I am 4-4 on the last four called races, with Democrats winning three. Here are the remaining 4 races. 
The above image and those that follow are from the Washington Post, with my annotations.
Remaining Four, My Take
- Ohio-9: Likely Democrat
- California-13: Tilt Republican (a switch from lean Democrat)
- California-45: Tossup (a switch from lean Republican)
- Iowa-1: Lean Republican
California-13
Call me crazy, but slight Tilt Republican. However, most remaining votes are in Democrat-leaning areas. If Democrats take a lead, kiss this one goodbye.
California-45
This is a genuine tossup. In this case, Republicans have a slight advantage in remaining votes.
Ohio-9
This is likely over. The remaining votes are in heavily Democrat areas.
Iowa-1
That’s the only map I have for Iowa. But there is no reason to believe anything different from above. Is this where Selzer did her polling?
Of the remaining 8 (now down to 4), I am four for four. Republicans picked up Alaska at-large, and lost ME-2, CA-21, and CA-9 as expected.
See Only 8 House Seats Still Undecided, Remaining Map Favors Democrats for discussion.
There is a reasonable chance Republicans win no more seats. However, I expect them to at least win Iowa.
It’s also possible Republicans win three of the last four. That is not odds on, but it’s possible.
Finally, if Republicans only win one of the last four, they will have the same 220 seats they have now.
Trump’s Cabinet Nominees, the Good, the Bad, and the Very Ugly
I have a fairly critical take on Trump’s nominees, but he also has some very good picks.
For discussion, please see Trump’s Cabinet Nominees, the Good, the Bad, and the Very Ugly.
Addendum
According to Polymarket, 220 is 55 percent and 221 is 40 percent. That would match Winning Iowa and losing the rest.
It would also be a gain of zero vs the current House and a guaranteed temporary loss due to Matt Gaetz resigning, and another for Elise Stefanik nominated to become U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
Baugh and Steel are two seats in California that don’t pass the smell test. They should have won their respective districts given local polling, but did not.
Ann Selzer is done and gone. Let that be a hint to the other fake pollsters.
Dinesh D’Souza said it best. “When you become the laughingstock of the profession, it is time to seek “other ventures.” The Democrats won’t miss her at all. Her usefulness to them is at an end”
Stefanik might have to stay in Congress. It’s insane to try to govern with a 1-2 seat House majority. They can find another Israel-Firster for the UN post.
You guys might be interested in this– current betting odds for number of GOP house seats. I’m guessing Duarte wins, Iowa 1 is already won as well for Rs. That’s 221. I think the Orange county seat is supposed to go Dem based on the remaining ballots.
Link here
https://polymarket.com/event/of-gop-seats-in-house-of-representatives?tid=1731861796261
Thanks for that link – Matches closely with what I said
Hopefully they’ll have them counted by the midterms, smh.
At this point the entire process is a very sick joke.
And we wonder why government should not be in charge of anything? I have 4 and 5 year-old boys that could battle over and count army men faster and with more agreement that it was fair than this charade. What possible excuses are there that the counting persists 12 days after election day. No good ones.
after weeks of magical ballots dropping, calling it “votes” is a little disingenuous. This a banana republic faux election, making US look to the world like a sea of BS.
“This a banana republic faux election, making US look to the world like a sea of BS.”
That’s good. Improved accuracy in assessing an entity’s level of BS, is always a good thing.
I think rep wll end up at 221, best case 222. +1 or +2.
It’s literally unreal that we are 10 days past the election and they are still counting votes. And here I thought NVDIA chips were going to save us from all the BS.
That is, BTW, 10 days for the Dems (aided no doubt by some RINOS) to visit a lot of cemeteries looking for votes.
Speaking of NVIDIA. The past two times it was stretched from the 36 month moving average as it is today, it fell 55 and 62%.
Just a point of interest.
Did the Dutch have real tulips or rehypothicated tulips?
The underlying was real tulip bulbs.