https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_b9KJu6y_c
Watch Sandra wash her hands for minutes, then inspect them.
Sandra even started washing her enclosure.
Georgia Late to the Party
Another governor late to the party https://t.co/v38dElHY42
— Mike “Mish” Shedlock (@MishGEA) April 1, 2020
Hello Georgia
Good lord. https://t.co/ZjjPyi89pQ
— Ben Hunt (@EpsilonTheory) April 1, 2020
Colorado Nitwit Mayor
What a nitwit to put things mildly. https://t.co/8GcMJTrLIp
— Mike “Mish” Shedlock (@MishGEA) April 2, 2020
Colorado mayor faces furious backlash after dismissing coronavirus concerns and daring someone to spit in his mouth.
States with No Lockdowns
https://twitter.com/kr3at/status/1245476860244484100
Florida Governor Finally Restricts Movement To Essential Services
Please note that the Florida Governor Finally Restricts Movement To Essential Services
My Comment Yesterday
The White House did recommend distancing yet the Florida Governor did not shut the beaches.
If you cannot make decisions and have to have someone make them for you I have a suggestion …..
Resign https://t.co/aIq9Uyg5Gp
— Mike “Mish” Shedlock (@MishGEA) March 31, 2020
My Comments Today
- Sandra the Orangutan has more sense than many of these governors and mayors.
- It took Trump a month to catch on, but he finally did.
Please note Trump Warns Big Death Toll Is Coming
No V-Shaped Recovery
Forget about V-shaped recovery optimism. The Covid-19 Recession Will Be Deeper Than the Great Financial Crisis.
Mike “Mish” Shedlock
Link to NY doctor who has treated >350 cases with 100% cure rate. Relief in 4-6 hours and cure in 6 days.
She could be our next orange president.
In other news, the head of the WHO, “Dr.” Tedros has now reached the point where he “deeply concerned” about the rapid escalation and global spread of the virus. I guess now we know how far a pandemic has to spread before he gets concerned.
In addition, after studying it for two months, the WHO’s technical lead, Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, has concluded that “COVID-19 is a real threat”.
Another set of examples showing the vast majority of people are dumb as h.
I can’t count how many stupid articles I’ve read where people try to calculate the actual death rate. The vast majority are written by people who may have taken a calculus class and somehow think that makes them experts at analysis. The data at this point is complete garbage. You can’t calculate anything. And you can’t look at current deaths and divide it by the total number of cases. It takes time to die. You have no way of knowing how many currently infected are going to die. Might as well calculate the number of planets in the Milky Way that have intelligent life. It would be as accurate.
…Might as well calculate the number of planets in the Milky Way that have intelligent life…
Could be less than one…
Wait, whales and dolphins are very intelligent.
It takes a couple weeks to die, but 5-6 weeks to recover. As a result those that look at “resolved cases” compute a death rate of 20%.
The main problem, though, with trying to make forecasts is that, while the forecasts are partially dependent on the behavior of the virus, they are far, far more dependent on the behavior of humans, and that changes over time. If you assume humans will make no changes, i.e. continue to go to work, ride subways, go to restaurants, go to basketball games, football games, and concerts, the rate at which you accumulate deaths, and the total deaths you accumulate, is very different than if you assume humans shelter in place, wash their hands, and the like.
Because human behavior over time changes, any projection using the past is doomed to be wrong.
It is necessary to have such estimates, but they should come with uncertainties. Uncertainty analysis is generally quite complicated, but an honest attempt is essential. The craving for a number, right or wrong, should be resisted.
Nice article Mish, sometimes it’s good to be reminded of our roots. For my money, I like how the bonobos sort their problems.
Sometimes can’t help but wonder if the evolution theory got it in reverse.
Could it be possible that monkeys are actually an evolved human?
All my life been coming down with the cold, maybe skipping a year here and there…
Mostly though two or three cold every other year…
Even the dreaded summer cold…
Who’d a thunk that made me into the asymptomatic super spreader I am today?
I’m empathetic because I had my entire colon removed at 24 due to colitis….
Wear a mask so as to not infect you at risk humanoids…
Just a wonderful crazy debt free life we are living…..hoping for an zombie free end to it all..
Oh, and , go all in when “they ” declare the infection rates peaked
Bumpy ride from there I’m thinking, then steady as she goes
We have the biggest best guns in the world. …
We could default three, six times and yet the rest of the world would line up for our fiat…..
But it really is just another regular flu. It is fully under Trump’s control. It will magically disappear in april!
“Come hang out with us!!!”
-Nancy Pelosi, February 24th, reporting from China Town
Yeah, I hear Trump was really looking forward to Easter service this year.