Early voting has started. Most minds are made up. It’s too late for major change.
Republicans Need a Major Polling Failure
Carl Rove, writing for the Wall Street Journal reports Republicans Pray for a Polling Failure
In every election, a moment comes when things lock in. There’s money for only one more set of messages. Only enough volunteers to get out only so many voters. No time to try something new. With less than four weeks to go, many campaigns are likely at that point.
The Wesleyan study finds that 36% of pro-Democratic Senate ads mention business (not in a positive light), 35.7% the cost of living, 33.8% healthcare, 29.1% ethics and scandals, and 25.3% energy (both prices and climate). Since a single ad may mention several topics, these numbers add up to more than 100%.
Democrats clearly remember James Carville’s 1992 mantra, “It’s the economy, stupid and don’t forget healthcare.” They hope President Trump’s poor ratings on inflation give them the win on economic issues generally, despite a strong stock market, stable job numbers and healthy growth.
By contrast, 46.1% of pro-Republican Senate ads mention taxes, 19.9% the cost of living, 18.1% transgenderism, 15.1% immigration and 14.4% crime. The GOP clearly devotes less attention to the economy and more to cultural issues. But immigration and crime may be yesterday’s news, especially since the border is closed and crime is down. Voters tend to pocket success and focus on what’s bothering them.
The president’s political-action committee might have waited too long to release its enormous load of cash. Many undecided and swing voters could have decided before Labor Day, making movement difficult in September and October. Some always wait until closer to the election. But will there be enough for Republicans to cut their losses? Only time will tell.
What about the polls? Republicans believe they are biased in favor of Democrats. One of the best GOP polling minds, Patrick Ruffini, examined this question, studying 3,312 polls from the last four elections. He found 73% of these overstated Democratic performance compared with the actual results.
Mr. Ruffini also examined the most competitive races during this period, those with 30 or more polls. At this point in the cycle, these polls were 7 points more Democratic than the outcome. The redder the state, the more polls overstated the Democratic candidate’s numbers.
If this pattern holds this year, then virtually every battleground Senate race is within the margin of error today, exaggerating the current strength of Democratic candidates. Some who look today like possible winners will lose if the pattern holds. Still, how this plays out is up in the air. “Each cycle has the potential to behave differently,” Mr. Ruffini acknowledges. Maybe this is that cycle. Or maybe not.
Republicans can only hope the polls are off, debates go well, their money and message keep down their losses, and any October surprise sprung by America’s adversaries fails. It’s nail-biting time for everyone, especially Republicans.
Polling Errors Go Both Ways
There’s always hope, but polling errors go both ways, especially midterms.
From where we are today, if the polling errors are biased Republican, we are discussing Democrats winning a Senate race in Nebraska and the Texas Governorship.
I am open to the completely unexpected and not mentioned elsewhere.
And that would be Democrats outperformance in Texas and Kansas but underperformance in Michigan and Maine.
In such a scenario it would be a repudiation of extreme candidates in both parities.
Regardless, I am sure there are going to be surprises in many individual races.
Odds Stacked in Democrats’ Favor
The one thing Democrats have in their favor is Trump. He keeps sticking his foot in his mouth, making unforced error after error. That is potentially enough to cost Republicans Texas and Ohio.
I am starting to to think Texas is a total lost cause for Republicans. If so, holding on to the Senate will be extremely difficult.
The odds seem stacked in Democrats’ favor but election day voters will decide, not the polls.
Related Posts
October 3, 2026: MAGA Is Overrun by Scandals, Insane Nonsense, and Infighting
It’s been a very bad week for MAGA.
October 5, 2026: If the Polls Are Correct, Democrats Will Win the Kansas Senate Race
A major upset is in play.
October 6, 2026: Cook Political “Senate Majority is Squarely in Democrats’ Sights”
Cook Political shifts 3 Senate ratings towards Democrats.
When the Cook Political base case is Democrats +2 in the Senate, you know it looks bad for Republicans.
How bad is the only real question at this point.
So my take on Talarico, has multiple things going on. His campaign was lackluster in Democrat Leadership minds, with no clear and consistent message being grabbed onto. As a result his campaign was getting stale, and starting to fail a bit.
With no money to speak of, in the Democrat coffers, they can’t help with the spending, and taking massive bribes, er I meant money, from people like Soros is not helping. This sends a clear direction being called for by the big donors, and you play along or they will oust you. This is not a winning platform, so what to do is the big question?
The immediate plan, was to fall back, and regroup. The only access to money from the rich Dems won’t cut it, the Dems have no money to speak of, and will not and cannot afford to use what little they do have, on one person! All the Dems need financial assistance. Quite the dilemma, and a good reason to disappear, and take that time to figure things out.
Unfortunately he went for the money grab, and it will more than likely backfire on him, as his campaign is no longer his own, and with his own messaging. A horrible choice imo. His personal touch, was the only thing that he had going for him, and it’s gone now. He must March to the tune the people who are paying, tell him too. So now he is just like every other Democrat imo. Broke, no personal message, so nothing therefore making him unique. Just big Dem Money Dictates, and a lackluster show of unity via the Dem Leadership. He is now in worse shape than he already was imo…
Toss in some others with the exact same dilemma, and you have a pile of like minded individuals (aka Cult Like) listening to what they are told to do, by like minded money men,
doing what they are told to do by the Top of the Party Leaders, and that’s a further recipe for more disaster, perhaps needing more days off to regroup once again, and just a miserable failing campaign, with no legs under it, and a message gone astray imho.
Let’s see how this works out for the over the next 15-20 days. I say not well at all, and most hopes will be swept away for good. They are out on a limb, weak from too many people on the same limb. The overbearing weight will bring them all down in short order, as this Democrat Branch is thin, can’t hold much weight, on a tree which is out of more branches, and needs much water and a much richer soil if it is to succeed…
Unfortunately there is simply none to be found in there lack Luster of an organization at the moment. Same old message, from the same old boring group of like minded individuals, with no clear consensus on most topics, and basically disarray is in play big time… Good Luck with that set up, as your going to really, really need it!!!
– WASHINGTON Texas Senate hopeful James Talarico’s volunteer group has been privately fretting over his prolonged (12 Days) absence from the campaign trail, leaked Slack messages obtained by The Post reveal.
12 days ago. He was seen at a private fundraiser in New York City.
Talarico, last had an in-person public campaign event on gas prices on Sept. 26.
Privately on Wednesday, in a Slack channel featuring Talarico’s volunteers raised tepid concerns about the messaging strategy amid his absence.
Nate Silver is in the upper 60% win category for this MiA fraud? I see Nate has learned nothing throughout his years of piss poor polling. What a Joke!!!
Unfortunately, Republicans will still vote Republican regardless of if they are pissed off at Trump and their party. The line I hear when speaking with them here in Texas is, “Of course I’m voting straight Republican! The Dims are crazy!”. And I don’t think these people ever respond to polls.
My only hope of finally having a chance in this state is if a lot of Republicans choose not to show up. If they show up, they are straight ticket voters for sure.
Unfortunately it’s the Dems that don’t seem to show up. The Reps consistently show up.
Your hope looks to be dashed.
To satisfy the voters –
Trump should release the much awaited last 3 million Epstein files.
I don’t know voters will satisfy or not 36% approval rating will be halved to 18%.
That would never be allowed, as doing so would expose Israeli sources and methods.
That train left the station awhile ago, and never to return. Too many people from “Both Parties” would be chastised, and run out of office.
Politicians suck at a lot of things, but protecting one another is definitely NOT one of them. Just ask all those Millionaires holding office, how they (Insider Trading?) made there fortunes. Let’s just say “Hard Work” will never come off of there lips as a reason…
Are Republicans About To Pull Out Of Ohio?
Rick Wilson made the outrageous claim on Jim Acosta’s podcast.
https://www.alternet.org/ohio-2677957654/
A false flag attack on a west coast city followed by martial law and suspension of elections and brutal suppression of protestors might do the trick.
Stephen Miller is probably in the kitchen cooking something like that up as we speak
Probably some Zykon B.
Israel is already discussing delaying their elections if the war with with Iran kicks back off…
Bibi don’t wanna go to jail anymore than Trumpstien does.
Tons of articles about why polls are so far off. Basically: cellphones. In the 1960s, when the phone rang everybody answered it. People flew down the stairs and ran to the kitchen to answer the phone. People broke legs rushing to answer the phone. The pollsters miss in one election – Republicans candidates lost the polling and won the election – so this time they make adjustments to find more Republican voters so they won’t make that mistake again. Which makes the risk this time the possible undercounting of Democratic voters. Because: cellphones. But, sharia law.
Early voting is another. What use are polls in mid-October when ballots have been cast since late September?
Oct 5th was the last day to register to vote in Texas. Early voting begins Oct 19th.
Exactly. I don’t answer calls from anybody I don’t know, and unsolicited texts get put on my TextSpew 2000 list to receive thousands of important messages.
Nobody wants to talk on the phone.
My phone is set to accept calls only from numbers on my contact list. All others go to voicemail where most don’t leave a message, those that do usually get looked at then deleted as spam. I’m leftist through and through but I even delete as spam messages those messages from Dem candidates looking for support.
You are forgetting the “Dewey Beats Truman” newspaper of 1948.
George Gallup used phones to contact voters. He failed to understand only wealthy people had phones in 1948.
They stopped polling well before election day. Polling party line voters would be all kinds of fun.
Guess which demographic age group still has landlines and answers the phone when it rings?
Seniors are the Republican base. If they have lost the Seniors…
They make not be able to year you, know who you are, or where they are, but they’ll answer that kitchen phone.
And sometimes they type YEAR when the mean HEAR 😛
Polling errors go both ways, but Polymarket ain’t a poll by any stretch.
Polymarket has been pretty damn accurate in the past
I’m what you might call a moderate conservative. I usually would vote Republican in normal times, but these are not normal times. The Republicans I can vote for at the federal level in my state are supporters of the current president and have been endorsed by him. As a consequence, on my absentee mail-in ballot which is going in the mail today, I voted for the opposition. I voted against Trump. That’s how extremely angry the president has made me. I personally believe that he will go down as one of the most corrupt, demented, ignorant, narcissistic presidents this country has ever had in its entire history.
I have had a problem voting for Republicans for a long time. Imo you should consider your choices at the state level also. To me it seems there is consolidation of power out of the hands of the people and into corporations and the very wealthy. At the state level you get the gerrymandering and such that enables politicians to be less beholden to the votes.
Team R has degenerated into a particularly odious Cult Of Personality.
The GOP’s only hail-mary hope is for Trump to resign prior to the election.
Not because it will invigorate the GOP voters to come out; rather his resignation would dampen the anger that many have right now against him and the GOP.
I wish Fox News ignoring Trump’s rallies could be taken as a positive sign…
but the election will be a squeaker:
hardcore MAGA nuts are hanging tight with the Decorator In Chief King.
I so WANT to jump up and down to see Trump (indirectly) get creamed…then I instantly recall FULL WOKENESS and the painful era that became. Kamala Harris, Braindead Grandpa Biden and the weirdness of it all.
Those two phenomena, WOKENESS and BRAIN-FART MAGA are amazingly & equally irritating.
Do you want more Iran craziness or “Get those kids to choose a sex by 18 mos?”
Do you want child rapists running free to rape more children?
I mean, if we’re gonna discuss sex and children….
My son is a high-school teacher in Florida. He teaches about 200 kids/year, and has for about 12 years, so about 2400 kids over his career. How many have been trannies? 2. He calls them by whatever name/pronouns they want. The other kids do the same and apparently no one cares.
Almost like Epstein and friends wanted this to be an issue. If only we had a bunch of emails of them talking about that. If only…
Apparently high schoolers are more “adult” than maga seniors.
Imo the whole wokeness culture war is a tactic the republican machine uses to unify their base because as you can see their policies do help the average republican. The dems fall for it every time.
Both parties use culture war wedge issues.
“then I instantly recall FULL WOKENESS and the painful era that became….” You and Joe Rogan.
If the polls are off, they will have underrepresented the GOP loss. The difference in motivation between the pro-Trump and anti-Trump voters is considerable. I won’t even say left vs right or democrat vs republican (or independents). The number of people – including former Trump voters – who can’t take his bullshit anymore is huge. He broke his biggest promises: releasing the Epstein files and not starting another stupid war. He and the republicans who acquiesced to his betrayals need to be punished, and the only way to do that is to deal a massive loss to the republicans in the midterms.
While I am confident Democrats will win both houses of Congress, I think the margins will be lower than polling suggests. Republicans have something Democrats don’t: churches. And churches are full of people who faithfully believe whatever their pastors tell them. And rich right-wingers have been making it in the best interests of pastors to preach the Republican Jesus for decades.
Yup add the whole conservative media propaganda machine. Makes it hard for someone to pull the left lever when everything you are told makes you think the other side are commie devils
Well I’m sure post this election they will keep 80% or more of their top 10 campaign promises fixing everything so good the subsequent election will be an ever bigger rout. Odd how hard almost tooth & nail they fight against simple voter reforms.
Because they are not reforms.
As fucked as things are now, I’d be encouraged just to see a slow in the descent.
“In such a scenario it would be a repudiation of extreme candidates in both parities.”
That is laughable. El-Sayed in MI is campaigning with Cackling Kamala all the time. And Jackson in Maine has been taking instructions from the DC donorCRATs on practically all aspects of his campaign. If they lose, it would be more because of that than whatever “extreme” policy positions they allegedly have.
The voters are in a state of white hot incandescent rage, largely because the Sensible Middle, Team R and Team D alike, has proven to be entirely self-serving.
If polls are to be believed, had Harris made a few token noises about Gaza, she might well have won. That she did not, tells us all we need to know.
OK, if you will agree that when they win a small part of it was because they campaigned with Harris and took instructions from the DC donorCRATS. But my guess is you will say they cheated or the R ran a bad campaign or media lies or some other bullshit. It can never be because the people wanted them, that’s just inconceivable to your type.
Rubio will be the Rapeublicans choice for president in 2028.
They have been grooming him since he was 12 years old…
Grooming him on oral copulation, you mean?
If so, he’ll lose bigly. Rubio is half as smart as he thinks he is, and he’s an obvious power-hungry schemer. Vance has also totally sullied himself. It’s almost unimaginable that a republican could win in ‘28 – unless Vance takes over in 2027 and reverses and repudiates Trump’s betrayals, firing the entire cabinet and prosecuting Trump family members for graft. Not gonna happen.
There a million pictures and videos of Trumpstien humiliating little Marco…. And he’s too short.
Yes, and no charisma.
Both height & charisma are required.
Rubio started his career as a left-wing Miami Beach city councilman. He became a Republican when he wanted to run for Florida’s House. He has been funded by a group of very wealthy Miami Zionists who use him as they wish. He has parlayed his willingness to do and say anything for his masters into considerable wealth and power.
Think they will throw vance under the conservative Christian church bus. Least vance is staying out of the media a bit.
He’s the least useful of the bunch, unless Peter Tiel keeps paying to keep him in.
Ever since he became that anchor baby.
Rapeublicans worked hard to get Abdul El-Sayed the win in the Democratic primary against Stevens because she was totally electable.
My prediction is that Rogers will win over El-Sayid by two points unless something really strange happens…
Obama is now going to campaign for El-Sayed, which will definitely help him in Michigan. Mike Rogers is a neocon’s Neocon, so he has endless resources and money from the MIC. His sudden opposition to the Iran War is laughable, he is the type who never saw a war he didn’t like. He LOVES the surveillance state, the Patriot Act and everything else that Libertarians hate.
Trump posted about how horrible he is on Truth Social, repeatedly calling him Mohammed El-Sayed
Pollster Rich Baris – a republican who runs the Big Data poll – has a different take. This is nine day old commentary, but he points out that R’s haven’t won a senate race in Michigan since 1994 (a republican landslide year), among other points that favor El-Sayed. Prompted to 29:10 where he talks about Michigan for 4.5 minutes:
https://www.youtube.com/live/Kvnn4sQP5hw?si=HqyHcvozBzlCZGKP&t=1750
I watched a town hall with El-Sayed just because I thought it was crazy to have someone with a name like that running to be a state senator. I also thought he must be some type of pro-Islam extremist.
I was surprised. He was very much a middle of the road Democrat. And actually had some well thought through ideas.
Any media coverage on “10/7” from any side or color political party yesterday, no matter what their views may be? Seemed like (the deafening sound of) crickets to me.
European and Canadian news were talking about it non-stop yesterday
Why would Americans care?
Pretend Hamas were Ukrainian.
They’d get wall-to-wall nonstop masturbatory news coverage.
When that Russian airliner was blown up in 2015, MSM did not concal their glee.
The real test will come in 2028. In the meantime, there will be investigations and gridlock.
Dems had better assemble, and most importantly, package and present, an overall plan and some solutions. Repubs have been much better at bumper sticker slogans. But anything that puts the individual DJT in the rear view mirror .and some kind of legal containment, is a good start.
The pivotal voters individually are still distressed right now, and demanding some fixes, along with the USA’s world stance.
In trade, like a betrayed marriage, repair unfortunately is bound to be slow and dicey. Trust takes long to build, and is quickly demolished. The underlying legal structures around arbitrary executive power need some restructuring, and it is a tough balance, very complex.
These are democrats and liberals. They like it when Team R does their dirty work while they bitch about process and propriety like the Front Row Kids they are.
I’ve always considered that to be the exact difference between liberals and conservatives. Is your life so miserable you’re going to take to the streets to protest? The conservatives will be there to put a black jack against your skull. The liberals will decry that and instead put a little money in your pocket to feed your kids, but only after you fill out 30 forms in triplicate and wait 60 days. Then after another 60 days the money will dry up, but they’ll give you a big student loan to learn Native American history or something.
Remember 2007?
If Dems weren’t busy committing their own form of seppuku this would be a wipeout. Forget the polls and focus on fundamentals — pocketbook issues and a deeply unpopular war should equal a shellacking. But there are three weeks remaining and shenanigans await.
That is precisely the Crux of the matter! Polling like with Kamala, was so far off base, she was not even close to a win. In fact, she was never anywhere even remotely close to getting elected.
If it wasn’t for the Fake Polls, she probably would have been pulled much, much sooner. She would have been rightfully deemed incompetent, as everything eventually pointed out.
This is an extremely similar take, with nearly all polll’s for the Dems being fake, and misleading, as they desperately try to fake the public into a horrible choice for them and America.
The Dems will not take the Senate, and not even close. They will do poorly in the elections, and blame it all on Trump as they do for everything that isn’t as it appears, that they are trying so desperately hard to convey.
This race was over awhile ago, and we are just seeing the remnants of what little is left for the Dems false flag. Go home and await 4 more years, and get crushed once again… These are not the droids that we are looking for, and they will be flushed appropriately away soon enough.
The village idiot has spoken.
Speak the truth, and set yourself free Frosty!! No way the Dems come close to pulling this off now. All the current news bares this out. The polls are phony, the margin is massive, and the MSM will not and cannot change this, no matter how slanted they are or get as it gets closer, and they get more and more desperate.
Facts on the ground are facts just the same…
You are such a pure representation of hopeful and dumb. When the republicans get steamrolled, you’ll forget you ever said anything, and retain your purity.
‘Rings little bell’
Polling showed her losing and she did.
She did but only after the election was long over. She never would or should have been still on the ballot, but dismissed as unelectable, which she was from the get to.
Talarico and Elsayed are very similar in scope, and others the Dems are pushing. Look how quickly they are disappearing from the mix. No money, no support, and only false hype, and that simply won’t get it done.
Like in 2018?
Donald Trump won the election with 49.8% of the vote. Harris lost but with 48.3%. Hardly a wipe-out, especially when Harris had to carry Biden’s failures.
… and wear those goddam pantsuits. Why can’t they wear a dress? They aren’t going to rassle.
So get thy dumb ass onto Kalshi or Polymarket and make some easy dough.
I hope you’re right. Kamala scared me rigid.
It’s true the polls can be biased. If you remember the blue wave expected in 2020 it didn’t manifest quite as strongly, despite the mess the economy and public health was in (vaccines were only announced right after the results). So, we might see a repeat of this unless a huge event happens like a market crash.
Texas and Michigan are special cases. Paxton is a terrible candidate with too much baggage, so my bet is he will lose that race. In Michigan, Abdul Al-Sayed is just a too Arabic sounding name for boomers, so he will probably lose because of that.
Paxton can’t lose at this point, as his opponent has already tossed in the towel. He has walked away, with no money, no interest in him, and no delivery of any reason to vote for him.
Abdul Alsayed is about where Kamala was in hype at this point, matching her incompetence already, and becoming a freak show as time passes… He is going nowhere fast, but out of the race eventually, as others will too, once the writing is on the wall and they can see it. Right now they are blinded by media hype, and false hope, and that will all start to change over the next 30 days, until they are all just shells of themselves, and their hopes dashed. That’s what everything points too, imo at the moment, and I don’t see it changing…
It certainly is an interesting take, but I don’t see “everything pointing to” your conclusions. A systematic polling error can occur, but it would have to be a pretty big one this cycle for Republicans to keep the house and senate. So I’m curious, what are you basing this take on?
The change in the Dems approach. Talarico is running scared, and all but disappeared, well he has done that too, but he will be back at some point I imagine. Not in any shape to be worthy of a win or even close to it imo.
You have others like Alsayed is getting arrogant, pushy, and desperate as well in his fumbling ways, he will be in the same boat as Talarico shortly, and probably disappear for a bit as well. They are lost at the moment, and can’t and won’t get it back in time to make any difference.
This is what occurs when it’s false hype, lies, and Hope over reality. The Dems will not take the Senate or the House now imho. That’s my take, and just look at Kamala’s campaign, if you want to see how this ends. They are mirror images of one another…
😂
Ok, that’s clear. More of a hunch than an analysis but that’s fine and might even prove to be right. We’ll see in a few weeks.
Also a massive polling issue going on, and that will show its ugly head soon enough. Much like Kamala who was worshipped falsely, and looked to be a shoe in at that moment, and then she wasn’t… Talarico, Elsayed, etc. are all sitting on powder kegs of false hype and polls. When that explodes, it will take them all down with it, just like with Kamala. More of the same hype and failures here and now…
I don’t remember kamala being shown as worshipped. At least not by the polls. Slightly favored was the height for her, right after the debate where she beat trump soundly.
Kamala Harris was initially seen as a strong candidate with significant support, especially among women and younger voters. However, she ultimately underperformed expectations and lost to Donald Trump, failing to rally the necessary coalition to secure victory.
Oh I think Paxton is gonna lose “bigly”. I’m betting some folks will just not be able to get themselves to vote for him even if they otherwise would have been solid voters for republicans, and that’s why Talarico who is a much more decent person (regardless of his politics) will win.
Why Paxton may well win in TX: a popular phrase attributed to many US leaders about many foreign dictators: “He’s a son of a bitch, but at least he’s our son of a bitch.”
This is a land of flags and football teams as iconic cultural symbols.
I’m a small sample, but I never respond to polls. I imagine a fair number of others are like that.
Maybe replace SOB with pervert or criminal.
Paxton will win, but not by a massive amount, but a decent percentage is my guess…
I agree. Texas Republicans love thieves, folks who cheat on their wives, and pedophilia protectors. Telarico is a decent human-being. He doesn’t stand a chance in Texas.
They love the pedos most of all… St. Trumpstien is their savior.
LOL! OMG I’M DYING!
This has to be a masterful parody. We’re being. Had.
Well we will just have to wait and see…
‘Unbelievably Tone Deaf’: Abdul El-Sayed Omits Hamas Atrocities, Attacks Israel in Oct. 7 Fundraising Email
The Michigan Democrat running for Senate is facing backlash online for the anti-Israel stunt
Abdul El-Sayed, a Democrat running to replace retiring Michigan Sen. Gary Peters (D.), marked the second anniversary of Hamas’s Oct. 7, 2023, terrorist attack with a fundraising email that made no mention of Hamas’s atrocities and instead blamed Israel for the war in Gaza.
“Two years ago this month, Netanyahu’s military launched a ground invasion of Gaza,” El-Sayed’s emailbegan, according to Politico reporter Nicholas Wu. The Democrat made no reference to Hamas’s massacre of 1,200 Israelis and kidnapping of hundreds more that triggered Israel’s offensive. Instead, El-Sayed condemned Israel’s response as “unconscionable” and “wrong,” while accusing the United States of funding a “senseless war.”
This is sure to further bolster El-Sayed’s chances… Not! So while his friends disappear or make blunders, he makes himself virtually unelectable with this charade of a performance.
New polls will further hammer these 2 and others as they get attached to them by association. They are destroying themselves from within. An all too familiar pattern with Democrat Politicians…
The only “poll” I need is Mishtalk.
During the last election cycle there were dozens of commenters bashing Biden and praising Trump. Lots of hope on Trump as the “savior” for tools & fools that became suckers and losers.
And what do we have today? Aside from “Stu” and a guy named “Jeff Larry” who came to defend Trump in the post below, everyone now seems to be a “former republican” or voting straight ticket democrat. No one dares comes to defend Trump’s stupid disastrous record, not even good old Doug78, who thought Trump would bring about the new Golden Age and the war in Iran would be over in a few days.
https://mishtalk.com/economics/trump-says-let-them-iran-take-out-los-angeles-or-san-diego/
So who needs polls? Do you hear your friends, family, neighbors talking about how awesome the economy is with all the ongoing foreclosures, wage stagnation, high cost of groceries, utilities, fuel/energy, insurance, property taxes, etc?
But in all of this, the hope now is that democan’ts are going to save people. Spoiler alert! They will democan’t. They aren’t going to do squat except dog & pony show impeachment hearings, maybe throwing Hillbilly Hegseth out of office or put in jail.
So where does that leave the suckers and losers? Well, sucking and losing if you don’t have a better strategy.
In the meantime….
Do worry, Trump, Walrus, GOP, and democrats will find a way to make things even worse.™
Team D prove to be self-serving corporate imperialist muppets, so they vote Team R in hopes of something better. Once elected, Team R turn out to be self-serving corporate imperialist muppets, so they careen back to Team D.
Bait and switch. It amazes me how humans fall for it, over and over again.
Team Linus vs Team Lucy
I get all my views from Jojo. Jojo, where are you?
Don’t forget Marshall Law
Or Marital Law.
US could file for a divorce and get a restraining order banning the Trump family and Organization to some remote Epstein island type resort.
There’s a bad track record: Trump already declared a fake “emergency” for massive global tariffs, as a cornerstone of his fix for the USA. His people dug up and he applied every “emergency” AI could find in the laws, as cynical pretexts for power grabs.
But martial law declaration would trigger a public Constitutional crisis that day. Does he have the “minerals” to do that? Yes, on some days.
I prefer his son Forest Law
However Mish what we can not factor is how much pressure President Trump is going to put on the scales in order to tilt the results in favour of the Republican party.
Remember January 6? That was the dumbest “coup” Trump could muster up under the best of conditions. Anyone that thinks he will do anything better than that now that he’s much older, more demented and wearing bigger diapers needs to get their head examined.
Americans getting crushed by Trump’s stupidity, next up are pitch forks and torches in the form of guns and maltov cocktails.
Some people suspect that was a regime setup (possibly aided by Trump’s acting), for various possible reasons. Perhaps to stress-test internal security. Perhaps to generate public support for more internal security. Perhaps to agitate the losing base to stay engaged, to maintain tension within society — slightly deemphasizing policies to talk more about simple cheating at the ballot box.
I don’t recall post-election “clamor” (legal challenges, protests) before Bush-Gore. Now it seems like a baseline expectation.
Post January 6, Trump in Term 2 launched a tsunami of new initiatives and moves that his faded brain couldn’t begin to imagine alone. He was aided by a new squad of younger MAGA-aligned apparatchiks (pretty clever ones) and AI augmentation (obvious to me, seeing the legal complexities suddenly repackaged). MAGA lawyers still made ridiculous rookie errors, but still.
So he may still have some weird October surprise in the pipeline. His inability to keep a secret is the only thing giving me confidence.
Better AI! That’ll fix the lawyer things! That’s the ticket!
/sarc
You may be overlooking the possibility of shenanigans?!