But one sure way to clear out the dead brush is to eliminate vaccines and maybe that’s the plan all along, medicare and SS not sustainable.
You need to think deeper about why people push agendas Midnight. Think deeper. You reap what you sow.
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4991399-measles-cases-rise-global-who-report/
No one is getting rid of vaccines silly. They might leave it up to the people what they get. You know, democracy.
Wish that same attitude existed with women’s health and choices.
Buzz it does. States rights.
Also, I’m sure you were against the covid mandates. My body my choice….we will never forget what you did.
My body, my choice! But the taxpayers are responsible for paying off my student loan debt foe a gender studies degree.
Well now they are on a four year sex strike. Even though they’ve been telling us for years that abstinence won’t work and is unrealistic. Some are also threatening to become lesbians even though for years they were saying sexual orientation was not a choice.
The only downside is the men who will benefit from these tantrums will never realize their good fortune.
I hate these bitches!
Conservative baby boom coming. Libs opting out.
that 15th Covid booster for the flu surely will help you. #keeppfizerstrong
Five studies show that unvaccinated children are healthier than vaccinated children. That is not a joke. No vaccine experts are willing to debate RFK Jr. The reason why is because RFK Jr. is on the side of the data. RFK said that vaccines are not tested against a placebo. The CDC said that was false, then later admitted that it was true. Previously approved vaccines are the control, which skews the data more favorable to the test vaccine. Dr. Stanley Plotkin, the proclaimed Godfather of vaccines, admitted recently that vaccines are inadequately tested for safety and efficacy, both pre and post market.
Bottom line, RFK Jr. says he is not anti vax, but wants people to be fully informed of the risks, so that they can make an informed decision, based on informed consent. Further, to all, don’t believe the official propaganda on autism and vaccines. Do your own research. We just got a big lesson that government agencies lie.
“We just got a big lesson that government agencies lie.”
Well then it’s time to cancel all these organizations. Let’s start with medicare and social security, you have my full support.
“As Seth Mnookin wrote for Scientific American in 2017, “Kennedy made his name in the anti-vaccine movement in 2005, when he published a story alleging a massive conspiracy regarding thimerosal, a mercury-based preservative that had been removed from all childhood vaccines except for some variations of the flu vaccine in 2001.”
Quote from “RFK Jr.’s reign of error: Correcting the record about yet another false claim he just made | CNN Politics”
“According to The Times, during Kennedy’s 2012 deposition, he also reported having been diagnosed with mercury poisoning, which he said was the result of a diet heavy on tuna and other fish.”
Quote from “RFK Jr. says he suffered from a parasitic brain worm and mercury poisoning – CBS News”
Another “stable genius”:
concerned about mercury that is NOT in vaccines…
but oblivious to the mercury that is known to be in fish.
Every election, California just can’t seem to count votes as fast as the red states. They will steal every remaining house seat. Think about it…how did Steve Garvey not beat Schiff?
Well, this state is not known for having the sharpest knives in the drawer. Yes, Prop 46 passed. But it had to take being mugged by reality to do it. And many stupid propositions passed with ease.
The only way California remains blue is by fraud. Insider info
Hakeem the regime change stays on the bench. The Fed will ease rates. Trump might retaliate against old enemies. RFK Jr will cleanse MCD for better health. Mickey Mouse might fail to close May 6/7 gap. Pravda muzzled. At the bottom of next correction there will rotation from the health to industry. We will make stuff ourselves. Import will drop.
“If” Democrats remain united? They’ve proven their ability to be united. That’s a certainty like the sun rising in the east.
Agreed. Democrats have proven they are a close knit crime gang.
Deeply embedded in the federal bureaucracy.
Such a small margin oddly enough increases the power of Freedom Caucus types to control/derail legislation. Remembering how Matt Gaetz effectively blew up the former Speaker.
How slow can they count votes. Ridiculous.
They can’t only manufacture ballots out of thin air, they need to make certain they will pass a potential audit. That takes time.
They can’t use the broken water main tactic si bomb threats are being phoned in to election centers.